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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (3 Viewers)

It's circled at Bovada, but you can get Varejao more starts than Thompson (these are tall Cavaliers players) for -155 and Varejao's already won the starting job, so you're just fading an injury or Varejao retiring or something. He's Lebron's guy, so he'd have to f up pretty bad to lose the gig.

 
Will be playing a handful of parlays to try to get under the RB payout threshold. Posting these for documentation purposes only, not suggesting they are good plays.

Already Played

Early games: UNC/UVA u64.5, Rut/Neb o61.5, UAB/Ark o66 - same PM logic here, the recommended plays just aren't as strong

Current Leans

Chainsaw special: USC, WV, [awaiting the 3rd :tapsfoot:]

TF gut feel special: MSU -17, Auburn -19.5, Bama -19.5 - teams all in the NC mix who should all win big
Saints-2/over/Redskins+10/SFG
Took me long enough, but avoided the dreaded payout again with a big parlay

 
Look Jesus, I know I said this morning that you would have to prove to me that you were real...but now you're just showing off. HTTR

 
Andrew Luck saw the Steelers for the first time last week. He is now 12-12 SU and 11-13 ATS with an O/U of 12-12 when he is facing a team for the first time in his career (4-9 SU and ATS away). Aside from a 20-point win at San Francisco, the average margin of victory in the other 11 wins was 5 ±2 points per game. The average margin of victory for the opposing team in the 12 losses was 18 points per game, only two of them by less than double-digits.

On Monday night he will be facing the Giants for the first time in his career as a 3-point road favorite. When Luck has been lined the favorite against a team he is seeing for the first time, the Colts have gone 4-5 SU and 3-6 ATS (1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS since 2013).

Since week 7 of last season opposing teams are 5-1 SU and ATS (5-0 SU and ATS L5) with an O/U of 6-0 when they are seeing Luck for the first time. Those opposing teams scored an average of 39 ±7 points per game, and won by margins of 30,29,14,3,17. link

It's way too early to bet, but consensus numbers show about 67-72% of ATS wagers on the Colts so far.

 
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Rivers is 14-17 SU and ATS in the Eastern time zone, 2-2 SU and ATS versus the Dolphins (0-2 SU and ATS away) and 1-7 SU and ATS in the Eastern time zone on extra rest (>6 days; avg rest 10 ±3 days), 0-5 SU and ATS as the dog in the Eastern time zone on extra rest.

Since 1995 regardless of home/away, Chargers/Dolphins are 0-10 O/U (avg total 41) with 34 ±8 points per game; the highest one totaling 44 points.

 
Dang, there was a shooting yesterday at the convenience store I walk to get my beer from. I had to go the back way to get home because of all the cops and ambulances last night. I thought a gas pump exploded or something. My phone was in my car and I have about 20 texts/voicemails of various women who saw it on the news, weeping that I haven't responded to them (none of whom happen to be my mom or sister go figure).

 
The 2011 NBA regular-season opener was untraditional, as it came on December 25, 2011. Since that day the home team on opening day is 34-15 SU and 29-18-2 ATS (avg line -2.0). The home underdog went 10-7 SU and 14-2-1 ATS (avg line 5.1) in those games. Since 2012 the home underdog on opening day is 8-3 SU and 10-0-1 ATS (avg line 5.7) with the three losses coming by margins of 4,2,3.

Lakers +7 -109

 
From a search I can tell this has been an ongoing question for some time but I just want to know if anyone has spoken with Kurt via email in the last week. I sent him two emails over the weekend and nary a response. Very weird only because he never fails to respond. Last time we spoke he doing better from the accident but after that conversation, two weeks ago, I got an email from one of his associates - not from KH himself. Just want to see if anyone has any other info.
I emailed him last week about the NHL props and did receive a reply on Friday from Kurt (having one of his guys look into it).
i emailed him about the props and he didnt respond. Last thing I got was several weeks ago about the accident. I also posed the question if anyone here has ever had any problems with withdrawing but didnt get anything back.
Did you get the fedex info this past week? This should've been payout week.
im new havent had a request out.. up a couple hundred just making sure
You need to be over 500 and he sends the fedex info one week after the collection.
FWIW, month just closed yesterday ( Last Sunday of the month) so he should be along today to update those from whom he needs packages and those he is sending to. I will say that I have always received packages from him without an issue so I have no reason to think this month will be any different.
Completely forgot the month closes on the last Sunday. Dammit. Would've lined up the parlay another way

 
The 2011 NBA regular-season opener was untraditional, as it came on December 25, 2011. Since that day the home team on opening day is 34-15 SU and 29-18-2 ATS (avg line -2.0). The home underdog went 10-7 SU and 14-2-1 ATS (avg line 5.1) in those games. Since 2012 the home underdog on opening day is 8-3 SU and 10-0-1 ATS (avg line 5.7) with the three losses coming by margins of 4,2,3.

Lakers +7 -109
should we take a few minutes to reflect before making the transition to NBA?

 
Is fsu -3 anywhere? Books are about to kill it based on what people want to happen. I see 3.5 now

 
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A few of you guys have said you'd like a(nother) local. I've got 12, and only 12 accounts available at one of the best locals I've ever played at. The man is looking for active players, so please only inquire if you will be active. Paypal is accepted and payouts are via fedex, can't ask for much more. I've received 6 figures from this cat, like clockwork. PM if interested.

 
Pucking action tonight? I'm literally looking at the garden from the holiday inn across the street and I got the itch to wagah!

Oh btw they kicked us out, not only from the icu but from the hospital all together. Pretty much the ####. Best case scenario. I'm gonna drink a beer.

 
A few of you guys have said you'd like a(nother) local. I've got 12, and only 12 accounts available at one of the best locals I've ever played at. The man is looking for active players, so please only inquire if you will be active. Paypal is accepted and payouts are via fedex, can't ask for much more. I've received 6 figures from this cat, like clockwork. PM if interested.
Prolly too rich for me even if those 6 figures include the 2 after the decimal point. Limits?

 
A few of you guys have said you'd like a(nother) local. I've got 12, and only 12 accounts available at one of the best locals I've ever played at. The man is looking for active players, so please only inquire if you will be active. Paypal is accepted and payouts are via fedex, can't ask for much more. I've received 6 figures from this cat, like clockwork. PM if interested.
Prolly too rich for me even if those 6 figures include the 2 after the decimal point. Limits?
Limits are outside of my realm, I'm just helping the guy out with new business and helping you guys out with a GREAT book. I'm just saying be active, only have 12 accounts to go around, don't wanna waste a great account with a dormant player.

 
A few of you guys have said you'd like a(nother) local. I've got 12, and only 12 accounts available at one of the best locals I've ever played at. The man is looking for active players, so please only inquire if you will be active. Paypal is accepted and payouts are via fedex, can't ask for much more. I've received 6 figures from this cat, like clockwork. PM if interested.
I'll give you my login and just plug in the plays for me. TIA

 
A few of you guys have said you'd like a(nother) local. I've got 12, and only 12 accounts available at one of the best locals I've ever played at. The man is looking for active players, so please only inquire if you will be active. Paypal is accepted and payouts are via fedex, can't ask for much more. I've received 6 figures from this cat, like clockwork. PM if interested.
Prolly too rich for me even if those 6 figures include the 2 after the decimal point. Limits?
Limits are outside of my realm, I'm just helping the guy out with new business and helping you guys out with a GREAT book. I'm just saying be active, only have 12 accounts to go around, don't wanna waste a great account with a dormant player.
What book does he copy?

 
A few of you guys have said you'd like a(nother) local. I've got 12, and only 12 accounts available at one of the best locals I've ever played at. The man is looking for active players, so please only inquire if you will be active. Paypal is accepted and payouts are via fedex, can't ask for much more. I've received 6 figures from this cat, like clockwork. PM if interested.
Prolly too rich for me even if those 6 figures include the 2 after the decimal point. Limits?
Limits are outside of my realm, I'm just helping the guy out with new business and helping you guys out with a GREAT book. I'm just saying be active, only have 12 accounts to go around, don't wanna waste a great account with a dormant player.
What book does he copy?
I'm not sure to be honest. I'm just playing locals and betonline right now. If you want to take a look, pm me, and I'll point you in the right direction. If you don't want the account after looking at it, let me know and I'll have the book will give it to someone else.

 
sportsbook.ag check came in about 7 days.. Pretty impressive
I cashed out at Sportsbet last week. Package came in 4 days. It was 2 money orders, without anything filled out on them, stuck in 2 random pages of some weird investment prospectus. Lol, clowns.
ha nice.. mine was from some bank in canada and in the letter it writes about the check if for the commissions, or services, or incentive that was due to me.

 
A few of you guys have said you'd like a(nother) local. I've got 12, and only 12 accounts available at one of the best locals I've ever played at. The man is looking for active players, so please only inquire if you will be active. Paypal is accepted and payouts are via fedex, can't ask for much more. I've received 6 figures from this cat, like clockwork. PM if interested.
If only I knew how to make my own prop plays. This would be fun. I think I probably know which website you are referring to based in previous posts.

 

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