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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (6 Viewers)

swirvenirvin said:
Kelce could be our boy this week. Especially of Fasano out

Speaking Wednesday, coach Andy Reid said Travis Kelce is now prepared for a bigger workload if Anthony Fasano (knee) is out or limited.

This quote equates to porn for fantasy footballers: "At the beginning of the year, we kind of kept the package (for Kelce) smaller," Reid said. "Then we've added to it. He's really kind of up to speed with the whole deal right now." Fasano's knee contusion is not considered overly serious, but he did miss practice Wednesday. Things are shaping up for Kelce to have an expanded role against a Seahawks defense that gives up the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends. If Fasano ends up inactive, Zeus will be unleashed.
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Nice job by rotoworld to crack a funny. I had kelce for the early part of the year, moved him a few weeks ago to help get some good pieces for the stretch run. Guy may have a good week, but i wouldn't be surprised at all if he had a complete dud the next one as well. i can't figure out why he hasn't been used more, Reid loved his TEs when he was with Philly.

And he was one of the funniest players the FBG podcasts were blowing loads all over the room for. I had Kelce and Gronk on my team, and i had to smile a little when after that KC-NE game the calls for getting Kelce were just nuts. People were swearing up and down that if you could trade Gronk and get Kelce to do in a heartbeat. I almost trade Gronk that week... glad i didn't

 
comfortably numb said:
Tanny u243.5
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I went with Tanehil over 21.5 completions :football: . I'd be happy to get those with a bunch of little dink and dunk passes. Just think Lamar Miller won't be running much and the Bills have a pretty sweet rushing defense. Miami knows this is a big game, i have to think they won't roll over and give up, nor will they jump to some big lead and try to run the clock out.

Good luck to us both :suds:

 
Anybody see value in Jim Caldwell COTY 6/1? Arians is currently the favorite at 1/1 (Kelly is also 6/1). Arizona replaces Palmer with Stanton and Detroit finally got Megatron back last week so I think Arians is overvalued. A huge game for Detroit/Arizona this week but its winnable for Detroit. They probably lose @NE and @GB but could easily finish 4-0 in between with Chicago twice, TB and Minn. Arizona has a slightly tougher schedule to end the season. If Detroit wins the North and finishes within a game of Arizona, I would really find it hard for any coach to win the award except him considering the history in Detroit. Additionally, Arians already won it in 2012 and Arizona was a good team last year at 10-6. I don't think many people expected Detroit to start this strong.

Also, I shouldn't ask it but will - how much would race play a part in the decision?

 
Mo, I've been meaning to research refs and their tendencies/penalty calling. There's always a certain crew that the Flyers broadcast complains about being an attention whore and making too many goofy calls. :lol:

 
swirvenirvin said:
Tennenhill under 245.5 -115 (would play up to 235.5)

Degenerate plays (wouldnt play if not only game) I'm more looking at the 60% rate these hit

Clay under 38.5 -115

Chandler under 30.5 -115

Also last 4 weeks (since i have been tracking) Qb rushing unders are 10-3 in prime time games.
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weird that instead of adjusting Tannenhill the books just juiced it to -140 and -145 instead. Never have seen that with QB yardage only happens on receptions and sometime completions

 
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Billy Bats said:
Mo, I've been meaning to research refs and their tendencies/penalty calling. There's always a certain crew that the Flyers broadcast complains about being an attention whore and making too many goofy calls. :lol:
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it honestly wouldn't surprise me at all if certain crews were more likely to call penalties on certain teams. It was like 2 years ago with Rinaldo. The guy could skate by a player and they would call a penalty on. He probably deserved most of them, but I am sure there are some officials who are more inclined to make calls in certain situations.

One thing i really remember, and I am sure it is a little :tinfoilhat: too, but i remember being able to track it almost like clock work. It had to do with games televised on Vs. which was the big provider for NHL when i was looking at these things (i have turned into such a non-NHL fan i can't even tell you what channel has most of the games anymore. i believe VS. became the NBC sports channel or whatever though). I remember it happened probably over 80% of the time. it would be in games when 1 team was up 2-3 goals in the 3rd period. the officiaiting crew would call at least 1, most of the time 2-3 penalties on that team in the 3rd period. i always thought it occurred to improve the chance of making a game closer so that it would hopefully pull in more viewers, but it seemed like an awfully big stretch. But like i said, it happened way more than 50% of the time when i was keeping track of these games back then

 
Dan Lambskin said:
I was gonna bet the under tonight, but I just can't go u41 in an NFL game the way the rules are
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I played u21 -120 1H. Short week or not, both teams have the ability to pressure the QB and I don't trust either OL. Both teams should be able to force 3rd and long situations. Both running games should struggle as well. 41 is a tough under to take provided the stats on the recent O/U on Thursdays which suggest the defenses struggle on the short weeks. Hopefully the defensive pressure fades in the 2nd half tonight if there is going to be scoring.

 
Line at sportsbook has gone back down to 4.

Taking the Bills and the points. Could be a defensive game with two good d-lines and Dolphins missing their LT.

Throw in the short week and I'll take the points. I'm thinking 20-17, not sure who. Don't have the cajones to go under on such a low total (41.5)

 
ugh, just made a terrible bet. felt like i needed some more action on the game, took under 33.5 -125 :bag: . No way this game keeps at this pace. Seems like Ref's old NFC East bets. game starts slow and there will be a bit mroe action in teh 2nd half. Though i don't think the explosion will be too big

 
I have every single channel on my DirecTV right now, except the NFL network which is out cause of some random weather. sweet.

but, maybe this is a sign. So i am watcing on CBS, and i see a random tweet that the Dolphins are the highest scoring team in the 3rd Q. in the league. Looks like some other F'ers have seen this too, but took it anyway. and the line doesn't make much sense with the Bills getting the ball to start the 2nd half. Oh well:

Dolphins -.5 -130

 
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modogg said:
I have every single channel on my DirecTV right now, except the NFL network which is out cause of some random weather. sweet.

but, maybe this is a sign. So i am watcing on CBS, and i see a random tweet that the Dolphins are the highest scoring team in the 3rd Q. in the league. Looks like some other F'ers have seen this too, but took it anyway. and the line doesn't make much sense with the Bills getting the ball to start the 2nd half. Oh well:

Dolphins -.5 -130
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I wish i could bet that the Dolphins will get a 1st and 10 in the red zone and not score in the 3rd Q. Instead, they will score the 1st play of the 4th Q

ETA: glad i can't bet it

 
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modogg said:
modogg said:
I have every single channel on my DirecTV right now, except the NFL network which is out cause of some random weather. sweet.

but, maybe this is a sign. So i am watcing on CBS, and i see a random tweet that the Dolphins are the highest scoring team in the 3rd Q. in the league. Looks like some other F'ers have seen this too, but took it anyway. and the line doesn't make much sense with the Bills getting the ball to start the 2nd half. Oh well:

Dolphins -.5 -130
Click to expand...
I wish i could bet that the Dolphins will get a 1st and 10 in the red zone and not score in the 3rd Q. Instead, they will score the 1st play of the 4th Q

ETA: glad i can't bet it
Click to expand...
LIKE THIS: clicked

 
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