FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (8 Viewers)

[Peyton Marino]

So everyone in the FFAWT likes unders tonight

hey we've got one fitzgerald over.

also grabbed an over 5 on sacks, when it was -120 now up to -140 on 5d. Wish I could find a Rams individual over

Bovada has Rams over 3 at -150

 

[lumpy19]

So everyone in the FFAWT likes unders tonight

hey we've got one fitzgerald over.

also grabbed an over 5 on sacks, when it was -120 now up to -140 on 5d. Wish I could find a Rams individual over

I have one

o2.5 -112

u2.5 -118

Guessing you like the over. Want me to bet it for you and we can paypal money after to settle up?

 

[tjnc09]

It looks like STL is one of the worst crews for handing out assists tonight

they hand out very few assists, but are actually closer to league average in tackles/opportunity this year.still, probably a good idea to lean under on any tackle props.

Yeah, I just noticed that - good point.

I don't really see anything that great. Bovada has two that 5d does not

Laurinaitis 7 -115 / -115

Ogletree 7 -115 / -115

---

Foote 5.5 -140 / 110

Peterson 3.5 110 / -140

McLeod 5.5 115 / -145

But hopefully you or JB see something. The lines look very fair to me.

 

[tjnc09]

Rams blew through -3 and at -6 some places now. Wow

 

[swirvenirvin]

So everyone in the FFAWT likes unders tonight

hey we've got one fitzgerald over.

also grabbed an over 5 on sacks, when it was -120 now up to -140 on 5d. Wish I could find a Rams individual over

I have one

o2.5 -112

u2.5 -118

Guessing you like the over. Want me to bet it for you and we can paypal money after to settle up?

sure that is not Arizona?

 

[lumpy19]

So everyone in the FFAWT likes unders tonight

hey we've got one fitzgerald over.also grabbed an over 5 on sacks, when it was -120 now up to -140 on 5d. Wish I could find a Rams individual over

I have one

o2.5 -112

u2.5 -118

Guessing you like the over. Want me to bet it for you and we can paypal money after to settle up?

sure that is not Arizona?

Same line on az

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

Rams O3 sacks is -140 at BV

 

[swirvenirvin]

So everyone in the FFAWT likes unders tonight

hey we've got one fitzgerald over.also grabbed an over 5 on sacks, when it was -120 now up to -140 on 5d. Wish I could find a Rams individual over

I have one

o2.5 -112

u2.5 -118

Guessing you like the over. Want me to bet it for you and we can paypal money after to settle up?

sure that is not Arizona?

Same line on az

ill send you a pm later

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

It looks like STL is one of the worst crews for handing out assists tonight

they hand out very few assists, but are actually closer to league average in tackles/opportunity this year.still, probably a good idea to lean under on any tackle props.

Yeah, I just noticed that - good point.

I don't really see anything that great. Bovada has two that 5d does not

Laurinaitis 7 -115 / -115

Ogletree 7 -115 / -115

---

Foote 5.5 -140 / 110

Peterson 3.5 110 / -140

McLeod 5.5 115 / -145

But hopefully you or JB see something. The lines look very fair to me.

I like the Under for both Rams LBs, mainly because I expect the Rams defense to not be on the field that much. But, I'm cut at BV and can't find those at my other books. Not sure I love either, but getting both to 8 in this game seems unlikely so hopefully it's a push at worst.

As for the other options, I played these:

McLeod U5.5. I went to bet it at -145 and it moved to -165. So, I'm risking 1U instead of betting to win 1U. Was lined at O5 (+115) at SB.ag so there's a decent middle opportunity available if you want to bet both sides.

Foote O5.5 (-140). I also bet this to risk 1U. Given my expectation on how the game will go, I expect Foote to be on the field a lot with the Rams running out the clock in the second half. That should help get him over this number.

I'd lean under on Peterson but the price is too steep (-160) now for such a low number.

 

[swirvenirvin]

HRwager nfl props down for anyone else?

Im pretty sure no props offered for any sport for me. I am assuming when they reviewed my acct for rollover they saw over half the bets being props and pulled them?

 

[The Ref]

Cook first td +1000

 

[regularguy]

HRwager nfl props down for anyone else?

Im pretty sure no props offered for any sport for me. I am assuming when they reviewed my acct for rollover they saw over half the bets being props and pulled them?

If you liked their prop odds, Goobook offers the same numbers.

 

[swirvenirvin]

HRwager nfl props down for anyone else?

Im pretty sure no props offered for any sport for me. I am assuming when they reviewed my acct for rollover they saw over half the bets being props and pulled them?

If you liked their prop odds, Goobook offers the same numbers.

thanks

nothing great to take advantage of, them seemed to have same as Bovada but a lot less offered. but enough to make some money on. I really just used them as an extension of my bets, and was adding smaller amounts to them I dont think there was anything offered there that I couldnt find at the others. I didnt sign up with goobook cause i was playing all side and totals on hrwager for the rollover.

 

[comfortably numb]

1st score

Rams FG +350

Cards FG +300

Took each

Longest TD

U38.5

U20 1H

U40.5

 

[ArbyMelt]

HRwager nfl props down for anyone else?

Im pretty sure no props offered for any sport for me. I am assuming when they reviewed my acct for rollover they saw over half the bets being props and pulled them?

damn that ahole took them down for me too when i had him check my rollover.

i know they are up because you can use the test account hrw2201 pw=test.

 

[swirvenirvin]

HRwager nfl props down for anyone else?

Im pretty sure no props offered for any sport for me. I am assuming when they reviewed my acct for rollover they saw over half the bets being props and pulled them?

damn that ahole took them down for me too when i had him check my rollover.

i know they are up because you can use the test account hrw2201 pw=test.

not even offering team totals what a ####### joke. Time for some bad reviews

 

[swirvenirvin]

HRwager nfl props down for anyone else?

Im pretty sure no props offered for any sport for me. I am assuming when they reviewed my acct for rollover they saw over half the bets being props and pulled them?

damn that ahole took them down for me too when i had him check my rollover.

i know they are up because you can use the test account hrw2201 pw=test.

a.holes made sure to put jo.brown tho after last week.

 

[ArbyMelt]

for those looking to arb out of HRWager

5 dimes colorado +111 (reduced)

HRWager Winnipeg -110

Go COLORADO!

 

[got_nugs]

ugh. fine.

unders locked in.

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

I played the over for Tre Mason.

 

[comfortably numb]

I played the over for Tre Mason.

Yea. Just added that too

 

[Clorox]

Stanton o19 completions looks solid, no?

 

[swirvenirvin]

Stanton o19 completions looks solid, no?

been dropping i had him at 20.5.. was 19 and 19.5 you can get 17.5 on sportsbetting.ag

 

[swirvenirvin]

I played the over for Tre Mason.

thought so too but my over numbers are not good at 50%.. thought he should have been in the low 70's bovada opened at 59

 

[Clorox]

Stanton o19 completions looks solid, no?

been dropping i had him at 20.5.. was 19 and 19.5 you can get 17.5 on sportsbetting.ag

Thanks - I didn't get it in anyway. I don't have any action on this game tonight. The RB debt is down to -242 though thanks to the plays in here. I'm bummed that I didn't get Wisconsin and Providence in last night. I was at a Chevelle concert and got a bit loaded before tipoff.

ETA - Joined you guys on 1H u20.5. Also think I like Chain's Rockets play.

 

[swirvenirvin]

for those looking to arb out of HRWager

5 dimes colorado +111 (reduced)

HRWager Winnipeg -110

Go COLORADO!

scared about these guys even paying now

 

[TheGooRoo]

I played the over for Tre Mason.

I have alot of 59.5 and 60.5, strong imo.

 

[ArbyMelt]

for those looking to arb out of HRWager

5 dimes colorado +111 (reduced)

HRWager Winnipeg -110

Go COLORADO!

scared about these guys even paying now

They only want recreational bettors, thats why they have low limits and lock down prop players. With high rollovers, I'm sure they got plenty of money to pay winners. Every report I've heard is they are very good at paying out same day. I've had a payout and Lumpy has too. I think they are good for the money.

Now I just need to arb my money out or hit the rollover amount and cash out. Their NHL numbers seem slow to move, I've been using those to arb out, but i'm batting 50% on my bets, but at least getting closer and closer to the rollover.

 

[comfortably numb]

Rams should try a 78yd FG here. Just my opinion

 

[got_nugs]

I played the over for Tre Mason.

I have alot of 59.5 and 60.5, strong imo.

agreed. lets make it harder....64.5/65.5 seems better (after that 1st run)

 

[got_nugs]

Are we gonna have to start paying for you, Numby?

 

[Clorox]

I'm pulling for you guys on Mason, and I have him starting in a playoff game. I really wanted to bench him but kept him in.

 

[Billy Bats]

Good job numb. I only had +250(?) for Arz Fg, laid off both.

 

[Clorox]

Good job numb. I only had +250(?) for Arz Fg, laid off both.

Yeah, that's a nice hit. Didn't play it, but it was a smart play.

 

[comfortably numb]

Let's keep the FGs plugging along for our unders

 

[comfortably numb]

Come on Tre.

That'll kill an under bet real quick

 

[Clorox]

Come on Tre.

That'll kill an under bet real quick

Ugh, wouldn't shock me if Fisher went to Cunningham.

 

[ChainsawU]

Here are the NBA on TNT games so far this season: link. They're 11-1 to the under. I got the idea from this guy: link. If I had a reliable way to keep track of all the NBA on TNT games I would do it. That would be pretty rad to have a running tally and a sample of 30 games or so to make plays with. If you can let me know how to keep track of that I would say thank you and we might be able to win some coin.

 

[Clorox]

Can't wait to watch that Jags-Titans game next week!! :yuck:

 

[comfortably numb]

Ooof

Jags and titans next thur?

Praise baby jesus for gambling.

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

Praise baby jesus for gambling.

and booze

 

[comfortably numb]

Let's miss this FG

 

[comfortably numb]

Praise baby jesus for gambling.

and booze

Amen

 

[BRONG]

Whatever happened to gambler?

 

[Doctor Detroit]

So I do all my projections and formula before I ever look at a line.

There are 38 bowl games plus the NCG, and 35 are posted at the Greek.

Of those 35 I was within 3 points in 31 of those games with a standard deviation of 3.5 points. So I have four outliers on the sides (6, 4.5, 7, 6), totals still not posted. I had 12 games within .5 points, and 25 within 2 points of the vegas line. Not sure if that's good or bad. I guess it's good because whatever I am doing is getting close to the actual line, but bad because it's gonna give me less games to have a lean on.

Took me three hours to do all this but now it seems like it was fun.

I'll go back tomorrow and look at all the outliers games again more closely, then look at the borderline games to see if I'm missing something there.

Ok, so I did the totals tonight since I haven't had time the past two nights.

36 posted totals and my formula/system was within 2.5 points on 28 games, and within 3 or 3.5 on four others. I had the exact total on 9 games and was within .5 on seven others. That leaves 4 games as outliers but the game with biggest difference is one I don't like. It's the Oregon/FSU game where I have 63.5 as the total, and Vegas has 71. Thoughts?

I'm waiting for the Navy/SDSU and OU/Clemson games to post before I make any firm bets, but I'll be putting 2u on all my outliers. Eight total bets so far but there are two or three that are borderline that I might look at again closer to the game.

 

[swirvenirvin]

Ooof

Jags and titans next thur?

Praise baby jesus for gambling.

wow uke:

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

Whatever happened to gambler?

he was pretty old I think

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

Fitzgerald over 4 -130 sportsbetting.ag

 

[Billy Bats]

Ooof

Jags and titans next thur?

Praise baby jesus for gambling.

wow uke:

That is godawful scheduling multiplied by a million in week 16. Who had the idea that anyone would give a #### about this game and that it might matter this late into the season??

 

[got_nugs]

Ooof

Jags and titans next thur?

Praise baby jesus for gambling.

wow uke:

That is godawful scheduling multiplied by a million in week 16. Who had the idea that anyone would give a #### about this game and that it might matter this late into the season??

is there a thurs week 17 game? Maybe the NFL wanted to try and not have playoff teams on short rest disadvantage?