FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (11 Viewers)

[Doctor Detroit]

When I was in my 20s I used to use the term, "paint the closet" for chicks who let you finish your business inside.

 

[Raider Nation]

I'll ask the experts at Home Depot

 

[mquinnjr]

Ever tried to take down wallpaper? I'd rather be stuck in an elevator with Tim.

 

[Zegras11]

When I was in my 20s I used to use the term, "paint the closet" for chicks who let you finish your business inside.

and now in your 50's, "paint the closet" means you didn't make it to the bathroom in time.

 

[BRONG]

ZANGRILLILOLOL likes greens, especially the green that gets him to Central America by doing a bunch of fantasy drafts which some people in the Shark Pool are claiming is "work."

Exactly. While his little Tica sends a few emails from Utah here and there, before she goes back home to meet Mikey Z-LOL. The "web developer" already bought and renovated their new bar. Guess who's the bartender???

 

[Raider Nation]

Also, I'd like to thank Kurt for taking all of my money a couple years ago. Made me realize I was throwing money away on rent. My apartment cost almost twice monthly what my condo mortgage is gonna cost. And thanks to all of you props guys for showing me the smarter way to gamble.

 

[mquinnjr]

When I was in my 20s I used to use the term, "paint the closet" for chicks who let you finish your business inside.

This is so graphically awesome.

 

[BRONG]

LMAO @ astro-turfing the walls!!!

 

[Frostillicus]

For CBB I'm doing better on sides and totals than props this year. That isn't right.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

When I was in my 20s I used to use the term, "paint the closet" for chicks who let you finish your business inside.

and now in your 50's, "paint the closet" means you didn't make it to the bathroom in time.

Not close to my 50s, but I almost pooped my pants the other day because my 50 minute commute turned into two hours.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Ever tried to take down wallpaper? I'd rather be stuck in an elevator with Tim.

 

[Zegras11]

When I was in my 20s I used to use the term, "paint the closet" for chicks who let you finish your business inside.

and now in your 50's, "paint the closet" means you didn't make it to the bathroom in time.

Not close to my 50s, but I almost pooped my pants the other day because my 50 minute commute turned into two hours.

When you hit 50, you won't make it.

 

[Frostillicus]

Delaware +12

I don't necessarily love this because Delaware is pretty terrible and they have the premier chucker in the league this year in Cazmon Hayes who takes 33% of his team's shots when he's on the floor despite shooting under 30%, but they're pretty desperate for a win at this point. Temple hasn't won on the road yet this year and they're between games vs. Villanova and Kansas. If ever there was a let down spot, this is it. Normally I don't pay much attention to this stuff but Lumpy once told me I should, so here we are.

If it wins, I'm a genius for evolving and changing. If it loses, blame Lumpy.

Oregon State -3.5

 

[Good Posting Judge]

You guys sound like a bunch of Warriors fans.

Another vote against wallpaper, fwiw. And i am pro backsplash.

 

[Reginald Cornsilks]

When I was in my 20s I used to use the term, "paint the closet" for chicks who let you finish your business inside.

and now in your 50's, "paint the closet" means you didn't make it to the bathroom in time.

 

[Reginald Cornsilks]

Congrats RN!

I'll be up starting next Tuesday through Friday staying in Rhody if you want to hit some Foxwoods or Mohegan.

No obligations other than XMas Even night. Supposed to play some poker with good buds the night of the 23rd, but they all have newborns and I'm pretty sure the game will be over by nine.

 

[Raider Nation]

Congrats RN!

I'll be up starting next Tuesday through Friday staying in Rhody if you want to hit some Foxwoods or Mohegan.

No obligations other than XMas Even night. Supposed to play some poker with good buds the night of the 23rd, but they all have newborns and I'm pretty sure the game will be over by nine.

Nice. A little 21 on Tuesday or Friday night might work. Hit me up.

 

[tonydead]

White first then neutral colors for best resale value.. Nobody likes the same colors you do

Never ever ever ever wallpaper

 

[Raider Nation]

Resale value is the last thing on my mind. I plan to be here for a long time, and if not, the walls can be painted white again.

 

[Reginald Cornsilks]

Resale value is the last thing on my mind. I plan to be here for a long time, and if not, the walls can be painted white again.

Is it the spot that you showed me a few months ago?

If so....agreed. Not sure you could ask to live in a better place in the US to be honest. A stones throw to the beach, 20 minutes to the 2 largest casinos in the US and 40 minutes to an awesome city.

(yes, I'm jealous)

 

[Zegras11]

When I was in my 20s I used to use the term, "paint the closet" for chicks who let you finish your business inside.

and now in your 50's, "paint the closet" means you didn't make it to the bathroom in time.

http://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index.php?showtopic=669723&p=16382194



We now refer to it as going to "paint" after the above.

 

[Raider Nation]

Resale value is the last thing on my mind. I plan to be here for a long time, and if not, the walls can be painted white again.

Is it the spot that you showed me a few months ago?

If so....agreed. Not sure you could ask to live in a better place in the US to be honest. A stones throw to the beach, 20 minutes to the 2 largest casinos in the US and 40 minutes to an awesome city.

(yes, I'm jealous)

Not the same one, but not far from it.

 

[tonydead]

Resale value is the last thing on my mind. I plan to be here for a long time, and if not, the walls can be painted white again.

Sorry, tldr. Was looking for gambling advice not interior design

PS I saw Beckham Jr today on Rachael Ray, looked kind of ill. Probably best to just bench him this week

 

[got_nugs]

Nate I'm partial to that blue link you posted. Mrs nugs approves. She's also grossed out by my childish giggling while reading aloud mr clean ####s himself at a meeting story while we are here in bed....but approves of the hue.

Parlay of 10-1 payout depended on hou/den over 205.5. Stupid luck but I'll take it. Cold here, gonna be low 70s tomorrow. Someone send a downfill parka

 

[ChainsawU]

Harden sinks that final free throw, there is no overtime, the Rockets win, and the under hits. RB was begging you to take the o205.5 to start the 4Q when everyone else was offering 206-207. Their 2H total was also a full point higher than the rest of the market. For tomorrow night, just a word to the wise, the TNT games are 12-2 to the under so far - with one of those two overs needing overtime, and the Warriors are 6-0 to the under L6 at home. Congrats on the parlay though. And at least the Rockets won. They were trading at +5.5 and +200 at one point.

 

[Raider Nation]

There’s good news and bad news when the Tennessee Titans visit the Jacksonville Jaguars Thursday Night in a game that will be nationally televised by the NFL Network. The bad news is that the #31 and #32 teams in the NFL by most respected Power Ratings will be polluting the airwaves in the final Thursday Night TV game of the season. The good news is that Sunday’s schedule will be so much better than usual because those teams aren’t playing!Won-Lost Records (Strength of Schedule)

Tennessee: 2-12 (#16 schedule in USA Today)

Jacksonville: 2-12 (#11 schedule in USA Today)

Not much separation there. Both teams are 2-12 and jockeying for draft position. They’ve played similar schedules because they’re in the same division. You can give Jacksonville some minor consideration because of a slightly tougher schedule. That plus home field may be all it takes to win the game.

Yards-Per-Play

Tennessee: 5.4 on offense, 5.4 on defense

Jacksonville: 4.7 on offense, 5.5 on defense

Tennessee has been tricking oddsmakers and statheads all season because they have the raw numbers of a .500 caliber team in these very important stats. They shouldn’t be a 2-12 team! But, they find a way to underachieve offensively on their drives, and the defense allows TD’s at just the wrong time. Jacksonville has been horrible as rookie quarterback Blake Bortles continues to learn the ropes. Clear edge here to the underdog.

Turnover Differential

Tennessee: -9

Jacksonville: -8

Both teams have been disasters in this category. Bortles is a rookie. Tennessee have a few starts to their own rookie Zack Mettenberger. Very ugly football. If either team is actually trying to win this game (always an issue with the draft looming overhead), they can at least be happy that they’re not taking the worst of it this week like they are in normal matchups.

Market Performance

Tennessee: 3-10-1 ATS

Jacksonville: 4-9-1 ATS

We told you the market has struggled with Tennessee all season. They were respected out of the gate at least as a team that could make a run at the .500 mark. Stubbornness continued as the team got worse and worse. Jacksonville’s poor ATS record is a bit of a surprise because everyone knew they’d be horrible! With there being absolutely no doubt that Jacksonville would be one of the worst teams in the NFL, the betting markets still couldn’t properly anticipate how bad they’d be.

Current Line: Jacksonville by 3, total of 40.5

The Jaguars are getting the standard value of home field advantage, as oddsmakers hope a generic line will mostly split the action. The key to picking this game will probably come down to properly predicting if one or the other is trying to win! Tennessee has seemed hell bent on losing ever since a decent Monday Night showing vs. Pittsburgh. Jacksonville celebrated a recent home win over the NY Giants. The Jags may not be as concerned about getting the #1 pick because they already have a quarterback they’re grooming for the future. A non-quarterback stud would be available for them a couple of spots below the top if you assume that Marcus Mariota of Oregon and Jameis Winston of Florida State will go right out of the gate to teams needing a QB.

 

[ChainsawU]

Seahawks at Cardinals is 8-1-1 O/U the last 10 years. They averaged 48 ±7 points per game. The Seahawks scored 34 by themselves there last season.

 

[ChainsawU]

If either team is actually trying to win this game (always an issue with the draft looming overhead)

The Falcons only had two wins going into week 12 last season and covered five of their last six games. The Jags had one win going into week 12 last season and covered 4 of their last 6 games, winning three of them straight-up as underdogs of 10, 7, and 3. With nothing left to play for having lost four games in a row the Browns put up 31 points at home versus the Bears in week 15 last season. With a record of 3-10 the Redskins covered the spread as the underdog in two of their last three games last season. And after losing 14 in a row the Texans were the team who scored first, a first quarter touchdown, in their last game of the season versus the Titans. They locked up the #1 pick that game but they still covered the spread.

 

[Raider Nation]

If either team is actually trying to win this game (always an issue with the draft looming overhead)

The Falcons only had two wins going into week 12 last season and covered five of their last six games. The Jags had one win going into week 12 last season and covered 4 of their last 6 games, winning three of them straight-up as underdogs of 10, 7, and 3. With nothing left to play for having lost four games in a row the Browns put up 31 points at home versus the Bears in week 15 last season. With a record of 3-10 the Redskins covered the spread as the underdog in two of their last three games last season. And after losing 14 in a row the Texans were the team who scored first, a first quarter touchdown, in their last game of the season versus the Titans. They locked up the #1 pick that game but they still covered the spread.

I didn't write that, for the record. I agree that the notion of players "laying down" is absurd.

 

[swirvenirvin]

yeah its not 1988 so no wallpaper. Didnt even know they still made it

 

[Dan Lambskin]

Paint talk

Just let your wife pick the color...then you can paint again in 5 years when she doesn't like it anymore

 

[lumpy19]

When I was in my 20s I used to use the term, "paint the closet" for chicks who let you finish your business inside.

I paint the closet exactly 20 weeks ago and now i'm 20 weeks from kid #3

Next time i'm using wallpaper

 

[Dan Lambskin]

When I was in my 20s I used to use the term, "paint the closet" for chicks who let you finish your business inside.

I paint the closet exactly 20 weeks ago and now i'm 20 weeks from kid #3

Next time i'm using wallpaper

You poor *******

Sincerely,

Dad of 3 young boys

 

[Frostillicus]

When I was in my 20s I used to use the term, "paint the closet" for chicks who let you finish your business inside.

I paint the closet exactly 20 weeks ago and now i'm 20 weeks from kid #3

Next time i'm using wallpaper

oof. or congrats. Maybe both.

 

[Tiger Fan]

If it were me, I'd go neutral with paint colors and use other things to add color to the room. What's "hip" now won't be "hip" in a few years. Neutral is safe and matches anything.

We have neutral walls and neutral sectional (different shades of neutral, so there is a nice contrast) and you'd actually be amazed how changing out the pillow colors or some stuff on the walls instantly gives you a different perspective on the room.

#fasiontalk

neutral = boring. Are you the kind of a guy who wants to bet the ML on a -450 favorite, or do you want to let your balls hang out and live a little. Paint it up and if you don't like it just paint over it in a month or 2

no offense TF

Oof.

None taken

 

[Tiger Fan]

Also, I'd like to thank Kurt for taking all of my money a couple years ago. Made me realize I was throwing money away on rent. My apartment cost almost twice monthly what my condo mortgage is gonna cost. And thanks to all of you props guys for showing me the smarter way to gamble.

So we're parlaying all 5 bowl overs on Saturday, right?

 

[comfortably numb]

Paint talk

Just let your wife pick the color...then you can paint again in 5 years months when she doesn't like it anymore

fixed....for my wife at least

couple of years ago wife had said she had wanted the bathroom painted.

Picked the color out bought the gallon was laying there for a weekend project for me...no rush

She was working evenings at the time.

One day she went off to work when I got home. I was feeling motivated. Set the Wii up for the kids and quickly started on the bathroom.

2 coats of paint, put everything back for a nice surprise when she would get home.

When she gets home around midnight she looks and says....oh you painted the bathroom? I still wasn't sure about the color....i don't really like it. Can we paint it another color?

I almost stabbed her.

WTF, who buys a gallon of mixed paint before they decide what color they want.

 

[Dan Lambskin]

Spent 3 hours at IKEA last night picking out a new TV stand and shelves

The one she wanted wouldn't fit in the space we have (at least not all the extra shelves)

She hemmed and hawed at all the other options and finally settled on one she "wasn't happy with"

So as I'm loading all the boxes I keep hearing how she won't be happy and what if this or that combo...I think she changed her mind 15 times

Finally settled on what she wanted originally minus the bookcases but what an excruciating adventure

 

[comfortably numb]

Spent 3 hours at IKEA last night picking out a new TV stand and shelves

The one she wanted wouldn't fit in the space we have (at least not all the extra shelves)

She hemmed and hawed at all the other options and finally settled on one she "wasn't happy with"

So as I'm loading all the boxes I keep hearing how she won't be happy and what if this or that combo...I think she changed her mind 15 times

Finally settled on what she wanted originally minus the bookcases but what an excruciating adventure

Ive learned that is she doesn't "love it" i refuse to buy it.

I just know she will either complain about it forever or eventually replace it so i try to avoid those things she just likes

 

[jamil]

Spent 3 hours at IKEA last night picking out a new TV stand and shelves

The one she wanted wouldn't fit in the space we have (at least not all the extra shelves)

She hemmed and hawed at all the other options and finally settled on one she "wasn't happy with"

So as I'm loading all the boxes I keep hearing how she won't be happy and what if this or that combo...I think she changed her mind 15 times

Finally settled on what she wanted originally minus the bookcases but what an excruciating adventure

#### that store

 

[Tiger Fan]

ANNOUNCE - BOWLS START IN TWO DAYS....THERE IS A (BORING) NFL GAME TONIGHT....FROSTY IS HITTING GAMES AT A 66% CLIP OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS....

NO MORE HOME DECOR CHAT

 

[cosjobs]

In the 2013 season, Bowl faves went 17-5 SU and 15-7 ATS (avg line -6.9) with an O/U of 5-16-1 in December. But in January they went 4-8 SU and 2-10 ATS (avg line -7.3) with an O/U of 7-5. In the 2012 season, Bowl faves went 12-9 SU and 9-12 ATS (avg line -6.7) with an O/U of 9-12 in December. Then, in January, they went 11-1 SU and 10-1-1 ATS (avg line -8.0) with an O/U of 6-5-1. So in the last two years you're looking at a combined .657 SU win% and a .545 ATS win% with an O/U that hit at a rate of .415. Here are the SU, ATS, and O/U results of bowl favorites since 2006. Note that it doesn't include pick'em games:

Season SU ATS Avg Line OU Avg Tot W - L- P (marg, %win) W - L- P (marg, %win) W - L- P (marg, %over) season = 2006 22-10-0 (5.12, 68.8%) 15-17-0 (-0.41, 46.9%) -5.5 15-17-0 (1.52, 46.9%) 49.9season = 2007 24-8-0 (8.09, 75.0%) 17-15-0 (2.37, 53.1%) -5.7 16-15-1 (-0.64, 51.6%) 58.1season = 2008 22-12-0 (5.29, 64.7%) 16-18-0 (0.37, 47.1%) -4.9 13-20-1 (-4.75, 39.4%) 55.0season = 2009 17-15-0 (1.38, 53.1%) 12-18-2 (-3.97, 40.0%) -5.3 14-18-0 (-3.25, 43.8%) 53.7season = 2010 23-10-0 (9.55, 69.7%) 20-13-0 (4.03, 60.6%) -5.5 17-16-0 (-4.24, 51.5%) 55.8season = 2011 25-10-0 (5.09, 71.4%) 20-15-0 (0.41, 57.1%) -4.7 15-20-0 (-0.93, 42.9%) 55.8season = 2012 23-10-0 (6.76, 69.7%) 19-13-1 (-0.38, 59.4%) -7.1 15-17-1 (-1.82, 46.9%) 58.1season = 2013 21-13-0 (8.03, 61.8%) 17-17-0 (0.97, 50.0%) -7.1 12-21-1 (-2.85, 36.4%) 58.6season = 2014 0-0-0 (0.00, 0.0%) 0-0-0 (0.00, 0.0%) - 0-0-0 (0.00, 0.0%) -

Thanks CU

 

[swirvenirvin]

I just can't bet a lot or a full unit on these so here are some action plays

Hurns under 45.5 -115

Shorts under 48.5 -115

Shorts under 4.5 -105

 

[modogg]

Delaware +12

I don't necessarily love this because Delaware is pretty terrible and they have the premier chucker in the league this year in Cazmon Hayes who takes 33% of his team's shots when he's on the floor despite shooting under 30%, but they're pretty desperate for a win at this point. Temple hasn't won on the road yet this year and they're between games vs. Villanova and Kansas. If ever there was a let down spot, this is it. Normally I don't pay much attention to this stuff but Lumpy once told me I should, so here we are.

If it wins, I'm a genius for evolving and changing. If it loses, blame Lumpy.

Oregon State -3.5

what the F, I just got a chance to put it in and see it is -6 now. Friggin jerks moving that line already...

 

[The Ref]

Delaware +12

I don't necessarily love this because Delaware is pretty terrible and they have the premier chucker in the league this year in Cazmon Hayes who takes 33% of his team's shots when he's on the floor despite shooting under 30%, but they're pretty desperate for a win at this point. Temple hasn't won on the road yet this year and they're between games vs. Villanova and Kansas. If ever there was a let down spot, this is it. Normally I don't pay much attention to this stuff but Lumpy once told me I should, so here we are.

If it wins, I'm a genius for evolving and changing. If it loses, blame Lumpy.

Oregon State -3.5

what the F, I just got a chance to put it in and see it is -6 now. Friggin jerks moving that line already...

It was -6 when I looked this am.

 

[comfortably numb]

something small to help bring Oregon St back down

2Tease

Ore St -2

Seton Hall -1/2

 

[Jene Bramel]

QB rushing unders tonight?

9.5 Whitehurst

22.5 Bortles

 

[lumpy19]

Looks like HRwager pulled my props, time to pull all funds.

 

[ChainsawU]

Since 2001 teams playing a division game after playing in Denver the night before are 8-16 (.333) SU and 9-15 (.375) ATS (avg line -1). When the opposing team is on > 0 rest: 1-12 SU and 3-10 ATS (avg line 3.2). When the opposing team is on > 0 rest and you are lined as the favorite: 0-5 SU and ATS (avg line -5) and 5-0 to the over (avg total 202.5 ±1.5). The majority likes the Rockets tonight so I'll wait to take Pelicans ATS and ML. I also like the Bucks ATS and ML and then the two unders on the TNT games but am waiting to see exactly how I feel to narrow it down later. Because betting all four NBA games will make me feel like a skank.

 

[comfortably numb]

Taking

Anaheim EV

Tor -1.5 +200