FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (8 Viewers)

[Frostillicus]

St. Mary's +8

UTEP +7

Miami -14.5

Minnesota -19.5

Marquette -21.5

 

[got_nugs]

Dollar Shave Club free gift commercial gets me every time.

 

[ChainsawU]

Remember me and Mo were talking about it on Tuesday that The Thunder averaged 70 1H points L3 games and then they, and the opposing team, each averaged 41.5 points in the 2H.. which, if that held true would work out to around the full-game total that was lined before tip-off. I still think that after everyone is so jacked after this 1H the book isn't going to give us a number that can be reached in the 2H. The 2H total will probably get pushed up a couple points and be juiced as hell to the over. I'd do the 2H under if I had to pick something..

 

[got_nugs]

Durant hurt his foot with 2 seconds left. He's been on FIRE in the 1st. I was thinking under 2H also if it's anything over 104ish. I'd guess 107 would be the line? eta 105.

 

[ChainsawU]

Pinny threw out 105, Heritage threw out 104. Everyone is basically at 104.5. But again, that's like 20 points over the previous 2H scenarios. I'm pretty damn content right now with Pels money though. This is a good game regardless if you have a side or total going.

 

[ChainsawU]

5dimes is giving you 104.5 but they're making you pay 117 to win 100. Geniuses.

 

[got_nugs]

Pinny threw out 105, Heritage threw out 104. Everyone is basically at 104.5. But again, that's like 20 points over the previous 2H scenarios. I'm pretty damn content right now with Pels money though. This is a good game regardless if you have a side or total going.

u105 -105 at RB.

 

[ChainsawU]

The Warriors' games have gone over 233 points twice in their 24 games this season and 12 times in 113 games since 2013.

 

[got_nugs]

105.5 now. I tasted a little u. Action only.

 

[modogg]

Since 2001 teams playing a division game after playing in Denver the night before are 8-16 (.333) SU and 9-15 (.375) ATS (avg line -1). When the opposing team is on > 0 rest: 1-12 SU and 3-10 ATS (avg line 3.2). When the opposing team is on > 0 rest and you are lined as the favorite: 0-5 SU and ATS (avg line -5) and 5-0 to the over (avg total 202.5 ±1.5). The majority likes the Rockets tonight so I'll wait to take Pelicans ATS and ML. I also like the Bucks ATS and ML and then the two unders on the TNT games but am waiting to see exactly how I feel to narrow it down later. Because betting all four NBA games will make me feel like a skank.

Freakin' Chainsaw is just kicking ### and taking names. Bucks were trying their hardest not to win this one, and they couldn't beat the Tsunami that is Saw!

ETA: i have just sat here and looked at my RB acct. for the last few minutes with a big smile on my face. I think i have finally built a big enough positive balance that even i can't screw it up before the end of the month

 

[hagmania]

sawesome

 

[ChainsawU]

For tomorrow night the Stars are 6-1 O/U L7 and 9-2-1 O/U at Couve-town since 2007 with 6 ±1 goals scored per game in those 12 games. The Stars have allowed 5 ±1 goals in their 7 road losses this season, losing those games by an average margin of 3 ±1 goals per game. The Stars are 31-30 SU and 31-24-6 (.564) O/U in Canada since 2006 (entire database). As the dog in Canada the Stars are 21-25 (.457) SU with a ROI +3.4% in those games, with an O/U of 26-15-5 (.634). They play their next three games in Canada.

This didn't work in Couve-town. I'm going to try it again action-junkie style for tomorrow since it's local TV. They're 10-0-3 O/U (7-0 O/U L7) versus Calgary since 2011 (5-0-1 away). When you break it down, 9-0 O/U against a total of 5.5 and 1-0-3 against a total of 5. Paid a nickel on the juice.

 

[lumpy19]

I just can't bet a lot or a full unit on these so here are some action plays

Hurns under 45.5 -115

Shorts under 48.5 -115

Shorts under 4.5 -105

3-0 and i'm the only one that likes this? FFAWT getting tight with the likes

Thanks for posting swirv!!

 

[comfortably numb]

Since 2001 teams playing a division game after playing in Denver the night before are 8-16 (.333) SU and 9-15 (.375) ATS (avg line -1). When the opposing team is on > 0 rest: 1-12 SU and 3-10 ATS (avg line 3.2). When the opposing team is on > 0 rest and you are lined as the favorite: 0-5 SU and ATS (avg line -5) and 5-0 to the over (avg total 202.5 ±1.5). The majority likes the Rockets tonight so I'll wait to take Pelicans ATS and ML. I also like the Bucks ATS and ML and then the two unders on the TNT games but am waiting to see exactly how I feel to narrow it down later. Because betting all four NBA games will make me feel like a skank.

Freakin' Chainsaw is just kicking ### and taking names. Bucks were trying their hardest not to win this one, and they couldn't beat the Tsunami that is Saw!

ETA: i have just sat here and looked at my RB acct. for the last few minutes with a big smile on my face. I think i have finally built a big enough positive balance that even i can't screw it up before the end of the month

Tailing a bunch of Chain and Frosty stuff last night and threw in a bunch of props.

Was at company xmas part last night and didn't check anything til i left around midnight. I had to double check in the AM cause I thought I might had been drunk last night.

Good job guys.

Although I have never met a positive balance I couldn't dismantle in 5 hours!

Gotta be smarter though.

GL to all

 

[comfortably numb]

I just can't bet a lot or a full unit on these so here are some action plays

Hurns under 45.5 -115

Shorts under 48.5 -115

Shorts under 4.5 -105

3-0 and i'm the only one that likes this? FFAWT getting tight with the likes

Thanks for posting swirv!!

yep was nice.

I only had the 1st 2 available,

Can you like on mobile or am I too dumb to have figured it out?

 

[Dan Lambskin]

Click the check mark to the right of the posters name

 

[Billy Bats]

Click the check mark to the right of the posters name

Ahhh thanks. I'm always on mobile was going to full version just for likes. Thanks for the tip.

 

[comfortably numb]

Click the check mark to the right of the posters name

cool, that worked. Thanks

 

[swirvenirvin]

I just can't bet a lot or a full unit on these so here are some action plays

Hurns under 45.5 -115

Shorts under 48.5 -115

Shorts under 4.5 -105

3-0 and i'm the only one that likes this? FFAWT getting tight with the likes

Thanks for posting swirv!!

 

[lumpy19]

Since 2001 teams playing a division game after playing in Denver the night before are 8-16 (.333) SU and 9-15 (.375) ATS (avg line -1). When the opposing team is on > 0 rest: 1-12 SU and 3-10 ATS (avg line 3.2). When the opposing team is on > 0 rest and you are lined as the favorite: 0-5 SU and ATS (avg line -5) and 5-0 to the over (avg total 202.5 ±1.5). The majority likes the Rockets tonight so I'll wait to take Pelicans ATS and ML. I also like the Bucks ATS and ML and then the two unders on the TNT games but am waiting to see exactly how I feel to narrow it down later. Because betting all four NBA games will make me feel like a skank.

Freakin' Chainsaw is just kicking ### and taking names. Bucks were trying their hardest not to win this one, and they couldn't beat the Tsunami that is Saw!

ETA: i have just sat here and looked at my RB acct. for the last few minutes with a big smile on my face. I think i have finally built a big enough positive balance that even i can't screw it up before the end of the month

Tailing a bunch of Chain and Frosty stuff last night and threw in a bunch of props.

Was at company xmas part last night and didn't check anything til i left around midnight. I had to double check in the AM cause I thought I might had been drunk last night.

Good job guys.

Although I have never met a positive balance I couldn't dismantle in 5 hours!

Gotta be smarter though.

GL to all

I feel like I might have to make this my sig

 

[lumpy19]

I just can't bet a lot or a full unit on these so here are some action plays

Hurns under 45.5 -115

Shorts under 48.5 -115

Shorts under 4.5 -105

3-0 and i'm the only one that likes this? FFAWT getting tight with the likes

Thanks for posting swirv!!

I've reached the point where i'm just max betting any prop you post, might have to send you a christmas bonus(or new years bonus if hrwager drags their feet on the paypal withdrawal)

 

[regularguy]

Damn. I need to stay up late to get the good Frosty lines.

 

[Tiger Fan]

I just can't bet a lot or a full unit on these so here are some action plays

Hurns under 45.5 -115

Shorts under 48.5 -115

Shorts under 4.5 -105

3-0 and i'm the only one that likes this? FFAWT getting tight with the likes

Thanks for posting swirv!!

I've reached the point where i'm just max betting any prop you post, might have to send you a christmas bonus(or new years bonus if hrwager drags their feet on the paypal withdrawal)

Too many for me to max every one, but I did tell my buddies we couldn't leave for the Saints game on Sunday until around 10 (because I wanted to wait for the picks)

 

[The Ref]

Pinny threw out 105, Heritage threw out 104. Everyone is basically at 104.5. But again, that's like 20 points over the previous 2H scenarios. I'm pretty damn content right now with Pels money though. This is a good game regardless if you have a side or total going.

u105 -105 at RB.

Nice job on the 2H under last night.

 

[swirvenirvin]

I just can't bet a lot or a full unit on these so here are some action plays

Hurns under 45.5 -115

Shorts under 48.5 -115

Shorts under 4.5 -105

3-0 and i'm the only one that likes this? FFAWT getting tight with the likes

Thanks for posting swirv!!

I've reached the point where i'm just max betting any prop you post, might have to send you a christmas bonus(or new years bonus if hrwager drags their feet on the paypal withdrawal)

curious about withdrawing everything since they seem like they hate people who win.

 

[The Ref]

In fact - nice job everyone the past few weeks. Frosty, Chain and Swirv have been killing it.

I hope RB offers NCAAF props for bowl season. I'll try and help our cause.

 

[Frostillicus]

Clem/So Car u 128.5

 

[comfortably numb]

Meh, just some afternoon fun

Germany

Bayern/Mainz o3 -150

Portugal

Setubel +2.5 -135

Porto/Setubel o3.5 +110

 

[lumpy19]

I just can't bet a lot or a full unit on these so here are some action plays

Hurns under 45.5 -115

Shorts under 48.5 -115

Shorts under 4.5 -105

3-0 and i'm the only one that likes this? FFAWT getting tight with the likes

Thanks for posting swirv!!

I've reached the point where i'm just max betting any prop you post, might have to send you a christmas bonus(or new years bonus if hrwager drags their feet on the paypal withdrawal)

curious about withdrawing everything since they seem like they hate people who win.

Every book hates winners....get used to being cut.....move on to the next site, rinse, repeat.

Unless it's RB, impossible to win there

 

[The Ref]

"Unless it's RB, impossible to win there"

Very true. I'm down on RB since the whole prop experiment of two years ago. That said they are letting the guard down a little bit with the Props.... If that continues hopefully we can start to get envelopes.

 

[Leroy Hoard]

Don't forget about the 6-6 teams in your bowl pools.

 

[Billy Bats]

Friday night NHL Lottery scratch off parlay:

NHL

ISLANDERS (NYI) +115

LIGHTNING (TB) (60 MIN) -½+135

BRUINS (BOS) (60 MIN) -½+135

FLAMES (CALG) (60 MIN) -½+125

25/1

 

[swirvenirvin]

Don't forget about the 6-6 teams in your bowl pools.

?

 

[got_nugs]

Sportsbook 100% reload bonus snowmanpk

 

[Leroy Hoard]

Don't forget about the 6-6 teams in your bowl pools.

?

6-6 teams vs non 6-6 teams have done well ATS over the years. No solid stats but they have been the best part of my pool results.

 

[[icon]]

Sportsbook 100% reload bonus snowmanpk

Invalid promotion code. Please try again.

:(

 

[[icon]]

SEA -2.5 / NEP -4 for 2u

 

[got_nugs]

Sportsbook 100% reload bonus snowmanpk

Invalid promotion code. Please try again.

:(

Only works if you're cool.

Try through the poker software? I thought the accounts were interchangeable but maybe not.

 

[BRONG]

Boy was I wrong about CSU maybe not being ready or up for this, after being left at the altar. It's down to 2 1/2 from 4. They must be ready, no? Interim coach really wants that job.

 

[The Ref]

Boy was I wrong about CSU maybe not being ready or up for this, after being left at the altar. It's down to 2 1/2 from 4. They must be ready, no? Interim coach really wants that job.

This is the game I've been the most wrong about so far. I'd chalk it up to someone knowing something about utah.... Col at is a nice little team but utah isn't bad either.

 

[Billy Bats]

I had already liked the Vikings this week, like them a little more with this week's NFL trends:

Spoiler

Bears have covered only 3 of last 17 home games

Bears in division: 3-13 ATS

Bears have ZERO covers the last 11 games prior to playing Minnesota

Bengals in primetime: 2-13 ATS

[browns] NFL underdogs off 30+ point loss: 125-81-9 ATS (61% since 1990)

Bucs in December: 11-26-1 ATS

Bucs (+11.5 hosting Packers) as home underdog: 6-22 ATS

Cardinals have lost only 5 of last 23 games against the spread

Chiefs have lost 3 of last 16 road games against the spread

Cowboys (-3 hosting Colts) when favored off a win: 3-17 ATS

Dolphins (-6.5 hosting Minny) when favored at home by 6 or more: 1-13 ATS

Vikings in December: 10-1 ATS

Eagles (-7.5 at Washington) when favored a second straight week: 5-20 ATS

Lions as a road favorite: 4-16 ATS

Lions in December: 3-12 ATS

Patriots during last two weeks of the regular season: 22-6 ATS (spanning entire Belichick era)

Patriots playing Jets in New York: 12-3 ATS

Rams (-6.5 hosting Giants): 4th straight game St. Louis favored (in prior 59 games, favored only 9 times)

Raiders at home: 33-60-1 ATS (since 2003)

Saints Road team in New Orleans games has covered 7 STRAIGHT (in prior 44 games, road team had covered only 6 times)

Steelers (-3 hosting KC) when favored the week before playing Cincinnati: 1-15 ATS

 

[got_nugs]

Sportsbook 100% reload bonus snowmanpk

Invalid promotion code. Please try again.

:(

Only works if you're cool. Try through the poker software? I thought the accounts were interchangeable but maybe not.

I get the loser game show sound. coverage20 for a 20% bonus, my bad.

 

[Tiger Fan]

SB usually does 50% deposit bonuses around key activity times (first college weekend, NFL, thanksgiving, etc). I wouldn't be surprised if they had one this week for bowls

 

[Tiger Fan]

Anyone else putting Detroit in a tease? If so, with who?

 

[Dan Lambskin]

Anyone else putting Detroit in a tease? If so, with who?

I did with Philly and Seattle

 

[Tiger Fan]

Complete homer bet here - $50 to win $1250 for the Saints to win the NFC. Not that I think it will happen, but I feel good about them winning the division, and getting a playoff game at home (even though they've lost the last 4 there...playoffs will be different ) Anything can happen then, and I'm going to take the winnings and go to the SB if they go

 

[comfortably numb]

Complete homer bet here - $50 to win $1250 for the Saints to win the NFC. Not that I think it will happen, but I feel good about them winning the division, and getting a playoff game at home (even though they've lost the last 4 there...playoffs will be different ) Anything can happen then, and I'm going to take the winnings and go to the SB if they go

Did you ever take Brees to win SB MVP?

Was that you?

 

[Tiger Fan]

Complete homer bet here - $50 to win $1250 for the Saints to win the NFC. Not that I think it will happen, but I feel good about them winning the division, and getting a playoff game at home (even though they've lost the last 4 there...playoffs will be different ) Anything can happen then, and I'm going to take the winnings and go to the SB if they go

Did you ever take Brees to win SB MVP?

Was that you?

yeah that was me...but I had misread the bet...it was regular season MVP. Didn't take it though

 

[comfortably numb]

Complete homer bet here - $50 to win $1250 for the Saints to win the NFC. Not that I think it will happen, but I feel good about them winning the division, and getting a playoff game at home (even though they've lost the last 4 there...playoffs will be different ) Anything can happen then, and I'm going to take the winnings and go to the SB if they go

Did you ever take Brees to win SB MVP?

Was that you?

yeah that was me...but I had misread the bet...it was regular season MVP. Didn't take it though

ahhhhh

yea eff that

 

[comfortably numb]

Since 2001 teams playing a division game after playing in Denver the night before are 8-16 (.333) SU and 9-15 (.375) ATS (avg line -1). When the opposing team is on > 0 rest: 1-12 SU and 3-10 ATS (avg line 3.2). When the opposing team is on > 0 rest and you are lined as the favorite: 0-5 SU and ATS (avg line -5) and 5-0 to the over (avg total 202.5 ±1.5). The majority likes the Rockets tonight so I'll wait to take Pelicans ATS and ML. I also like the Bucks ATS and ML and then the two unders on the TNT games but am waiting to see exactly how I feel to narrow it down later. Because betting all four NBA games will make me feel like a skank.

Freakin' Chainsaw is just kicking ### and taking names. Bucks were trying their hardest not to win this one, and they couldn't beat the Tsunami that is Saw!

ETA: i have just sat here and looked at my RB acct. for the last few minutes with a big smile on my face. I think i have finally built a big enough positive balance that even i can't screw it up before the end of the month

Tailing a bunch of Chain and Frosty stuff last night and threw in a bunch of props.

Was at company xmas part last night and didn't check anything til i left around midnight. I had to double check in the AM cause I thought I might had been drunk last night.

Good job guys.

Although I have never met a positive balance I couldn't dismantle in 5 hours!

Gotta be smarter though.

GL to all

I feel like I might have to make this my sig

EOM extended to Jan 12.

There goes that positive balance!