FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (4 Viewers)

[got_nugs]

Yeah Swirv, lemme hop on this skirt blowin train...thanks man. From what I hopped on so far i'm 11-3 and pushed on Kelvin. I passed on numbers that jumped a bunch.

That's epically delicious. Thanks man! Hopefully Sparty goes undefeated next yr.

 

[swirvenirvin]

slim pickings on the props for me today

different odds or your books pulling them?

some of them have moved significantly and some of them just aren't offered. Usually happens at the end of the year, books only carry props on games with playoff implications.

I ended up on the bad side of a lot of these today

got 19-10 and a few pushes i think. Not too many in question maybe Joqiue rest either lost by a lot or won by a lot

 

[Billy Bats]

I had already liked the Vikings this week, like them a little more with this week's NFL trends:

Spoiler

Bears have covered only 3 of last 17 home games

Bears in division: 3-13 ATS

Bears have ZERO covers the last 11 games prior to playing Minnesota

Bengals in primetime: 2-13 ATS

[browns] NFL underdogs off 30+ point loss: 125-81-9 ATS (61% since 1990)

Bucs in December: 11-26-1 ATS

Bucs (+11.5 hosting Packers) as home underdog: 6-22 ATS

Cardinals have lost only 5 of last 23 games against the spread

Chiefs have lost 3 of last 16 road games against the spread

Cowboys (-3 hosting Colts) when favored off a win: 3-17 ATS

Dolphins (-6.5 hosting Minny) when favored at home by 6 or more: 1-13 ATS

Vikings in December: 10-1 ATS

Eagles (-7.5 at Washington) when favored a second straight week: 5-20 ATS

Lions as a road favorite: 4-16 ATS

Lions in December: 3-12 ATS

Patriots during last two weeks of the regular season: 22-6 ATS (spanning entire Belichick era)

Patriots playing Jets in New York: 12-3 ATS

Rams (-6.5 hosting Giants): 4th straight game St. Louis favored (in prior 59 games, favored only 9 times)

Raiders at home: 33-60-1 ATS (since 2003)

Saints Road team in New Orleans games has covered 7 STRAIGHT (in prior 44 games, road team had covered only 6 times)

Steelers (-3 hosting KC) when favored the week before playing Cincinnati: 1-15 ATS

Are you betting on the Vikings tomorrow?

Did you?

 

[Peyton Marino]

Go Colts go giants imo

 

[facook]

Stellar job on the early slate Swirv. 12-4-1 on the stuff I was able to play so far, with 2-1 on Ravens receivers looking likely. You the man!

Make that 3-0 on Ravens receivers, 15-4-1.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Go Colts go giants imo

Not a good start in either with all the gimme TDs.

 

[optionmaven]

slim pickings on the props for me today

different odds or your books pulling them?

some of them have moved significantly and some of them just aren't offered. Usually happens at the end of the year, books only carry props on games with playoff implications.

I ended up on the bad side of a lot of these today

got 19-10 and a few pushes i think. Not too many in question maybe Joqiue rest either lost by a lot or won by a lot

Well done again. Thanks for the work you put into these. Merry New Year to you and yours!!

 

[Peyton Marino]

Go Colts go giants imo

Not a good start in either with all the gimme TDs.

Colts don't seem like they're that worried about the outcome. That fake punt drop hurts too.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Go Colts go giants imo

Not a good start in either with all the gimme TDs.

Colts don't seem like they're that worried about the outcome. That fake punt drop hurts too.

I would have just told that special teams guy to leave his helmet on the sidelines, and walk into the stands as a spectator.

 

[Dan Lambskin]

slim pickings on the props for me today

different odds or your books pulling them?

some of them have moved significantly and some of them just aren't offered. Usually happens at the end of the year, books only carry props on games with playoff implications.

I ended up on the bad side of a lot of these today

got 19-10 and a few pushes i think. Not too many in question maybe Joqiue rest either lost by a lot or won by a lot

I took another look

Everything went better than expected

 

[Dan Lambskin]

Now if Luck can just get his ### in gear so I can win a Dynasty title

 

[lumpy19]

Now if Luck can just get his ### in gear so I can win a Dynasty title

Same boat I need luck to tear #### up

 

[Peyton Marino]

Where the #### is Moncrief

 

[Zegras11]

NYG/IND/ATL - 29 to 1.

####### colts

 

[Man In The Box]

12-6-2 on the early games on SB. Nice work, swirv. Appreciate your diligence week in and week out.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Where the #### is Moncrief AND Allen

Improved

Jesus this is a

 

[Peyton Marino]

Where the #### is Moncrief AND Allen

ImprovedJesus this is a

Pretty sure I heard earlier that Allen has three drops. So sick. How is Murray still in this game?

 

[modogg]

Where the #### is Moncrief AND Allen

ImprovedJesus this is a

Pretty sure I heard earlier that Allen has three drops. So sick. How is Murray still in this game?

Yeah, this wasn't the game to live bet for those who liked the colts. This will not end well....

 

[Dan Lambskin]

Andrew Luck...more like Andrew Yuck!

 

[Frostillicus]

Went with Fleener over Witten.

 

[modogg]

slim pickings on the props for me today

different odds or your books pulling them?

some of them have moved significantly and some of them just aren't offered. Usually happens at the end of the year, books only carry props on games with playoff implications.

I ended up on the bad side of a lot of these today

i did too for some reason. Weird how that works sometimes, but i guess it is better to lay off when they move a bit and juice the heck out of them. i played what i could at RB, which seems to be the culprit

 

[hagmania]

Colts +3.5

IND/Dal u54

close.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

I'm off teasers, I've learned my lesson on week 16/17 teasers.

And yet I bet two of them anyway.

Definitely no teasers next week!!!!!!

 

[regularguy]

Oof. Carr to Holmes pass was a kick in the pants.

 

[The Ref]

Carr making a late push for ROY

 

[swirvenirvin]

Ouch that just turned quickly.. ####

 

[comfortably numb]

I'm off teasers, I've learned my lesson on week 16/17 teasers.

And yet I bet two of them anyway. Definitely no teasers next week!!!!!!

Yea, but do you loose both ends of your teasers like I can?

 

[Billy Bats]

I'm off teasers, I've learned my lesson on week 16/17 teasers.

And yet I bet two of them anyway. Definitely no teasers next week!!!!!!

Imagine having the Colts +16.5 and not coming close.

 

[belljr]

So they flexing Pitt vs cincy or Carolina vs Atlanta

 

[The Ref]

I imagine Ref doing a little :IBTL: dance.

Nah.... Not happy about it.

 

[regularguy]

Any tackle plays tonight?

 

[modogg]

Carr making a late push for ROY

I can't tell you the celebration i would have if this somehow panned out. But like most things i have learned from being a fan of Philadelphia sports, we will get that glimmer of hope, only to get it all crushed again in the end.

 

[modogg]

I'm off teasers, I've learned my lesson on week 16/17 teasers.

And yet I bet two of them anyway. Definitely no teasers next week!!!!!!

Imagine having the Colts +16.5 and not coming close.

I was so excited to get the Colts +13.5 in live betting and i kept adding when it was getting better. I was xmas shopping so only following any chance i got (2 shops had the game on). I realized that it wasn't going well around the middle of the 2nd quarter.

 

[Tiger Fan]

Odell has it locked up IMO

 

[TheGooRoo]

Carr making a late push for ROY

I can't tell you the celebration i would have if this somehow panned out. But like most things i have learned from being a fan of Philadelphia sports, we will get that glimmer of hope, only to get it all crushed again in the end.

There is no glimmer of hope. I played Beckham -190 on 12/17. They can't set that line high enough now, it's over.

 

[facook]

Went with Fleener over Witten.

Me too. Probably cost myself the championship. Condolences.

 

[Billy Bats]

I'm off teasers, I've learned my lesson on week 16/17 teasers.

And yet I bet two of them anyway. Definitely no teasers next week!!!!!!

Imagine having the Colts +16.5 and not coming close.

I was so excited to get the Colts +13.5 in live betting and i kept adding when it was getting better. I was xmas shopping so only following any chance i got (2 shops had the game on). I realized that it wasn't going well around the middle of the 2nd quarter.

Oh, mine was a teaser! Lol I thought about and should've loaded up on Dallas live betting but just ate the loss for some reason.

 

[belljr]

Odell has it locked up IMO

Don't know Evans and Benjamin and odell all have equal stats

 

[Jene Bramel]

Any tackle plays tonight?

Like the Wagner under.

Wright and Minter unders look attractive, too.

 

[Tiger Fan]

Odell has it locked up IMO

Don't know Evans and Benjamin and odell all have equal stats

Beckham sat out the first 4 games IIRC. Plus that catch

 

[Tiger Fan]

Great job again swirve. Gonna bump up those units for tonight

 

[swirvenirvin]

NYG vs STL

Manning over 23 -125

Cook under 35.5 -115

OAK vs BUF

Carr under 195.5 -115

Watkins under 4 -115

Watkins under 58.5 -115

Holmes under 47.5 -115

IND vs DAL

Witten under 49.5 -105

Magic football, Swirve: Witten or Fleener?

dal worst in league to TE 92 receptions and 2nd most yards.

Hilton I assume is out

Read that Ind is going to work on running the ball today since not much to play for and want to try to get that going.

Witten could stay in to protect a bit more when Murray is in the game so they dont tip their hand and run on every play he is in since he can't block

I had Fleener at 45.5 and Witten and 36.5 for yardage totals.

Would lean Fleener but lots of ?'s If Hilton out then would say more so in Fleener

Thanks man.

:(

 

[swirvenirvin]

Went with Fleener over Witten.

Me too. Probably cost myself the championship. Condolences.

 

[swirvenirvin]

Blown out by OBJ in my championship game, the one I benched Lacy last week and lost by 1 in the semis would have rolled today

 

[Zegras11]

Odell has it locked up IMO

Don't know Evans and Benjamin and odell all have equal stats

not any longer...

 

[Peyton Marino]

Any tackle plays tonight?

Like the Wagner under.

Wright and Minter unders look attractive, too.

u8.5 -105?

 

[belljr]

Odell has it locked up IMO

Don't know Evans and Benjamin and odell all have equal stats

not any longer...

yeah that was my bad. This week's weren't updated , although Evans still has 11 tds

 

[TheGooRoo]

Any tackle plays tonight?

Like the Wagner under.

Wright and Minter unders look attractive, too.

Played Wags at -105. Looks like a 7 tackle game.

 

[TheGooRoo]

ROY is more than just stats. It's voted on by the Associated Press. It was over after "the catch".

 

[Zegras11]

Odell last five games 48 rec, 657 yards, 8td