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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (14 Viewers)
- Thread starter John Bender
- Start date
facook
Footballguy
Not your fault good buddy. I had Witten in all week. Should have stuck with my initial impression instead of being swayed at the last minute. I blame only me!
ETA: And even thought NO ONE cares, if CJ Anderson can outscore Demarius Thomas by 3 in PPR I still will win.
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TheGooRoo
Footballguy
It's a bummer. Normally 3300 yds, 20+ td's, 2:1 td/int ratio at least gets you in the conversation. Statistically, a very nice season for a rookie that is seriously lacking weapons to throw to.
The Ref
Footballguy
I think the 0-10 start was death. If they started out 3-3 like the last 6 games I think it's a whole different conversation even with the same numbers.
TheGooRoo
Footballguy
BRONG
FOR A LIMITED TIME ONLY
No games leftEta - I guess there's live betting. Hard to see zone doing anything on offense
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The Man With No Name
Footballguy
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
#### you Arians run the ball
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
sums up the night, new team i will hate forever. I hope there is a play on the sidelines and it takes your fat ### out
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
If that ##### girl name would have ran in bounds and not fumbled game would have been over.
regularguy
Footballguy
Thank God for that sack at least for Fitz and Floyd unders. Geez.
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
The Miami Beach Bowl is at 2pm tomorrow. I have no leans whatsoever.
BYU beat Houston by 8, Memphis lost Houston by 4 and both crushed UConn. I had this at Memphis -1 and a 55.5 total, so I don't see a strong side. Hopefully someone else has a way forward on this one.
BYU beat Houston by 8, Memphis lost Houston by 4 and both crushed UConn. I had this at Memphis -1 and a 55.5 total, so I don't see a strong side. Hopefully someone else has a way forward on this one.
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swirvenirvin
Footballguy
Those are the breaks... still pissed about that Holmes Carr double play too.
Wonder what Manning and Denver is going to be tomorrow. They really havent adjusted too much yet to his 20 passes a game, and if not could be lots of unders.
Wonder what Manning and Denver is going to be tomorrow. They really havent adjusted too much yet to his 20 passes a game, and if not could be lots of unders.
PM Is suggesting a 1 u play on BYU +2 and a half u on the under. Not sure what I'm going to play
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
Changed it to UCONN above, I'm tired. OK, I'll check back in tomorrow to see what everyone is doing. Seems like motivation shouldn't be a problem for either school here, but I haven't seen Memphis once and haven't seen BYU since they lost to Utah State (the game they lost their QB for the season).
The Ref
Footballguy
The whole BYU beat Houston so they must be better went out the window because of The death of Hill.
I like Memphis, but it's not a high confidence call.
The Man With No Name
Footballguy
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
Is a Phenoms league important? I dont get it.
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
This could be a bloodbath or a good night.
I mean they are avg 20 passing plays a game??
I mean they are avg 20 passing plays a game??
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
So tread how you want on this. I make my plays based on recent trends and what is going on. Denver has gone full throttle into ground and pound. If they come out airing it out then this could obviously not turn out well
Manning under 24.5 -105
Manning under 295.5 -115
Dem Thomas under 6.5 -115
Dem Thomas under 90.5 -115
Ju. Thomas under 44.5 -115
Ju. Thomas under 3.5 +110
Green under 6.5 -130
Green under 91.5 -115
Sanu under 39.5 -115
Manning under 24.5 -105
Manning under 295.5 -115
Dem Thomas under 6.5 -115
Dem Thomas under 90.5 -115
Ju. Thomas under 44.5 -115
Ju. Thomas under 3.5 +110
Green under 6.5 -130
Green under 91.5 -115
Sanu under 39.5 -115
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lumpy19
Footballguy
optionmaven
Footballguy
I like BYU's body of work a bit more than Memphis. The doormats that Memphis beat on that 5 game winning streak to end the year have like 7 total wins on the year. Still looks like a tossup, but I'm backing BYU on strength of schedule and the game played against middle tennessee state. BYU won by 20 on the road. Memphis won by 19 at home. Really no edge either way, just a slight lean.
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
Link to where I said that? Was just making an observation, ace.
Frostillicus
Footballguy
If Peyton, Demaryius, and CJ all hit their o/u numbers and score the proper amount of TDs I will win my keeper league, a league I am 1-4 in career championship games. I need this. Stupid Marshawn Lynch.
ChainsawU
Footballguy
San Diego held the Broncos to 3/12 (25%) on third down last week. In six games this season the Broncos were held to 40% or less on third down. They averaged 20 ±6 ppg in those six games. In eight games this season the Broncos converted >40% on third down. They averaged 36 ±5 ppg in those eight games. The Bengals' D ranks 6th in the NFL allowing 36.98% of their opponents' third down conversions and have held their opponent to 29.73% on third down in their last three games.
The Broncos L2 games were the only time they failed to convert more than 40% on third down in two consecutive games this season, and last week was their lowest third down conversion rate since W15 and W16 of last year when they converted 2/9 (22%) v San Diego in W15 and 2/11 (18%) @ Houston in W16. Despite the low third down conversion rate, however, the game at Houston was the game Manning threw for 400 yards and set the record for most TDs.
Manning and the Broncos are 10-4 SU and 9-5 ATS in primetime (Sunday, Monday, and Thursday night) since 2012. They averaged 49% ±11 on 3rd down conversions with an average of 35 ±7 ppg in the 10 SU wins, and 34% ±12 on 3rd down conversions with an average of 26 ±7 ppg in the four SU losses.
I think if you think the Broncos will bounce back on 3rd down tonight after sucking on third down the last two games, they will hit their team total. But if the Bengals can maintain their defensive average of 37% opponent third down conversions allowed the Broncos only max out at about 26 points.
The Broncos L2 games were the only time they failed to convert more than 40% on third down in two consecutive games this season, and last week was their lowest third down conversion rate since W15 and W16 of last year when they converted 2/9 (22%) v San Diego in W15 and 2/11 (18%) @ Houston in W16. Despite the low third down conversion rate, however, the game at Houston was the game Manning threw for 400 yards and set the record for most TDs.
Manning and the Broncos are 10-4 SU and 9-5 ATS in primetime (Sunday, Monday, and Thursday night) since 2012. They averaged 49% ±11 on 3rd down conversions with an average of 35 ±7 ppg in the 10 SU wins, and 34% ±12 on 3rd down conversions with an average of 26 ±7 ppg in the four SU losses.
I think if you think the Broncos will bounce back on 3rd down tonight after sucking on third down the last two games, they will hit their team total. But if the Bengals can maintain their defensive average of 37% opponent third down conversions allowed the Broncos only max out at about 26 points.
The Ref
Footballguy
You said you don't have a strong side.
I said you can't compare games to get to a conclusion.
Two separate points.
Have a second cup of coffee this am?
Frostillicus
Footballguy
Kansas -7
Ohio State -22
LBSU/STJU o 135
Providence/Miami u 131
Wichita -19
Oakland +9.5
Ohio State -22
LBSU/STJU o 135
Providence/Miami u 131
Wichita -19
Oakland +9.5
ChainsawU
Footballguy
The four Bengals losses this season have come by at least three TD each. Going back to 2013, their L6 losses have all been by DD, and 7 of their 10 losses since 2013 have been by DD. Since Dalton's rookie year the Bengals are 1-9-2 ATS in the games they lost as the underdog (0-9-2 ATS L11). However, in their 15 ATS wins as the underdog since Dalton's rookie year, they won 14 of those SU and are 7-2 SU as the dog since last season. Three is a good number and I advocate for points, but damn dude, I wouldn't even mess with the spread if you like the Bengals.
Since '02 underdogs of 4 or less who shut the opposing team out last week are 5-10 SU and 5-9-1 ATS with an O/U of 3-11-1 in the regular season. Filtered by home dog: 3-2 SU and ATS with an O/U of 1-3-1, with two of those SU wins coming on Monday night.
Since '02 underdogs of 4 or less who shut the opposing team out last week are 5-10 SU and 5-9-1 ATS with an O/U of 3-11-1 in the regular season. Filtered by home dog: 3-2 SU and ATS with an O/U of 1-3-1, with two of those SU wins coming on Monday night.
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