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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (5 Viewers)

regularguy said:
Horrible possession by Cincy there
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yeah, live betting has denver ML -115. Really thinking that Cincy might have been a little too conservative with some of these in the 2nd half. But Swirve is right it is hard to trust Dalton too much. But i would take him any day over Sanchez

 
Raider Nation said:
Good Posting Judge said:
RN just pork that guy with the last minute Jeffery TD?
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That I did, sir. That I did! :hifive:

I'm actually sick for the dude. I've been there.
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I took it down, boys! :banned: With a 6-7 record in the regular season... LOL.

Came in up by 5, with Barth. Going against A.J. Green, and Green takes a bagel. :lol: Just STUPID luck in this league.

Also won the FFAWT leeg and am in the finals next week in my long-time local league. 4 leagues total, hopefully 3 titles. These years don't happen too often.

 
Peyton was just ducky enough and I hung on to win.

... the infamous "Toilet Bowl" :bag:

An illustrious run of top 4 finishes in my long time local came to a screeching halt this season. No last place shame and trophy for me this year at least :confetti:

 
Raider Nation said:
Raider Nation said:
"Good said:
RN just pork that guy with the last minute Jeffery TD?
Click to expand...
That I did, sir. That I did! :hifive: I'm actually sick for the dude. I've been there.
Click to expand...
I took it down, boys! :banned: With a 6-7 record in the regular season... LOL.Came in up by 5, with Barth. Going against A.J. Green, and Green takes a bagel. :lol: Just STUPID luck in this league.

Also won the FFAWT leeg and am in the finals next week in my long-time local league. 4 leagues total, hopefully 3 titles. These years don't happen too often.
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Shark move now is to announce your fantasy retirement and email a picture of your balls to all leegmates.

 
Eminence said:
My sportsbook gave me a free $100 for Christmas which I got up to $400 before losing it on the Broncos game LIVE bet. :(
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I don't pay enough attention, but i just saw i got a free bet from sportsbook for my birthday coming up. I took a look, and it is $5 free bet :lmao: . better then nothing, but $5 cracks me up

 
Raider Nation said:
Raider Nation said:
Good Posting Judge said:
RN just pork that guy with the last minute Jeffery TD?
Click to expand...
That I did, sir. That I did! :hifive:

I'm actually sick for the dude. I've been there.
Click to expand...
I took it down, boys! :banned: With a 6-7 record in the regular season... LOL.

Came in up by 5, with Barth. Going against A.J. Green, and Green takes a bagel. :lol: Just STUPID luck in this league.

Also won the FFAWT leeg and am in the finals next week in my long-time local league. 4 leagues total, hopefully 3 titles. These years don't happen too often.
Click to expand...
:thumbup:

 
Didn't Marshall kind of suck their L2 games? They barely beat Louisiana Tech in the CUSA Championship and Louisiana Tech had like 4 starters suspended right before the game. And MAC champions are 5-1 SU and ATS versus CUSA in bowl games since 1998. I was thinking of taking NIU SU.

 
ChainsawU said:
Didn't Marshall kind of suck their L2 games? They barely beat Louisiana Tech in the CUSA Championship and Louisiana Tech had like 4 starters suspended right before the game. And MAC champions are 5-1 SU and ATS versus CUSA in bowl games since 1998. I was thinking of taking NIU SU.
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Line opened at 10. Just saw 8. :oldunsure:

 
FROM ESPN CHALK

Value plays

For our value plays, we had six bowl games that had a difference of four points or more between the Las Vegas point spread and the difference in the two teams' CFB Vegas Rankings.

Georgia Tech (+7) vs. Mississippi State (Dec. 31 Orange Bowl)

Vegas Ranks line: Georgia Tech +3

Georgia Tech ended the season on a six-game ATS winning streak and faces a Mississippi State team that just came off a loss against its rival, Ole Miss, in the Egg Bowl after a tremendous start to the season. How motivated will the Bulldogs be?

​
Kansas State (PK) vs. UCLA (Jan. 2 Alamo Bowl)

VR line: Kansas State -4

After winning four straight to start the season, UCLA lost two in a row, then won five straight before an awful performance against Stanford. How can you trust UCLA?

​
Northern Illinois (+10) vs. Marshall (Dec. 23 Boca Raton Bowl)

VR line: Northern Illinois (+5.5)

NIU won its last seven games of the regular season, including a game against Western Michigan, where it was an 8-point underdog. Northern Illinois has been in this position before, and Marshall has failed to cover its last three games entering bowl season.

​
Florida State (+9) vs. Oregon (Jan. 1 Rose Bowl)

VR line: Florida State (+4.5)

To both the pro-Vegas bettor and the casual gambler, Florida State, a team that has won 29 straight games, getting nine points is pretty crazy. The last time Florida State was this large of an underdog was in Week 14 of 2009 against Florida (plus-26).

​
Ohio State (+9.5) vs. Alabama (Jan. 1 Sugar Bowl)

VR line: Ohio State (+5)

The Buckeyes haven't been this big of an underdog since Week 4 of 2011 at Nebraska (plus-10). Urban Meyer has not been this big of an underdog since he was the head coach at Utah against Texas A&M in 2003. Meyer is 4-0 as an underdog at Ohio State, which makes this an interesting angle.

​
Wisconsin (+6.5) vs. Auburn (Jan. 1 Outback Bowl)

VR line: Wisconsin (+1)

The handicappers believe this is a simple overreaction to the last time the nation saw Wisconsin play. Getting blown out by Ohio State 59-0 in the Big Ten championship game has inflated this spread; according to the handicappers, this should be around Auburn minus-1.

 
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CUSA championship teams in their subsequent bowl game are 12-3-1 to the under since '05 (entire database) and 8-0-1 to the under L9. I'm thinking of parlaying Marshall and Louisiana Tech unders. Those CUSA teams are also 4-0 SU and ATS and 4-0 to the under versus MAC teams in those 16 games (avg line -5, avg tot 62). So that's a vote of confidence if you took Marshall. Looking at SOS, TeamRankings gives Marshall a SOS of 105 and NIU a SOS of 108. Sagarin gives Marshall a SOS of 131 and NIU a SOS of 133.

So, MAC champions are 5-1 SU and ATS versus CUSA in bowl games since 1998, but CUSA teams are 4-0 SU and ATS versus MAC teams since '05. However, none of those CUSA teams were the actual CUSA champions though, all four were coming off losses in the championship game. Any questions?!? Seriously though, I think I have to back NIU. SU and ATS why not. I like that they had similar SOS's. And I like the unders. But don't quote me on that since this is all pretty shaky ground and could be arbitrary. Sagarin made Marshall 11-point faves. And I think NIU has a strong public backing.

No Illinois 260

No Illinois +8½ -110

 
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ChainsawU said:
CUSA championship teams in their subsequent bowl game are 12-3-1 to the under since '05 (entire database) and 8-0-1 to the under L9. I'm thinking of parlaying Marshall and Louisiana Tech unders. Those CUSA teams are also 4-0 SU and ATS and 4-0 to the under versus MAC teams in those 16 games (avg line -5, avg tot 62). So that's a vote of confidence if you took Marshall. Looking at SOS, TeamRankings gives Marshall a SOS of 105 and NIU a SOS of 108. Sagarin gives Marshall a SOS of 131 and NIU a SOS of 133.

So, MAC champions are 5-1 SU and ATS versus CUSA in bowl games since 1998, but CUSA teams are 4-0 SU and ATS versus MAC teams since '05. However, none of those CUSA teams were the actual CUSA champions though, all four were coming off losses in the championship game. Any questions?!? Seriously though, I think I have to back NIU. SU and ATS why not. I like that they had similar SOS's. And I like the unders. But don't quote me on that since this is all pretty shaky ground and could be arbitrary. Sagarin made Marshall 11-point faves. And I think NIU has a strong public backing.

No Illinois 260

No Illinois +8½ -110
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In. Got it at +300 and +10 several days ago. Good luck!

 
ChainsawU said:
CUSA championship teams in their subsequent bowl game are 12-3-1 to the under since '05 (entire database) and 8-0-1 to the under L9. I'm thinking of parlaying Marshall and Louisiana Tech unders. Those CUSA teams are also 4-0 SU and ATS and 4-0 to the under versus MAC teams in those 16 games (avg line -5, avg tot 62). So that's a vote of confidence if you took Marshall. Looking at SOS, TeamRankings gives Marshall a SOS of 105 and NIU a SOS of 108. Sagarin gives Marshall a SOS of 131 and NIU a SOS of 133.

So, MAC champions are 5-1 SU and ATS versus CUSA in bowl games since 1998, but CUSA teams are 4-0 SU and ATS versus MAC teams since '05. However, none of those CUSA teams were the actual CUSA champions though, all four were coming off losses in the championship game. Any questions?!? Seriously though, I think I have to back NIU. SU and ATS why not. I like that they had similar SOS's. And I like the unders. But don't quote me on that since this is all pretty shaky ground and could be arbitrary. Sagarin made Marshall 11-point faves. And I think NIU has a strong public backing.

No Illinois 260

No Illinois +8½ -110
Click to expand...
IN

and teased

No Ill +14.5

o61.5

 
Doctor Detroit said:
Navy/San Diego State tomorrow

San Diego State beat a superior Air Force team 30-14 this year so this won't be their first rodeo with the triple option. San Diego State also played to 11 unders this year, and that over was against Boise State.

UNDER 54.5 1.5u

SDSU -3

Probably also play the Marshall team total OVER. #1 offense in the country against a shaky D. Or the game over, something over though.
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Complete shotgun bet but I'm going NIU/Marshall OVER 67.5 for .75u

I don't like either side and I'm hoping Marshall gets a lead and stays in front. Then NIU opens it up.

 
Doctor Detroit said:
Doctor Detroit said:
Navy/San Diego State tomorrow

San Diego State beat a superior Air Force team 30-14 this year so this won't be their first rodeo with the triple option. San Diego State also played to 11 unders this year, and that over was against Boise State.

UNDER 54.5 1.5u

SDSU -3

Probably also play the Marshall team total OVER. #1 offense in the country against a shaky D. Or the game over, something over though.
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Complete shotgun bet but I'm going NIU/Marshall OVER 67.5 for .75u

I don't like either side and I'm hoping Marshall gets a lead and stays in front. Then NIU opens it up.
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Agree. And in.

 
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