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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (2 Viewers)
- Thread starter John Bender
- Start date
Frostillicus
Footballguy
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
Moon phases might have something to do with this.
Sherman reportedly with torn ligaments in his elbow, FWIW.
Frostillicus
Footballguy
7 points in 14 seconds to blow the UNLV/Nevada under by a half point. Gonna have to watch some Sarah after that.
gussy
Footballguy
Wednesday Night Pucks:
Leafs at Devils (-135) Leafs have lost 14 of their last 17 and have averaged one goal per game their last 5, having been shutout twice. Devils are 5-5 in their last 10 but their 5 losses have been @AN, to the Isles in OT, @BOS, MON and in DET. They beat the Pens, won in LA and SJ in that stretch, so they are playing decent hockey. Absolutely no way to even LOOK at the Leafs right now, I have no interest in the Devils at -135 however. I do lean towards a play of some sort on NJ. I would think a -1/2 reg time play should be even money or better, and that's certainly an option. Another option is the Puck Line. Of the Leafs last 14 losses, 12 have been by more than a goal, while 7 of NJ last 10 victories have been by MORE than a goal. Little concerned by NJ lack of scoring however. I'll look to play NJ one of those two ways. I project this one going under 5 goals as well. I only have under 5 1/2 at -135 available to me, but if you have an under 5 with plus money where you play, that may be worth a look.
Pens at Caps (NL) Caps come in off of a disappointing loss last night to Jackets without Bobrovsky while Pens had a nice come from behind win against the Jets at home and scored 5 goals in the process. Both teams struggling a bit of late, both going 1-4 in their last 5. Pens haven't looked right all year while Caps recent slide comes off of a nice hot stretch. Both teams are dreadful this year on 2nd night's of back to back's, Pens at 2-6, Caps at 1-7. My gut says lean Washington, but I'm really concerned about their goalie play the last 4 games. Fleury will be back in net for Pitt. I really don't have an opinion on the side at all, so that's a PASS for me. I may take a look at the over depending on what odds I can get. I have this one going over 6 goals so that will be something to look at.
Hawks (-110) at Kings (-110) Hawks start 6 game road trip after AS break in LA and it will be important for them to get off to a hot start. They'll face the Kings, Ducks, Sharks, Wild, Jets and Blues, so really only one relatively easy game in the bunch. Kings have just been struggling this year, and much like Boston and Pittsburgh, to a lesser extent, I think we all keep waiting for them to turn it on. There's a lot of talent on that roster undoubtedly, but at this point I just feel the Hawks are a much better team. Kings are 3-10 in their last 13 and Chicago has already beat them in LA this year. I like the HAWKS here at essentially EVEN money and I've already locked them in at -110. No real lean to the total.
Leafs at Devils (-135) Leafs have lost 14 of their last 17 and have averaged one goal per game their last 5, having been shutout twice. Devils are 5-5 in their last 10 but their 5 losses have been @AN, to the Isles in OT, @BOS, MON and in DET. They beat the Pens, won in LA and SJ in that stretch, so they are playing decent hockey. Absolutely no way to even LOOK at the Leafs right now, I have no interest in the Devils at -135 however. I do lean towards a play of some sort on NJ. I would think a -1/2 reg time play should be even money or better, and that's certainly an option. Another option is the Puck Line. Of the Leafs last 14 losses, 12 have been by more than a goal, while 7 of NJ last 10 victories have been by MORE than a goal. Little concerned by NJ lack of scoring however. I'll look to play NJ one of those two ways. I project this one going under 5 goals as well. I only have under 5 1/2 at -135 available to me, but if you have an under 5 with plus money where you play, that may be worth a look.
Pens at Caps (NL) Caps come in off of a disappointing loss last night to Jackets without Bobrovsky while Pens had a nice come from behind win against the Jets at home and scored 5 goals in the process. Both teams struggling a bit of late, both going 1-4 in their last 5. Pens haven't looked right all year while Caps recent slide comes off of a nice hot stretch. Both teams are dreadful this year on 2nd night's of back to back's, Pens at 2-6, Caps at 1-7. My gut says lean Washington, but I'm really concerned about their goalie play the last 4 games. Fleury will be back in net for Pitt. I really don't have an opinion on the side at all, so that's a PASS for me. I may take a look at the over depending on what odds I can get. I have this one going over 6 goals so that will be something to look at.
Hawks (-110) at Kings (-110) Hawks start 6 game road trip after AS break in LA and it will be important for them to get off to a hot start. They'll face the Kings, Ducks, Sharks, Wild, Jets and Blues, so really only one relatively easy game in the bunch. Kings have just been struggling this year, and much like Boston and Pittsburgh, to a lesser extent, I think we all keep waiting for them to turn it on. There's a lot of talent on that roster undoubtedly, but at this point I just feel the Hawks are a much better team. Kings are 3-10 in their last 13 and Chicago has already beat them in LA this year. I like the HAWKS here at essentially EVEN money and I've already locked them in at -110. No real lean to the total.
modogg
Footballguy
Frostillicus
Footballguy
Rough end to the night with two games that looked good and didn't cover. Sorry Mo (and anyone else).
modogg
Footballguy
no worries. i was playing Madden though, what the heck did that kid do on CSU to get the technical foul? that was the whole game right there
Frostillicus
Footballguy
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
That division is abysmal, but they're going to have a lot of competition for a WC with SD, SF, and whomever doesn't win the Central. STL? CHC?Raider Nation said:
I kinda like the Yankees.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
With the fences moved in (again) to help that struggling offense, I like their chances with that rotation.That division is abysmal, but they're going to have a lot of competition for a WC with SD, SF, and whomever doesn't win the Central. STL? CHC?Raider Nation said:
I kinda like the Yankees.
The Yanks are painfully average, unfortunately.
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
Mets pen looks like a mess. Lagares can't cover an entire OF himself with those two statues next to him. Their rotation could be really good, but I think they're drawing almost dead in terms of winning the division. That makes it tough.With the fences moved in (again) to help that struggling offense, I like their chances with that rotation.That division is abysmal, but they're going to have a lot of competition for a WC with SD, SF, and whomever doesn't win the Central. STL? CHC?Raider Nation said:
I kinda like the Yankees.
The Yanks are painfully average, unfortunately.
Yankees have beefed up their defense. Teix and Beltran are gross, but they're going to be better at 3B, 2B, and....SS next year.
And I'm a little skeptical about Boston.
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
Looked like wall was ok there eh...
lumpy19
Footballguy
They count the freeplay as part of the deposit for rollover purposes. It's awful but I guess that's why it's a 300% bonus.swirvenirvin said:
No idea about props but they offer a ton of betting options, all kinds of alternate lines and they post lines overnight so I'm quite confident I'll have no trouble meeting rollover. Some of their alternate lines are so bad that I couldn't sleep last night because I was so excited to deposit there.
I'm not excited about doing it this time of year but #### it i'm greedy
modogg
Footballguy
feel pretty good about the Nielson ratings over and total viewers over. having the #1 vs #1 will certainly help, good story line with the Pats-Seattle both being very strong teams, and I think the deflategate only helps with the intrigue for the game. Not sure what else to weigh in beside what is competing on TV with it for the night, and everything seems to get out of the way for the Super Bowl. Was lazy about looking up past trends, but took the over with both with confidence
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
Thanks for reaching out to STATS regarding our pricing. At STATS we provide various products and services, with varying pricing, so it would be great to find a time to get on the phone so I can learn more about your venture and where STATS would fit in. Please let me know if you have some time today or this week to connect.
So I should just respond I need stats to help me bet basketball player props and need historical and defensive averages for players
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
This works until they are a-holes like HRwager and take away your ability or cut you on those alt line/props then you are stuck rolling over only on straight bets. I can't even bet a team total on HR now..
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
one of if not the best I have dealt with in payouts.
probably no relaod but always have a initial signup bonus
Billy Bats
Footballguy
TF, can you PM me the link to the spreadsheet? Can't turn on sigs thru mobile and can't send you a PM. ####s all ####ed up. Thanks.
Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
PM sent
![[icon]](/data/avatars/m/5/5167.jpg?1660313464){kind=avatar}
[icon]
Insoxicated
Good info. Thanks. Got 50% signup bonus. Deposit was relatively painless with Bank Of America Visa (declined first time, text from BOA to validate charge, accepted second charge).
2u on SEA +1 at SB
4u on SEA +2 at BOV
regularguy
Footballguy
Peyton Marino
Footballguy
What sort of stats are you looking for in particular? I've had some decent success DL'ing bball stats into excel from basketball reference and DvP stuff from rotowire. Now if you're looking for more specific things such as Zach Randolph FG% from the elbow, probably would need to look elsewhere.
Frostillicus
Footballguy
I looked into their college basketball stuff. Looks like a combo of ESPN and hoop-math, which are both free.
Frostillicus
Footballguy
Peyton Marino
Footballguy
regularguy
Footballguy
anything to play in tennis?
for men, Djoker is -160 to win the tournament at 5d. Murray is +335.
for women, Serena is -138. Sharapova is +190.
Wawrinka is +371 against Djoker.
Berdych is +137 against Murray
Berdych is +925 to win the whole thing.
Serena is -580 in her match, and Sharapova is -416 in hers.
for men, Djoker is -160 to win the tournament at 5d. Murray is +335.
for women, Serena is -138. Sharapova is +190.
Wawrinka is +371 against Djoker.
Berdych is +137 against Murray
Berdych is +925 to win the whole thing.
Serena is -580 in her match, and Sharapova is -416 in hers.
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swirvenirvin
Footballguy
Stuff besides injuries that would help exploit props.
Historical matchup vs team
Hitorical matchup vs player who is guarding them
Home/Away
Defenders avg points rebound assists given up compared to similar other players who play same position.
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
no hoop math for NBA that I can see, but I am always more intereted in what the other team gives up rather than what the team is doing. Or at least that is the stuff that is harder to find
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
lumpy19
Footballguy
You need to do 2 MG or WU deposits first. They also have an option to deposit directly to a bank account but I was told it had to be 2k+
I deposited today, some of the awesome lines I saw before I had money their disappeared which sucks, I'm hoping they come back.
Limits are $250 but I was told I'd be able to bet more on certain things(like the super bowl), I'm testing that out now to see if they'll come thru on that promise.
lumpy19
Footballguy
lumpy19
Footballguy
OK got my 1vice bets in, some juicy lines there
Sea ML +130
Sea +3 -130
Sea 1h +1 -105
1h total u24.5
Time to switch the avatar. I have an early bet on Pats 1h +1/2 -125 and Pats ML -110 but I couldn't pass up these seattle lines, they're way off. 1vice has seattle at +2.5 -110 and is only charging 20c to by the 3, insane.
regularguy
Footballguy
Thoughts on teasing SEA +7.5 & u54 (-110)? I know we don't like teasing totals, but not much choice now.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
I don't see how that loses. No shtick. Both offenses are going to have a lot of issues.
lumpy19
Footballguy
Frostillicus
Footballguy
modogg
Footballguy
whoever does the CBB schedule needs to be a little more careful. I almost too the over in the Oregon St./Arizona St. game tonight.
Frostillicus
Footballguy
comfortably numb
Footballguy
might take it anywaywhoever does the CBB schedule needs to be a little more careful. I almost too the over in the Oregon St./Arizona St. game tonight.
:supersticious:
