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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (9 Viewers)
- Thread starter John Bender
- Start date
lumpy19
Footballguy
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
FUZZY BALL FIGHT!!!
Treynwreck3
Footballguy
First drive is scripted, and you want to establish momentum. I lean toward safe pass over 7.5 yes.
Frostillicus
Footballguy
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
Frostillicus
Footballguy
Crawford bang.
Frostillicus
Footballguy
Tomorrow:
George Mason -4.5
UCONN +5
Kentucky -18.5
UCLA +6.5
St. Marys -13.5
George Mason -4.5
UCONN +5
Kentucky -18.5
UCLA +6.5
St. Marys -13.5
"For God's sake, for 12 and a half minutes I can be responsible," Perry told us with a laugh. "Now, for the rest of my life, I'm gonna take some chances and you may or may not agree with every move I make, but that's my own artistic journey. But I get it. For 12 and a half minutes, you 're gonna see my pearly whites. And I mean teeth."
Frostillicus
Footballguy
I have to think they'll have a pretty liberal definition of cleavage, and I can't believe she'll wear something that completely covers her up. That said, at +450 it's probably worth a shot, but I hope it loses. I like Katy Perry's boobs.
As long as she opens with Roar, i don't care what she wears
Frostillicus
Footballguy
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
gussy
Footballguy
Tough puck night so far. Devils were able to beat the Leafs, but it took OT to do it, and the honest to god truth is they were lucky to win. Leafs outplayed them most of the night and Corey Schneider really kept NJ in the game. Caps did their part in the over play in the Pens game, but Pens didn't cooperate and Holtby bounced back nicely. Hawks are currently leading the Kings 2-1 so hopefully we can avoid the shutout and the Hawks can hold on.
Thursday Pucks:
Bruins at Isles (-130) I do think the line is a little rich right here but no way I can go against the Islanders, especially at home where they are 17-4. Islanders coming off impressive win against the Rangers and they are playing very confident hockey right now, even without Okposo. Little gun shy on the regulation time in this game, I could certainly see it being a tight game, but I may look to put the Islanders in a parlay depending on what else I see that I like, but I'm sure it wont be one of my "must plays". No interest in the total.
Habs (+115) at Rangers- Important game for the Rangers, you have to think that they really would like to avoid a potential first round matchup with the Islanders the way the Isles have played them this year, and with how Pittsburgh is playing, hard for me to believe that the Isle's don't get the one seed in the Metropolitan division. Rangers got clocked pretty good again by Isles on Tuesday. I lean Habs here, but certainly not enough to want to take a position. Rangers are having trouble scoring, they haven't scored more than 2 goals in their last 7 games and in 5 of those games they scored 0 or 1 goals. Price has been solid in net most of the year for the Habs. Slight lean to the under 5 here, but I'm not going to play it at -110.
Jets (EV) at Flyers- Tough game for me to call here. I REALLY lean Jets here, I like them at even money, but Flyers have been playing a little better and they'll have Mason back in net which could lead to an inspired effort. I'm not sure why the Jets can't figure out that they have a hot goalie in Hutchison who should be playing most of the time. They continue to trot Pavelec out there and he continues to be terrible. I don't think I feel confident enough to make a play here, but I lean WPG.
Wings at Bolts (-150) On paper you think "I'm getting +130 on the Wings who have won 11 of their last 14 and are holding their home without Jimmy Howard? Sign me up". A closer look reveals that 3 of those wins have been against the Sabres. Also wins against Florida, Edmonton, Devils, Wild and Preds at home after the Rinne injury. Only "good" wins have been @Flames, @Blues and @Sens..........I guess. Bolts are 19-4-1 at home. Can't play them at -150 and I'm not going to parlay a team against the Wings here. I DO really like the OVER 5 1/2 here. It's currently at EVEN money, but I'll wait to see if that comes down any. Mrazek's weaknesses are being hidden by the fact that the Wings keep winning. He's been anything but stellar his last 2 times out and the Bolts are an explosive team.
Jackets at Panthers (NL) Numbers all say Jackets here, and they have already beaten Florida twice this season, but, no Bobrovsky. Got a nice win at home Tuesday with McElhinny in net, sometimes I like to go against a team on the SECOND night after losing a goalie. Luongo has been dreadful of late for Florida. The number says a total of 5, but more because neither offense is doing much. IF 5 is the total, I could certainly see looking at an OVER 5 here based on my gut, but I would presume that it would be a pretty rich price.
Stars at Sens (-125) Both teams are in desperation mode, Sens probably more than the Stars, but both need wins. Stars had a nice little run of good play a few weeks ago but have came back to earth. Sens just keep plodding along. I think the Sens are the right side here and I'll look to play them. I'm going to wait and see if a Reg Time play makes more sense, I'd prefer the plus money on the -1/2 reg time so I'm probably leaning that way.
Yotes at Leafs (-170)-How do you know when you're a REALLY terrible hockey team? You get made a +150 underdog to a team that has went 3-12 in it's last 15 and is coming in on the 2nd night of a back to back. The Yotes would do well to not try hard the rest of this season and give themselves a better shot at a top 2 pick. They need that pick much more than the Oilers do. Leafs coming in off of OT loss in New Jersey in a game that they outplayed the Devils by a pretty wide margin. I haven't seen so many shots that should have gone in just refuse to find net in a long time. Schneider stood on his head, but just LOTS of bad luck. I do think the Leafs break the 7 game losing streak here, but no chance in hell I'm putting any money on it.
Preds at Blues (-155) Love the Blues here. Preds are a different team on the road, and a different team without Rinne. Blues are playing great hockey right now. My preference I THINK is to put the Blues in a parlay somewhere, but not totally averse to playing them on the Puck Line if I can't find something I like to parlay them with.
Wild at Flames (-125) Wild have gone 3-2 in last 5. Their 3 wins have been against the Sabres, Yotes and Oilers. Um, yeah. Slow clap. Their 1-9 in their last 10 games if you take those 3 pathetic wins out. Their one win? The Leafs. So, yeah. Numbers call for a close game. Numbers are skewed. Dubnyk HAS been an improvement for Minnesota, otherwise, nothing to get excited about. Love the Flames, just a matter of how I play them. Either Puck Line, laying the -1/2 in reg time, or a parlay. I will play them somehow. The under 5 1/2 is very live here also if you feel like laying -125.
Sabres at Oil (-180)- I've been spouting on the improvement the Oilers are showing the last couple of weeks. Vegas is noticing, making them a -180 favorite here. Granted, Buffalo is dreadful, but a month ago Edmonton wouldn't have been -180 over anyone. Sabes have lost 16 of their last 17, Oil is the right side undoubtedly, but no way to play it. I don't want Edmonton in a parlay, cant play them Puck Line, just have to PASS and remember early next year that there may be early value on Edmonton before the market catches up.
Ducks(-105) at Sharks-Question here is do you believe in Ducks recent trend? Or do you put weight on the fact that the Sharks are 3-1 vs. Anaheim this year. I'll take the first. I think the Ducks are starting to differentiate themselves in the Pacific the last month. I felt like their record was quite a bit better than their performance until about 2-3 weeks ago. Now they are just playing really good hockey. I see no reason not to take them again at essentially even money here like we did on Tuesday. My numbers actually call for a Puck Line play but I'm not going to push it. I'll be locking them in tonight.
Thursday Pucks:
Bruins at Isles (-130) I do think the line is a little rich right here but no way I can go against the Islanders, especially at home where they are 17-4. Islanders coming off impressive win against the Rangers and they are playing very confident hockey right now, even without Okposo. Little gun shy on the regulation time in this game, I could certainly see it being a tight game, but I may look to put the Islanders in a parlay depending on what else I see that I like, but I'm sure it wont be one of my "must plays". No interest in the total.
Habs (+115) at Rangers- Important game for the Rangers, you have to think that they really would like to avoid a potential first round matchup with the Islanders the way the Isles have played them this year, and with how Pittsburgh is playing, hard for me to believe that the Isle's don't get the one seed in the Metropolitan division. Rangers got clocked pretty good again by Isles on Tuesday. I lean Habs here, but certainly not enough to want to take a position. Rangers are having trouble scoring, they haven't scored more than 2 goals in their last 7 games and in 5 of those games they scored 0 or 1 goals. Price has been solid in net most of the year for the Habs. Slight lean to the under 5 here, but I'm not going to play it at -110.
Jets (EV) at Flyers- Tough game for me to call here. I REALLY lean Jets here, I like them at even money, but Flyers have been playing a little better and they'll have Mason back in net which could lead to an inspired effort. I'm not sure why the Jets can't figure out that they have a hot goalie in Hutchison who should be playing most of the time. They continue to trot Pavelec out there and he continues to be terrible. I don't think I feel confident enough to make a play here, but I lean WPG.
Wings at Bolts (-150) On paper you think "I'm getting +130 on the Wings who have won 11 of their last 14 and are holding their home without Jimmy Howard? Sign me up". A closer look reveals that 3 of those wins have been against the Sabres. Also wins against Florida, Edmonton, Devils, Wild and Preds at home after the Rinne injury. Only "good" wins have been @Flames, @Blues and @Sens..........I guess. Bolts are 19-4-1 at home. Can't play them at -150 and I'm not going to parlay a team against the Wings here. I DO really like the OVER 5 1/2 here. It's currently at EVEN money, but I'll wait to see if that comes down any. Mrazek's weaknesses are being hidden by the fact that the Wings keep winning. He's been anything but stellar his last 2 times out and the Bolts are an explosive team.
Jackets at Panthers (NL) Numbers all say Jackets here, and they have already beaten Florida twice this season, but, no Bobrovsky. Got a nice win at home Tuesday with McElhinny in net, sometimes I like to go against a team on the SECOND night after losing a goalie. Luongo has been dreadful of late for Florida. The number says a total of 5, but more because neither offense is doing much. IF 5 is the total, I could certainly see looking at an OVER 5 here based on my gut, but I would presume that it would be a pretty rich price.
Stars at Sens (-125) Both teams are in desperation mode, Sens probably more than the Stars, but both need wins. Stars had a nice little run of good play a few weeks ago but have came back to earth. Sens just keep plodding along. I think the Sens are the right side here and I'll look to play them. I'm going to wait and see if a Reg Time play makes more sense, I'd prefer the plus money on the -1/2 reg time so I'm probably leaning that way.
Yotes at Leafs (-170)-How do you know when you're a REALLY terrible hockey team? You get made a +150 underdog to a team that has went 3-12 in it's last 15 and is coming in on the 2nd night of a back to back. The Yotes would do well to not try hard the rest of this season and give themselves a better shot at a top 2 pick. They need that pick much more than the Oilers do. Leafs coming in off of OT loss in New Jersey in a game that they outplayed the Devils by a pretty wide margin. I haven't seen so many shots that should have gone in just refuse to find net in a long time. Schneider stood on his head, but just LOTS of bad luck. I do think the Leafs break the 7 game losing streak here, but no chance in hell I'm putting any money on it.
Preds at Blues (-155) Love the Blues here. Preds are a different team on the road, and a different team without Rinne. Blues are playing great hockey right now. My preference I THINK is to put the Blues in a parlay somewhere, but not totally averse to playing them on the Puck Line if I can't find something I like to parlay them with.
Wild at Flames (-125) Wild have gone 3-2 in last 5. Their 3 wins have been against the Sabres, Yotes and Oilers. Um, yeah. Slow clap. Their 1-9 in their last 10 games if you take those 3 pathetic wins out. Their one win? The Leafs. So, yeah. Numbers call for a close game. Numbers are skewed. Dubnyk HAS been an improvement for Minnesota, otherwise, nothing to get excited about. Love the Flames, just a matter of how I play them. Either Puck Line, laying the -1/2 in reg time, or a parlay. I will play them somehow. The under 5 1/2 is very live here also if you feel like laying -125.
Sabres at Oil (-180)- I've been spouting on the improvement the Oilers are showing the last couple of weeks. Vegas is noticing, making them a -180 favorite here. Granted, Buffalo is dreadful, but a month ago Edmonton wouldn't have been -180 over anyone. Sabes have lost 16 of their last 17, Oil is the right side undoubtedly, but no way to play it. I don't want Edmonton in a parlay, cant play them Puck Line, just have to PASS and remember early next year that there may be early value on Edmonton before the market catches up.
Ducks(-105) at Sharks-Question here is do you believe in Ducks recent trend? Or do you put weight on the fact that the Sharks are 3-1 vs. Anaheim this year. I'll take the first. I think the Ducks are starting to differentiate themselves in the Pacific the last month. I felt like their record was quite a bit better than their performance until about 2-3 weeks ago. Now they are just playing really good hockey. I see no reason not to take them again at essentially even money here like we did on Tuesday. My numbers actually call for a Puck Line play but I'm not going to push it. I'll be locking them in tonight.
got_nugs
Footballguy
I got +4000. May consider hedging out a little just to #### with lumpy...cause if Murray does win it's also a win for hedging.
Frostillicus
Footballguy
Treynwreck3
Footballguy
I have been tailing most of your CBB sides, and throwing in some O/U's as well, when I can find them. My acct balance keeps steadily climbing. Not killing it, but growing nonetheless. I appreciate your efforts. Just curious, have you have tracked your record this CBB season?
Peyton Marino
Footballguy
Grantland podcast on super bowl props this morning. Barnwell is on 'game to not be decided by exactly 3' -400. Auto fade imo.
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Peyton Marino
Footballguy
yep. actually there are two. i just finished the one with bill & robert mays. there's also one with cousin sal.
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lumpy19
Footballguy
![[icon]](/data/avatars/m/5/5167.jpg?1660313464){kind=avatar}
[icon]
Insoxicated
It's sad that a guy who leads such a fulfilling life is so preoccupied with the posting habits of others. You should move on.. Really. Didn't plan on getting dragged back into this idiocy, but here ya go:I like how you constantly bring your assclowny behavior to threads, then bet against your team only to somehow hedge out of it and come out ahead in the end.Good info. Thanks. Got 50% signup bonus. Deposit was relatively painless with Bank Of America Visa (declined first time, text from BOA to validate charge, accepted second charge).
2u on SEA +1 at SB
4u on SEA +2 at BOV
Superbowl 48 Wagering
Lost: ~$175
Won: ~$225
Made up $85 or so via live wagering.... sooooo yeah. As I've stated before I'm a small time "for kicks" bettor.. currently up from $20 units last year to $50 now.
Regarding the other comment: The Broncos aren't "my team", the Pats are... And yes I've got about $300 bet against them because I think Seattle is the better team. Is there a problem with that strategy?
Here ya go sir.
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Frostillicus
Footballguy
Frostillicus
Footballguy
Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
lumpy19
Footballguy
[icon]
Insoxicated
I may ride with you guys on this. Only concern is possible wardrobe changes... comes out conservative then finishes with some sort of watered-down "shocker". Will be a fun bet regardless.
Also liking Lynch at MVP for 5-1 at Bovada... I think it's at 4-1 on SB. Baldwin had commented that their goal was to make Lynch MVP of the Superbowl. Obviously part of it's pre-superbowl BS'ing, but it wouldn't surprise me to see em go for it.
EDIT: On each for 1/2u (Lynch MVP (BOV) & Katy Perry No Cleavage (SB) both at +500
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Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
Handle in 2014 was 119mm. http://www.viewfromvegas.com/Super_Bowl.html
Economy's rolling, I think over 120mm is an easy bet. (Sportsbetting)
Economy's rolling, I think over 120mm is an easy bet. (Sportsbetting)
lumpy19
Footballguy
Katy Perry NO cleavage +450
National Anthem u122.5 -135(2007 performance ~94 seconds https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Js2miifnClM)
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
Pucks
Wings +130
Panthers -130
Tailing lump on Super Bowl 1h under.
Wings +130
Panthers -130
Tailing lump on Super Bowl 1h under.
JerseyToughGuys
Tough Guy
what are the odds of getting a complete O-fer on superbowl props?
I have an absolute #### ton of money in the float now.
I have an absolute #### ton of money in the float now.
JerseyToughGuys
Tough Guy
Who is going to step up and post all the results for the FFAWT Super Bowl Props on Sunday night?
Charleston / Towson o111.5 (now 113)
FIU / Old Dominion o115 (now 116.5)
LA Monroe / Troy o121 (now 122.5)
Wofford / NC Greensboro o128 (now 129)
Denver / ND State o121 (now 120)
I should be able to score the spreadsheet pretty simply. Will be Monday morning though
got_nugs
Footballguy
Good call Lumpy McInDjoker! On your advice I LiggityLocked in that Profit with a 6 to win 4 unit bet. Lost my 40 to 1 play but...whaddya gonna do. Berdie regressed back to what he does worst and Murray played outstanding after that 1st set. While you're technically more right...I think we all win here.
Frostillicus
Footballguy
Frostillicus
Footballguy
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
Call the nearest jujitsu training center and order yourself a throat punch.Tell them to send me the bill.It's sad that a guy who leads such a fulfilling life is so preoccupied with the posting habits of others. You should move on.. Really. Didn't plan on getting dragged back into this idiocy, but here ya go:I like how you constantly bring your assclowny behavior to threads, then bet against your team only to somehow hedge out of it and come out ahead in the end.Good info. Thanks. Got 50% signup bonus. Deposit was relatively painless with Bank Of America Visa (declined first time, text from BOA to validate charge, accepted second charge).
2u on SEA +1 at SB
4u on SEA +2 at BOV
Superbowl 48 Wagering
Lost: ~$175
Won: ~$225
Made up $85 or so via live wagering.... sooooo yeah. As I've stated before I'm a small time "for kicks" bettor.. currently up from $20 units last year to $50 now.
Regarding the other comment: The Broncos aren't "my team", the Pats are... And yes I've got about $300 bet against them because I think Seattle is the better team. Is there a problem with that strategy?
Here ya go sir.
DePaul is 7-1 ATS in conference play. Their only loss was vs Xavier by 13 as a 12 point dog. They have been lined as dogs all 8 games and won outright as a 5, 10.5, 10, 6, and 9.5 pt dog. /chainsaw
