Ok so I crunched some #'s relative to the discussion of QB play. I took the
QB rating for each season and compared it to a similar rating for the WR. The WR rating is just the same formula as QB rating but without the part for INT's. I then normalized it to have the same maximum of 158.3.
We can compare a WR's fantasy points but it really doesn't give a measure of talent. Some guys get numbers just by the sheer number of times they are thrown to, while it's possible a more talented player does more with less.
This method obviously does not quantify WR talents such as leaping ability, speed, strength, or hands. But it does give a measure of how efficient they are with the opportunities they get.
Of the WR's we've been talking about, here is their order by career WR rating:
Moss, Randy 72.4Owens, Terrell 72.2Fitzgerald, Larry 71.1Smith, Steve 68.8Boldin, Anquan 63.4Johnson, Calvin 62.2Johnson, Andre 62.0Marshall, Brandon 54.8Of note, only Moss has had a season with a rating over 100, actually 2 seasons (2004, 2007). AJ & TO have each had 1 season over 90, and Smith came very close once (89.8).Now if we compare this to the QB rating each of them had to play with we get a different picture. If two equally skilled WR's played with a bad QB and one with a good QB this would change the WR rating. So if we take each WR rating and divide it by the corresponding QB rating we get a measure of efficiency labeled Ratio:
Player WR QB RatioSmith, Steve 68.8 77.9 88.2%Fitzgerald, Larry 71.1 83.2 85.5%Johnson, Calvin 62.2 76.3 81.5%Owens, Terrell 72.2 89.4 80.7%Moss, Randy 72.4 90.4 80.1%Boldin, Anquan 63.4 80.4 78.8%Johnson, Andre 62.0 82.3 75.3%Marshall, Brandon 54.8 83.3 65.8%Based on this, Smith has the most "talent" at making the most of what he has at QB. Again, this isn't really a measure of "talent", maybe I should call it "efficiency"? The premise is that if Smith had much better QB play, he would then have a much higher WR rating.All have had at least 1 season with a Ratio of 90% or better except Moss and Marshall.
Smith and AJ have 1 season with a Ratio over 100% !! This is probably driven by having a higher catch% than the QB has completion%, but I haven't looked into it. It seems that this is a very hard thing to do.
On the 'Fitz vs Boldin' topic this looks clear that Fitz has done better with the same QB play, although the QB rating is different between them due to the extra season Boldin played. If I take 2003 out of it, Boldin's rating actually goes down slightly.
I'll have to compare this to some known "untalented" WR's to see if it all makes sense.