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Five teams that will miss the NFL playoffs this year (1 Viewer)

bostonfred

bostonfred

Footballguy
Always enjoyed this when we did it in the past.  I wonder if we'll have any submissions that don't include the Texans 

1 Texans

2 Eagles

3 Jets

4 Lions 

5 Bengals

Bonus picks

6 Jaguars

7 Broncos

8 Raiders

9 Giants 

10 Saints

11 Falcons

I know some of those will be wrong but man it's hard to pick which.  I suspect the jaguars will be a more popular pick than my pick of the eagles but I can't see one thing Philadelphia is good at right now.  Maybe devonta is everything they hope for and goedert and ertz give teams fits. Who knows.

 
Texans-easiest pick

Falcons-total rebuild

Jets-seem to be making strides but a long way from the playoffs

Detroit-another rebuild

Bengals-could be decent if Burrow picks up where he left off but on paper they are definitely the 4th best team in their division

 
Leroy Hoard said:
I'm seeing only a 2.5 game spread in the nfc east win totals, that could be the division that trips people up.
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They change division winners every year and it's often worst to first so that's definitely possible.  Afc south could trip people up too... the titans should run away with the division but the Colts and jags might sneak in just by virtue of playing crap teams 

 
Lions, Raiders, Texans, Jets and Bengals seem like the obvious choices given how bad they are and the competition in their division.

 
In the spirit of Olympic diving and gymnastics, I'll avoid Lions and Texans and Bengals (and the improving Jags and Jets) and go with a high degree of difficulty effort.

(1) Seattle - I assume the 4th place team in the NFC will miss the playoffs.  Picking this division is tough.

(2) Miami - I think the Patriots bounce back and the Dolphins finish 3rd in the division behind Buffalo and NE.

(3) Philadelphia - WFT pulls off the impossible and winds the NFC East in back to back years. 

(4) Pittsburgh -  Similar to Miami, good team that finishes third in division.

(5) Minnesota - The Bears will challenge GB for the division title.

 
I'm not feeling warm and fuzzy about the Colts right now.  I hope they recover from their recent rash of injuries and do it early in the season, but the schedule is brutal.

 
Boston said:
Texans-easiest pick

Falcons-total rebuild

Jets-seem to be making strides but a long way from the playoffs

Detroit-another rebuild

Bengals-could be decent if Burrow picks up where he left off but on paper they are definitely the 4th best team in their division
Click to expand...
This is the correct list.  And yes I don't believe the Bengals are a bottom 5 team but their division is loaded.  

 
The key to this exercise IMHO is picking teams that can't win their division...some of you are picking teams with decent odds to win the division.

 
This exercise gets a lot tougher if you can't pick from teams that finished in last place in their division last year.
CAR-HOU-NYG-CHI-LVR

 
I am only going to choose mine from the list of teams that made the playoffs last year.

Colts

Ravens

Saints

WFT

Bears

 
Texans, might not even have a single good position group.

Jets, Lawson injury is a huge loss, especially to such a young team. I do like what they are building in NY, but its not likely to show well in 2021.

Panthers, Darnold is a bad QB, and the defense might be the worst in the NFC. I do like the staff and did like their draft this year.

Lions, they are obviously rebuilding. I like Goff more than most, but there are so many holes on this team.

Jaguars, like the Jets, I like what they are building, unlike the Jets, I'm not sure I trust the guy building it. 

Now if we limit it to teams who made the playoffs a year ago, I'd say:

Bears, were lucky to make it last year, and other than the front-7 have issues across the board.

Colts, likely downgraded at QB, and were a little lucky with defense TD's last year.

Saints, no Brees, and the WR's and CB's could be a disaster. 

Rams, Stafford is overrated in my opinion, and they lost a lot on defense, probably more than just having Donald and Ramsey can paper over.

Washington, let's not forget they only won 7 games last year, and needed Dallas to have like 75% of their offensive starters to be on IR last year. 

 
Barring a catastrophe, I don't see the NFC playing out any other way (of course, there's going to be some sort of catastrophe):

Cowboys/WFT...WFT/Cowboys...Giants, Eagles in some order

Packers...Vikings, Bears, Lions in some order

Buccaneers...Panthers, Saints, Falcons in some order

Order of finish, you make the call. All 3 WC Teams from the NWest: Rams/Seahawks/Cardinals/49'ers

IMHO, I don't think a case can be made for a single Team from that group of 9 non-Division winners in the E,N and S that they are better than any Team out of the W.

 
nittanylion said:
IMHO, I don't think a case can be made for a single Team from that group of 9 non-Division winners in the E,N and S that they are better than any Team out of the W.
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I agree, except I think it's a distinct possibility that the three West teams beat each other up enough that one of them falls out of the last WC slot and it goes to a team with slightly better record in the East or North.

 
JohnnyU said:
I'm not feeling warm and fuzzy about the Colts right now.  I hope they recover from their recent rash of injuries and do it early in the season, but the schedule is brutal.
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I’m pretty sure it’s just inherent pessimism but I think the colts can be really good this year if Wentz gets healthy.  Your defense, O line and running backs will keep most games within reach.  

 
I want to take a moment to talk about how amazingly bad the Texans are.  By my count there are only THREE players on their team (at least who are currently healthy) who would be able to start on any NFL roster - Cooks, Tunsil, and Cunningham.  If they manage to back door their way into a win it will only be because their opponent gave the game away.

Anywho I'm going to pick a team from each division I think won't make it, not including the Texans.

Cardinals - Not until they get a new coach

Falcons - rebuild

Eagles - this team doesn't do anything good

Lions - bottom 5 team, terrible coach

Jags - still not enough talent for a playoff team coach is questionable

Jets - 2nd worst team in the NFL, worst 1st round qb

Steelers!!! - this is the year they fall off the cliff

Raiders - terrible defense and spent the off season making their oline worse

 
Hmm, I'll throw in 5...

Houston of course.  They could go the route this year.

Jets.  Lawson injury hurts a lot.  Rookie QB in a division where the other teams made moves to improve tough deal.

Falcons.  Feels like they are like half-way rebuilding.  That tends not to go so great.

Ya know what this is where it gets tougher - mainly because there are bad teams but they are divisions loaded with bad/questionable teams.

With that...Lions.  Maybe the new pieces, especially Goff, click.  Maybe the Packers turmoil brings that team down.  Maybe the Bears ain't quite there yet with Dalton/Fields combo and maybe the Vikings get wiped out with covid and Cousins.  But that's a lot of maybes to get the Lions back in the playoffs so I go there.

And now....let's have some fun.  Go big or go home if you will.

Steelers.  They barely hung in to make the playoffs last year and had an inglorious exit.  Ben is another year older and the rest of the division has improved.  Maybe they hang on one more year for the playoffs but what fun is this thread without taking one swing for the fences.

-------

These would be the woulda/coulda/shoulda picks...

Jaguars.  I don't believe in Meyer in year 1 in a league where hot shot coaches often find the sledding tougher.  But with Wentz hurt in Indy maybe there are wins to be had there.  But I hate doing two teams from the same division in this thread.

Giants.  Or maybe Eagles?  Or Washington?  This division barely had a 7-team win take the honors last year so it's hard to get too invested in any team getting totally buried.  If forced I'd have taken the Giants I guess.  Not big on that QB.

Broncos.  The QB uncertainty and tough division would put them here.  Probably shoulda been pick 5 but maybe the improved defense gets 'em to sneak in to the last wildcard. 

49ers? Rams?   This division is tough and stacked and one of these teams could find itself buried again but it's hard to put another 10-win team into this thread (Rams) and it's hard to buy the Niners being quite as bad as they were last year.  Push to shove I'd have said 49ers.

So there ya go - Texans, Jets, Falcons, Lions, Steelers.

-QG

 
Two locks: Texans and Lions 

Two which might surprise some: Broncos and Saints

WTF is he thinking: Patriots. I think the bills are as good a lock to win the division as anyone, then you have two from the north, the colts, chargers, and fins battling for the wild cards. Never bet against BB but the talent just isn’t there. I think Mac will be a competent franchise QB but he probably won’t start for a while. But watch as if the season were only the games he starts they’d make it. 

 
Amazing how far and quickly the Eagles have dropped since winning their first Super Bowl.  Talk about messing up a good thing.  

Houston, Philly, Detroit, Cincinnati and NY Jets. 

Bengals should be improved, but their division is rough, and it's just hard to see them doing well enough in the division to make the playoffs. 

 
My Texans are awful, but I agree with a few others that it’s more fun to pick teams more towards the middle:

Broncos

Raiders

Giants

Saints

Vikings

I’ll add a 6th rather than leaving them off - Rams

Don’t trust the Broncos QBs. Raiders find a way to blow it again. Giants will be picking a QB again next year. Saints need to figure out who they are again. Vikings will never quite put it together. Rams will miss Akers more than they realize and become too one dimensional. 

 
TripItUp said:
The key to this exercise IMHO is picking teams that can't win their division...some of you are picking teams with decent odds to win the division.
Click to expand...
NE can't win the division, and don't have a QB who can hit the ocean with a beach ball. did anyone watch the game tonight? Cam broadcasts his throws worse than Kerry Collins used to. wow is Cam washed up.and pundits are ga-ga over Jones but he's a rookie ?? they ALL struggle. even Payton did. Yeah NE can run , now, in preseason , but Cam is/was a turnover machine, and Mac just can't pull it off as a starter vs. starters on defense. Buffalo going to swee them, and Miami always beats them at least 1x per season. that's 3 losses right there. oh they play TB thats 4 losses. what makes a playoff team , 10-7?  they're more than halfway to 7 losses in just these 4 games. that's a lock -swept by buffalo, miami wins at least 1 , bucs win. they're just a bunch of no-talent bums ( such as van noy) with a coach who can't win without Brady.

Like last season, NE missed the playoffs.

low hanging fruit - Giants, bears, Houston,  Jax, Chiefs, NE, Falcons, Lions, Cincy, Jets  yeah, yeah I know chiefs bla bla bla. go look at the history of teams losing the SB in the follow-up season. almost none made it back to the postseason.in the SB era, and I know you're reply 'but..they're the Chiefs'. lol. doesn't matter, history is not on their side.Even the Pats missed the show in 2008 after the G-men beat them down in the SB.and the Pats were supposed to be the 2nd ever undefeated team. went 11-5 in 2008, and missed the postseason. 

Bears suck, no way they sniff even 7  wins in 2021. Fields? lol. cmon now.  

 
Tanner9919 said:
NE can't win the division, and don't have a QB who can hit the ocean with a beach ball. did anyone watch the game tonight? Cam broadcasts his throws worse than Kerry Collins used to. wow is Cam washed up.and pundits are ga-ga over Jones but he's a rookie ?? they ALL struggle. even Payton did. Yeah NE can run , now, in preseason , but Cam is/was a turnover machine, and Mac just can't pull it off as a starter vs. starters on defense. Buffalo going to swee them, and Miami always beats them at least 1x per season. that's 3 losses right there. oh they play TB thats 4 losses. what makes a playoff team , 10-7?  they're more than halfway to 7 losses in just these 4 games. that's a lock -swept by buffalo, miami wins at least 1 , bucs win. they're just a bunch of no-talent bums ( such as van noy) with a coach who can't win without Brady.

Like last season, NE missed the playoffs.

low hanging fruit - Giants, bears, Houston,  Jax, Chiefs, NE, Falcons, Lions, Cincy, Jets  yeah, yeah I know chiefs bla bla bla. go look at the history of teams losing the SB in the follow-up season. almost none made it back to the postseason.in the SB era, and I know you're reply 'but..they're the Chiefs'. lol. doesn't matter, history is not on their side.Even the Pats missed the show in 2008 after the G-men beat them down in the SB.and the Pats were supposed to be the 2nd ever undefeated team. went 11-5 in 2008, and missed the postseason. 

Bears suck, no way they sniff even 7  wins in 2021. Fields? lol. cmon now.  
Click to expand...
you could very easily be right about da bears. Somehow I thought they had an easier schedule. 
chiefs might not make it back but they’re not low hanging fruit. 

 
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