ZWK
Footballguy
Using historical data (the same data from this post, analyzed in a different way), here are some generic top 24 dynasty rankings for this year's rookie class based on only position and draft pick. That means that Trent Richardson is evaluated only as "RB who was taken with the 3rd overall pick" and Andrew Luck is just "QB taken #1 overall."
Here are the rankings, with tier breaks:
3 RB Trent Richardson - Cleveland Browns
1 QB Andrew Luck - Indianapolis Colts
5 WR Justin Blackmon - Jacksonville Jaguars
2 QB Robert Griffin III - Washington Redskins
13 WR Michael Floyd - Arizona Cardinals
20 WR Kendall Wright - Tennessee Titans
31 RB Doug Martin - Tampa Bay Buccaneers
32 RB David Wilson - New York Giants
8 QB Ryan Tannehill - Miami Dolphins
30 WR A.J. Jenkins - San Francisco 49ers
33 WR Brian Quick - St. Louis Rams
22 QB Brandon Weeden - Cleveland Browns
50 RB Isaiah Pead - St. Louis Rams
61 RB LaMichael James - San Francisco 49ers
67 RB Ronnie Hillman - Denver Broncos
43 WR Stephen Hill - New York Jets
34 TE Coby Fleener - Indianapolis Colts
45 WR Alshon Jeffery - Chicago Bears
54 WR Ryan Broyles - Detroit Lions
84 RB Bernard Pierce - Baltimore Ravens
63 WR Rueben Randle - New York Giants
68 WR DeVier Posey - Houston Texans
69 WR T. J. Graham - Buffalo Bills
83 WR Mohamed Sanu - Cincinnati Bengals
Rankings are based on historical data for career VBD, in a league with no PPR starting 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE. Basically, for each position I looked at the career VBD of every player drafted 1993-2003 and plotted a best-fit curve based on draft pick. That means that within position, players just go by draft order, but the data give a sense of the relative values of the positions and where the big dropoffs are (although there's also a pretty big drop from Jenkins to Jeffery, it just happens gradually).
Because TE has become much more of a receiving position, at TE I'm using the average of the historical numbers for TEs and WRs (Fleener would be down by Sanu if you just go with the historical data, or up by Quick if you treat him as a WR). QBs might be a little overrated with these numbers, since they have long careers and I just took total career VBD with no discount factor.
Here are the rankings, with tier breaks:
3 RB Trent Richardson - Cleveland Browns
1 QB Andrew Luck - Indianapolis Colts
5 WR Justin Blackmon - Jacksonville Jaguars
2 QB Robert Griffin III - Washington Redskins
13 WR Michael Floyd - Arizona Cardinals
20 WR Kendall Wright - Tennessee Titans
31 RB Doug Martin - Tampa Bay Buccaneers
32 RB David Wilson - New York Giants
8 QB Ryan Tannehill - Miami Dolphins
30 WR A.J. Jenkins - San Francisco 49ers
33 WR Brian Quick - St. Louis Rams
22 QB Brandon Weeden - Cleveland Browns
50 RB Isaiah Pead - St. Louis Rams
61 RB LaMichael James - San Francisco 49ers
67 RB Ronnie Hillman - Denver Broncos
43 WR Stephen Hill - New York Jets
34 TE Coby Fleener - Indianapolis Colts
45 WR Alshon Jeffery - Chicago Bears
54 WR Ryan Broyles - Detroit Lions
84 RB Bernard Pierce - Baltimore Ravens
63 WR Rueben Randle - New York Giants
68 WR DeVier Posey - Houston Texans
69 WR T. J. Graham - Buffalo Bills
83 WR Mohamed Sanu - Cincinnati Bengals
Rankings are based on historical data for career VBD, in a league with no PPR starting 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE. Basically, for each position I looked at the career VBD of every player drafted 1993-2003 and plotted a best-fit curve based on draft pick. That means that within position, players just go by draft order, but the data give a sense of the relative values of the positions and where the big dropoffs are (although there's also a pretty big drop from Jenkins to Jeffery, it just happens gradually).
Because TE has become much more of a receiving position, at TE I'm using the average of the historical numbers for TEs and WRs (Fleener would be down by Sanu if you just go with the historical data, or up by Quick if you treat him as a WR). QBs might be a little overrated with these numbers, since they have long careers and I just took total career VBD with no discount factor.
