shader
Footballguy
I hate posting in the first few weeks of the season, because I've made myself look silly too many times to count. With small sample sizes, it's easy to make overreactions.
I created a post before the season where I took guys that weren't getting much value, and speculated that they could become top ten players, despite having really low ADP's. I struck out on some and hit a few homers.
But the quarter point has always been a very interesting time to make decisions. If you are 0-4, there is a good chance you aren't unlucky, you just aren't any good, and it's time to make some big moves. So here are some players I would go after:
1. Jonathan Stewart -- The situation is horrible. I don't see how it can improve. There aren't enough carries for the STARTER for heavens sake. But his talent is undeniable and his owners are getting frustrated. Even in re-draft leagues, I bet this guy can be had for nickels on the dollar. In the event (however unlikely) that a trade happens, Stewart immediately vaults into super-stud status, as he does if an injury occurs. In dynasty leagues his owners probably will still value him quite a bit, but in re-drafts his value is plummeting.
2. Shonn Greene -- Only 4 carries less than LT. His miserable, embarrassing first night now a nightmare, Greene is regaining the bruiser status he had in the playoffs last year. As the season drags on, I expect to see more and more of Greene, especially as defenses get more worn out. In dynasty leagues especially, where LT has limited longterm value, Greene can be had for pennies of his talent, which a month ago was through the roof. Don't let one bad game and an LT resurgence keep you from liking the guy. He has bigtime RB talent.
3. Michael Bush -- Although Mcfadden was in my first group of guys to go get, Bush is in my second. The pendulum of value has swung all the way around. Bush is going to win the goalline job back, and if he stays healthy represents tremendous value. I'm not sure Mcfadden will be able to stay injury-free for the entire season. You can probably get Bush for peanuts. Not a bad idea right now.
4. Percy Harvin -- This guy will benefit big from Randy Moss. I don't know if his owner will trade him to you right now, but you might find an owner who thinks that the Moss acquisition is a bad thing for Percy. If you happen to find that owner, take Harvin from him quickly and thank me later.
5. Harry Douglas -- I like this guy, I really, really like this guy. He's not going to have alot of value in non-ppr leagues, but in ppr leagues, get him. He continues to learn the offense and he is going to be that 2nd option Ryan needs in the WR corps. He still hasn't had a total breakout game, but he's made some very impressive plays and is still fitting into the offense. He could explode the 2nd half of this season.
6. Michael Crabtree -- The time to get him was really before last week, as his value was completely in the floor, but you still might find an owner willing to shed him. Crabtree was universally thought of as an elite talent before the season. His talent hasn't changed. Being a diva didn't stop Randy Moss or Terrell Owens from being great WR's and it won't stop Crabtree. I'm a little less optimistic in re-draft leagues obviously, but he's still a guy who was really worked into the offense alot more in week 4. I think he will have some huge games as the season progresses.
7. Eli Manning -- A very wierd open to the season for Eli, but he has some very juicy matchups coming up. If your Eli owner has moved him to his number 2 role, Eli could represent immense value right now. His stats will come around, pull the trigger.
8. MAYBE--Mike Vick -- This is a big if. IF you have an owner that is mad that he didn't trade Vick when his value was high, you might be able to pry him off his hands for a discount. I'd say that 90% of his owners will NOT do this. But Vick is very love/hate with people, and you might find an owner that was trying to sell high and now is ready to panic. I personally would trade for Vick in a heartbeat if I could. ESPECIALLY if Kolb does pretty decent this weekend, you might see his owners panic and sell cheap. I still think Vick might win the MVP this year, of course depending if he can get back in 2 weeks as opposed to 4 or 5. We'll see.
I created a post before the season where I took guys that weren't getting much value, and speculated that they could become top ten players, despite having really low ADP's. I struck out on some and hit a few homers.
But the quarter point has always been a very interesting time to make decisions. If you are 0-4, there is a good chance you aren't unlucky, you just aren't any good, and it's time to make some big moves. So here are some players I would go after:
1. Jonathan Stewart -- The situation is horrible. I don't see how it can improve. There aren't enough carries for the STARTER for heavens sake. But his talent is undeniable and his owners are getting frustrated. Even in re-draft leagues, I bet this guy can be had for nickels on the dollar. In the event (however unlikely) that a trade happens, Stewart immediately vaults into super-stud status, as he does if an injury occurs. In dynasty leagues his owners probably will still value him quite a bit, but in re-drafts his value is plummeting.
2. Shonn Greene -- Only 4 carries less than LT. His miserable, embarrassing first night now a nightmare, Greene is regaining the bruiser status he had in the playoffs last year. As the season drags on, I expect to see more and more of Greene, especially as defenses get more worn out. In dynasty leagues especially, where LT has limited longterm value, Greene can be had for pennies of his talent, which a month ago was through the roof. Don't let one bad game and an LT resurgence keep you from liking the guy. He has bigtime RB talent.
3. Michael Bush -- Although Mcfadden was in my first group of guys to go get, Bush is in my second. The pendulum of value has swung all the way around. Bush is going to win the goalline job back, and if he stays healthy represents tremendous value. I'm not sure Mcfadden will be able to stay injury-free for the entire season. You can probably get Bush for peanuts. Not a bad idea right now.
4. Percy Harvin -- This guy will benefit big from Randy Moss. I don't know if his owner will trade him to you right now, but you might find an owner who thinks that the Moss acquisition is a bad thing for Percy. If you happen to find that owner, take Harvin from him quickly and thank me later.
5. Harry Douglas -- I like this guy, I really, really like this guy. He's not going to have alot of value in non-ppr leagues, but in ppr leagues, get him. He continues to learn the offense and he is going to be that 2nd option Ryan needs in the WR corps. He still hasn't had a total breakout game, but he's made some very impressive plays and is still fitting into the offense. He could explode the 2nd half of this season.
6. Michael Crabtree -- The time to get him was really before last week, as his value was completely in the floor, but you still might find an owner willing to shed him. Crabtree was universally thought of as an elite talent before the season. His talent hasn't changed. Being a diva didn't stop Randy Moss or Terrell Owens from being great WR's and it won't stop Crabtree. I'm a little less optimistic in re-draft leagues obviously, but he's still a guy who was really worked into the offense alot more in week 4. I think he will have some huge games as the season progresses.
7. Eli Manning -- A very wierd open to the season for Eli, but he has some very juicy matchups coming up. If your Eli owner has moved him to his number 2 role, Eli could represent immense value right now. His stats will come around, pull the trigger.
8. MAYBE--Mike Vick -- This is a big if. IF you have an owner that is mad that he didn't trade Vick when his value was high, you might be able to pry him off his hands for a discount. I'd say that 90% of his owners will NOT do this. But Vick is very love/hate with people, and you might find an owner that was trying to sell high and now is ready to panic. I personally would trade for Vick in a heartbeat if I could. ESPECIALLY if Kolb does pretty decent this weekend, you might see his owners panic and sell cheap. I still think Vick might win the MVP this year, of course depending if he can get back in 2 weeks as opposed to 4 or 5. We'll see.
Bush owners are basically exactly where they'd hoped to be 4 weeks in. His value is anything but low.
NE (15) MIA (14) @PIT (29) @CHI (16)Only the Pittsburgh game is a major concern. Furthermore, weather could play a factor in any of those games which would only serve to skew towards the run. LT is a great feel-good comeback story. Let's see what that 32-year old west coast RB is doing come December.
So, want to change your topic now, huh? Adding that last part (about the "outset of the pre-season") to your "Go get these guys now" topic is just a way for you to backtrack. Nobody cares where he was a month or two ago, that's long gone, and it was never the topic. You are telling people here to "go out and get" a player. Fine, but your premise here was value, or buy low, and you are listing a guy who's value just went way up. Owners have waited for him to come back, and now they get the added benefit of an injury to McFadden, making the situation perfect for him. It's laughable that I am even explaining this right now.
So, want to change your topic now, huh? Adding that last part (about the "outset of the pre-season") to your "Go get these guys now" topic is just a way for you to backtrack. Nobody cares where he was a month or two ago, that's long gone, and it was never the topic. You are telling people here to "go out and get" a player. Fine, but your premise here was value, or buy low, and you are listing a guy who's value just went way up. Owners have waited for him to come back, and now they get the added benefit of an injury to McFadden, making the situation perfect for him. It's laughable that I am even explaining this right now.
Disagree on Greene, Douglas, and Crabtree. The others make sense. I do not think Greene can be heralded as returning to form yet. We'll see, but the luster is off for me.
