Hakeem Nicks, WR, New York Giants (1 Viewer)

[Jason Wood]

2011 Player Spotlight Series

One of Footballguys best assets is our message board community. The Shark Pool is, in our view, the best place on the internet to discuss, debate and analyze all things fantasy football. In what's become an annual tradition, the Player Spotlight series is a key part of the preseason efforts. As many of you know, we consider the Player Spotlight threads the permanent record for analyzing the fantasy prospects of the player in question. This year, we plan to publish more than 140 offensive spotlights covering the vast majority of expected skill position starters.

With the labor uncertainty, there are more unanswered questions entering the summer than usual. The good news is that gives us some more time to discuss the merits of players without having to react (or overreact) to the smallest bits of news about a slight injury in practice, or coach speak. We'll have plenty of time for that when it comes (we hope).

In the meantime, as always we will post a list of players to be discussed each week. Those threads will remain open for the entire preseason, and should be a central point to discuss expectations for the player in question. Importantly, analysis done in the first week of posting will be part of the permanent record in two ways. 1) At the end of the week, we will tally the projections into a consensus. 2) We will select a number of pull quotes from forum contributors who make a compelling statement or observation. Both the projections and pull quotes will be part of a published article on the main website.

Thread Topic: Hakeem Nicks, WR, New York Giants

Player Page Link: Hakeem Nicks Player Page

Each article will include:

[*]Detailed viewpoint from a Footballguys staff member

[*]Highlighted member commentary from the message board threads

[*]FBG Projections

[*]Consensus Member Projections

The Rules

In order for this thread to provide maximum value, we ask that you follow a few simple guidelines:

[*]Focus commentary on the player (or players) in question, and your expectations for said player (or players)

[*]Back up your expectations in whatever manner you deem appropriate; avoid posts that simply say "I hate him" or "He's the best"

[*]Avoid redundancies or ... this should be about incremental analysis or debate

While not a requirement, we strongly encourage you to provide your own projections for the player (players):

Projections should include:

[*]For QBs: Attempts, Completions, Passing Yards, Passing TDs, Ints, Rush Attempts, Rush Yards, Rush TDs

[*]For RBs: Rushes, Rushing Yards, Rush TDs, Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs

[*]For WRs & TEs: Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs

Now let's get on with the conversation! We look forward to your contributions and let me offer a personal thanks in anticipation of the great debate and analysis.

 

[TheWick]

Made tremendous strides last year and has earned his QBs trust. One of the few WRs that are a legitimate threat for double digit targets every week. His leg issues appear to be resolved but still causes a small amount of apprehension. Regardless he should be in the conversation for the first WR taken in all formats.

85 rec

1200 yards

10 TDs

These numbers should be close to his floor in a full 16 game season.

 

[fightingillini]

Nicks proved last year that he's a stud. Great hands, good size and can get the big play. Manning seemed to favor him over Steve Smith. With Smith, Manningham and Boss, it's hard for defenses to double him and try and take him out of the game. Top 5 WR.

87 rec, 1260 yards, 11 TD

 

[Jason Wood]

I agree that Nicks has the complete package. It's nice when a breakout sleeper candidate actually works out, and last year it had to for Nicks' owners because by the time most drafts came around, he was going early enough that you needed him to be almost a WR1 to justify the draft selection. It will be interesting to see how the Giants approach this season offensively. Eli ended up having career highs in nearly every passing category, but also led the league in interceptions. The RB stable also put together a nice season, but ended up coughing up the ball at inordinate times.

I suspect, either way, Nicks will see plenty of targets -- consistently so.

As much as I like Steve Smith's game, we have to remember he had microfracture surgery and in March admitted that he is worried about whether it will rob him of his explosiveness. That's particularly troubling because Smith wasn't really an explosive athlete to begin with.

So long as Nicks stays healthy, I see no reason he couldn't vie for WR1 numbers this year. He's that talented.

 

[LHUCKS]

Nicks is a beast and will thrust himself into the first tier of NFL WRs in 2011. He is easily the teams most explosive target. He is a redzone menace. He's on a team with consistent QB play that has produced top fantasy WR numbers in prior seasons(Plaxico.) There is absolutely no reason aside from injury that Nicks will not surpass expectations this year.

90 receptions

1320 yards

15 TDs (you heard me)

 

[shader]

I'm simply going to extrapolate his 14 games to 16. If he does that it will be an amazing year.

That gives him 90 catches, 1200 yards and about 13 TD's.

But his upside is even higher.

When healthy last year he was absurd. At one point it got ridiculous with him on the goalline.

I personally like Calvin Johnson better, but if someone chose Nicks over Calvin, I wouldn't fault them. He looked amazing last year and I'd love to see a 100% Nicks for all of 2011.

/not an owner in any league unfortunately

 

[shader]

Nicks is a beast and will thrust himself into the first tier of NFL WRs in 2011. He is easily the teams most explosive target. He is a redzone menace. He's on a team with consistent QB play that has produced top fantasy WR numbers in prior seasons(Plaxico.) There is absolutely no reason aside from injury that Nicks will not surpass expectations this year.

90 receptions

1320 yards

15 TDs (you heard me)

Very possible

 

[Multiple Scores]

100/1400/14

 

[Badgers Fan]

This guy is a monster, the complete package. He's a touch down beast. Just throw it up and he'll get it. Odd thing, he's actually not that tall, only 6 feet off the top of my head, but he plays a lot bigger than he is.

90/1350/13

I'm not sure what his ADP will be (in the VERY early goings at MDC it's 19th overall, 4th wr), but he is a great target in all leagues. Getting a good 1st round rb and pairing him this this guy in round 2 is a smart strategy.

 

[greggorymac]

I'm actually a little leery of this guy. I've seen him consistently ranked in the top 5 in redraft and top 3 in dynasty (yes I know he's young, but come on). I guess its just too big of a leap of faith for me to take after one year. I see NYG returning to the ground N pound this season and Smith coming back will cut into his receptions.

I think 70/1000/8 is a little more realistic. Still a great season, but somewhat of a reach for where he is currently being ranked/drafted.

 

[rzrback77]

After Eli Manning had three straight seasons where he threw between 3200 and 3300 yards, he has now had two straight years with just over 4000. He also had an all time high 31 TDs in 2010, with Nicks getting 11 of the passing TDs in only 13 games.

Steve Smith seems to be getting dismissed, yet in 2010, he averaged 9 targets per game in the first eight games and Nicks targets actually decreased in the second half when Smith was out due to injury. Manningham who averaged only 4.5 targets per game in the first half went up to 7 per game with Smith out. I see a possibility for all three to be involved in 2011 so the projections for Nicks numbers to go up in year 3 may be more difficult than some of the flowery projections to this point.

I never project injuries, but it is prudent to mention that he has missed 2.5 games per year over his first two seasons.

Hakeem Nicks 16 gms 138 targets 85 catches 62% 15.0 ypc 1275 yds 10 TDs

really good projections, but don't see me taking him as a top five WR

 

[BroadwayG]

Super Elite Upper Tier.

I was nervous about this guy last year, but he squonked any doubts I had. Not as physically imposing as Andre or Calvin, but he is just getting it done.

 

[wiscstlatlmia]

This years Jermichael Finley? I dont know about those stats, but, he was dominant last year and the way Eli loves his NO.1 guy he should have plenty of opportunity. I dont know enough about him but I was wondering if anyone knew if he was an injury risk coming out of UNC. If the injury situation is just a fluke then I guess the sky is the limit.

 

[Dez]

93 catches, 1487 yards, 15 TD's

 

[wiscstlatlmia]

80 catches 1200 yards 9 tds

 

[Raiderfan32904]

Hakeem Nicks was the guy that made a lot of owners teams last year. His breakout season was correctly called by Dodd's/FBG staff. I was hesitant to believe, but reached for him at the top of the 4th round in both of last years redrafts, and he was responsible for 2 championships. Had he remained healthy, who knows what his numbers could have been. He was the most explosive receiver on the field during any Giant's game you watched last year, on either side. With his huge 4XL mitts and great route running and explosion after the catch, he is among the upper elite tier receivers.

I'd put Nicks up in the top 4 WR's, with Andre Johnson, CJ, and Roddy White. He should be an early to mid 2nd round pick in redrafts this year, and I for one would gladly pay that price.

Projection: 105/1500/15

Now I wonder which WR will FBG's forecast to be this years Hakeem Nicks?

 

[5-ish Finkle]

After Eli Manning had three straight seasons where he threw between 3200 and 3300 yards, he has now had two straight years with just over 4000. He also had an all time high 31 TDs in 2010, with Nicks getting 11 of the passing TDs in only 13 games.

This.I haven't done my projections for the Giants yet, but this is a passing offense now(or at the very least it is "balanced without fear of taking to the air at any point"). Nicks is the primary target, including in the red zone, and has a good, durable quarterback who has been running this offense for a pretty good while now.The sky is the limit. Great body control, fast enough to beat a D deep, good enough after the catch to beat them short and house it. He gets dinged, that's about his only negative.

 

[by_the_sea_wannabe]

Love me some Hakeem Nicks. Newest addition to the top level wide receivers. Eli is underrated at the qb position and is quite good enough to feed this animal the ball along with Steve Smith. I don't think the injuries he has sustained warrant an expectation of missed games.

95 - 1283 - 10 WR 3

 

[wiscstlatlmia]

Eli had a career best 339 completions last year with 219 of them going to wide recievers. Namely, 79 to Nicks (13g), 60 to Manningham (16g), 48 to Smith (9g), and 24 to Hagan (7g). If everyone stays healthy, it might be reasonable to divy up 200 receptions to the top 3. Before injury, Smith was on pace to 94 receptions after 107 the year before. It is hard to imagine Smith getting less than 90 and Manningham getting less than 40, but Nicks is very talented... I'm on the fence here, but I think Nicks ends up between 80-90 receptions with 8-12 TD. I know people like to think 11 is his floor, but TDs are very hard to predict. Predictions of 13+ seem a bit ridiculous. Zero WR had 13 TD in 2008. One had exactly 13 in 2009. One had 13+ (15 - Bowe) in 2010. Settle down, folks.85 rec x 14 ypr = 1200 yds 9 TD

Its not that hes not capable of getting those crazy high projections, but, kinda like Jermichael last year, tough to say that an average year for him is gonna be that from now on

 

[netnalp]

Fantasy Football 2011 Positional Rankings: Wide Receivers

By

Nick Sero

http://bleacherrepor...-wide-receivers

1. Hakeem Nicks, NYG

Surprised to see Nicks this high? Consider the fact that Eli has improved his touchdown count now five years in a row and Nicks was on the receiving end of 11 of those last season. The Giants are hoping for Steve Smith to recover over the offseason, but Nicks will be the No. 1 no matter when Smith returns. Bye: Week 7

2. Mike Wallace, PIT

For the first time in three years, Hines Ward didn’t lead the Steelers’ receiving corps in touchdown catches, proving just how invested in the young receiver the Steelers are. The Steelers will have to find other ways than deep bombs if Wallace wants to continue his run, however. Teams wont be surprised by him streaking deep anymore, although Wallace almost got stronger as the year ended. Bye: Week 11

3. Andre Johnson, HOU

Johnson is a consistent top-10 fantasy receiver throughout his career. True, he may have fallen just outside of the top 10 last season, but you can’t expect that to be the case again this year. The Texans were able to rely on the running game more than ever this past season; usually that role belonged solely to Johnson. The Texans will face a tough schedule for both receivers and running backs this season, but I like Johnson’s chances. Bye: Week 11

4. Roddy White, ATL

White was fantasy gold last season in PPR leagues. He was one of the most targeted receivers in 2010 and was good for at least seven catches per game. Julio Jones may affect the long-term value of White in dynasty leagues, but this year he will finally give the Falcons a No. 2 receiver that will take heat off of White. Bye: Week 8

5. Greg Jennings, GB

Is it strange to think that a receiver coming off of a Super Bowl victory could have a chip on his shoulder? Jennings isn’t considered one of the better receivers in the league, not even by his peers. Jennings recently took offense to his poor ranking in the NFL Network’s Top 100 in 2010. Sure that may be us speculating a little bit, but Jennings is an elite receiver with an elite quarterback. Bye: Week 8

6. Calvin Johnson, DET

There was a lot of debate over Megatron’s value in 2011. Sure he is one of the best athletes in football, but in fantasy he can be hit or miss. Johnson has been in the league for four years, and has alternated five-touchdown seasons with 12 touchdown seasons. He will never be a stud in PPR leagues, as he has yet to crack 80 catches. If the trend continues, Johnson is due for a below average year but his own standards. It will all depend on Matt Stafford’s health. Bye: Week 9

7. Larry Fitzgerald, ARZ

Fitzgerald is in limbo in these rankings. Last season during the John Skelton/Derek Anderson experiment, Fitzgerald had very low points per game average so expectations should be low going in to 2011. That is until the Cardinals go out and sign a veteran quarterback, which they will. Until we know for sure, Fitzgerald’s rank will benefit from his ability and his fourth easiest schedule for fantasy receivers. Bye: Week 6

8. DeSean Jackson, PHI

To me, Jackson is reaching Ochocinco status in fantasy football. At year’s end you will be blown away by his total points scored, but when you look a little closer you may be surprised. He can single handedly win you games (210 yards and a score versus Dallas) and he can disappear at times (like Weeks 4-7 when he accumulated only 77 yards and a score). The Eagles do have an easier schedule this year however, so Jackson is still a great pickup. Bye: Week 7

9. Dwayne Bowe, KC

He is no longer the only receiving threat for the Chiefs since Jon Baldwin was drafted, but he is still by far their best option. Baldwin’s appearance could cut in to Bowe’s PPR value, as he was the primary pass catcher for years. Bowe is still a top receiver on a run first team, so were a little skeptical of Bowe’s 2011 value. Bye: Week 6

10. Vincent Jackson, SD

Jackson could have been the best receiver in fantasy had he played the entire season. Jackson ended the season with the seventh-best points per game average, so just imagine his value over a full season with Philip Rivers. Rivers had the best year of his career in 2010, so he could tailor off a bit this year…or he could get even better. Bye: Week 6

 

[bigern1000]

Fantasy Football 2011 Positional Rankings: Wide Receivers

By

Nick Sero

http://bleacherrepor...-wide-receivers

1. Hakeem Nicks, NYG

Surprised to see Nicks this high? Consider the fact that Eli has improved his touchdown count now five years in a row and Nicks was on the receiving end of 11 of those last season. The Giants are hoping for Steve Smith to recover over the offseason, but Nicks will be the No. 1 no matter when Smith returns. Bye: Week 7

2. Mike Wallace, PIT

For the first time in three years, Hines Ward didn’t lead the Steelers’ receiving corps in touchdown catches, proving just how invested in the young receiver the Steelers are. The Steelers will have to find other ways than deep bombs if Wallace wants to continue his run, however. Teams wont be surprised by him streaking deep anymore, although Wallace almost got stronger as the year ended. Bye: Week 11

I'm not as surprised to see Nicks at #1 as I am seeing Wallace at #2...

 

[T with T]

I agree that Nicks has the complete package. It's nice when a breakout sleeper candidate actually works out, and last year it had to for Nicks' owners because by the time most drafts came around, he was going early enough that you needed him to be almost a WR1 to justify the draft selection. It will be interesting to see how the Giants approach this season offensively. Eli ended up having career highs in nearly every passing category, but also led the league in interceptions. The RB stable also put together a nice season, but ended up coughing up the ball at inordinate times.I suspect, either way, Nicks will see plenty of targets -- consistently so.As much as I like Steve Smith's game, we have to remember he had microfracture surgery and in March admitted that he is worried about whether it will rob him of his explosiveness. That's particularly troubling because Smith wasn't really an explosive athlete to begin with.So long as Nicks stays healthy, I see no reason he couldn't vie for WR1 numbers this year. He's that talented.

when you say WR1 do you mean Best stats in league or stats of a WR1???? I think you meant both and I believe he could be the best wr and should be taken in top 8 in ppr dynasty leagues

 

[T with T]

This guy is a monster, the complete package. He's a touch down beast. Just throw it up and he'll get it. Odd thing, he's actually not that tall, only 6 feet off the top of my head, but he plays a lot bigger than he is. 90/1350/13I'm not sure what his ADP will be (in the VERY early goings at MDC it's 19th overall, 4th wr), but he is a great target in all leagues. Getting a good 1st round rb and pairing him this this guy in round 2 is a smart strategy.

hes a tall 6-1 218 hes tall enough... BIG hands needs special gloves... 100- 1400- 15 tds if he plays full season

 

[GoodLloydHaveMercy]

82/1240/9

I absolutely love Nicks... Eli seems to get better every year and Nicks seems to be the guy in line for the most red zone opportunities... I recently traded for Nicks in dynasty NON-PPR (gave up Tampa Mike, Garcon, Manningham, & 1.10 for Nicks and a likely early 1st rd pick next yr)

My only concern is that he seems to get banged up a bit throughout the season but I still see top 5 WR potential maybe even as early as this yr.

 

[sihaokills]

95 rec 1250 yards 12 TDs

 

[Carolina Hustler]

90/1300/14

Top Ranked Dynasty WR next season... Esp in non-PPR

 

[T with T]

82/1240/9I absolutely love Nicks... Eli seems to get better every year and Nicks seems to be the guy in line for the most red zone opportunities... I recently traded for Nicks in dynasty NON-PPR (gave up Tampa Mike, Garcon, Manningham, & 1.10 for Nicks and a likely early 1st rd pick next yr)My only concern is that he seems to get banged up a bit throughout the season but I still see top 5 WR potential maybe even as early as this yr.

he was top 5 last year had he not got dinged up for 3 games he would have been top 2... avg 19 plus points a game in ppr... only roddy white had more p/game

 

[Grahamburn]

6. Calvin Johnson, DET

There was a lot of debate over Megatron’s value in 2011. Sure he is one of the best athletes in football, but in fantasy he can be hit or miss. Johnson has been in the league for four years, and has alternated five-touchdown seasons with 12 touchdown seasons. He will never be a stud in PPR leagues, as he has yet to crack 80 catches. If the trend continues, Johnson is due for a below average year but his own standards. It will all depend on Matt Stafford’s health. Bye: Week 9

 

[Clifford]

82/1240/9I absolutely love Nicks... Eli seems to get better every year and Nicks seems to be the guy in line for the most red zone opportunities... I recently traded for Nicks in dynasty NON-PPR (gave up Tampa Mike, Garcon, Manningham, & 1.10 for Nicks and a likely early 1st rd pick next yr)My only concern is that he seems to get banged up a bit throughout the season but I still see top 5 WR potential maybe even as early as this yr.

he was top 5 last year had he not got dinged up for 3 games he would have been top 2... avg 19 plus points a game in ppr... only roddy white had more p/game

A guy in my league actually tried to offer me just the 1.09 and Dallas Clark for him. I was insulted but after seeing what you paid I am more insulted.

 

[Jersey35]

82/1240/9I absolutely love Nicks... Eli seems to get better every year and Nicks seems to be the guy in line for the most red zone opportunities... I recently traded for Nicks in dynasty NON-PPR (gave up Tampa Mike, Garcon, Manningham, & 1.10 for Nicks and a likely early 1st rd pick next yr)My only concern is that he seems to get banged up a bit throughout the season but I still see top 5 WR potential maybe even as early as this yr.

he was top 5 last year had he not got dinged up for 3 games he would have been top 2... avg 19 plus points a game in ppr... only roddy white had more p/game

A guy in my league actually tried to offer me just the 1.09 and Dallas Clark for him. I was insulted but after seeing what you paid I am more insulted.

For comparison:I sent Colston, B.Edwards, my 2011 1st round pick (ended up being 1.12) and another team's 3rd round pick (ended up being 3.2) in exchange for Nicks in mid-November.2011 Projections: 89 1304 12

 

[T with T]

dang you got away with highway robbery..... ouch.. Nicks for colston, Braylon and a late first.... Nicks is worth way more then that that guy is crying right now.

 

[T with T]

6. Calvin Johnson, DET

There was a lot of debate over Megatron’s value in 2011. Sure he is one of the best athletes in football, but in fantasy he can be hit or miss. Johnson has been in the league for four years, and has alternated five-touchdown seasons with 12 touchdown seasons. He will never be a stud in PPR leagues, as he has yet to crack 80 catches. If the trend continues, Johnson is due for a below average year but his own standards. It will all depend on Matt Stafford’s health. Bye: Week 9

have to agree with Graham on this one... CJ 6th

 

[T with T]

Calvin Johnson is the best wr in the league, what you talkin about never be a stud in ppr????? thats funniest stuff I heard all year.

 

[countingcrow]

If Burress signs with the Giants what does that do to the value of Nicks for this season?

Do you think it helps or hurts him?

 

[ffguru56]

If Burress signs with the Giants what does that do to the value of Nicks for this season?Do you think it helps or hurts him?

My initial thought is that it would hurt Nicks' value in the red zone a good deal.

 

[GoodLloydHaveMercy]

I think Burress is signing with the Steelers but if he signs with the Giants it could either open things up a little more or it could hurt in the redzone... actually it will prolly do BOTH of those things

 

[GoodLloydHaveMercy]

82/1240/9I absolutely love Nicks... Eli seems to get better every year and Nicks seems to be the guy in line for the most red zone opportunities... I recently traded for Nicks in dynasty NON-PPR (gave up Tampa Mike, Garcon, Manningham, & 1.10 for Nicks and a likely early 1st rd pick next yr)My only concern is that he seems to get banged up a bit throughout the season but I still see top 5 WR potential maybe even as early as this yr.

he was top 5 last year had he not got dinged up for 3 games he would have been top 2... avg 19 plus points a game in ppr... only roddy white had more p/game

sorry... i should mention that my league is a return yardage league so Nicks wasn't top 5 in my league last yr

 

[T with T]

82/1240/9I absolutely love Nicks... Eli seems to get better every year and Nicks seems to be the guy in line for the most red zone opportunities... I recently traded for Nicks in dynasty NON-PPR (gave up Tampa Mike, Garcon, Manningham, & 1.10 for Nicks and a likely early 1st rd pick next yr)My only concern is that he seems to get banged up a bit throughout the season but I still see top 5 WR potential maybe even as early as this yr.

he was top 5 last year had he not got dinged up for 3 games he would have been top 2... avg 19 plus points a game in ppr... only roddy white had more p/game

Ok well that explains it.. I never played in a return yard league, interesting.. Well I play in PPR and he was top 5 for me sorry... i should mention that my league is a return yardage league so Nicks wasn't top 5 in my league last yr

 

[greggorymac]

Does losing Boss help, hurt, or not affect Nicks fantasy value?

also,

Are you downgrading Nicks projections somewhat due to the improvement of the PHI secondary (whom he will face twice)?

 

[ffguru56]

Does losing Boss help, hurt, or not affect Nicks fantasy value?also,Are you downgrading Nicks projections somewhat due to the improvement of the PHI secondary (whom he will face twice)?

Maybe it's just me but I could care less if he plays PHI twice. That wouldn't affect my opinion towards him at all. Top defenses don't always shut down WRs, let alone one of his caliber. I wouldn't change his projections at all.

 

[-jb-]

Does losing Boss help, hurt, or not affect Nicks fantasy value?also,Are you downgrading Nicks projections somewhat due to the improvement of the PHI secondary (whom he will face twice)?

Maybe it's just me but I could care less if he plays PHI twice. That wouldn't affect my opinion towards him at all. Top defenses don't always shut down WRs, let alone one of his caliber. I wouldn't change his projections at all.

I would. Reduce by 5% of whatever you think he would do. As a Giants fan, this vexes me. I'm terribly vexed.

 

[Carter_Can_Fly]

Play him with caution in those games. If draws man covereage by Aso, he will still start for fantasy teams, but don't expect a huge game.

 

[Maggot Brain]

Does losing Boss help, hurt, or not affect Nicks fantasy value?also,Are you downgrading Nicks projections somewhat due to the improvement of the PHI secondary (whom he will face twice)?

Maybe it's just me but I could care less if he plays PHI twice. That wouldn't affect my opinion towards him at all. Top defenses don't always shut down WRs, let alone one of his caliber. I wouldn't change his projections at all.

I would. Reduce by 5% of whatever you think he would do. As a Giants fan, this vexes me. I'm terribly vexed.

Fly, Eag...er Phoenix, Fly

 

[T with T]

Does losing Boss help, hurt, or not affect Nicks fantasy value?also,Are you downgrading Nicks projections somewhat due to the improvement of the PHI secondary (whom he will face twice)?

Maybe it's just me but I could care less if he plays PHI twice. That wouldn't affect my opinion towards him at all. Top defenses don't always shut down WRs, let alone one of his caliber. I wouldn't change his projections at all.

I would. Reduce by 5% of whatever you think he would do. As a Giants fan, this vexes me. I'm terribly vexed.

Fly, Eag...er Phoenix, Fly

Boss doesn't change anything for me about Nicks... Nicks is the Number 1 wr in NY clearly, and as long as he is healthy will dominate again. I would like to see them let S. Smith go, as I think his receptions may even go up... 90-100 1400 and 12 is possible.

 

[thehornet]

Calvin Johnson is the best wr in the league, what you talkin about never be a stud in ppr????? thats funniest stuff I heard all year.

Not in production.

 

[Tanner9919]

Made tremendous strides last year and has earned his QBs trust. One of the few WRs that are a legitimate threat for double digit targets every week. His leg issues appear to be resolved but still causes a small amount of apprehension. Regardless he should be in the conversation for the first WR taken in all formats.85 rec1200 yards10 TDsThese numbers should be close to his floor in a full 16 game season.

thats'a good floor..good starting point.with the loss of Boss and no Steve Smith, I'm projecting Nicks, in this his 3rd year, to have a breakout season upwards of 95/1330/14..that's just one more rec per game, and 3 more TDs than 2010.that's not such a reach..I think he's going to be just this side of Fitz and AJ as the league's #3 WR ( slightly ahead of Roddy White).PPR gold!

 

[baconisgood]

Does losing Boss help, hurt, or not affect Nicks fantasy value?also,Are you downgrading Nicks projections somewhat due to the improvement of the PHI secondary (whom he will face twice)?

I think losing Boss could help Nicks as Boss has been a redzone target for a few years. 15 of his 18 career TDs have been RZ targets, and 12 came from inside the 10. Last season Nicks had 7 RZ TDs with Boss and Steve Smith 3 each, Manningham had 1. In this sense losing Smith and Boss is good for Nicks as long as their offense is still good enough to consistently get into the RZ, which it should be.

 

[T with T]

Does losing Boss help, hurt, or not affect Nicks fantasy value?also,Are you downgrading Nicks projections somewhat due to the improvement of the PHI secondary (whom he will face twice)?

I think losing Boss could help Nicks as Boss has been a redzone target for a few years. 15 of his 18 career TDs have been RZ targets, and 12 came from inside the 10. Last season Nicks had 7 RZ TDs with Boss and Steve Smith 3 each, Manningham had 1. In this sense losing Smith and Boss is good for Nicks as long as their offense is still good enough to consistently get into the RZ, which it should be.

Good Point. And it's not like Nicks had trouble scoring anyway as he had 11 tds in 13 games so he was on pace for about 13 or so, and now with Boss and possibly Smith out of the Picture I don't see why Nicks can't have 12-14 tds

 

[greggorymac]

Not to overreact off of a preseason game, but anyone else come away unimpressed with Hakeem's involvement in the 1st half of the Chicago preseason game? For a player that is being projected as a consensus top 5 receiver this year I would have expected a better preseason showing thus far. I guess we'll see how the Jets game goes next week?

 

[Bigboy10182000]

Not to overreact off of a preseason game, but anyone else come away unimpressed with Hakeem's involvement in the 1st half of the Chicago preseason game? For a player that is being projected as a consensus top 5 receiver this year I would have expected a better preseason showing thus far. I guess we'll see how the Jets game goes next week?

He left last night game healthy and as long as he does the same next week he's still a stud