Hot Sauce Guy
Footballguy
eh...4 games against the Jets & Dolphins will always give the Pats a fighting chance. Even with the extra game, that's roughly 20% of their schedule?The bar is pretty high for BB and NE in 2022. Getting to the AFC championship given the current strength of BUF, CIN and KC is no small task. And yes I'm discounting other AFC teams not mentioned unless quarterback and/or offensive scheme changes are made.
Looking at their 2021 schedule is interesting.
Week 1: Lost to MIA by 1 point (17-16)
Week 2: Stomped the Jets (25-6)
Week 3: Lost to the Saints at home (28-13)
Week 4: Lost to the Bucs (19-17)
Week 5: Eked one out at the Texans (25-22)
Week 6: Lost to the Cowboys at home (35-29)
Week7: Again stomped the Jets (54-13)
Week 8: Beat the Chargers (27-24)
Week 9: Beat the Panthers 24-6
Week 10: Crushed the Browns (45-7)
Week 11: Beat the Falcons 25-0)
Week 12: Beat the Titans (36-13)
Week 13: Edged past the Bills (14-10)
Week 15: Lost to the Colts (27-17) off a BYE. IIRC, BB is historically excellent coming off of BYE weeks.
Week 16: Lost to the Bills (33-24)
Week 17: Crushed the Jags (50-10)
Week 18: Lost to the Dolphins (again) (33-24)
So their wins were Jets, Texans, Jets, Chargers, Panthers, Browns, Falcons, Titans, Bills, and Jags?
That's....not very impressive.
The losses were Dolphins, Saints, Bucs, Cowboys, Colts, Bills, & Dolphins (again).
Again - that's not an impressive list of teams that beat them save for the early season Bucs, & early season Cowboys before both succumbed to a ton of injuries. Split with the Bills, and lost to the Colts when they were still pretty cohesive.
I guess my point is, (and I'll have to see next year's schedule) for 2021, I'm seeing a team that was very, very fortunate to be in the playoffs, and one that could easily miss them next year. Miami swept them this year, and the Bills are now the class of their division. BB always has a puncher's chance with their defense & run game, but you can only hide your QB for so long.
Again, depending on the schedule. It was surely a gift from the scheduling gods to draw the NFC South last year, with CAR & ATL both pretty much trash right now. I was surprised they lost to the Saints, but defense is legit in NOLA. I'm sure the Brady / Pats matchup had nothing to do with that scheduling & was all very coincidental. I honestly don't know how that's decided, but it felt shady when the schedule came out & basically gifted them 2 wins against ATL & CAR.
I think the Pats are going to have a much harder time if their schedule gets more difficult, and it's hard to imagine it getting easier than 2021, considering.