What affects inventory levels and what do you think would need to happen to increase inventory, outside of just build more houses?
Many things are affecting it.
When the market crashed 10 years ago, builders over built and got hammered with a ton of empty homes. They are are not building more than one of each model to use for showings, and even those are selling before they are done. They didn't build much for a few years after the crash. They have not kept up.
Many investors bought existing homes ten years ago and they are not selling these homes as rents continue to rise. This might be one of the largest factors. Demand to rent a home is just as crazy as buying a home. Huge lack of inventory there also. I'm looking to buy land to build fourplexes and can flip them w/o financing on my own to 1031 exchanges looking for better returns than they get in CA. Projects are getting funded with the 1031 money. Crazy stuff here.
I've sold to many 20-25 year old couples the past few years. You have a lot of people that have just finished recovering from ten years ago. The people that lost their homes have finally had credit scores recover. And you have a lot of baby boomers down sizing. Those three and more are crushing the entry and next level up markets.
Retirees are crushing our market as they move from other areas like CA, SEA, Denver and paying cash for a great $300-500k home and pocketing the same or more to add for retirement.
People are just doing better overall IMO.
Interest rates have spiked up the last 3 months. Loans at 3.5 are now at 4.25. Lenders think it might go to 5.25 in less than a year. That could slow down the amount of potential buyers.
I also heard that the national averages were that people sold and moved on average every six years. That number is climbing as people are choosing to just fix up there homes instead of trading up to a nicer home.
It's like the perfect storm for anyone choosing to sell right now.