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I wouldn't be surprised if.... (1 Viewer)

L

Longtucky Lemmings

Footballguy
OK, we've been through 3 games of the preseason and the "scrubs" are getting ready to fight for their jobs in week 4.....we've all been exposed to the endless hype that is the NFL Preseason and, as we all know, it can sometimes be difficult to sift through what is "legit" hype that will carry over into the regular season and what is preseason magic that fades when it counts.

So, let's all toss out some of our "anti-hype" predictions here in the form of "I wouldn't be suprised if...."

I'll start it off:

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I wouldn't be surprised if Gronk is the #5 fantasy football scorer.....on his own team. Behind the likes of Brady, Hernandez, Lloyd and Welker.

I wouldn't be surprised if the top 3 fantasy football scoring WRs have never even been in the Top 10 before.

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OK, what do you pros got for this?

 
'Longtucky Lemmings said:
OP words
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Great concept for a thread, but it will be way more useful if people provide reasoning.Why do you think 3 wideouts will come from nowhere to be the actual top 3? I find that somethign that would be incredibly surprising, if only based on the entire history of WR fantasy scoring in the NFL.Why do you think there's a decent enough chance for Gronk to be the low scorer on the Pats to not be surprised if it were to happen?
 
I wouldn't be surprised if the TOP 3 WR by the end of the year are Calvin, Julio and AJ

I wouldn't be surprised if Hernandez and Pettigrew outscore Gronkowski.

I wouldn't be surprised if DMAC goes 16 games this year

 
'Shawn said:
I wouldn't be surprised if the TOP 3 WR by the end of the year are Calvin, Julio and AJI wouldn't be surprised if Hernandez and Pettigrew outscore Gronkowski.I wouldn't be surprised if DMAC goes 16 games this year
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Why not?Why not? And why Pettigrew?Why not?
 
I wouldn't be surprised if

Adrian Peterson is a top 5 back

Julio Jones is the #1 WR

Hernandez has more yards than Gronk

Jimmy Graham has 30 more points than the next TE

David Wilson ends the year with more Fantasy points than Bradshaw

 
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This may not be the place for this but after the obsession with bad QB good athlete Tim Tebow I hope the obsessed media focuses on Russell Wilson or another real QB like Luck or RG3.

 
'Instinctive said:
'Shawn said:
I wouldn't be surprised if the TOP 3 WR by the end of the year are Calvin, Julio and AJI wouldn't be surprised if Hernandez and Pettigrew outscore Gronkowski.I wouldn't be surprised if DMAC goes 16 games this year
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Why not?Why not? And why Pettigrew?Why not?
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How is the first statement that surprising? Andre is injury prone and fitz has a crap QB. Pettigrew may be a reach but Detroits run situation sucks and Matt Stafford is gonna have to throw again A LOT. Hernandez is going to see less double coverage than Gronk.Darren Mcfadden has not had repeat injuries. It seems to be a trend that he gets injured, but if you look at it this way, each injury was different it's not like he has a lingering ankle problem or lingering back sprain.
 
Matt Flynn starts by week 4

Roddy White easily outscores Julio Jones

AJ Green fantasy bust

Stevan Ridley finishes top 5 RB

 
The desperate Jets promote Bilal Powell over Shonn Greene somewhere down the line

Blaine Gabbert becomes a Top 20 rosterable QB

 
Cam Newton's stats regress - Based on pre-season his accuracy hasn't improved and the running game in Carolina has been beefed up.

Vick is a top 3 QB - Seems like he gets it. Even with an injury he'll be a top 3 ppg QB.

Brandon Marshall is the finishes WR1 or 2 (depending on Madden curse) - He's produced in some awful situations. Culter will be locked onto him.

 
'Instinctive said:
'Longtucky Lemmings said:
OP words
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Great concept for a thread, but it will be way more useful if people provide reasoning.Why do you think 3 wideouts will come from nowhere to be the actual top 3? I find that somethign that would be incredibly surprising, if only based on the entire history of WR fantasy scoring in the NFL.Why do you think there's a decent enough chance for Gronk to be the low scorer on the Pats to not be surprised if it were to happen?
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I think you're missing the point a little...wasn't really intending this to be a "I believe that..." thread....more a "it wouldn't shock me if this happened."Having said that....as for Gronk given the porous NE online, the everchanging scheme there and the quick-twitch skill set they may need to succeed I could foresee a situation in which Gronk is, overall, option 4 for Brady.Regarding the WR thing I tend to view wideouts under the glass of two simple qualifiers...talent and opportunity. With that said combined with the the awful online and QB in Arizona, Andre Johnson's age and hamstrings and other factors I see three second year wideouts who could pop...AJ Green, Julio Jones and Torrey SmithI'm not saying these thing WILL happen...I'm just saying that of they did I, for one, wouldn't be surprised
 
'BassNBrew said:
Cam Newton's stats regress - Based on pre-season his accuracy hasn't improved and the running game in Carolina has been beefed up.

Vick is a top 3 QB - Seems like he gets it. Even with an injury he'll be a top 3 ppg QB.

Brandon Marshall is the finishes WR1 or 2 (depending on Madden curse) - He's produced in some awful situations. Culter will be locked onto him.
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Now that he has the new body armor, I'm all in :thumbup:
 
I am going to give a few of them that I think are going to happen then a few long shots.

If Pettigrew finishes the year as a top 3 tight end, 85 catches and 1000 yards the key is that Megatron will start getting triple covered in the redzone and Stafford will find Pettigrew in the endzone 10+ times this year

If Spiller and Jackson both finish in the top 20 for running back scoring, I see a lot of screens and dump offs and these guys will be ppr gold

If the 49ers miss the playoffs because Alex Smith starts to think he is better than he is and his bad play as well as a major injury on defense and the team goes 8 - 8

If Jordy Nelson is this years verison of Mike Williams, Williams first 2 years of stats 65 964 11 then 65 771 3. Nelson last year 68 1263 15, I predict 62 950 5

Here are some crazy ones

If Buffalo has the highest scoring DST in fantasy because they always seem to return picks for touchdowns, their return game is solid, and they seem to have a good pass rush now to get some sacks and maybe more pick 6's

If Russell Wilson is so good that Golden Tate becomes a top 25 receiver because he is the only receiver that can stay healthy on Seattle

If James Casey takes over as the starting tight end in Houston by week 6, he is freakish athlete and Daniels is aging

If Jahvid Best comes back in week 7 and gets eased back into action for a few weeks before he is the highest scoring running back (ppr leagues) for weeks 11 - 14 (the Lions schedule is prime for some high scoring games), then he gets another concussion shortly after and sadly brings his career to an end.

If the leading receiver on Dallas isn't named Witten, Bryant, or Austin. Based purely on injury factors.

 
'Longtucky Lemmings said:
'Instinctive said:
'Longtucky Lemmings said:
OP words
Click to expand...
Great concept for a thread, but it will be way more useful if people provide reasoning.Why do you think 3 wideouts will come from nowhere to be the actual top 3? I find that somethign that would be incredibly surprising, if only based on the entire history of WR fantasy scoring in the NFL.Why do you think there's a decent enough chance for Gronk to be the low scorer on the Pats to not be surprised if it were to happen?
Click to expand...
I think you're missing the point a little...wasn't really intending this to be a "I believe that..." thread....more a "it wouldn't shock me if this happened."Having said that....as for Gronk given the porous NE online, the everchanging scheme there and the quick-twitch skill set they may need to succeed I could foresee a situation in which Gronk is, overall, option 4 for Brady.Regarding the WR thing I tend to view wideouts under the glass of two simple qualifiers...talent and opportunity. With that said combined with the the awful online and QB in Arizona, Andre Johnson's age and hamstrings and other factors I see three second year wideouts who could pop...AJ Green, Julio Jones and Torrey SmithI'm not saying these thing WILL happen...I'm just saying that of they did I, for one, wouldn't be surprised
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and I have all 4 (including Calvin) on my Dynasty Team!
 
I'm not sure if I'm getting this correct but if the are anti-hype predictions then

1- Welker gets his 100 catches. Everyone seems to think he is going to lose targets but getting those hundred catches is what he does.

2 - RG3 finishes as QB 20-23. He isn't as thick as Cam so I don't think he will see the kind of redzone carries that Cam does/did. Nor does he have the moves/speed of Vick. As a passer I don't believe that he is as polished as he needs to be (right now anyways) to be a top 15 passer.

3- Foster finishes outside the top RB's regardless of injuries. He lost his starting right tackle (Eric Winston), he lost is fullback (Vickers), and Ben Tate is a very good running back. The fact that Tate is a good running back means that the Texans don't have to workhourse him. Instead they'll lighten his load a bit for playoffs.

 
'Chazzhawk said:
If James Casey takes over as the starting tight end in Houston by week 6, he is freakish athlete and Daniels is aging
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Casey isn't a spring chicken either. Turns 28 in less than a month. Less than 2 years younger than Daniels (and much less of track record)I see Houston just lining him up all over. He's a nice weapon, just never see him being a consistent fantasy factor.
 
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Wouldn't be surprised if any of the following were busts:

QB - Rivers, Romo, Ryan

RB - Sproles, Lynch, Forte, McFadden, Charles, Gore, SJax

WR - Cruz, Nelson, VJax

TE - Finley, Fred Davis

Wouldn't be surprised if any of the following finish top 5:

QB - Vick, Eli

RB - Richardson, Fred Jackson

WR - Maclin, Bowe

TE - Olsen

Wouldn't be surprised if come-from-nowhere performances come out of:

a Detroit RB

a Chargers WR

 
'Anonymous Internet User said:
Wouldn't be surprised if any of the following were busts:QB - Rivers, Romo, RyanRB - Sproles, Lynch, Forte, McFadden, Charles, Gore, SJaxWR - Cruz, Nelson, VJaxTE - Finley, Fred DavisWouldn't be surprised if any of the following finish top 5:QB - Vick, EliRB - Richardson, Fred JacksonWR - Maclin, BoweTE - OlsenWouldn't be surprised if come-from-nowhere performances come out of:a Detroit RBa Chargers WR
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Why Sproles? If it's a ppr/return league I don't see how he can be. He should finish in the top 15 at least. I picked him up off the waiver wire. 3 years ago and he's been solid......exceding expectations last year.
 
Team Statements

I wouldn't be surprised if the Jets finish 4-12 and Mike Tannenbaum & Rex Ryan are shown the door. It was cute for awhile, but...

I wouldn't be suprised to see the Pittsburgh Steelers finish below .500.

I wouldn't be surprised to see the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West.

Individual Statements

I wouldn't be surprised if Peyton Manning goes for 4400/33.

I wouldn't be surprised if Reggie Bush proved 2011 was not a fluke.

I wouldn't be surprised if Kyle Rudolph emerges as a Top 5 TE.

 
'TheDirtyWord said:
Team Statements

I wouldn't be surprised if the Jets finish 4-12 and Mike Tannenbaum & Rex Ryan are shown the door. It was cute for awhile, but...

I wouldn't be suprised to see the Pittsburgh Steelers finish below .500.

I wouldn't be surprised to see the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West.

Individual Statements

I wouldn't be surprised if Peyton Manning goes for 4400/33.

I wouldn't be surprised if Reggie Bush proved 2011 was not a fluke.

I wouldn't be surprised if Kyle Rudolph emerges as a Top 5 TE.
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I can see all these.
 
Why, on this thread and others, do we continually see predictions for lower production from Gronk? That somehow he "can't keep it up." This may be fine, but why does no one seem to think that Graham will fall to earth? Why are the projections for Graham through the roof? Why does the one who put up record numbers "have to" fall, but the other one has no limits on his production? Gronk is only 23, and there is no reason to suppose he can't get better.

I wouldn't be surprised if:

Julio Jones doesn't live up to the wild expectations of fantasy "experts."

Jordy Nelson will actually exceed last year's numbers.

Kendall Wright will be far and away the top rookie receiver.

DeAngelo Williams puts up over 1000 yards and 10 TDs.

Jake Locker is a top 10, maybe top 5, fantasy QB.

Matt Flynn is starting for Seattle by week 6.

Willis McGahee is a top 5 fantasy RB.

Trent Richardson is a huge bust.

There you go- predictions that go against the conventional wisdom of the fantasy world.

 
wouldn't be surprised if:

Antonio Brown is this year's version of 2011 Victor Cruz..Brown is set to catch a lot of balls and Tds.get used to it.

he's likely to finish as a top 5 WR.

B. Gabbert finishes as a top 15 QB.

Eli is the #1 QB this season

Jordy Nelson flops

McGahee and R. Jennings each are top 10 RB's, Fred Jackson finishes the season as a top 5 RB

Blackmon catches 80+ balls and scores double-digit TDs

Fred Davis' stat line for the season is 80/1000/8

Matt Schaub has his best season ever..

Kenny Britt finishes the year as a top 8 WR

Welker and Gronk each fail to reach the 1,000 yard mark, instead finishing around 750-800 yards

Rodgers and Brees throw for 'only' 34 tds

Peyton passes for 4300 yards and 36 Tds

 
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'ponchsox said:
'BassNBrew said:
Cam Newton's stats regress - Based on pre-season his accuracy hasn't improved and the running game in Carolina has been beefed up.

Vick is a top 3 QB - Seems like he gets it. Even with an injury he'll be a top 3 ppg QB.

Brandon Marshall is the finishes WR1 or 2 (depending on Madden curse) - He's produced in some awful situations. Culter will be locked onto him.
Click to expand...
Now that he has the new body armor, I'm all in :thumbup:
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"Born on the battlefield and forged on the gridiron!"
 
...if Julio Jones only marginally improves on last year's numbers and is no better than WR15.

...if RG3 & Luck both struggle to put up QB1 numbers and end up as middle of the road QB2's.

 
I wouldn't be surprised if the Brandon Marshall finishes in the top 3 receivers.

I wouldn't be surprised if Randall Cobb has more receptions than Jermichael Finley.

I wouldn't be supervised if Seattle wins the NFC west.

 
I'm curious as to why people think AJ Green will bust. QB? Not as talented as advertised?

I had him last year and watched all of his games and he is an all world talent still waiting to be fully unleashed.

If Fitz can put up numbers with that Qb crap surrounding him, i fully expect it with AJ.

 
'Futz said:
I'm curious as to why people think AJ Green will bust. QB? Not as talented as advertised?I had him last year and watched all of his games and he is an all world talent still waiting to be fully unleashed.If Fitz can put up numbers with that Qb crap surrounding him, i fully expect it with AJ.
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why are people down on Dalton? he was rookie and had an awesome season and can actually impove!Green is a stud, he will produce
 
'Futz said:
I'm curious as to why people think AJ Green will bust. QB? Not as talented as advertised?I had him last year and watched all of his games and he is an all world talent still waiting to be fully unleashed.If Fitz can put up numbers with that Qb crap surrounding him, i fully expect it with AJ.
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My concern would be that Green's targets were midpack last year.
 
I wouldn't be surprised if a major impact fantasy player gets traded before the new Week 9 deadline and swings a lot of leagues in either a positive or negative way.

 
'Mr. Soup Nazi said:
...if Julio Jones only marginally improves on last year's numbers and is no better than WR15....if RG3 & Luck both struggle to put up QB1 numbers and end up as middle of the road QB2's.
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You expect him to get hurt again? In non-ppr Julio has the 9th highest ppg of any WR. If he marginally improves, we are talking top 5.
 
'davearm said:
'Futz said:
I'm curious as to why people think AJ Green will bust. QB? Not as talented as advertised?I had him last year and watched all of his games and he is an all world talent still waiting to be fully unleashed.If Fitz can put up numbers with that Qb crap surrounding him, i fully expect it with AJ.
Click to expand...
My concern would be that Green's targets were midpack last year.
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You are glass half empty. When I see his low targets, all I see is massive opportunity for an increase in targets and production. He likely barely knew the playbook for the first few weeks.
 
'Ilov80s said:
'Mr. Soup Nazi said:
...if Julio Jones only marginally improves on last year's numbers and is no better than WR15....if RG3 & Luck both struggle to put up QB1 numbers and end up as middle of the road QB2's.
Click to expand...
You expect him to get hurt again? In non-ppr Julio has the 9th highest ppg of any WR. If he marginally improves, we are talking top 5.
Click to expand...
And if he marginally regresses (aka the sophomore slum) he's outside the top 15. Not sure what you are asking. It isn't like there aren't a lot of other players that also have a chance to improve.
 
'Sabertooth said:
'Ilov80s said:
'Mr. Soup Nazi said:
...if Julio Jones only marginally improves on last year's numbers and is no better than WR15....if RG3 & Luck both struggle to put up QB1 numbers and end up as middle of the road QB2's.
Click to expand...
You expect him to get hurt again? In non-ppr Julio has the 9th highest ppg of any WR. If he marginally improves, we are talking top 5.
Click to expand...
And if he marginally regresses (aka the sophomore slum) he's outside the top 15. Not sure what you are asking. It isn't like there aren't a lot of other players that also have a chance to improve.
Click to expand...
The poster said that he wouldn't be surprised if Julio improved AND still was no better than WR15. The only way that scenario happens is if Julio gets hurt or if the other 14 WRs are just going to have ridiculous seasons.
 
'Futz said:
I'm curious as to why people think AJ Green will bust. QB? Not as talented as advertised?I had him last year and watched all of his games and he is an all world talent still waiting to be fully unleashed.If Fitz can put up numbers with that Qb crap surrounding him, i fully expect it with AJ.
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I'm a little confused by it as well. If people are worried that he doesn't justify an early 3rd pick, that's one thing. There's a chance his numbers don't take a big jump from last season (though those were pretty good). But his chances of busting (barring injury, same as anyone else) are really, really low. He's going to get a ton of targets and the guy is crazy talented. I think he's one of the safest bets out there for 70 catches, 1,000 yards and 8 TDs.
 
Teams;

I wouldn't be surprised to see the Chiefs in the AFC Champ game this year, in KC. They are one of the most talented teams in the NFL now that they are healthy and they improved their roster over the offseason. Cassel will decide how far they go in the playoffs IMO. Their D will be in the top 3 this year.

I wouldn't be surprised to see GB miss the playoffs this year, yeah. Chi is going to be very, very good. Det is dangerous simply because of their offense. With even the slightest improvement I the running game or on D they could win the division. Between Chi and Det, GB could finish 3rd in the division. That is far from a guarantee to make it to the post season.

Players;

I wouldn't be surprised to see Pettigrew finish as the top TE. He's amassed over 120 target 2 seasons in a row and will again this year. All that's been missing from him being an elite TE is TDs. Which are remarkably unpredictable. If he scores 8 -10 TDs along with 750 yds, he could be the top guy.

I wouldn't be surprised to see Trent Richardson finishing the top 5 RBs, PPR only. He's Dripping with the 2 things that equate to fantasy success, talent and opportunity. The Clev situation has been greatly exaggerated in its pitiful ness. At least as it relates to Richardson.

I wouldn't be surprised to see Cutler finish as a top 5 QB. He's always had elite ability. Now he has an elite weapon at WR. Not too mention a great rookie.

 
'jurb26 said:
Teams;I wouldn't be surprised to see the Chiefs in the AFC Champ game this year, in KC. They are one of the most talented teams in the NFL now that they are healthy and they improved their roster over the offseason. Cassel will decide how far they go in the playoffs IMO. Their D will be in the top 3 this year.I wouldn't be surprised to see GB miss the playoffs this year, yeah. Chi is going to be very, very good. Det is dangerous simply because of their offense. With even the slightest improvement I the running game or on D they could win the division. Between Chi and Det, GB could finish 3rd in the division. That is far from a guarantee to make it to the post season.Players;I wouldn't be surprised to see Pettigrew finish as the top TE. He's amassed over 120 target 2 seasons in a row and will again this year. All that's been missing from him being an elite TE is TDs. Which are remarkably unpredictable. If he scores 8 -10 TDs along with 750 yds, he could be the top guy.I wouldn't be surprised to see Trent Richardson finishing the top 5 RBs, PPR only. He's Dripping with the 2 things that equate to fantasy success, talent and opportunity. The Clev situation has been greatly exaggerated in its pitiful ness. At least as it relates to Richardson.I wouldn't be surprised to see Cutler finish as a top 5 QB. He's always had elite ability. Now he has an elite weapon at WR. Not too mention a great rookie.
Click to expand...
I like your Chiefs pick it is bold and maybe they are this years 49er's, game manager at quarterback, great running game, and good defense.I could see Chicago winning the division but if the Lion's offense makes them dangerous, then the Packer's are lethal.I like the Pettigrew pick too, he really just needs to keep up the same production but double his touchdownsIf he is healthy I agree, but it is a major question mark.Solid yes, top 10 yes, top 5 I don't think there is a prayer
 
Like this thread idea.

I wouldn't be suprised if Russell Wilson ends up with more fantasy points in 2012 than RG3.

Yep - I said it. I'll come back and add others, but that's the one I got.

 
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'jurb26 said:
Teams;I wouldn't be surprised to see the Chiefs in the AFC Champ game this year, in KC. They are one of the most talented teams in the NFL now that they are healthy and they improved their roster over the offseason. Cassel will decide how far they go in the playoffs IMO. Their D will be in the top 3 this year.I wouldn't be surprised to see GB miss the playoffs this year, yeah. Chi is going to be very, very good. Det is dangerous simply because of their offense. With even the slightest improvement I the running game or on D they could win the division. Between Chi and Det, GB could finish 3rd in the division. That is far from a guarantee to make it to the post season.Players;I wouldn't be surprised to see Pettigrew finish as the top TE. He's amassed over 120 target 2 seasons in a row and will again this year. All that's been missing from him being an elite TE is TDs. Which are remarkably unpredictable. If he scores 8 -10 TDs along with 750 yds, he could be the top guy.I wouldn't be surprised to see Trent Richardson finishing the top 5 RBs, PPR only. He's Dripping with the 2 things that equate to fantasy success, talent and opportunity. The Clev situation has been greatly exaggerated in its pitiful ness. At least as it relates to Richardson.I wouldn't be surprised to see Cutler finish as a top 5 QB. He's always had elite ability. Now he has an elite weapon at WR. Not too mention a great rookie.
Click to expand...
I'll take the under on all of these.There are just too many good teams for KC to jump to get to the top of the AFC. I don't think their defense is good enough to execute the Baltimore script.GB is head and shoulders better than the other teams in their division. Arguably the best team in the NFC. And their defense isn't likely to be 32nd in the league again (not that it prevented them from winning 15 games).I'm very bullish on Pettigrew, but TE1 is way over-optimistic. Yes the targets are there, but look at how his yards per catch compares to other TEs. He's just not as athletic as several other guys. Plus Scheffler will take a chunk of the TE balls in DET.Richardson, I have him as a candidate to be bust of the year. Already injured, bad offense, no training camp, team is going to be trailing all year, rookie QB, and on and on.Cutler could be very solid, but there are too many elite guys he'd have to leapfrog to get in the top 5.
 
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