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I wouldn't draft Larry Fitzgerald in the 1st...2nd...3rd...4th (2 Viewers)

Most that pass on him are taking guys like Randy Moss, MIles Austin, Calvin Johnson, Reggie Wayne, Roddy White...which of these WRs do you see as inherently more risky and how far off do you think owners will suffer for taking one of these other topflight WRs?
Dude, the TITLE of your thread says you'd pass on him in Rd 4. Since when are those guys going in Rd 4?
Yes but the Fitzfans are feeling like they got a bargain at the top of round 3 and Fitz is usually gone by the top of the 3rd at the latest, I'm just trying to point out that compared to the pool of WRs he usually is drafted in that he is the most risky IMO.
I'd rather have Fitzgerald than Miles Austin by a lot. Calvin was underwhelming last year. I like Roddy but he was dead weight at the start of last season. I can understand sliding Fitz behind Moss and Wayne, but the others are a matter of preference.
 
Most that pass on him are taking guys like Randy Moss, MIles Austin, Calvin Johnson, Reggie Wayne, Roddy White...which of these WRs do you see as inherently more risky and how far off do you think owners will suffer for taking one of these other topflight WRs?
Dude, the TITLE of your thread says you'd pass on him in Rd 4. Since when are those guys going in Rd 4?
:lmao: It sounds like alot of people in here are advocating passing on Larry in the early third round. I just have a hard time envisioning a scenario where Fitzgerald doesn't have at least 1,200 yards and 8 TDs considering the amount of targets we should expect.If you think he's going to get injured because Leinart will hang him out to dry, so be it, but if he plays 16 healthy games he should see 160+ targets. With a career ypc of 13.5, an average catch percentage of 61%, and 59 TDs in 6 career seasons (not including his dominance in the playoffs) you're looking at 97 receptions, 1,300 yards, and 9 TDs if he plays to his career averages and sees that many targets, and those averages include his rookie season AND an injured season.I don't really think those target levels can be debated and with Boldin gone he'll likely set a career high in targets. 170 doesn't seem out of the realm of possibility. Larry Fitzgerald will be the focal point of Arizona's passing attack. Even if you think Leinart/Anderson will be dreadful, Fitz will still see a ton of passes. Of the players you listed I would only take Calvin Johnson and Randy Moss ahead of him. He's 4th on my board.
 
Most that pass on him are taking guys like Randy Moss, MIles Austin, Calvin Johnson, Reggie Wayne, Roddy White...which of these WRs do you see as inherently more risky and how far off do you think owners will suffer for taking one of these other topflight WRs?
Dude, the TITLE of your thread says you'd pass on him in Rd 4. Since when are those guys going in Rd 4?
Yes but the Fitzfans are feeling like they got a bargain at the top of round 3 and Fitz is usually gone by the top of the 3rd at the latest, I'm just trying to point out that compared to the pool of WRs he usually is drafted in that he is the most risky IMO.
I'd rather have Fitzgerald than Miles Austin by a lot. Calvin was underwhelming last year. I like Roddy but he was dead weight at the start of last season. I can understand sliding Fitz behind Moss and Wayne, but the others are a matter of preference.
I hope you're watching Leinart tonight Fred. I am sure you'll be on the "Leinart sucks" bandwagon soon enough.
 
Most that pass on him are taking guys like Randy Moss, MIles Austin, Calvin Johnson, Reggie Wayne, Roddy White...which of these WRs do you see as inherently more risky and how far off do you think owners will suffer for taking one of these other topflight WRs?
Dude, the TITLE of your thread says you'd pass on him in Rd 4. Since when are those guys going in Rd 4?
Yes but the Fitzfans are feeling like they got a bargain at the top of round 3 and Fitz is usually gone by the top of the 3rd at the latest, I'm just trying to point out that compared to the pool of WRs he usually is drafted in that he is the most risky IMO.
I'd rather have Fitzgerald than Miles Austin by a lot. Calvin was underwhelming last year. I like Roddy but he was dead weight at the start of last season. I can understand sliding Fitz behind Moss and Wayne, but the others are a matter of preference.
Fred you're wrong. He was hurt and he did poorly when CPepp was under center. In 8 games with a rookie named Stafford he racked up 750 yds and 5 TDs...He works out to almost 1,500 yds and double digits and now Stafford is in year 2 and has tunnel vision for the guy. You are completely living in the past and Kurt Warner who is not here anymore. Join the 2010 crew and make Calvin Johnson a better target on your boards. That guy has the potential to break single season records for yds and possibly TDs...seriously. I do agree with you though that it is preference.

 
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I hope you're watching Leinart tonight Fred. I am sure you'll be on the "Leinart sucks" bandwagon soon enough.
I wasn't. From the boxscore it didn't look that bad, though. I'm sure I'll see what you're talking about during the game, but Leinart passed for eight yards, Hightower lost a yard, and Leinart passed it short to Breaston who got two when they needed three. Next drive starts out with a Leinart incompletion, then a false start and another negative yardage run by Hightower puts them at third and sixteen. Again, it doesn't sound like Leinart was horrendous. Third drive, Hightower leads off by losing yards again, this time for -2 yards. Leinart then passes for 11 on 2nd and 12, and has an incomplete pass on third down. It seems to me like the biggest issues on those three series were the penalty and Hightower's three rushes for -4 yards. I'm sure I'll see how badly Leinart played when I watch the game on nfl replay, but it doesn't seem all that bad from the boxscore. Arizona Cardinals at 13:17 1-10-ARI 32 (13:17) 7-M.Leinart pass short left to 15-S.Breaston to ARZ 40 for 8 yards (30-J.McCourty) [22-V.Fuller]. 2-2-ARI 40 (12:44) 34-T.Hightower right guard to ARZ 39 for -1 yards (55-S.Tulloch; 94-S.Marks). 3-3-ARI 39 (12:02) (Shotgun) 7-M.Leinart pass short left to 15-S.Breaston to ARZ 41 for 2 yards (22-V.Fuller). 4-1-ARI 41 (11:37) (Punt formation) 5-B.Graham punts 46 yards to TEN 13, Center-82-M.Leach. 17-D.Williams to TEN 23 for 10 yards (31-J.Wright; 82-M.Leach). ---Arizona Cardinals at 10:01 1-10-ARI 35 (10:01) 7-M.Leinart pass incomplete short left to 14-S.Williams. 2-10-ARI 35 (9:57) PENALTY on ARZ-75-L.Brown, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at ARZ 35 - No Play. 2-15-ARI 30 (9:57) 34-T.Hightower up the middle to ARZ 29 for -1 yards (93-J.Babin; 92-W.Witherspoon). 3-16-ARI 29 (9:21) (Shotgun) 7-M.Leinart pass short middle to 83-S.Spach to ARZ 36 for 7 yards (24-C.Hope). 4-9-ARI 36 (8:45) (Punt formation) 5-B.Graham punts 39 yards to TEN 25, Center-82-M.Leach, out of bounds. PENALTY on TEN-33-M.Griffin, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at TEN 25.---- 1-10-ARI 35 (5:31) 34-T.Hightower left end to ARZ 33 for -2 yards (55-S.Tulloch). 2-12-ARI 33 (4:51) 7-M.Leinart pass short middle to 12-A.Roberts to ARZ 44 for 11 yards (22-V.Fuller) [55-S.Tulloch]. 3-1-ARI 44 (4:09) 7-M.Leinart pass incomplete deep right to 14-S.Williams. 4-1-ARI 44 (4:04) (Punt formation) 5-B.Graham punts 51 yards to TEN 5, Center-82-M.Leach, downed by ARZ-82-M.Leach.
 
I hope you're watching Leinart tonight Fred. I am sure you'll be on the "Leinart sucks" bandwagon soon enough.
I wasn't. From the boxscore it didn't look that bad, though. I'm sure I'll see what you're talking about during the game, but Leinart passed for eight yards, Hightower lost a yard, and Leinart passed it short to Breaston who got two when they needed three. Next drive starts out with a Leinart incompletion, then a false start and another negative yardage run by Hightower puts them at third and sixteen. Again, it doesn't sound like Leinart was horrendous. Third drive, Hightower leads off by losing yards again, this time for -2 yards. Leinart then passes for 11 on 2nd and 12, and has an incomplete pass on third down. It seems to me like the biggest issues on those three series were the penalty and Hightower's three rushes for -4 yards. I'm sure I'll see how badly Leinart played when I watch the game on nfl replay, but it doesn't seem all that bad from the boxscore. Arizona Cardinals at 13:17 1-10-ARI 32 (13:17) 7-M.Leinart pass short left to 15-S.Breaston to ARZ 40 for 8 yards (30-J.McCourty) [22-V.Fuller]. 2-2-ARI 40 (12:44) 34-T.Hightower right guard to ARZ 39 for -1 yards (55-S.Tulloch; 94-S.Marks). 3-3-ARI 39 (12:02) (Shotgun) 7-M.Leinart pass short left to 15-S.Breaston to ARZ 41 for 2 yards (22-V.Fuller). 4-1-ARI 41 (11:37) (Punt formation) 5-B.Graham punts 46 yards to TEN 13, Center-82-M.Leach. 17-D.Williams to TEN 23 for 10 yards (31-J.Wright; 82-M.Leach). ---Arizona Cardinals at 10:01 1-10-ARI 35 (10:01) 7-M.Leinart pass incomplete short left to 14-S.Williams. 2-10-ARI 35 (9:57) PENALTY on ARZ-75-L.Brown, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at ARZ 35 - No Play. 2-15-ARI 30 (9:57) 34-T.Hightower up the middle to ARZ 29 for -1 yards (93-J.Babin; 92-W.Witherspoon). 3-16-ARI 29 (9:21) (Shotgun) 7-M.Leinart pass short middle to 83-S.Spach to ARZ 36 for 7 yards (24-C.Hope). 4-9-ARI 36 (8:45) (Punt formation) 5-B.Graham punts 39 yards to TEN 25, Center-82-M.Leach, out of bounds. PENALTY on TEN-33-M.Griffin, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at TEN 25.---- 1-10-ARI 35 (5:31) 34-T.Hightower left end to ARZ 33 for -2 yards (55-S.Tulloch). 2-12-ARI 33 (4:51) 7-M.Leinart pass short middle to 12-A.Roberts to ARZ 44 for 11 yards (22-V.Fuller) [55-S.Tulloch]. 3-1-ARI 44 (4:09) 7-M.Leinart pass incomplete deep right to 14-S.Williams. 4-1-ARI 44 (4:04) (Punt formation) 5-B.Graham punts 51 yards to TEN 5, Center-82-M.Leach, downed by ARZ-82-M.Leach.
You need to see the game. Leinart is bad and has no arm strength at all. He can complete very short passes, but that's about it.I'll make a prediction. In the next preseason game, game 3, where there are actually some game plans, Leinart will not complete a pass that goes for more than 25 yard in the air. He can complete three yarders all day, but that's not going to move the team.The bottom line is, when Leinart was in for three series the were three and out. Anderson came in and drove them down the field in his first drive. Now he sucks too, but not as much as Leinart does.
 
This is LAUGHABLE!

The regular season can truly not come quick enough.

Talk about an over reaction of epic proportions.

Ok, here's the REALITY in all this.

1) That big drop off that is being mentioned in '06: He only played 12 games that year. I know, it says 13 officially but he got hurt the week before the Chiefs games and played very little in that game and had two catches. He wasn't really involved in the game at all. So basically, he played in 12 games. Pro-rate the production over 16 games and Fitz was Fitz, even with Leinart.

2) Speaking of Leinart. Look at the games Leinart and Fitz played together. You may be surprised to see that the actual production is miniscule at best. Fitz's productivity lessened with Leinart by about .6 catches a game/1 TD per year...nothing. And that was when Leinart had less experience and the Cardinals were A LOT worse.

3) You watch one pre-season play and automatically predict that Leinart is going to get his WR killed? Do you not see, that on EVERY SINGLE WEEK in the NFL, the number of NAME QBs that throw the ball to WRs that get hit hard? Its called "going across the middle in the NFL". DId Leinart get 3 other WRS knocked out too? No. If he really WAS doing that, do you think their coaches would let Leinart play? Are they dumb enough to see that happen and think "its ok if I let my all-world WR get killed because of Leinart"? C'mon.

4) Why on Earth would you say "because a QB is this, Fitz will be that"? I don't remember Kyle Orton being Tom Brady last year, yet Brandon Marshall did pretty good. I don't recall WRoddy WHite having a terrible year when Matt Ryan was a totally unknown rookie. How many no name QBs has Calvin Johnson had? And didn't he actually have his worst year with the supposed "best" QB talent?

You get the point? You talk of Fitz as if he's a one hit wonder that needed Warner but the facts are he has never had a bad year and has actually been a top 3 for the last four. He has succeeded regardless of Warner, Leinart, McCown, or any other scrub they had in there that I have forgotten. Warner was great and I loved him but Warner benefited from Fitz every bit as much as Fitz benefited from Warner. Remember, Warner RE-ESTABLISHED his level of play AFTER coming to Arizona: Fitz has been great since day 1...on a bad team at times.

Its rediculous for anyone to say that they would pass on Fitz 3-4 timese before taking him..its absolutely ludacrious to think there are 10+ WRS that should be taken before him. A lot of you may SAY you'd pass on him multiple times in your draft this year but I would really like to see what you'd do when you're sitting there. I know what I would do: A)Invite you into every league I have and B)Laugh you out of the league at the end of the year.

Go ahead and overreact (this has got to be one of the best ones I have seen in years). I hope I can keep from laughing out loud when you pass over Fitz (you know, there's a reason some guys are universally known by one name) and take Victor Cruz..after all, didn't he have a great game last night? Per your logic, that's THE measure of all things to come.

Good grief.
Lighten up, Francis.
 
This is LAUGHABLE!

The regular season can truly not come quick enough.

Talk about an over reaction of epic proportions.

Ok, here's the REALITY in all this.

1) That big drop off that is being mentioned in '06: He only played 12 games that year. I know, it says 13 officially but he got hurt the week before the Chiefs games and played very little in that game and had two catches. He wasn't really involved in the game at all. So basically, he played in 12 games. Pro-rate the production over 16 games and Fitz was Fitz, even with Leinart.

2) Speaking of Leinart. Look at the games Leinart and Fitz played together. You may be surprised to see that the actual production is miniscule at best. Fitz's productivity lessened with Leinart by about .6 catches a game/1 TD per year...nothing. And that was when Leinart had less experience and the Cardinals were A LOT worse.

3) You watch one pre-season play and automatically predict that Leinart is going to get his WR killed? Do you not see, that on EVERY SINGLE WEEK in the NFL, the number of NAME QBs that throw the ball to WRs that get hit hard? Its called "going across the middle in the NFL". DId Leinart get 3 other WRS knocked out too? No. If he really WAS doing that, do you think their coaches would let Leinart play? Are they dumb enough to see that happen and think "its ok if I let my all-world WR get killed because of Leinart"? C'mon.

4) Why on Earth would you say "because a QB is this, Fitz will be that"? I don't remember Kyle Orton being Tom Brady last year, yet Brandon Marshall did pretty good. I don't recall WRoddy WHite having a terrible year when Matt Ryan was a totally unknown rookie. How many no name QBs has Calvin Johnson had? And didn't he actually have his worst year with the supposed "best" QB talent?

You get the point? You talk of Fitz as if he's a one hit wonder that needed Warner but the facts are he has never had a bad year and has actually been a top 3 for the last four. He has succeeded regardless of Warner, Leinart, McCown, or any other scrub they had in there that I have forgotten. Warner was great and I loved him but Warner benefited from Fitz every bit as much as Fitz benefited from Warner. Remember, Warner RE-ESTABLISHED his level of play AFTER coming to Arizona: Fitz has been great since day 1...on a bad team at times.

Its rediculous for anyone to say that they would pass on Fitz 3-4 timese before taking him..its absolutely ludacrious to think there are 10+ WRS that should be taken before him. A lot of you may SAY you'd pass on him multiple times in your draft this year but I would really like to see what you'd do when you're sitting there. I know what I would do: A)Invite you into every league I have and B)Laugh you out of the league at the end of the year.

Go ahead and overreact (this has got to be one of the best ones I have seen in years). I hope I can keep from laughing out loud when you pass over Fitz (you know, there's a reason some guys are universally known by one name) and take Victor Cruz..after all, didn't he have a great game last night? Per your logic, that's THE measure of all things to come.

Good grief.
Lighten up, Francis.
Actually, he makes some good points.

I personally won't hesitate to take Fitz after A.Johnson, Wayne and R.Moss are off the board, unless we hear that his injury is worse than initially reported.

 
This is LAUGHABLE!

The regular season can truly not come quick enough.

Talk about an over reaction of epic proportions.

Ok, here's the REALITY in all this.

1) That big drop off that is being mentioned in '06: He only played 12 games that year. I know, it says 13 officially but he got hurt the week before the Chiefs games and played very little in that game and had two catches. He wasn't really involved in the game at all. So basically, he played in 12 games. Pro-rate the production over 16 games and Fitz was Fitz, even with Leinart.

2) Speaking of Leinart. Look at the games Leinart and Fitz played together. You may be surprised to see that the actual production is miniscule at best. Fitz's productivity lessened with Leinart by about .6 catches a game/1 TD per year...nothing. And that was when Leinart had less experience and the Cardinals were A LOT worse.

3) You watch one pre-season play and automatically predict that Leinart is going to get his WR killed? Do you not see, that on EVERY SINGLE WEEK in the NFL, the number of NAME QBs that throw the ball to WRs that get hit hard? Its called "going across the middle in the NFL". DId Leinart get 3 other WRS knocked out too? No. If he really WAS doing that, do you think their coaches would let Leinart play? Are they dumb enough to see that happen and think "its ok if I let my all-world WR get killed because of Leinart"? C'mon.

4) Why on Earth would you say "because a QB is this, Fitz will be that"? I don't remember Kyle Orton being Tom Brady last year, yet Brandon Marshall did pretty good. I don't recall WRoddy WHite having a terrible year when Matt Ryan was a totally unknown rookie. How many no name QBs has Calvin Johnson had? And didn't he actually have his worst year with the supposed "best" QB talent?

You get the point? You talk of Fitz as if he's a one hit wonder that needed Warner but the facts are he has never had a bad year and has actually been a top 3 for the last four. He has succeeded regardless of Warner, Leinart, McCown, or any other scrub they had in there that I have forgotten. Warner was great and I loved him but Warner benefited from Fitz every bit as much as Fitz benefited from Warner. Remember, Warner RE-ESTABLISHED his level of play AFTER coming to Arizona: Fitz has been great since day 1...on a bad team at times.

Its rediculous for anyone to say that they would pass on Fitz 3-4 timese before taking him..its absolutely ludacrious to think there are 10+ WRS that should be taken before him. A lot of you may SAY you'd pass on him multiple times in your draft this year but I would really like to see what you'd do when you're sitting there. I know what I would do: A)Invite you into every league I have and B)Laugh you out of the league at the end of the year.

Go ahead and overreact (this has got to be one of the best ones I have seen in years). I hope I can keep from laughing out loud when you pass over Fitz (you know, there's a reason some guys are universally known by one name) and take Victor Cruz..after all, didn't he have a great game last night? Per your logic, that's THE measure of all things to come.

Good grief.
Lighten up, Francis.
Actually, he makes some good points.

I personally won't hesitate to take Fitz after A.Johnson, Wayne and R.Moss are off the board, unless we hear that his injury is worse than initially reported.
Any of you guys call me Francis, and I'll kill you.
 
This was a bit of a fishing trip. I know the OP wouldn't let him get by him in the 3rd round. However there is some reason for concern. I no longer have him as my #2 behind Johnson. I have him just behind Austin at #5.

The OP got the reaction he wanted. This thread should die.

 
It doesn't matter who's under center in AZ. Steve Stenstrom would be able to get him 90-1100-10. As long as there is any resemblance of a running game and Fitzgerald is healthy (which is the only concerning thing right now) he will be just fine. But, I will say Anderson would be better just because he throws a nice deep ball.

 
ARI - WR Larry Fitzgerald doing some running Source: Darren Urban - AZCardinals.comArizona Cardinals WR Larry Fitzgerald (knee) was running the length of the field as well as cutting and catching passes while running routes prior to the team's preseason game Monday, Aug. 23, reports Darren Urban, of AZCardinals.com. He appears to be on schedule to be ready for the start of the regular season.[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ OUR VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]Good news for Fitzgerald here. Obviously, it'd be better to have him on the field for real action but it looks like he'll be ready for week 1.
When this team relegates Tim Hightower to a 3rd down back (at the most), and gets a semblance of a running game going with Chris Wells I think they'll be fine. That offense has a completely different identity with Beanie on the field. Hightower's negative 2 yards per carry isn't going to cut it.Get into some short down and distances with Beanie, and play action to Larry Fitzgerald. It's simple really. It shouldn't be too difficult with the schedule they face.
 
Keep scanning this thread and, unless I missed it, I have yet to see the a post that gets at the REAL point of the debate. Last night in the third round, after agonizing for the entire time allowed to me to make a pick, I selected Jennings over Fitz. OF COURSE Fitz is the more talented player. The point is RISK, all of the following are questions about Fitz:

- The sprained MCL

- The loss of a great QB and questions about the play of his new QB (specially after watching the Arizona game last night... seemed like neither ARI QB had any zip on the ball, to me)

- the loss of Boldin, allowing defenses to focus on him, double and triple teaming him

- the questions about the offensive line, which seems to be better at run blocking and questionable at pass blocking

- the expected improvements in the run game, which may place less emphasis on passing

- my own expectation that Arizona will score more TDs via the run (percentage wise) than they have in past years, due to several of the factors above

Its not that Fitz will fall off the face of the earth, for me. But every year players fall out of the Top 10 at their position and all of the above suggests to me that of the top WRs Fitz has the most risk of falling down out of the Top 10, which is why I made that agonizing decision (gulp).

 
This was a bit of a fishing trip. I know the OP wouldn't let him get by him in the 3rd round. However there is some reason for concern. I no longer have him as my #2 behind Johnson. I have him just behind Austin at #5. The OP got the reaction he wanted. This thread should die.
You talk about me like I'm not from this world...maybe you do feel that way :fishing:
 
ARI - WR Larry Fitzgerald doing some running Source: Darren Urban - AZCardinals.comArizona Cardinals WR Larry Fitzgerald (knee) was running the length of the field as well as cutting and catching passes while running routes prior to the team's preseason game Monday, Aug. 23, reports Darren Urban, of AZCardinals.com. He appears to be on schedule to be ready for the start of the regular season.[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ OUR VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]Good news for Fitzgerald here. Obviously, it'd be better to have him on the field for real action but it looks like he'll be ready for week 1.
When this team relegates Tim Hightower to a 3rd down back (at the most), and gets a semblance of a running game going with Chris Wells I think they'll be fine. That offense has a completely different identity with Beanie on the field. Hightower's negative 2 yards per carry isn't going to cut it.Get into some short down and distances with Beanie, and play action to Larry Fitzgerald. It's simple really. It shouldn't be too difficult with the schedule they face.
Beanie got his yds last night in the 2nd half, he was held to zero going into the locker room...just an fyi
 
Keep scanning this thread and, unless I missed it, I have yet to see the a post that gets at the REAL point of the debate. Last night in the third round, after agonizing for the entire time allowed to me to make a pick, I selected Jennings over Fitz. OF COURSE Fitz is the more talented player. The point is RISK, all of the following are questions about Fitz:- The sprained MCL- The loss of a great QB and questions about the play of his new QB (specially after watching the Arizona game last night... seemed like neither ARI QB had any zip on the ball, to me)- the loss of Boldin, allowing defenses to focus on him, double and triple teaming him- the questions about the offensive line, which seems to be better at run blocking and questionable at pass blocking- the expected improvements in the run game, which may place less emphasis on passing- my own expectation that Arizona will score more TDs via the run (percentage wise) than they have in past years, due to several of the factors aboveIts not that Fitz will fall off the face of the earth, for me. But every year players fall out of the Top 10 at their position and all of the above suggests to me that of the top WRs Fitz has the most risk of falling down out of the Top 10, which is why I made that agonizing decision (gulp).
:fishing:
 
Keep scanning this thread and, unless I missed it, I have yet to see the a post that gets at the REAL point of the debate. Last night in the third round, after agonizing for the entire time allowed to me to make a pick, I selected Jennings over Fitz. OF COURSE Fitz is the more talented player. The point is RISK, all of the following are questions about Fitz:- The sprained MCL- The loss of a great QB and questions about the play of his new QB (specially after watching the Arizona game last night... seemed like neither ARI QB had any zip on the ball, to me)- the loss of Boldin, allowing defenses to focus on him, double and triple teaming him- the questions about the offensive line, which seems to be better at run blocking and questionable at pass blocking- the expected improvements in the run game, which may place less emphasis on passing- my own expectation that Arizona will score more TDs via the run (percentage wise) than they have in past years, due to several of the factors aboveIts not that Fitz will fall off the face of the earth, for me. But every year players fall out of the Top 10 at their position and all of the above suggests to me that of the top WRs Fitz has the most risk of falling down out of the Top 10, which is why I made that agonizing decision (gulp).
:fishing:
:lmao: :goodposting:
 
The Moz said:
If Fitz goes for 85 - 1100 - 8 I would be shocked Right now a 80 - 1000 - 6 IMO is a good prediction
Wait Wat? 85/1100/8 would be shocking but 80/1000/6 is a good prediction? :fishing:
 
Keep scanning this thread and, unless I missed it, I have yet to see the a post that gets at the REAL point of the debate. Last night in the third round, after agonizing for the entire time allowed to me to make a pick, I selected Jennings over Fitz. OF COURSE Fitz is the more talented player. The point is RISK, all of the following are questions about Fitz: - The sprained MCL - The loss of a great QB and questions about the play of his new QB (specially after watching the Arizona game last night... seemed like neither ARI QB had any zip on the ball, to me) - the loss of Boldin, allowing defenses to focus on him, double and triple teaming him - the questions about the offensive line, which seems to be better at run blocking and questionable at pass blocking - the expected improvements in the run game, which may place less emphasis on passing - my own expectation that Arizona will score more TDs via the run (percentage wise) than they have in past years, due to several of the factors aboveIts not that Fitz will fall off the face of the earth, for me. But every year players fall out of the Top 10 at their position and all of the above suggests to me that of the top WRs Fitz has the most risk of falling down out of the Top 10, which is why I made that agonizing decision (gulp).
:goodposting: Lotta guys in here ignoring all the warning signs. I like Fitz alot, it's not his fault all these things are happening around him but the risk/ reward is very bad right now.
 
Well this is one thread that will need a mid-season and end-of-year bump.
It will be bumped way earlier than that. The first time Fitz has less than 70 yards or more than 1 TD it will be bumped.
lol. I guess that's true.
... and that's probably the number one thing I'd change about this forum. The point of this discussion shouldn't be to be right when the thread gets bumped later, nor should people spend so much time staking their claim to one side or another of a debate instead of focusing on the original goal of these forums - getting good information out there for discussion. The end result of all this thread bumping is that some people make outlandish predictions of things they don't believe to gain credibility, while others sit on the fence to avoid embarrassment. You've been around long enough to know why this shouldn't be the norm here.
 
ARI - WR Larry Fitzgerald doing some running Source: Darren Urban - AZCardinals.comArizona Cardinals WR Larry Fitzgerald (knee) was running the length of the field as well as cutting and catching passes while running routes prior to the team's preseason game Monday, Aug. 23, reports Darren Urban, of AZCardinals.com. He appears to be on schedule to be ready for the start of the regular season.[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ OUR VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]Good news for Fitzgerald here. Obviously, it'd be better to have him on the field for real action but it looks like he'll be ready for week 1.
When this team relegates Tim Hightower to a 3rd down back (at the most), and gets a semblance of a running game going with Chris Wells I think they'll be fine. That offense has a completely different identity with Beanie on the field. Hightower's negative 2 yards per carry isn't going to cut it.Get into some short down and distances with Beanie, and play action to Larry Fitzgerald. It's simple really. It shouldn't be too difficult with the schedule they face.
Beanie got his yds last night in the 2nd half, he was held to zero going into the locker room...just an fyi
Hard to get any yards when you haven't had any carries. I did notice that Wells came in when Anderson moved the team into the red zone, which I think was still in the first half. Wells promptly caught a pass, and on the next play Anderson missed the wide open receiver in the end zone after the entire Titans defense bit on play action to Beanie. The next drive he had a very nice 15 yard scamper off left tackle.Wells is the second best player on the offense. The Cardinals are going to be much better when he's in the game.
 
Well this is one thread that will need a mid-season and end-of-year bump.
It will be bumped way earlier than that. The first time Fitz has less than 70 yards or more than 1 TD it will be bumped.
lol. I guess that's true.
... and that's probably the number one thing I'd change about this forum. The point of this discussion shouldn't be to be right when the thread gets bumped later, nor should people spend so much time staking their claim to one side or another of a debate instead of focusing on the original goal of these forums - getting good information out there for discussion. The end result of all this thread bumping is that some people make outlandish predictions of things they don't believe to gain credibility, while others sit on the fence to avoid embarrassment. You've been around long enough to know why this shouldn't be the norm here.
I agree some thread bumping is for the reasons you describe above and isn't useful. However, that isn't always the case. It is possible to bump threads and look back at prior discussions with the benefit of hindsight and judge one's own accuracy and biases in making predictions and projections and learn something. And it's possible to learn similar things about other posters, to see who would be better to pay more or less attention to in the future.
 
The Moz said:
If Fitz goes for 85 - 1100 - 8 I would be shocked Right now a 80 - 1000 - 6 IMO is a good prediction
let me get this straight, 5 more receptions and 100 more yards over 16 games turns his production from being reasonable to being shocking?
 
This was a bit of a fishing trip. I know the OP wouldn't let him get by him in the 3rd round. However there is some reason for concern. I no longer have him as my #2 behind Johnson. I have him just behind Austin at #5. The OP got the reaction he wanted. This thread should die.
You talk about me like I'm not from this world...maybe you do feel that way :thumbup:
I actually have agreed with a number of your opinions throughout the years. However this is a stretch. And yes the sky in your world has always been a different color. Nothing wrong with that.
 
Well this is one thread that will need a mid-season and end-of-year bump.
It will be bumped way earlier than that. The first time Fitz has less than 70 yards or more than 1 TD it will be bumped.
lol. I guess that's true.
... and that's probably the number one thing I'd change about this forum. The point of this discussion shouldn't be to be right when the thread gets bumped later, nor should people spend so much time staking their claim to one side or another of a debate instead of focusing on the original goal of these forums - getting good information out there for discussion. The end result of all this thread bumping is that some people make outlandish predictions of things they don't believe to gain credibility, while others sit on the fence to avoid embarrassment. You've been around long enough to know why this shouldn't be the norm here.
I really wasn't trying to make this a "look at me" thread. I have been dead right about some things over the years and dead wrong too, goes with the forums. But I wanted to get peoples attention and make a point that Fitz to me is a very dangerous pick. Now he may very well prove a lot of us wrong and have a terrific season, but when you weigh out the 1st 7-8 WRs and maybe even a few more beyond that, Fitz to me looks like a very dangerous pick and his risk might not be worth it. He will have to outproduce the WRs we went over by quite a bit to justify taking him and I'm not sure that reward is worth the risk right now even if he pans out. If I just type in "Fitz could be risky"...that thread isn't going to have the same impact as when I say how I honestly feel that I don't want him on my roster basically. I know he isn't going to last till the 4th but even if he was I would not take him this year. I am much more comfortable with other combinations. Fred, you're a great poster and one of the longtime anchors around here so I take what you say perhaps a little more seriously than I might others. I hope you continue to speak your mind because I imagine many feel as you do. Nice post buddy.
 
Well this is one thread that will need a mid-season and end-of-year bump.
It will be bumped way earlier than that. The first time Fitz has less than 70 yards or more than 1 TD it will be bumped.
lol. I guess that's true.
... and that's probably the number one thing I'd change about this forum. The point of this discussion shouldn't be to be right when the thread gets bumped later, nor should people spend so much time staking their claim to one side or another of a debate instead of focusing on the original goal of these forums - getting good information out there for discussion. The end result of all this thread bumping is that some people make outlandish predictions of things they don't believe to gain credibility, while others sit on the fence to avoid embarrassment. You've been around long enough to know why this shouldn't be the norm here.
I really wasn't trying to make this a "look at me" thread. I have been dead right about some things over the years and dead wrong too, goes with the forums. But I wanted to get peoples attention and make a point that Fitz to me is a very dangerous pick. Now he may very well prove a lot of us wrong and have a terrific season, but when you weigh out the 1st 7-8 WRs and maybe even a few more beyond that, Fitz to me looks like a very dangerous pick and his risk might not be worth it. He will have to outproduce the WRs we went over by quite a bit to justify taking him and I'm not sure that reward is worth the risk right now even if he pans out. If I just type in "Fitz could be risky"...that thread isn't going to have the same impact as when I say how I honestly feel that I don't want him on my roster basically. I know he isn't going to last till the 4th but even if he was I would not take him this year. I am much more comfortable with other combinations. Fred, you're a great poster and one of the longtime anchors around here so I take what you say perhaps a little more seriously than I might others. I hope you continue to speak your mind because I imagine many feel as you do. Nice post buddy.
The more you post about Players the better chance you have at being right. That being said, I'm sure you would draft/Pick Fitz if he fell to you in the second round.
 
Fred, what you'll see when you watch the game is that Leinart didn't have 'an incompletion' like you say he had 'a pass that wasn't within 10 yards of his intended receiver'. It looked absolutely brutal.

 
I believe touchdowns are rather hard to predict...but when you're going from a HoF caliber qb in Warner to a qb that MIGHT be above average I think it's entirely reasonable to expect a dip in trips to the end zone, if not yardage.

Fitzgerald was 15th in yards last year...drop his touchdowns to a still reasonable projection of 8 and that would have dropped him to wr #15.

I really don't see him scoring as many td's as last year when the coach has said they'll run the ball more and the new qb might be good but he's undoubtedly a downgrade from last year's guy. He's going to need to score more yards just to offset the td loss...and that's not something I'm confident predicting. The reason I don't see an increase in yardage? Leinart has a career ypa of 6.5...that's bordering on awful.

We have an offense that will score fewer points, a coach who plans to pass less, a wr who is already dinged up, and a qb who can't (or hasn't ever) passed the ball deep. And we're still projecting this guy as a top 5 wr? Unless this is a ppr league I have no interest in taking this guy anywhere near his ADP.

Good luck, Cardinals fans.

 
I believe touchdowns are rather hard to predict...but when you're going from a HoF caliber qb in Warner to a qb that MIGHT be above average I think it's entirely reasonable to expect a dip in trips to the end zone, if not yardage. Fitzgerald was 15th in yards last year...drop his touchdowns to a still reasonable projection of 8 and that would have dropped him to wr #15. I really don't see him scoring as many td's as last year when the coach has said they'll run the ball more and the new qb might be good but he's undoubtedly a downgrade from last year's guy. He's going to need to score more yards just to offset the td loss...and that's not something I'm confident predicting. The reason I don't see an increase in yardage? Leinart has a career ypa of 6.5...that's bordering on awful. We have an offense that will score fewer points, a coach who plans to pass less, a wr who is already dinged up, and a qb who can't (or hasn't ever) passed the ball deep. And we're still projecting this guy as a top 5 wr? Unless this is a ppr league I have no interest in taking this guy anywhere near his ADP.Good luck, Cardinals fans.
:blackdot: This guy sums it up perfectly. He still might be a decent pick in the 2nd round of PPR's because he will likely catch a bunch of short passes, but his upsie is 1200 yards and 9 TD's, but more likely 1000 yards and 7, and thats if the knee doent affect his play.Thats redraft, since i am always in dynasty mode, and always looking to buy guys on the cheap, Fitz is a guy i am going after right now if i can find some panicky owners.
 
I find it interesting that people project the Cardinals to be so horrible (usually forces a team to pass to play catchup) yet are convinced Fitz will catch far fewer balls this year (with boldin gone).

Not saying a step down in QB isn't an issue but I think people MIGHT be surprised if Fitz can get healthy in time for Week 1. Guy has the best hands I've ever seen.

Anyone see that "Sports Science" special at halftime yesterday? They had the guy hung upside down then fired balls at him from a distance that gave him 0.4 seconds to react. He caught 10 of 10 including half of them with one hand. :shrug:

Apparently they also tested his reaction time off the line and he clocked in at less than half of the typical NFL RB/WR reaction time which they estimated gave him 1yd of seperation off the line.

Of course, this means nothing if the QB can't get the ball within 10yds of you :shrug:

... but the point is he's an elite talent and IF either qb can play at least everage ball...he'll get his.

 
...but the point is he's an elite talent and IF either qb can play at least everage ball...he'll get his.
I wonder where the legions of "Cream rises to the top" posters are? Isn't that always the "FTW" post that so many people like to toss out when discussing talent Vs. situation? Everyone loves untested/unproven C.J. Spiller on arguably the worst offense in the league but are quick to nail Fitz into the ground when all he has ever done is be a top talent, WITH or WITHOUT Warner.Why do we assume Fitz will suffer horribly when we see good WRs on bad teams succeed every year (Marshall last year, Steve Smith EVERY year, Roddy White with a rookie 2 years ago.). Heck, Antonio Bryant, Dwayne Bowe, and Santana Moss were all top 15 WRs two years ago with something called Tyler Thigpen and a buch of guys most of us can't even remember.Given enough time, WRs have their up and down years. Randy Moss followed up his record year by playing 16 games and finishing outside the top 10. That doesn't mean we need to go silly and that's the point in this one. It's one thing to say an elite talent that has done nothing but post top numbers every year might have a tough go at it: It's another thing to say you wouldn't touch him inside the 4th round. Like I said before...a lot of people might SAY they would pass on him lie this but 90% of the time they won't. When push comes to shove and you're staring at him in the spot where the #4-5 WR is at, its highly unlikely he falls any farther at that, at most. And apparently, the entirety of the FF world agrees because I haven't seen one instance yet where he was drafted as late as the 4th round in any league with at least 12 teams.
 
Anyone see that "Sports Science" special at halftime yesterday? They had the guy hung upside down then fired balls at him from a distance that gave him 0.4 seconds to react. He caught 10 of 10 including half of them with one hand. :thumbup:
This means alot more when Fitz joins the Zero-G Space Football League
 
Anyone see that "Sports Science" special at halftime yesterday? They had the guy hung upside down then fired balls at him from a distance that gave him 0.4 seconds to react. He caught 10 of 10 including half of them with one hand. :shrug:
This means alot more when Fitz joins the Zero-G Space Football League
Or, as they explained in the segment, that by inverting him it threw off his muscle memory (track of ball different/inverted) and forced him to rely more in raw eye hand coordination. But your explanation works too.
 

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