He'll get that against the PackersDickerson's record is a long shot. He needs to average 133 just to crack 2000. He needs about 170 a game to break Dickerson's record. That is a tall order.
This would go more to OPOY than MVP.Brady and Manning are carrying their teams to the playoffs. AP is carrying his team to a good record but not into the playoffs. Thus, Brady or Manning will probably win MVP.There will be a bigger difference between RB1 and RB2 than QB1 and QB2
This is such a true statement, and I would change my vote to no after reading thisThis would go more to OPOY than MVP.Brady and Manning are carrying their teams to the playoffs. AP is carrying his team to a good record but not into the playoffs. Thus, Brady or Manning will probably win MVP.There will be a bigger difference between RB1 and RB2 than QB1 and QB2
Swap Peyton, Brady, Brees, Rodgers, Eli, Ryan, etc. to any of the other's teams and they are all still playoff teams. Swap any other running back in the league with Adrian and Minnesota doesn't win more than 4 games this year. If that doesn't define who the MVP is, then I don't know what does.This is such a true statement, and I would change my vote to no after reading thisThis would go more to OPOY than MVP.Brady and Manning are carrying their teams to the playoffs. AP is carrying his team to a good record but not into the playoffs. Thus, Brady or Manning will probably win MVP.There will be a bigger difference between RB1 and RB2 than QB1 and QB2
Swap Peyton, Brady, Brees, Rodgers, Eli, Ryan, etc. to any of the other's teams and they are all still playoff teams. Swap any other running back in the league with Adrian and Minnesota doesn't win more than 4 games this year. If that doesn't define who the MVP is, then I don't know what does.This is such a true statement, and I would change my vote to no after reading thisThis would go more to OPOY than MVP.Brady and Manning are carrying their teams to the playoffs. AP is carrying his team to a good record but not into the playoffs. Thus, Brady or Manning will probably win MVP.There will be a bigger difference between RB1 and RB2 than QB1 and QB2
They were 8-8 last year without him. That ain't very good. And in your mind, all playoff teams must be created equal, right?Tebow led the Broncos to the playoffs last year. While Peyton is having a great season the Broncos were a very good team without him.
Exact example I was coming in to post...best way to look at this is like WAR (wins above replacement) in baseball. I have no doubt Denver and NE would have some losses mixed in with the streak they are on, but no one will argue that Minny is by far the worst team of the three when you take each respective MVP candidate out of the question. For me, I think there is no way ADP wins the MVP unless Brady blows up in the next week or so (I wouldn't hold my breath...I have been waiting for this for years from him as a Jets fan).Swap Peyton, Brady, Brees, Rodgers, Eli, Ryan, etc. to any of the other's teams and they are all still playoff teams. Swap any other running back in the league with Adrian and Minnesota doesn't win more than 4 games this year. If that doesn't define who the MVP is, then I don't know what does.This is such a true statement, and I would change my vote to no after reading thisThis would go more to OPOY than MVP.Brady and Manning are carrying their teams to the playoffs. AP is carrying his team to a good record but not into the playoffs. Thus, Brady or Manning will probably win MVP.There will be a bigger difference between RB1 and RB2 than QB1 and QB2Tebow led the Broncos to the playoffs last year. While Peyton is having a great season the Broncos were a very good team without him. I agree with the sentiment that AP deserves it but probably won't win it
Thats a good case for why all of those guys are more valuable than peterson. If you took adp pff the vikes and replaced him with tom brady, the vikings would make the playoffs. Take brady off the pats and replace him with adp, and the pats wouldnt be fighting for the number one seed.And as a fun aside, the patrtiots are 16-18 under belichick when brady does not play. They have not made the playoffs in those two full seasons. In the other ten seasons, they made the playoffs nine times, including five superbowl appearances and three wins. The one season they misses the playoffs, they lost on a division tiebreaker in a season where brady led the league in passing tds.Swap Peyton, Brady, Brees, Rodgers, Eli, Ryan, etc. to any of the other's teams and they are all still playoff teams. Swap any other running back in the league with Adrian and Minnesota doesn't win more than 4 games this year. If that doesn't define who the MVP is, then I don't know what does.
I agree that QB is the most important position in football, that's actually why I think Peterson is the MVP(weird right). There is no scenario that you could put Brady, Manning, Rodgers etc. in where they would be handicapped in the way that Peterson is. They don't have the equivalent of Christian Ponder's terrible play holding their team down. That the Vikings have a winning record despite the worst(or at least bottom 3) starting QB in the league is just ridiculous. Put even a mediocre QB on that team and they're already in the playoffs and fighting for the #1 seed in the NFC.Thats a good case for why all of those guys are more valuable than peterson. If you took adp pff the vikes and replaced him with tom brady, the vikings would make the playoffs. Take brady off the pats and replace him with adp, and the pats wouldnt be fighting for the number one seed.And as a fun aside, the patrtiots are 16-18 under belichick when brady does not play. They have not made the playoffs in those two full seasons. In the other ten seasons, they made the playoffs nine times, including five superbowl appearances and three wins. The one season they misses the playoffs, they lost on a division tiebreaker in a season where brady led the league in passing tds.Swap Peyton, Brady, Brees, Rodgers, Eli, Ryan, etc. to any of the other's teams and they are all still playoff teams. Swap any other running back in the league with Adrian and Minnesota doesn't win more than 4 games this year. If that doesn't define who the MVP is, then I don't know what does.
Of course not and Manning has been very impressive this year however I don't think he's been better in ADP. Even with an average QB (and Tebow is clearly not) Denver probably has a similar record than they do now especially in that crappy division. Now if Denver goes on and wins the AFC I'm sure it will be because of Manning. Manning's been very good this year AP has been phenominal.They were 8-8 last year without him. That ain't very good. And in your mind, all playoff teams must be created equal, right?Tebow led the Broncos to the playoffs last year. While Peyton is having a great season the Broncos were a very good team without him.
No way would Denver have about the same record with an average QB. Without Peyton, they probably don't win the Pittsburgh, San Diego (MNF), Cincinnati and TB games. Plus, I don't think the defense is really that different from last year, or better, but last year they were ranked 24th or so, while this year they are top 5. Big, big difference between playing with a lead on a regular basis vs. feeling like you have to stop the other team from scoring on every drive in the hopes that your offense can finally get a score at the end to win. That is about as valuable as it gets (although I'd still give it to AD if Minnesota makes the playoffs).Of course not and Manning has been very impressive this year however I don't think he's been better in ADP. Even with an average QB (and Tebow is clearly not) Denver probably has a similar record than they do now especially in that crappy division. Now if Denver goes on and wins the AFC I'm sure it will be because of Manning. Manning's been very good this year AP has been phenominal.They were 8-8 last year without him. That ain't very good. And in your mind, all playoff teams must be created equal, right?Tebow led the Broncos to the playoffs last year. While Peyton is having a great season the Broncos were a very good team without him.
Exactly. Just like Peterson helping his team get to the record they have despite Ponders horrible play and the offensive coaches horrible game planning. If he doesn't get MVP it will be a travesty. For everyone saying QB is the most valuable position, here is a RB who is overcoming HORRIBLE QB play and keeping his team in the playoff hunt. Without him this team has maybe 3 wins.Big fan of the delusional people saying Tebow led his team to the playoffs last year. They got there in spite of him and won their division with an 8-8 record and needed help to get in. Pretty much a reincarnation of the 2004 St. Louis Rams.
Even the rushing record alone wouldn't be enough to do it for me, honestly. Combine the rushing record with the fact that he's gaining more yards than every other player on his entire team combined, the fact that he has more yards and a higher per-attempt average rushing than his QB has passing, and that's enough to do it for me.If AD breaks the rushing record, he should win it easily. No questions asked. Breaking an impressive record that has stood a very long time on an offense that is inept without him is much more impressive than a free agent QB leading a team to a better record than the previous year.
And big fan of people making the point for us.They did it because they are a good what? Team...add in a very good QB and they become better right? Of course they do.Not taking away from Manning...he has had a nice year.Peterson's is something guys just don't do often.Though...it would not be the first time Manning won it over a 2000 yard rusher...now would it.'SacramentoBob said:Big fan of the delusional people saying Tebow led his team to the playoffs last year. They got there in spite of him and won their division with an 8-8 record and needed help to get in. Pretty much a reincarnation of the 2004 St. Louis Rams.
Does anybody know WHEN is the actual vote?Is it after the wk 17 game?Also, something to think about is game times'SSOG said:I think Manning should win MVP, and will win MVP, even if Peterson breaks 2000. If Peterson breaks Dickerson's rushing mark, though, then I change my vote and think it should be Peterson. He would need to be so dominant down the stretch to get that mark that if he does it, I think he'll be the choice.
I dont agree. Several factors went into why Denver won games last year. Time of possession which came from running a lot, putting the other team in long field position which in tern gave Denver good field position.. then keeping the game close. Denver was one of the most boring teams in the league last year who pulled out close games. The special teams played well also. All of those factors attributed to wins. Tebow did a decent enough job when it counted late. He wasnt good but was good enough when it mattered along with everyone else.Denver backed into the playoffs and got lucky'SacramentoBob said:Big fan of the delusional people saying Tebow led his team to the playoffs last year. They got there in spite of him and won their division with an 8-8 record and needed help to get in. Pretty much a reincarnation of the 2004 St. Louis Rams.
That's not just your Bronco-colored glasses talking, is it?. At this stage, an argument can be made that either are neck-and-neck for comeback player of the year. With Manning leading his team to the playoffs, I can see giving the edge to him for CBPOY and for MVP.But if ADP is breaking a record nearly 30 years old less than a year after ACL surgery -- and arguably more dominant at the position than before, and literally carrying the team on his back the entire season -- requiring him to surpass additional arbitrary benchmarks that RBs are not held accountable for (even in MVP voting) is specious.Even the rushing record alone wouldn't be enough to do it for me, honestly. Combine the rushing record with the fact that he's gaining more yards than every other player on his entire team combined, the fact that he has more yards and a higher per-attempt average rushing than his QB has passing, and that's enough to do it for me.If AD breaks the rushing record, he should win it easily. No questions asked. Breaking an impressive record that has stood a very long time on an offense that is inept without him is much more impressive than a free agent QB leading a team to a better record than the previous year.
Exactly how I see it as well.I see it ending like this:Brady - MVPPeterson - Offensive Player of the YearManning - Comeback Player of the Year
With this logic, the MVP could be renamed the "Quarterback of the Year" award. I don't disagree with you, but how often do you think the MVP should be other than a QB?Is Peterson more valuable than Manning? Well, I don't think the Broncos would have been better in 2012 if they had Peterson instead of Manning and I think the Vikings would have been better if they had Manning instead of AD. So, no.
Being on the 4th worst team in the NFL tends to knock players out of MVP talk.I mentioned this in the other MVP thread. If Megatron averages 151 yards each of the next 3 games he would hit 2K on the season (which would break the receving yards record by 10%).I have not heard ONE PERSON suggest Johnson should be MVP (who is always double and triple covered). I get that ADP is facing 8 or 9 guys in the box and the MIN QB play has been not good. And I realize ADP is coming back from a bad knee injury. But what Megatron is doing is just as impressive, and he is not even on the radar for MVP.
If the Vikings don't make the playoffs and end up 7-9 or 8-8, is there really all that much difference? What would it take from Johnson to merit MVP consideration? 2500 receiving yards? 30 TD?Part of the argument for ADP is him having a record breaking season. Compared to top tier teams, how valuable is a record breaking season on an 8-8 team or a team with a losing record? In ADP's case, the Vikings still would have missed the playoffs without him (assuming they miss the playoffs).Being on the 4th worst team in the NFL tends to knock players out of MVP talk.I mentioned this in the other MVP thread. If Megatron averages 151 yards each of the next 3 games he would hit 2K on the season (which would break the receving yards record by 10%).I have not heard ONE PERSON suggest Johnson should be MVP (who is always double and triple covered). I get that ADP is facing 8 or 9 guys in the box and the MIN QB play has been not good. And I realize ADP is coming back from a bad knee injury. But what Megatron is doing is just as impressive, and he is not even on the radar for MVP.
Lots of people break records without winning MVP awards. Brees broke a record just as old last year and didn't get the MVP, and he plays a higher-leverage position. I don't factor his comeback from injury into MVP discussions, because I don't think it's relevant. So breaking records alone isn't enough. Getting to the playoffs alone isn't enough. Being the only offensive threat in a grease fire of an offense isn't enough. A combination of several of those factors, though? That's enough for me to give it to him. If he breaks a huge record *and* drags a ludicrously inept passing attack on his back all the way to the playoffs, then give that man the prize. Otherwise, I say give it to the guy who transformed the worst passing offense in the league into one of the truly elite units, putting up the second best season of his 4-time MVP career, and overseeing a massive 15 point swing in scoring differential.'Stompin Tom Connors said:That's not just your Bronco-colored glasses talking, is it?. At this stage, an argument can be made that either are neck-and-neck for comeback player of the year. With Manning leading his team to the playoffs, I can see giving the edge to him for CBPOY and for MVP.But if ADP is breaking a record nearly 30 years old less than a year after ACL surgery -- and arguably more dominant at the position than before, and literally carrying the team on his back the entire season -- requiring him to surpass additional arbitrary benchmarks that RBs are not held accountable for (even in MVP voting) is specious.Even the rushing record alone wouldn't be enough to do it for me, honestly. Combine the rushing record with the fact that he's gaining more yards than every other player on his entire team combined, the fact that he has more yards and a higher per-attempt average rushing than his QB has passing, and that's enough to do it for me.If AD breaks the rushing record, he should win it easily. No questions asked. Breaking an impressive record that has stood a very long time on an offense that is inept without him is much more impressive than a free agent QB leading a team to a better record than the previous year.
I'd give Brady OPoY over Manning, because he's produced better offensive results. I'd give Manning the MVP pretty easily, though. Brady is putting up super-elite results in a super-elite offense, but we're talking about just small improvements over what he's already done in recent history in that offense. Peyton totally transformed a stone-aged passing attack into one of the sleekest, most sophisticated units in the league. It's tough to argue that Brady is more valuable than Manning to his offense. The two are street racing. Brady is driving a Ferrari, while Manning has a Toyota Camry. Brady might be leading the race, but it's far more impressive that Manning's managing to keep it neck and neck down the stretch.'bostonfred said:For those talking about manning as mvp, can you explain why he would be in over brady? Brady has 21 more yards, 2 more tds, six fewer ints (just four interceptions on the season), and a better qb rating. Its close, i guess. But how would manning be the clear choice?
In today's game? Probably never. It's a QB-dominated game.Maybe if there was a top plateau of several QBs in a given season, with none of them standing out over the others, either in terms of statistics or winning, comebacks, etc., while at the same time a Peterson-like season happened at another position. But when was the last time that happened?'FUBAR said:With this logic, the MVP could be renamed the "Quarterback of the Year" award. I don't disagree with you, but how often do you think the MVP should be other than a QB?'Chase Stuart said:Is Peterson more valuable than Manning? Well, I don't think the Broncos would have been better in 2012 if they had Peterson instead of Manning and I think the Vikings would have been better if they had Manning instead of AD. So, no.
I do feel bad for manning. He has never had any offensive talent around him. These schlub receivers in denver are holding him back just like harrison, wayne, clark and edge did in indy. Denver may have had enough talent that kyle orton and tim tebow were fantasy relevant, but manning is leading dencer to their first division win since last year. Whoever could pull off a feat like that must be the mvp of the league.I'd give Brady OPoY over Manning, because he's produced better offensive results. I'd give Manning the MVP pretty easily, though. Brady is putting up super-elite results in a super-elite offense, but we're talking about just small improvements over what he's already done in recent history in that offense. Peyton totally transformed a stone-aged passing attack into one of the sleekest, most sophisticated units in the league. It's tough to argue that Brady is more valuable than Manning to his offense. The two are street racing. Brady is driving a Ferrari, while Manning has a Toyota Camry. Brady might be leading the race, but it's far more impressive that Manning's managing to keep it neck and neck down the stretch.'bostonfred said:For those talking about manning as mvp, can you explain why he would be in over brady? Brady has 21 more yards, 2 more tds, six fewer ints (just four interceptions on the season), and a better qb rating. Its close, i guess. But how would manning be the clear choice?
Denver was 25th in points and 23rd in yards last year. Denver is 2nd in points and 4th in yards this year. Denver averaged 19.31 points per game last year. Denver averages 28.85 points per game this year. Denver averaged 316.6 yards per game last year. Denver averages 390.1 yards per game this year. Denver's scoring differential was -5.06 points per game last year. Denver's scoring differential is +9.08 points per game this year. Denver is a near lock to set the NFL record for the biggest increase in completions from one season to the next. Last season, Denver was an 8-8 division champ who backed into the playoffs on a 3-game losing streak with negative differential. This season, Denver's contending for a first round bye and getting rated by Vegas as a heavy superbowl favorite. Not only is Peyton the triggerman of this turnaround, he's also the architect of the offense they installed. But let's not let facts stand in the way of a good opportunity to use a little sarcasm.By the way, you might not want to play the "supporting cast" card when the last time your guy missed a season, his offense finished 5th in yards, 8th in points, and his team was 11-5 without him.I do feel bad for manning. He has never had any offensive talent around him. These schlub receivers in denver are holding him back just like harrison, wayne, clark and edge did in indy. Denver may have had enough talent that kyle orton and tim tebow were fantasy relevant, but manning is leading dencer to their first division win since last year. Whoever could pull off a feat like that must be the mvp of the league.I'd give Brady OPoY over Manning, because he's produced better offensive results. I'd give Manning the MVP pretty easily, though. Brady is putting up super-elite results in a super-elite offense, but we're talking about just small improvements over what he's already done in recent history in that offense. Peyton totally transformed a stone-aged passing attack into one of the sleekest, most sophisticated units in the league. It's tough to argue that Brady is more valuable than Manning to his offense. The two are street racing. Brady is driving a Ferrari, while Manning has a Toyota Camry. Brady might be leading the race, but it's far more impressive that Manning's managing to keep it neck and neck down the stretch.'bostonfred said:For those talking about manning as mvp, can you explain why he would be in over brady? Brady has 21 more yards, 2 more tds, six fewer ints (just four interceptions on the season), and a better qb rating. Its close, i guess. But how would manning be the clear choice?
Everything is relative. With Cassell . . .5 fewer wins (and no playoffs)179 fewer points scored1162 fewer passing yardsTurnover differential of +1 instead of +16By comparison, the Broncos would have to improve by that much (from 2011 with Tebow to 2012 with Manning) to have a similar difference than Brady to Cassel.That would mean in 2012 Denver would have to:Have a 13-3 recordScore 488 points (on pace for 461)Have 3596 passing yards (already at 3692 for this season)Have a +3 turnover differential (currently -2)Some of this is a bit skewed, as Cassel performed adequately and the Pats could run a similar scheme . The Broncos were predominently a running team with Tebow. So it's not exactly a fair comparison when the Broncos dumped a rush-centric system for a more passing friendly one. They should have better totals based on that alone.By the way, you might not want to play the "supporting cast" card when the last time your guy missed a season, his offense finished 5th in yards, 8th in points, and his team was 11-5 without him.
If everything is relative, why are you giving me absolute changes? Run those numbers again looking at the percentage trade from one season to the next and see how that compares to the percentage change under Manning. Regardless, this disingenuous aside is entirely beside the point. Tom Brady's offense is executing better than Manning's. It's also stocked with guys who have been steeped in the offense for better than half a decade, and has been putting up consistently elite results during that span. When the offense ran without Brady, it was still a top offense, if not anywhere near as elite. Peyton Manning joined a new team stocked with complete strangers, installed an entirely new system to bring them out of the Stone Age, taught his teammates on the fly what he was looking for, and turned them from a below average unit to one of the most elite offenses in the league overnight. Tom Brady has been a better offensive player, but I can't for the life of me imagine how anyone could possibly argue that Manning hadn't been significantly more valuable to his franchise.Everything is relative. With Cassell . . .5 fewer wins (and no playoffs)179 fewer points scored1162 fewer passing yardsTurnover differential of +1 instead of +16By comparison, the Broncos would have to improve by that much (from 2011 with Tebow to 2012 with Manning) to have a similar difference than Brady to Cassel.That would mean in 2012 Denver would have to:Have a 13-3 recordScore 488 points (on pace for 461)Have 3596 passing yards (already at 3692 for this season)Have a +3 turnover differential (currently -2)Some of this is a bit skewed, as Cassel performed adequately and the Pats could run a similar scheme . The Broncos were predominently a running team with Tebow. So it's not exactly a fair comparison when the Broncos dumped a rush-centric system for a more passing friendly one. They should have better totals based on that alone.By the way, you might not want to play the "supporting cast" card when the last time your guy missed a season, his offense finished 5th in yards, 8th in points, and his team was 11-5 without him.
Interesting argument. What did Clark and Harrison ever do without Peyton? Wayne had his worst year in almost a decade last year without Peyton, although he is lucky enough this year to play with the best QB prospect since... Peyton. Edge did have a couple 1,000 yard seasons without Peyton, but his rushing average dropped considerably as did his TDs.I do feel bad for manning. He has never had any offensive talent around him. These schlub receivers in denver are holding him back just like harrison, wayne, clark and edge did in indy. Denver may have had enough talent that kyle orton and tim tebow were fantasy relevant, but manning is leading dencer to their first division win since last year. Whoever could pull off a feat like that must be the mvp of the league.
Also tough to win MVP when you only score 5 times all year.Being on the 4th worst team in the NFL tends to knock players out of MVP talk.I mentioned this in the other MVP thread. If Megatron averages 151 yards each of the next 3 games he would hit 2K on the season (which would break the receving yards record by 10%).I have not heard ONE PERSON suggest Johnson should be MVP (who is always double and triple covered). I get that ADP is facing 8 or 9 guys in the box and the MIN QB play has been not good. And I realize ADP is coming back from a bad knee injury. But what Megatron is doing is just as impressive, and he is not even on the radar for MVP.
Agreed.'Sabertooth said:I think what Peterson is doing is far more impressive than what Manning is doing to be honest.
Yes. The Vikings are still in the playoff race; the Lions were out of the playoff race before December. Big, big difference.If the Vikings don't make the playoffs and end up 7-9 or 8-8, is there really all that much difference?Being on the 4th worst team in the NFL tends to knock players out of MVP talk.I mentioned this in the other MVP thread. If Megatron averages 151 yards each of the next 3 games he would hit 2K on the season (which would break the receving yards record by 10%).I have not heard ONE PERSON suggest Johnson should be MVP (who is always double and triple covered). I get that ADP is facing 8 or 9 guys in the box and the MIN QB play has been not good. And I realize ADP is coming back from a bad knee injury. But what Megatron is doing is just as impressive, and he is not even on the radar for MVP.
That was pure ownage.Denver was 25th in points and 23rd in yards last year. Denver is 2nd in points and 4th in yards this year. Denver averaged 19.31 points per game last year. Denver averages 28.85 points per game this year. Denver averaged 316.6 yards per game last year. Denver averages 390.1 yards per game this year. Denver's scoring differential was -5.06 points per game last year. Denver's scoring differential is +9.08 points per game this year. Denver is a near lock to set the NFL record for the biggest increase in completions from one season to the next. Last season, Denver was an 8-8 division champ who backed into the playoffs on a 3-game losing streak with negative differential. This season, Denver's contending for a first round bye and getting rated by Vegas as a heavy superbowl favorite. Not only is Peyton the triggerman of this turnaround, he's also the architect of the offense they installed. But let's not let facts stand in the way of a good opportunity to use a little sarcasm.By the way, you might not want to play the "supporting cast" card when the last time your guy missed a season, his offense finished 5th in yards, 8th in points, and his team was 11-5 without him.I do feel bad for manning. He has never had any offensive talent around him. These schlub receivers in denver are holding him back just like harrison, wayne, clark and edge did in indy. Denver may have had enough talent that kyle orton and tim tebow were fantasy relevant, but manning is leading dencer to their first division win since last year. Whoever could pull off a feat like that must be the mvp of the league.I'd give Brady OPoY over Manning, because he's produced better offensive results. I'd give Manning the MVP pretty easily, though. Brady is putting up super-elite results in a super-elite offense, but we're talking about just small improvements over what he's already done in recent history in that offense. Peyton totally transformed a stone-aged passing attack into one of the sleekest, most sophisticated units in the league. It's tough to argue that Brady is more valuable than Manning to his offense. The two are street racing. Brady is driving a Ferrari, while Manning has a Toyota Camry. Brady might be leading the race, but it's far more impressive that Manning's managing to keep it neck and neck down the stretch.For those talking about manning as mvp, can you explain why he would be in over brady? Brady has 21 more yards, 2 more tds, six fewer ints (just four interceptions on the season), and a better qb rating. Its close, i guess. But how would manning be the clear choice?