What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

Iran attacks US base in Iraq (1 Viewer)

You keep saying this and I don't disagree entirely. Look back no further then Iraq for proof of that. However the Saudi strikes were pretty pin point. So their capability has got to be better than displayed the other night. 

I would say they missed on purpose and wouldn't be surprised if advanced notice wasn't "leaked" so US personal could stay clear. 
Those strikes weren't "pinpoint."  Those facilities are HUGE.  And as long as they can hit it, that's a good strike.  There's a difference between hitting a target and pinpoint ability.  

 
And just to add a little more detail to what I'm saying:

You can't fire those missiles and not know for sure you're going to hit a specific spot.  I don't know how ballistic missiles work, but they are not laser guided like the bomb videos we see blowing up a bridge or a small building.    Like I said, I'm not sure if the US even could shoot ballistic missiles with pinpoint accuracy.  

 
Here's what it says about them.  It sounds like math, so I'll leave it to others to interpret.

Accuracy

The accuracy of a missile is quantified with a measure called Circular Error Probable (CEP), which is defined as the radius of a circle that half of a large number identical missiles operating without malfunction would land within. CEP reflects the median rather than the mean, which means that it does not make any statements about how far outside the radius half of the missiles will land. Expected miss distance in practice is often elongated in the in the downrange direction, producing an elliptical rather than circular error pattern.

 
This is where [mostly] adults talk about adult situations with out name calling.  It is possible [mostly]  
Just wanted to say I've actually enjoyed reading this thread and the info provided. :thumbup:   Back in the day, I wouldn't have even bothered clicking/reading it. 

 
belljr said:
So you launched an attack 4 hours ago.   You had this Airplane stand down and delay for over an hour from previous takeoff.  

This plane did not take off immediately after.

The 4 hours is plenty of time to say.   "HEY passenger plane is cleared for takeoff OUT OF OUR OWN AIRPORT"  STANDDOWN.  Plus it was already in their airspace.  Its not like it entered their airspace all of a sudden.

So colossal of a #### up
This is somewhat misleading.  A stealth aircraft can pop up out of nowhere.  If I was a SA-15 battery I would be looking for exactly that within that timeframe.  

What I think is obviously correct is they shouldn't have cleared that flight to takeoff without full communication with the military.  

 
And just to add a little more detail to what I'm saying:

You can't fire those missiles and not know for sure you're going to hit a specific spot.  I don't know how ballistic missiles work, but they are not laser guided like the bomb videos we see blowing up a bridge or a small building.    Like I said, I'm not sure if the US even could shoot ballistic missiles with pinpoint accuracy.  
Someone used space x as an example today.  Not sure if that makes sense in this context.  

 
This is somewhat misleading.  A stealth aircraft can pop up out of nowhere.  If I was a SA-15 battery I would be looking for exactly that within that timeframe.  

What I think is obviously correct is they shouldn't have cleared that flight to takeoff without full communication with the military.  
Exactly.  A stealth bomber is stealth until the bomb doors open.  That's when it's at its most vulnerable.  

 
Stealth bombers don't show up on radar...

Unless Iran installed some brand new radar which is doubtful.    The plane would have been pinged on the tarmac if it was squaking a beacon code 

But it's moo at this point

 
Last edited by a moderator:
This is somewhat misleading.  A stealth aircraft can pop up out of nowhere.  If I was a SA-15 battery I would be looking for exactly that within that timeframe.  
True. But they wouldn't have been flying that low or that slow. I drone might be that slow, but even that would have likely been higher. 

 
Protests are starting back up in Iran right now. The people are going after the security forces with gusto. We might see a new Iran sooner than later

 
"It was engine failure!"

"It was engine failure!"

"It was engine failure!"

"It was engine failure!"

"It was engine failure!"

"It was engine failure!"

"It was engine failure!"

"Alright... You got me..."

 
Lots of protests this weekend in Iran. Trump tweet in Farsi to Iranian people is most liked tweet (Farsi) in Twitter history. Chants of death to the dictator etc. Security forces beating and shooting at protesters. I hope the people rise up finally.

 
The whole chain of events is really odd.

Trump kills a guy who was nearly certainly not planning the embassy stuff, and whether he is really a "terrorist" or not is actually somewhat debatable.  Let's say for a moment he's a terrorist by some definition, guy seemed to be on a front door diplomatic mission to help manage the current embassy crisis and deliver/receive how to de-escalate things.  Even if the guy was a terrorist in the past, there's been no evidence presented to say he was actively planning anything.   

So we do that and Iran lawn darts some scuds in the bushes.  Neat.

4 hours later a dip#### SAM15 battery with an itchy trigger finger, downrange of a passenger runway lights up a 787 with their own citizens on it. (among others)

Now their country is starting to have protests build around their OWN actions.  What a crazy story.  

Gotta feel they don't light up that 787 this would be completely out of the news by now.

 
The whole chain of events is really odd.

Trump kills a guy who was nearly certainly not planning the embassy stuff, and whether he is really a "terrorist" or not is actually somewhat debatable.  Let's say for a moment he's a terrorist by some definition, guy seemed to be on a front door diplomatic mission to help manage the current embassy crisis and deliver/receive how to de-escalate things.  Even if the guy was a terrorist in the past, there's been no evidence presented to say he was actively planning anything.   

So we do that and Iran lawn darts some scuds in the bushes.  Neat.

4 hours later a dip#### SAM15 battery with an itchy trigger finger, downrange of a passenger runway lights up a 787 with their own citizens on it. (among others)

Now their country is starting to have protests build around their OWN actions.  What a crazy story.  

Gotta feel they don't light up that 787 this would be completely out of the news by now.
Has anyone gone :tinfoilhat:  with this yet?

 
Has anyone gone :tinfoilhat:  with this yet?
I don't really see what Russia's angle would be here, but I could maybe see them wanting some unrest.  Hard to see how they could have seen that playing out enough to get someone in their AAA batteries.

 
The whole chain of events is really odd.

Trump kills a guy who was nearly certainly not planning the embassy stuff, and whether he is really a "terrorist" or not is actually somewhat debatable.  Let's say for a moment he's a terrorist by some definition, guy seemed to be on a front door diplomatic mission to help manage the current embassy crisis and deliver/receive how to de-escalate things.  Even if the guy was a terrorist in the past, there's been no evidence presented to say he was actively planning anything.   

So we do that and Iran lawn darts some scuds in the bushes.  Neat.

4 hours later a dip#### SAM15 battery with an itchy trigger finger, downrange of a passenger runway lights up a 787 with their own citizens on it. (among others)

Now their country is starting to have protests build around their OWN actions.  What a crazy story.  

Gotta feel they don't light up that 787 this would be completely out of the news by now.
Wait.  I thought you were being sarcastic at first.  Are you actually saying you don't know if that Iranian general was a terrorist or not? 

 
Wait.  I thought you were being sarcastic at first.  Are you actually saying you don't know if that Iranian general was a terrorist or not? 
mean that seems to be up for debate.  It is going to depend at least in part on what your definition of a terrorist is.  

It seems to be a slippery slope and defined as someone that is not Saudi that does stuff we don't like.  

Seems like he was mainly a back channel to get Russian arms to Assad, and this constitutes I suppose terrorism if you come down on the non-Assad side.  I mean ISIS hated the guy.  So what group was he with that was so bad?

 
mean that seems to be up for debate.  It is going to depend at least in part on what your definition of a terrorist is.  

It seems to be a slippery slope and defined as someone that is not Saudi that does stuff we don't like.  

Seems like he was mainly a back channel to get Russian arms to Assad, and this constitutes I suppose terrorism if you come down on the non-Assad side.  I mean ISIS hated the guy.  So what group was he with that was so bad?
:shock:

 
Gotta feel they don't light up that 787 this would be completely out of the news by now.
I know the bolded refers to out of the news for Iranians. It's interesting to me, in contrast, that for a lot of non-political Americans ... this Iran stuff is pretty much already out of the news. College football championship game tonight!

 
mean that seems to be up for debate.  It is going to depend at least in part on what your definition of a terrorist is.  

It seems to be a slippery slope and defined as someone that is not Saudi that does stuff we don't like.  

Seems like he was mainly a back channel to get Russian arms to Assad, and this constitutes I suppose terrorism if you come down on the non-Assad side.  I mean ISIS hated the guy.  So what group was he with that was so bad?
:shock:
Can't explain this without getting political. Might be a good thing to ask in the Political Forum: "Was Soleimani fairly deemed a 'terrorist'?"

 
I know the bolded refers to out of the news for Iranians. It's interesting to me, in contrast, that for a lot of non-political Americans ... this Iran stuff is pretty much already out of the news. College football championship game tonight!
The news shows what it wants.  Think about all the HK protests we heard about.  That never got knocked out of the news.  

Iranians screaming "Death to the Dictator!" and making sure not to walk on the Jewish and American flags painted on the ground is huge news.  There's no way it should not be headline news.  But then you ask yourself, why isn't it?

 
I mean educate me, what's this guy's rap sheet?  I can't say I follow this stuff nearly as much as I used to.  
Well, for starters, he's a...  sorry.  He was a general in Iran's army.  A country that openly sponsors outside terrorists and has said they want to exterminate the Jews.  He was pretty much the head guy for commanding Hezbollah, which has killed thousand of people in Lebanon and Syria.  

I mean, I'll let you go ahead and read up on him and make your own judgment, but I'm guessing, that there's a pretty good consensus around the world that this guy was one of the worst people alive.  

 
I mean educate me, what's this guy's rap sheet?  I can't say I follow this stuff nearly as much as I used to.  
Link to an op-ed published by the New York Times, written by Republican senator Tom Cotton. Evaluation of the claims therein are an exercise for the reader.

EDIT: I thought this was an interesting link, too ... though, again, a conservative source (WSJ) - "Soleimani’s Latin America Terror."

 
Last edited by a moderator:
I forgot to mention, when Iran finally admitted they shot down the airliner, they put out a tweet to announce it.  And after it explained that it was an accident and a tragedy, they used a broken heart emoji.

I don't know if that's funny or crazy or both.  We are at the stage in our civilization that when a terrorist country does something that kills innocent victims, they tweet out an apology and it has emojis in it.  That's mind bottling. 

 
I forgot to mention, when Iran finally admitted they shot down the airliner, they put out a tweet to announce it.  And after it explained that it was an accident and a tragedy, they used a broken heart emoji.

I don't know if that's funny or crazy or both.  We are at the stage in our civilization that when a terrorist country does something that kills innocent victims, they tweet out an apology and it has emojis in it.  That's mind bottling. 
Earlier, the head of Iran's aviation Dept said Ukraine owes them money for damaging Iranian territory. True story

 
Today a news anchor for Iran state TV quit on air and said she was sorry for lying for the last 13 years

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Unless there mullahs want to imprison a couple hundred thousand people or just murder another a bunch of folks, I'd say the regime is failing sooner rather than later.

If I were any top guy within that regime I'd be making plans to retire in France or south America. 

 
The news shows what it wants.  Think about all the HK protests we heard about.  That never got knocked out of the news.  

Iranians screaming "Death to the Dictator!" and making sure not to walk on the Jewish and American flags painted on the ground is huge news.  There's no way it should not be headline news.  But then you ask yourself, why isn't it?
I just saw that and was just stunned. I NEVER, EVER thought I would see that in my lifetime.

 
I see Iran is saying that the people responsible for shooting down the airliner will be punished.  I'm guessing that means they will take some low level private and have him executed.  Or maybe just some street urchin that they'll dress up in fatigues and murder.

 
tommyboy said:
Unless there mullahs want to imprison a couple hundred thousand people or just murder another a bunch of folks, I'd say the regime is failing sooner rather than later.

If I were any top guy within that regime I'd be making plans to retire in France or south America. 
Any revolt against the ruling power is going to get crushed. Don't kid yourself into thinking a couple thousand protesters are going to overthrow a regime that's ruled with a heavy hand since 1979.

I see Iran is saying that the people responsible for shooting down the airliner will be punished.  I'm guessing that means they will take some low level private and have him executed.  Or maybe just some street urchin that they'll dress up in fatigues and murder.
Much like the 5 the Saudi's being executing for the Khashoggi murder, Iran will pony up the anti-aircraft battery for trial, probably execute them since the people are protesting and move on.

 
I've said it before it the politics thread...

Iranians do not like their government.  They do not hate the US.  And judging by comments of the 3 neighbors around me, Iran had become a more and more miserable  place for their relatives.  Women who were once among the most educated and fashionable in Mulsim countries are held back for the most part.  The citizens are just scared to fight back against a totalitarian regime.  The Ayatollah has so much power, and he wields it through whatever government exists and through the "media".  The only way for him to keep his status is the same as since 1979 - blame the US.  Now the US makes plenty of mistakes in the Middle East, but the killing of Suleimani is not one of them.  This guy was a 100% threat to everyone for decades, as Iran's government ran state sponsored backing of the worst types of people to ensure their ability to undermine any western power.  And Russia for much of thos 40 years has been right their with them.

Sometimes a citizenship needs help to get to the point they are willing to revolt.  France helped the US in the late 1700s.  We wouldn't be what we are without them.  Maybe it was selfish reason, as might be the US reasons in this event, but the overall impact is a nation changed for the better.

Iran has much potential to be a wonderful nation.  We can't build it.  But if their people are willing to establish a constitution where the Islamic leader does not have full power, things could easily change and make it better.  Hopefully their people press forward with more than just protests.

 
They burned the UK ambassador in effigy today and one of the ayatollahs spokesmen said he should be chopped into pieces.  They also released a clip where a soldier is on trial for not shooting a US missile down for fear it was an airliner. These all seem to be desperate measures.

Time to make plans. And if you are a murderer that shot innocent protestors, you should probably get out now before the people tear you to pieces when the time for revenge comes sooner rather than later.

 

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Top