Thru 18 games 2010 Steelers ran the ball 545 times and passed the ball 530 times, 50.7% rushing vs 49.3% passing
Thru 17 games 2010 Patriots ran the ball 482 times and passed the ball 552 times, 46.6% rushing vs 53.4% passing
Steelers run the ball a larger percentage of the time.... As I said... and not 1% as you described but 4.1%
These above are all hard #'s, You may try to confuse the subject and call on my credibility, but the #'s above can be backed up. If you want to disprove me, disprove the #'s.. The facts.. It doesn't matter how you try to spin it, or what direction I've come from.. The #'s above tell no lies...
Again, you are changing your argument to try to save face. THIS is what you said:
During the regular season Pitt relies on the run a larger % of the time than does NE, and scores a larger % of their TD's on running plays then does NE.. 1st down % is pretty equal
Regular season-last time I checked the regular season was 16 games, not 17 or 18. Yet since adding the playoff games "proved" your point (in your mind), you are trying to back-track, AGAIN. You said if I "want to disprove you, disprove the #s", so here goes (but I'm going to use the REGULAR SEASON numbers, since that was your original contention, not the cherry-picked ones you used to try to prove your point).
1) "During the
regular season Pitt relies on the run a larger % of the time than does NE..."
Regular season:
NE-507 pass attempts, 25 sacks, 454 rushes-986 total offensive plays. 454/986=46% rush plays.
Pitt-479 pass attempts, 43 sacks, 471 rushes-993 total offensive plays. 471/993=47% rush plays.
See, sacks are offensive plays, so they need to be counted. When you count ALL the plays (not just the ones that make your argument look stronger), you see that the Steelers rushed the ball 47% of the time & the Pats rushed the ball 46% of the time. That's a 1% difference, hardly significant.
2) "and scores a larger % of their TD's on running plays then does NE..."
Regular season:
Pitt scored 37 offensive TDs in the 2010 regular season. 15 of these were from the rushing game, but 2 of those were from Roethlisberger. 13/37=35% of Pitt's offensive TDs were scored by non-QB rushes.
NE scored 56 offensive TDs in the 2010 regular season. 19 of these were from the running game, with 1 from Brady. 18/56=32%. That's a 3% difference.
Since your original point was that the running game "carried" Roethlisberger, while Brady's didn't, it makes sense to take out the QB rushing scores, because all including them would show is the QBs "carrying" themselves.
3) "1st down % is pretty equal"
**When you said 1st down% is pretty equal, I assumed you meant the amount of rushing 1st downs converted out of chances. That's where my numbers were from. Going on what you meant:
Regular season:
NE rushed for 119 1st downs, and passed for 196. That's 315 total. 119/315=38%
Pitt rushed for 106 1st downs, and passed for 175. That's 281 total. 106/281=37%
NE was still better, although not by the 4% margin advantage they had with the conversion stat.
So, Pitt ran the ball 1% more of the time. Pitt's non-QB rushing TDs accounted for 3% more of the offensive TDs than NE's non-QB rushing TDs. And NE had a 1% better 1st down %.
That seems pretty equal to me. 1% differences and 3% differences are not statistically significant.
There you go. I dis-proved your points. Please feel free to try to change your argument again to try to look like you aren't just throwing stuff against the wall, hoping it sticks.