Is it the shark move to trade M. Bell while his value is high? (1 Viewer)

[ILoveMyLions]

I drafted M. Bell in our rookie draft last week at pick #20 thanks to Cecil's updates. Now I may be in a position to get great return in a week's time. Is this the time to trade him before he loses the job? Is it worth the risk? I regreted not trading Q. Griffin a few years ago in a similar situation...any thoughts on this matter would be helpful...thanks...

 

[TheWick]

I would trade ASAP

 

[wannabee]

I used to be on the "trade him quickly" group, now I suggest you wait a week or so to see how high the value can go.

What is the offer today? I bet it is not near as high as it could be a couple of weeks from now.

If MBell is viewed as entrenched as the starter, he could pay huge fantasy dividends.

 

[sholditch]

The way I see it you're not going to get great value for a guy that hasd never even hit the field. There is the minimal risk that he'll be demoted back to third string before the end of camp, but I think there is a much bigger gain to wait until he's actually started a regular season game.

 

[aldelgreco]

The way I see it you're not going to get great value for a guy that hasd never even hit the field. There is the minimal risk that he'll be demoted back to third string before the end of camp, but I think there is a much bigger gain to wait until he's actually started a regular season game.

this is the approach i am taking. it is also worth mentioning that the league I own M Bell in is a redraft, and my other RBs are Portis, J Jones, D Foster and M Bennett, so I think that I might actually need M Bell to start and be at least somewhat productive for when Foster or Jones goes down. Even if it is splitting time with T Bell...I'm not that worried. T Bell is a legitimate turd and so is Ron Dayne. He'll be at the very least an 05 Samkon Gado.

 

[Post Corner]

ship him out if you can get a good deal for him!

 

[Ron_Mexico]

I say deal him NOW.

I dealt him for Heath Miller in one league,

and I'm looking to deal him in another.

The knock on him seems

to be holding onto the ball,

and lack of speed. If these

are exposed in any

of the exhibition games,

his value will plummet.

I will sell high while the hype meter is pinned.

 

[jurb26]

YES, Mike Bell meet Quentin Griffin

 

[Kit Fisto]

I say deal him NOW.I dealt him for Heath Miller in one league,and I'm looking to deal him in another.The knock on him seemsto be holding onto the ball,and lack of speed. If these are exposed in anyof the exhibition games,his value will plummet.I will sell high while the hype meter is pinned.

Trade high, trade high! His value will never be higher.He starts tonight, fumbles twice, never sees the field again, and you could have had Player X for him.

 

[Dirk Digler]

SELL!! SELL!!! SELL!!!

 

[Sigmund Bloom]

I say deal him NOW.I dealt him for Heath Miller in one league,and I'm looking to deal him in another.

If you can get that kind of return, deal him right away. It is definitely a good sell high time for Bell unless you really believe he will hold on to the job.

 

[2banalias]

Since I was able to pick him up in the free agency pool I think I will hold on to him in case he is legit. Even if he becomes the biggest bust of the year, I will have only given up Charles Rogers' roster spot to get him. I bought him at $.01 and if he is the starting RB in Denver for the year he is worth $10.00. Very little risk in my situation.

 

[BoulderBob]

Depends on what you can get. Bell was built for the Denver system. Check out all the videos and stats (5 ypc over his career) of him playing behind a piss-poor o-line at AZ, and then make a decision. I don't think he has the body to hold up over a ten game season, let alone 16, but that is for you to decide.

 

[pinequick]

Dynasty league, tried to trade both V. Morency and M. Bell to the guy who owns D. Davis and R. Dayne. All I asked for was Mark Clayton (TB). The guy wouldn't even give it a sniff.

Maybe I'm overvaluing Bell's value right now? (But I don't think so)

 

[John Mamula]

I would trade ASAP

I saw him a lot in college. He was not good.

 

[sholditch]

I would be more than willing to deal him for a promising receiver. Maybe I'll check out the TBell owner's squad. OK, since Mike is too common of a name, I think we're going to have to start calling the other one Tatum or Taters or Tater-Tot or TBell.

 

[Kit Fisto]

Dynasty league, tried to trade both V. Morency and M. Bell to the guy who owns D. Davis and R. Dayne. All I asked for was Mark Clayton (TB). The guy wouldn't even give it a sniff.Maybe I'm overvaluing Bell's value right now? (But I don't think so)

No, just the guy you tried to trade with isn't drinking the kool-aid either.Find someone else who is.

 

[BoulderBob]

I would trade ASAP

I saw him a lot in college. He was not good.

I saw him quite a bit as well, and to say he was not good is a stretch and a half. He was a good RB when healthy, and was one of the better RB's at reading the hole(s) or lackthereof I've witnessed. It is true he didn't always fight for the tough yards, wasn't excactly a picture of good health, and didn't have the best attitude, but he got things done behind a terrible run-blocking OL. I don't believe he has the makeup to last as a starter in the NFL, but if MB has dedicated himself to the game, he has a shot to put up better numbers than any rookie RB this season.

 

[ATC1]

If a trade goes down to move Bell or Dayne (more likely Dayne) then M. Bell's value will raise through the roof. Maybe so much I will have to believe the hype. T. Bell will not get the majority of the carries. I say wait until the Jets find a trade partner or decide they are sticking wit what they got.

 

[BoulderBob]

If a trade goes down to move Bell or Dayne (more likely Dayne) then M. Bell's value will raise through the roof. Maybe so much I will have to believe the hype. T. Bell will not get the majority of the carries. I say wait until the Jets find a trade partner or decide they are sticking wit what they got.

This what I'm waiting for as well. If T. Bell sticks around, M. Bell will be lucky to see the ball 10-15 times a game.

 

[Interseptopus]

I'm reading all these guys telling you to SELL SELL SELL... just saying to sell is stupid advice. Do people put ANY thought into their posts these days??????

I was able to pick up Bell with the #2 WW position. Chances of me getting back into the top 5 are slim, because our league doesn't reset the FA players to WW every week.

Anyways, selling Bell depends on a lot of things:

1- What can you get for him? If you can get someone that will start for you every week, then I say yes trade him. Chances of you finding an owner willing to do that right now are slim though.

2- How high is his value really at? Sure, all the hype is that in the first week of AUGUST denver has named a rookie starting RB... what about the first week of SEPTEMBER? It's like playing the stock market- sell now or gamble that he'll increase his value by week 1 and you could get MORE for him. I don't think his value is high at all right now. Everyone's saying SELL SELL SELL!!!! As if you've got shares of Enron and someone with inside information knows they go broke tomorrow. He hasn't started a game, he hasn't showcased his talents, all he has done is shown in practice that he is the best RB

3- Is he really going to last the entire 16 game season? I highly doubt it. From what I've read about him, he wasn't known for durability during the college season, much less a 16 game NFL season.

4- What are the rest of your RBs? If Mike Bell is your 4th or 5th RB, then what are you going to lose if you hold onto him and he's a bust? Nothing practically. Most people got him late in a draft or off the WW or FA list. If anything, you lost your WW position. Why bail so quickly on someone that yes, is high risk, but with also such a high reward???

So my conclusion is this- If you can get a deal that will land you a starter, yes trade him if you really want to. But if you can, hold onto him and see how high his value will really go. People say that he can fumble twice and never see the field again. Yes, that's true, but we forget that TBell is already in the coach's doghouse (according to him), and Dayne has proven that he cannot be an every down back. And Cobbs... he's as good as cut. So all of the RBs behind Mike Bell have their flaws too. I wouldn't be scared that if MBell doesn't average 7.5 yards per carry in his first game as a starter that he'll be benched. If you can hold onto him for little cost to you, go for it. He's my #5 RB. If by week 1 my #5 RB turns into my #2 RB, that's one hell of a steal and you can bet I won't be trading him away unless I can package for another #1 RB... Good deal if the best I can get for him now is a decent #2 or #3 WR...

 

[Aussie Cowboy]

He couldn't have asked for a better six games to start his career. I know I wouldn't be able to get much for him at the moment, so I'll take my chances, hope he holds onto the job, and try again after Week 2.

Preseason

at Detroit

Tennessee

Houston

at Arizona

Regular Season

at St. Louis

Kansas City

 

[John Mamula]

I would trade ASAP

I saw him a lot in college. He was not good.

I saw him quite a bit as well, and to say he was not good is a stretch and a half. He was a good RB when healthy. It is true he didn't always fight for the tough yards, wasn't excactly a picture of good health, and didn't have the best attitude, but he got things done behind a terrible run-blocking OL. I don't believe he has the makeup to last as a starter in the NFL, but if MB has dedicated himself to the game, he has a shot to put up better numbers than any rookie RB this season.

If you look at Bell in each of the last three seasons, you will see that the majority of his yards came in a few games against inferior opponents (D-II schools included). Here are his 100+ yard games...2005Northern Ariz. 24 / 122 / 1 Oregon 20 / 158 / 1UCLA 16 / 153 / 1at Arizona St. 27 / 117 / 1 2004Northern Ariz. 31 / 118 / 2 at UCLA 21 134 / 0Arizona St. 23 / 139 / 0 2003UTEP 13 / 119 / 1at California 19 / 182 / 1 at Oregon St. 25 / 106 / 1 Washington 26 / 222 / 3 So in 2005 and 2004, he beat up on Northern Arizona (D-II school), UCLA, and ASU who were ranked 66th, 116th, and 89th in rushing defense in 2005, and 50th, 105th, and 28th in 2004. That is not too impressive.Conversely, any time he has played a more national program, this is how he has done...2005 at Southern California 10 / 38 / 0 Purdue 14 / 43 / 0 2004Utah 6 / 36 / 0 at Southern California 15 / 74 / 0 2003LSU 13 / 41 / 0 at Purdue 5 / 9 / 0Southern California 14 / 14 / 0 Meh.

 

[sholditch]

 

[Interseptopus]

I would trade ASAP

I saw him a lot in college. He was not good.

I saw him quite a bit as well, and to say he was not good is a stretch and a half. He was a good RB when healthy. It is true he didn't always fight for the tough yards, wasn't excactly a picture of good health, and didn't have the best attitude, but he got things done behind a terrible run-blocking OL. I don't believe he has the makeup to last as a starter in the NFL, but if MB has dedicated himself to the game, he has a shot to put up better numbers than any rookie RB this season.

If you look at Bell in each of the last three seasons, you will see that the majority of his yards came in a few games against inferior opponents (D-II schools included). Here are his 100+ yard games...2005Northern Ariz. 24 / 122 / 1 Oregon 20 / 158 / 1UCLA 16 / 153 / 1at Arizona St. 27 / 117 / 1 2004Northern Ariz. 31 / 118 / 2 at UCLA 21 134 / 0Arizona St. 23 / 139 / 0 2003UTEP 13 / 119 / 1at California 19 / 182 / 1 at Oregon St. 25 / 106 / 1 Washington 26 / 222 / 3 So in 2005 and 2004, he beat up on Northern Arizona (D-II school), UCLA, and ASU who were ranked 66th, 116th, and 89th in rushing defense in 2005, and 50th, 105th, and 28th in 2004. That is not too impressive.Conversely, any time he has played a more national program, this is how he has done...2005 at Southern California 10 / 38 / 0 Purdue 14 / 43 / 0 2004Utah 6 / 36 / 0 at Southern California 15 / 74 / 0 2003LSU 13 / 41 / 0 at Purdue 5 / 9 / 0Southern California 14 / 14 / 0 Meh.

Good statsSo what you're saying is that behind a pretty crappy offensive line, he was able to run over crappy teams. I think you've made some great points, but one major one that you are overlooking is that he is going from a crappy offensive line to one of the best in the NFL... I suppose by your theory, behind a crappy OL he was able to dominate crappy defenses, therefore behind a fantastic OL he should be able to dominate fantastic defenses...Let's not jump ship on him just yet. One thing any football fan knows is that college stats don't equal NFL stats. Ron Dayne comes to mind... Denver has been able to turn undrafted or low drafted RBs into NFL stars. Is everyone forgetting that too? It will definately be interesting to see how well he does this year... I'm not predicting Clinton Portis type season, but I'd be disappointed if he didn't rush for 1000

 

[brakeyawself]

I've been offering him to a Tatum/Dayne owner for Steven Jackson. No takers yet. Im holding.

 

[Slinger]

I've been offering him to a Tatum/Dayne owner for Steven Jackson. No takers yet. Im holding.

That's asking for way too much. Ask for someone in the Heath Miller range.

 

[GregR_2]

4- What are the rest of your RBs? If Mike Bell is your 4th or 5th RB, then what are you going to lose if you hold onto him and he's a bust? Nothing practically. Most people got him late in a draft or off the WW or FA list. If anything, you lost your WW position. Why bail so quickly on someone that yes, is high risk, but with also such a high reward??? ...If you can hold onto him for little cost to you, go for it. He's my #5 RB. If by week 1 my #5 RB turns into my #2 RB, that's one hell of a steal and you can bet I won't be trading him away unless I can package for another #1 RB... Good deal if the best I can get for him now is a decent #2 or #3 WR...

I agree that no one can really give solid advice without mentioning the state of the rest of your team. But in my view you have it backwards here on when you keep him and when you trade him based on the rest of your team.If you are solid at RB without him then the likelihood of him contributing to your team significantly is lessened, and you should consider trading him if it will upgrade you at another position of need.You hang on to him if you are shallow at RB, or if you are weak enough where a realistic production level from him as a starter in Denver would be a decent upgrade.

 

[pinequick]

4- What are the rest of your RBs? If Mike Bell is your 4th or 5th RB, then what are you going to lose if you hold onto him and he's a bust? Nothing practically. Most people got him late in a draft or off the WW or FA list. If anything, you lost your WW position. Why bail so quickly on someone that yes, is high risk, but with also such a high reward???

...If you can hold onto him for little cost to you, go for it. He's my #5 RB. If by week 1 my #5 RB turns into my #2 RB, that's one hell of a steal and you can bet I won't be trading him away unless I can package for another #1 RB... Good deal if the best I can get for him now is a decent #2 or #3 WR...

I agree that no one can really give solid advice without mentioning the state of the rest of your team. But in my view you have it backwards here on when you keep him and when you trade him based on the rest of your team.If you are solid at RB without him then the likelihood of him contributing to your team significantly is lessened, and you should consider trading him if it will upgrade you at another position of need.

You hang on to him if you are shallow at RB, or if you are weak enough where a realistic production level from him as a starter in Denver would be a decent upgrade.

This is the correct answer. If, as the original quote above posed, M. Bell is your 4th or 5th RB then you lose a great deal in opportunity costs, if you could get a starter (or even a good backup bye-week fill-in player) for M. Bell.

 

[Kit Fisto]

Denver has been able to turn undrafted or low drafted RBs into NFL stars. Is everyone forgetting that too?

No one is forgetting that. Are you forgetting how unpredictable Shanahan is and how difficult it is to choose the right Denver RB? This week, it's Mike Bell. Over the span of the past 3 weeks, it has changed from Dayne to Cobbs to now Mike Bell. Let's also not forget Tatum. What makes anyone believe that the starter today will be the starter tomorrow?

 

[Kit Fisto]

4- What are the rest of your RBs? If Mike Bell is your 4th or 5th RB, then what are you going to lose if you hold onto him and he's a bust? Nothing practically. Most people got him late in a draft or off the WW or FA list. If anything, you lost your WW position. Why bail so quickly on someone that yes, is high risk, but with also such a high reward??? ...If you can hold onto him for little cost to you, go for it. He's my #5 RB. If by week 1 my #5 RB turns into my #2 RB, that's one hell of a steal and you can bet I won't be trading him away unless I can package for another #1 RB... Good deal if the best I can get for him now is a decent #2 or #3 WR...

I agree that no one can really give solid advice without mentioning the state of the rest of your team. But in my view you have it backwards here on when you keep him and when you trade him based on the rest of your team.If you are solid at RB without him then the likelihood of him contributing to your team significantly is lessened, and you should consider trading him if it will upgrade you at another position of need.You hang on to him if you are shallow at RB, or if you are weak enough where a realistic production level from him as a starter in Denver would be a decent upgrade.

 

[King of the Jungle]

If you can get decent value for him (a promising WR or talented tight end), then I would jump on it. This is a team that has not been loyal to an RB since Terrell Davis. Heck, they traded away Clinton Portis and Rueben Droughns for pete's sake. I would be willing to wager that both of those guys are MUCH more talented than Mike Bell (not exactly going out on a limb, but you get my point). Even if Mike Bell starts this year and performs well, he is not in a franchise back situation. If you can find somebody who already owns his jersey, make the trade if it helps your team.

 

[BoulderBob]

I would trade ASAP

I saw him a lot in college. He was not good.

I saw him quite a bit as well, and to say he was not good is a stretch and a half. He was a good RB when healthy. It is true he didn't always fight for the tough yards, wasn't excactly a picture of good health, and didn't have the best attitude, but he got things done behind a terrible run-blocking OL. I don't believe he has the makeup to last as a starter in the NFL, but if MB has dedicated himself to the game, he has a shot to put up better numbers than any rookie RB this season.

If you look at Bell in each of the last three seasons, you will see that the majority of his yards came in a few games against inferior opponents (D-II schools included). Here are his 100+ yard games...2005Northern Ariz. 24 / 122 / 1 Oregon 20 / 158 / 1UCLA 16 / 153 / 1at Arizona St. 27 / 117 / 1 2004Northern Ariz. 31 / 118 / 2 at UCLA 21 134 / 0Arizona St. 23 / 139 / 0 2003UTEP 13 / 119 / 1at California 19 / 182 / 1 at Oregon St. 25 / 106 / 1 Washington 26 / 222 / 3 So in 2005 and 2004, he beat up on Northern Arizona (D-II school), UCLA, and ASU who were ranked 66th, 116th, and 89th in rushing defense in 2005, and 50th, 105th, and 28th in 2004. That is not too impressive.Conversely, any time he has played a more national program, this is how he has done...2005 at Southern California 10 / 38 / 0 Purdue 14 / 43 / 0 2004Utah 6 / 36 / 0 at Southern California 15 / 74 / 0 2003LSU 13 / 41 / 0 at Purdue 5 / 9 / 0Southern California 14 / 14 / 0 Meh.

One problem, Bell's surrounding talent sucked, hence his team abandoning the run game early. Bell was a stud in HS, and was AZ's highest rated recruit in quite some time. Denver is the perfect situation for him, if you fail to see this, so be it. Barry Sanders could run on these teams with Bell's o-line, but the list ends a few spots after him.

 

[lions327]

I traded him in a dynasty for Michael Turner, not only to handcuff LT, but also because Turner is in the last year of his contract.

 

[ATC1]

I traded him in a dynasty for Michael Turner, not only to handcuff LT, but also because Turner is in the last year of his contract.

Great trade.

 

[Domination]

His value is as high as it is going to get, IMO because I don't think that he will end up the starting RB. Take the best offer you can get, and do it fast.

 

[Buckna]

4- What are the rest of your RBs? If Mike Bell is your 4th or 5th RB, then what are you going to lose if you hold onto him and he's a bust? Nothing practically. Most people got him late in a draft or off the WW or FA list. If anything, you lost your WW position. Why bail so quickly on someone that yes, is high risk, but with also such a high reward??? ...If you can hold onto him for little cost to you, go for it. He's my #5 RB. If by week 1 my #5 RB turns into my #2 RB, that's one hell of a steal and you can bet I won't be trading him away unless I can package for another #1 RB... Good deal if the best I can get for him now is a decent #2 or #3 WR...

I agree that no one can really give solid advice without mentioning the state of the rest of your team. But in my view you have it backwards here on when you keep him and when you trade him based on the rest of your team.If you are solid at RB without him then the likelihood of him contributing to your team significantly is lessened, and you should consider trading him if it will upgrade you at another position of need.You hang on to him if you are shallow at RB, or if you are weak enough where a realistic production level from him as a starter in Denver would be a decent upgrade.

I also was lucky enough to grab him off the waiver wire and will be doing what GregR suggests. I'm weak at RB and right now haven't even gotten a nibble from other owners. No response at all from the Dayne/T.Bell owners from my trade overtures.Hopefully the guy comes out looking good this weekend. Right now, I think very few people believe he'll be able to hold on to the starting job so they aren't willing to part with anything of value for him.

 

[Ned]

Denver has been able to turn undrafted or low drafted RBs into NFL stars. Is everyone forgetting that too?

No one is forgetting that. Are you forgetting how unpredictable Shanahan is and how difficult it is to choose the right Denver RB? This week, it's Mike Bell. Over the span of the past 3 weeks, it has changed from Dayne to Cobbs to now Mike Bell. Let's also not forget Tatum. What makes anyone believe that the starter today will be the starter tomorrow?

huh? when was dayne or cobbs or bell officially #1?

shanny was pretty clear about it being a wide open competition from the word go. when mbell got the #1 slot, it was on the first depth chart released for this season. he earned it (up to this point). why don't we watch and see what he does with it...

shanny's also been quite clear about what he thinks of tater. a 10-12 carry change-of-pace rb. he's given him every chance to change his mind of that but hasnt done so. imo, he will never be more than the homerun/change of pace rb for denver.

im no broncos fan (or shanny fan) but it amazes me how many people think he's so unpredictable with his rbs.

 

[Couch Potato]

Here's a trade that happened today in a dynasty PPR league (I'm not either owner):

Palmer, Carson CIN QB

Dunn, Warrick ATL RB

for

Simms, Chris TBB QB

Bell, Mike DEN RB

Bell, Tatum DEN RB

Clayton, Michael TBB WR

The owner trading for the Bells was very thin at RB and has no 1st round pick next year (traded).

In another dynasty PPR league in which I do own MBell, the best offer I've received is for (I won't mention a name since the guys in that league read here) a WR that Dodds has projected in the WR20s, but who is on the other side of age 30. Another owner in the league has also shown strong interest in discussions, but has not yet made a specific offer. I told them both I wanted to see the game tonight and take some time to decide.

I suspect MBell's value will be solidified after tonight, not reduced. Since I'm one of those that GregR mentions in his post as being stronger at other positions than at RB (specifically I'm very solid at WR, which is what I'm being offered), I think it's in my best interest to hold rather than sell at this time. If I hold and he is a dud, I got him for nothing and I end up with nothing. If I sell, I get a WR that sits on my bench most of the time and is aging. I also could lose a great opportunity to strengthen my RB corps with a #20-30 RB, or get better trade value for him once/if his starter status becomes more accepted. For my team, it's worth the risk to hold and wait rather than grab the first decent offer I get.

 

[Traders2001]

I would trade him right away cause he wont start any game this season , guaranteed.

All this hype is total BS.

 

[Traders2001]

Here's a trade that happened today in a dynasty PPR league (I'm not either owner):

Palmer, Carson CIN QB

Dunn, Warrick ATL RB

for

Simms, Chris TBB QB

Bell, Mike DEN RB

Bell, Tatum DEN RB

Clayton, Michael TBB WR

The owner trading for the Bells was very thin at RB and has no 1st round pick next year (traded).

In another dynasty PPR league in which I do own MBell, the best offer I've received is for (I won't mention a name since the guys in that league read here) a WR that Dodds has projected in the WR20s, but who is on the other side of age 30. Another owner in the league has also shown strong interest in discussions, but has not yet made a specific offer. I told them both I wanted to see the game tonight and take some time to decide.

I suspect MBell's value will be solidified after tonight, not reduced. Since I'm one of those that GregR mentions in his post as being stronger at other positions than at RB (specifically I'm very solid at WR, which is what I'm being offered), I think it's in my best interest to hold rather than sell at this time. If I hold and he is a dud, I got him for nothing and I end up with nothing. If I sell, I get a WR that sits on my bench most of the time and is aging. I also could lose a great opportunity to strengthen my RB corps with a #20-30 RB, or get better trade value for him once/if his starter status becomes more accepted. For my team, it's worth the risk to hold and wait rather than grab the first decent offer I get.

I think the one getting Palmer must be laughing all the way to the bank , this is a pure and simple steal.There is a very good chance Denver will get his starting RB via trade , so both Bells have zero value.

If you believe Mike Bell can really be the starter then you have a problem.

 

[pinequick]

I would trade him right away cause he wont start any game this season , guaranteed.

All this hype is total BS.

You assert this in the face of the offensive system that produced both Terrell Davis and Mike Anderson. "Total BS" is probably a little too strong an assertion to be taken seriously at this point and in this situation.

 

[John Mamula]

I would trade him right away cause he wont start any game this season , guaranteed.

All this hype is total BS.

You assert this in the face of the offensive system that produced both Terrell Davis and Mike Anderson. "Total BS" is probably a little too strong an assertion to be taken seriously at this point and in this situation.

just because it happened with TD and MA, does not mean every mediocre back coming to denver will be a stud.this is the exact same nonsense we have seen with tatum bell, quentin griffin, ron dayne, and now mike bell.

maybe davis and anderson were better than people thought and that shanahan is not some RB guru as so many here seem to think.

 

[Hear-the-Footsteps]

My personal situation regarding Mike Bell and the analysis I used:

I picked him up in the second round of a rookie draft in one of the MOX leagues (dynasty, btw) this past Sunday.

Monday all the news came out about Mike being named the #1 in Denver. Mike passing Tatum and Dayne. Mike looking great. Mike, mike, mike.

In that particular league, I have very solid RBs (L.Johnson, S.Jackson, C.Benson, and some lesser guys).

I am however, pretty weak at QB (best being Carr) and WR (best being Santana without much after him).

So since his value seemed to be insanely high (I was getting offers from about 4-5 guys in my league), I figured I'd trade him if the right deal came along.

His upside is enormous - no question. If he truly is the starting RB in Denver - that is money. The Denver RB scheme is gold.

However, he would have to continue through the next month of preseason holding the top spot. With Shanny, you just never know. So I figured there is a good chance that Tatum or Dayne take the top spot back over. But even if they don't AND even if Mike keeps the starting spot AND even if those other two don't vulture away too many carries AND even if M.Bell does go onto to have a great season - well, look at M.Anderson, R.Droughns, Q.Griffin.

My point is: sometimes a guy comes out of nowehere in Denver and holds the job. Yet not a single one of the 3 listed above are still in that amazing system. Droughns is the only one of the 3 at least starting. Meanwhile, Griffin is merely a backup. Likewise, Anderson is merely a backup as well.

Anyway, I think the best time to trade is when a guy's stock is at its apex. For all we know, Mike will look bad tonight in his preseason opener. If that happens, BAM, Dayne and Tatum move ahead of him again by tomorrow and I would not be able to get nearly the type of deal I managed to get.

The deal I did: M.Bell and C.Fason -for- D.Brees and D.Driver.

 

[Domination]

Footsteps

I think that is a very fair assessment of what is going on in Denver, and it come down to whether or not you want to take the chance that M Bell is the starter in the reg season. I personnaly don't trust Shanny, so I would part ways with him. BTW good trade Footsteps.

 

[redman]

(Something happened with M. Bell, and it rhymes with "rumble".)

 

[chris1969]

You should have been trying to trade him already! Trade only for MORE than what you think he's worth this very minute and not for what you think he may be worth later. Everyone you talk to, just keep repeating how he beat out 2 very good RB's for the job and how well any RB can do in Denver's system. I'm willing to bet dollars to doughnuts that someone is willing to over pay.

 

[Ned]

The deal I did: M.Bell and C.Fason -for- D.Brees and D.Driver.

 

[Hairy Snowman]

I say deal him NOW.I dealt him for Heath Miller in one league,and I'm looking to deal him in another.The knock on him seemsto be holding onto the ball,and lack of speed. If these are exposed in anyof the exhibition games,his value will plummet.I will sell high while the hype meter is pinned.

He Just Fumbled in Game 1 - Hear that - That is the air going out of the M Bell Balloon!

 

[broncofan13000]

I say deal him NOW.I dealt him for Heath Miller in one league,and I'm looking to deal him in another.The knock on him seemsto be holding onto the ball,and lack of speed. If these are exposed in anyof the exhibition games,his value will plummet.I will sell high while the hype meter is pinned.

He Just Fumbled in Game 1 - Hear that - That is the air going out of the M Bell Balloon!

Does that mean buy low now?