It's that time again! Post your 2019 Playoff Predictions here. (1 Viewer)

[Smack Tripper]

Adjusted numbers forecast for IND/HOU . . .

IND Offense (27.1 ppg + 4.9 adjusted ppg) + HOU Defense (19.8 ppg allowed + -1.2 adjusted ppg allowed) / 2 = 25.3 points

HOU Offense (25.1 ppg + 3.4 adjusted ppg) + IND Defense (21.5 ppg allowed + 1.5 adjusted ppg allowed) / 2 = 25.6 points

HFA for HOU = +3 points.

Projected score: HOU 28.6, IND 25.3

Methodology: I compared each team's performance against their opponents. I removed the scores of GAME X to develop an average scoring total in the opponent's 15 other games. For example, PHI allowed 21.8 ppg this year. Removing the game against HOU,  they allowed 21.2 ppg. HOU scored 30 points against the Eagles. So the Texans would get an offensive game score of +8.8 points for their game against the Eagles. Rinse and repeat for all 16 games . . . repeat same process for points allowed.

Based on that, the Colts offense scored an average of 4.9 ppg above the baseline that their opponents allowed.
The Colts defense allowed 1.5 ppg above the baseline other teams scored.
The Texans offense scored 3.4 ppg above the baseline their opponents allowed.
The Texans defense allowed 1.2 ppg below the baseline their opponents scored.

Interesting algorhythm, can you or have you messed around with doing the final 8 games?   These teams are so different from week 1 to week 16 with the limited training camp, I think its why we see teams rise and teams fall off (Vikings jump to mind)

 

[QuizGuy66]

6 Indianapolis over 3 Houston  31-17

4 Dallas over 5 Seattle  20-16

5 Chargers over 4 Baltimore 38-13

6 Philly over 3 Chicago 16-10

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1 Kansas City over 6 Indianpolis 30-13

2 Los Angeles over 4 Dallas 34-8

2 New England over 5 Chargers 38-24

1 New Orleans  over 6 Philly 33-14

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2 Los Angeles over 1 New Orleans 41-38

2 New England over 1 Kansas City 24-13

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Super Bowl LIII 2 Los Angeles 27  2 New England 16

-QG

 

[need2know]

Texans

Chargers

Seahawks

Eagles

 

[IheartGuinness]

I'm still shocked that so few people have picked the bears. I think it's a given they're winning it all. And I'm looking forward to the payout when it happens.

 

[Yogibear]

Here's my playoff forecast for 2019:

AFC Wild Card Playoff Game: Texans 29, Colts 23 (OT)

NFC Wild Card Playoff Game: Cowboys 24, Seahawks 21

AFC Wild Card Playoff Game: Ravens 28, Chargers 22 (OT)

NFC Wild Card Playoff Game: Bears 23, Eagles 20

AFC Divisional Playoff Game: Chiefs 27, Ravens 25

NFC Divisional Playoff Game: Rams 26, Bears 25

AFC Divisional Playoff Game: Patriots 29, Texans 23 (OT)

NFC Divisional Playoff Game: Saints 26, Cowboys 22

NFC Championship Game: Saints 34, Rams 28 (OT)

AFC Championship Game: Chiefs 28, Patriots 27

Super Bowl LIII: Saints 35, Chiefs 29 (OT)

 

[Insein]

I'm still shocked that so few people have picked the bears. I think it's a given they're winning it all. And I'm looking forward to the payout when it happens.

What? Like 80% of this thread is Bears picks. Most experts have Bears. Bears are favored by 6.5 now. Define "so few". Not 100%?

 

[Anarchy99]

Adjusted numbers forecast for PHI/CHI . . .

PHI Offense (22.9 ppg + +0.3 adjusted ppg) + CHI Defense (17.7 ppg allowed + -5.3 adjusted ppg allowed) / 2 = 17.8 points

CHI Offense (26.3 ppg + +2.1 adjusted ppg) + PHI Defense (21.8 ppg allowed + -3.9 adjusted ppg allowed) / 2 = 23.2 points

HFA for CHI = +3 points.

Projected score: PHI 17.8, CHI 26.2

 

[Anarchy99]

Records against playoff teams . . .

NEP 4-0
NOS 3-1
CHI 2-1
LAR 4-3
DAL 3-3
PHI 3-3
HOU 2-3
LAC 2-3
IND 2-3
KCC 2-4
SEA 2-4
BAL 1-2

 

[Rubi]

Colts can't play the Pats Rd 2

The shoeshine man down the street and around the corner apologizes,he was inhaling a batch of new synthetic polish and was having a rough day. He is glad others are looking out for him. He said IF the Colts played the Patriots they would win,however since they can't they will beat the Chiefs and the end result will be the same,Saints over Chargers who will fill in

for the Colts and beat the Patriots.

 

[IheartGuinness]

What? Like 80% of this thread is Bears picks. Most experts have Bears. Bears are favored by 6.5 now. Define "so few". Not 100%?

Not to beat the Eagles. To win it all.

 

[Insein]

Not to beat the Eagles. To win it all.

Gotcha

 

[Hov34]

I'm still shocked that so few people have picked the bears. I think it's a given they're winning it all. And I'm looking forward to the payout when it happens.

Update?

Or was this just a Tanner alias?

 

[dhockster]

NFC

Eagles over Bears

Cowboys over Seahawks

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Saints over Eagles

Rams over Cowboys

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Saints over Rams

AFC

Chargers over Ravens

Colts over Texans

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Chiefs over Colts

Pats over Chargers

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Chiefs over Pats

Super Bowl

Saints over Chiefs

Looking good, Insein!

 

[Insein]

Looking good, Insein!

Wish I would have bet it, lol.