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James Jones = deep sleeper (1 Viewer)

T

Thumper

Footballguy
With the Packers offense looking to be a powerhouse this season it makes sense that the #3 option at wr in that offense might step up and make some noise.

A few reasons why Jones may put up some numbers in 2010

- Donald Driver is 35 years old and has two surgically repaired knees. If he were to go down (not wishing DD any bad will) Jones takes his place in what might be the most potent offense in the NFL.

- The Packers would be wise not to run Driver into the ground and spread some of his targets around. I can eaily see Driver's snaps held down.

- Driver has had fewer catches three years running. Those targets have to go somewhere.

- Last season Jones had 63 targets. Compare that number to guys like Robert Meachem (64 targets) and another sleeper Jacoby Jones (40 targets) and you can see where there may be some hidden value in Jones this season.

- In 2009 James Jones had 5 tds. Jones and Aaron Rogers seem to have a good feel for each other around the goaline. More targets could mean more td's.

- It seems likely that the 3rd wr role in GB will increase this season.

- I think he offers more "value" than many 18-20th round picks.

 
Good call - it wouldn't surprise to see Jones start to eat into Driver's production. At some point, Driver will hit the wall a la Isaac Bruce (and other historically solid WRs) - could even happen this year.

 
Very simple. If Rodgers is to throw 35 TDs this year (some say he should throw 40) then the distribution should look like this:

Jennings 10 TD if he has a comeback season

Finley 8 TD if the breakout year comes true

Driver 6 TD if he matches last year TD total

Jones 8 TD

Grant/Nelson splits 3

= 35 total TD

Rodgers upside if 40 TD

Jennings 11 TD

Finley 9 TD

Driver 8 TD

Jones 8 TD

Grant/Nelson splits 4

= 40 total TD

As you can see a WR3 in GB offense with 8 TD is pretty damn good.

 
steelwind said:
Very simple. If Rodgers is to throw 35 TDs this year (some say he should throw 40) then the distribution should look like this:Jennings 10 TD if he has a comeback seasonFinley 8 TD if the breakout year comes trueDriver 6 TD if he matches last year TD totalJones 8 TDGrant/Nelson splits 3= 35 total TDRodgers upside if 40 TDJennings 11 TDFinley 9 TDDriver 8 TDJones 8 TDGrant/Nelson splits 4= 40 total TDAs you can see a WR3 in GB offense with 8 TD is pretty damn good.
Click to expand...
Anyone can just distribute numbers on paper. Do you have any reasons for predicting Jones for 8 TDs?I think Finley is going to catch at least 30 of Rodger's TDsAs you can see the TE in the GB offense is going to be pretty good.
 
Totally agree. He lasted into the 17th round in one draft I did. If you've watched him in preseason he looks like he really gets it. He had one TD catch this preseason where he got between the DB and the ball the same way the really good red zone WRs do. Not wishing anything bad on Driver, but like everyone else, he will hit that point where his veteran savvy is not enough to keep a kid like Jones out of the starting lineup. I seriously think Jones is the No. 2 there by season's end.

 
If Jones can get 5TDs in what was basically spot duty in 2009, imagine the possibilities if he took Driver's spot. James Jones could be a lottery ticket.

Jones went undrafted in my main league. I was going to dump Housh for him today, but somebody beat me to it.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
It seems likely that the 3rd wr role in GB will increase this season.
Click to expand...
Why do you think the 3rd WR role will increase? What about Jordy Nelson?I like Jones but I think Finley will be eating into the 3's targets
 
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Finley needs to be factored into this equation too. Jones is the #4 target in this offense, even if Driver gets hurt he would only become the #3 target.

Jones is the primary backup to Driver and Jennings so his best bet to produce would probably be if Jennings got hurt. At least then I could see the argument for him as the #2, or even #1, target in GB.

 
Finley's maturation has eliminated the need for a WR3 in Green Bay.

He is... The Most Interesting Football Player In The World.

 
I think great value as I got him at the 18.1 in my last draft a few weeks ago

But you are not drafting him as a starter at this point. But you know if something was to happen to Driver or Jennings, he would be the #1 waiver wire pickup in a week and why you have a deep bench. Very worthy to be on it because he is going to get numbers if he starts and good ones. But he is #5 option on the team and not startable even with the guy predicting 8 TD's which seems high unless he becomes a starter. I do like what I see and great guy to have in dynasty still.

 
Quite honestly, I like the other Jones boy, down in houston better, and they are generally drafted around the same point in most drafts I have been in this season.

A potential #2 WR on Houston's team is better than a potential #3 target on Green Bay's team, IMO.

 
ItsOnlytheRiver said:
steelwind said:
Very simple. If Rodgers is to throw 35 TDs this year (some say he should throw 40) then the distribution should look like this:Jennings 10 TD if he has a comeback seasonFinley 8 TD if the breakout year comes trueDriver 6 TD if he matches last year TD totalJones 8 TDGrant/Nelson splits 3= 35 total TDRodgers upside if 40 TDJennings 11 TDFinley 9 TDDriver 8 TDJones 8 TDGrant/Nelson splits 4= 40 total TDAs you can see a WR3 in GB offense with 8 TD is pretty damn good.
Click to expand...
Anyone can just distribute numbers on paper. Do you have any reasons for predicting Jones for 8 TDs?I think Finley is going to catch at least 30 of Rodger's TDsAs you can see the TE in the GB offense is going to be pretty good.
Click to expand...
mmkay.
 
I like him a lot...Im considering dropping Laurent Robinson for him as my WR6 just because theres no way Robinson ever sniffs my starting lineup and Jones could if Driver/Jennings goes down. And in that situation, he would have much more value than Robinson anyway.

Might have just talked myself into that one.

 
gandalas said:
Quite honestly, I like the other Jones boy, down in houston better, and they are generally drafted around the same point in most drafts I have been in this season.A potential #2 WR on Houston's team is better than a potential #3 target on Green Bay's team, IMO.
Click to expand...
:lmao: Had my choice of either at the end of my draft and went with HOU Jones because not only will he have a bigger role in Houston with a top fantasy QB, but he's also a return man!
 
KentGraham10 said:
gandalas said:
Quite honestly, I like the other Jones boy, down in houston better, and they are generally drafted around the same point in most drafts I have been in this season.A potential #2 WR on Houston's team is better than a potential #3 target on Green Bay's team, IMO.
Click to expand...
:excited: Had my choice of either at the end of my draft and went with HOU Jones because not only will he have a bigger role in Houston with a top fantasy QB, but he's also a return man!
Click to expand...
Think I heard some where that Jacoby Jones is not the return man in Houston any more... they are looking at other players there so that he can focus on his WR skills.
 
Kenny Powers said:
I like him a lot...Im considering dropping Laurent Robinson for him as my WR6 just because theres no way Robinson ever sniffs my starting lineup and Jones could if Driver/Jennings goes down. And in that situation, he would have much more value than Robinson anyway.Might have just talked myself into that one.
Click to expand...
Same here, thinking about dropping Hester.
 
KentGraham10 said:
gandalas said:
Quite honestly, I like the other Jones boy, down in houston better, and they are generally drafted around the same point in most drafts I have been in this season.A potential #2 WR on Houston's team is better than a potential #3 target on Green Bay's team, IMO.
Click to expand...
:excited: Had my choice of either at the end of my draft and went with HOU Jones because not only will he have a bigger role in Houston with a top fantasy QB, but he's also a return man!
Click to expand...
I was hoping to have that choice too, but Jacoby went in the 8th round of my 12 teamer last Saturday. I got James in the 17th. Too many mouths to feed on Green Bay for James Jones to be a big factor unless Driver's health declines.
 
I've watched the games and I know the team. Finley's the target to pick up, not James Jones. Jone's problem is opportunity... he won't get any until DD gets injured.

 
pack66 said:
I've watched the games and I know the team. Finley's the target to pick up, not James Jones. Jone's problem is opportunity... he won't get any until DD gets injured.
Click to expand...
I might have to check my waiver wire to see if this Finley guy is still hanging around after a 20 round draft like Jones is
 
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