More thoughts.
The
HOF by Positions page says there have been 17 defensive backs, but lists only 16. I'm not sure if there is a missing name or not. Here are the 16:
Herb Adderley (CB) 1961-1972 - class of 1980
Lem Barney (CB) 1967-1977 - class of 1992
Mel Blount (CB) 1970-1983 - class of 1989
Willie Brown (CB) 1963-1978 - class of 1984
Jack Christiansen (S) 1951-1958 - class of 1970
Mike Haynes (CB) 1976-1989 - class of 1997
Ken Houston (S) 1967-1980 - class of 1986
Jimmy Johnson (CB) 1961-1976 - class of 1994
Paul Krause (S) 1964-1979 - class of 1998
**** (Night Train) Lane (CB) 1952-1965 - class of 1974
Yale Lary (S) 1952-1953, 1956-1964 - class of 1979
Ronnie Lott (CB-S) 1981-1994 - class of 2000
Mel Renfro (S-CB) 1964-1977 - class of 1996
Emlen Tunnell (S) 1948-1961 - class of 1967
Larry Wilson (S) 1960-1972 - class of 1978
Willie Wood (S) 1960-1971 - class of 1989
By decade:
1 in the 1960s
4 in the 1970s
5 in the 1980s
5 in the 1990s
1 in the 2000s so far
I believe the only other DBs who have been HOF finalists (i.e., final 15) at any time within the past 10 years are Cliff Harris (1 time), Donnie Shell (1 time), and Lester Hayes (4 times).
Hayes was a semifinalist (i.e., final 25) this year, and I suppose it is possible that he could make it... but after being a finalist from 2001-2004, he hasn't been for the past 2 years, so I'm thinking it is unlikely.
The only other DB that was a semifinalist this year was Roger Wehrli.
Contrary to SSOG's assertion earlier, Atwater has never made the final 15. Not sure about previous years, but he was not even a semifinalist this year.
So... it isn't looking likely that any currently eligible DBs are going to make it, at least not early in their periods of eligibility. How about DBs not yet eligible?
Darrell Green last played in 2002, so he will be eligible in 2008. Leroy Butler last played in 2001, so he will be eligible in 2007. This gives Butler a nice window of 3 seasons to get in before the Woodsons, Williams, and Sanders become eligible, and I think he has a good chance to do that. None of the others we have been discussing will be eligible before 2010, so it seems likely this will be a lighter decade for DBs, with just 2 or 3.
Rod Woodson, Darren Woodson, and Aeneas Williams all last played in 2004, so they will be eligible in 2010. Assuming Deion doesn't play again, he will be eligible in 2011. Harrison, Dawkins, and Lynch will be eligible within a couple of years after that.
IMO their timing will hurt the chances of all of the safeties other than possibly Butler. I'm sure Sanders, Rod Woodson, and Williams will make it, and combined with Green & possibly Butler, that will be 4-5 DBs inducted within a relatively small window of about 5-6 years. I think this will make it very hard for these safeties to make it. I think Butler, Woodson, and Harrison have the strongest cases, and I find it hard to distinguish between them.
I don't really see Lynch with much of a chance at all, unless he substantially adds to his case in the remainder of this postseason and/or by continuing to play longer at a high level.