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Joseph Addai (1 Viewer)

First, I doubt they spend a first round pick on an RB. And I said the same thing before this draft, when a lot of people were saying the Colts would drat an RB in the first round. It's just not likely to happen. Nor is it necessary.How would you feel if they kept Addai as their #1 RB?
Rumor has it that the Colts wanted Chris Johnson so bad they could taste it.I wouldn't mind at all if they went with Addai for a few years.
 
First, I doubt they spend a first round pick on an RB. And I said the same thing before this draft, when a lot of people were saying the Colts would drat an RB in the first round. It's just not likely to happen. Nor is it necessary.How would you feel if they kept Addai as their #1 RB?
Rumor has it that the Colts wanted Chris Johnson so bad they could taste it.
Funny how you mention this now, but there was not a peep in regards to this before the draft. In fact, the Colts basically said they weren't looking RB until later in the draft. I highly doubt CJ was on their screen at all.However, I would have loved to see him in a Colts uniform! Imagine his speed in that offense? Wow!But I digress. The Colts seem to feel that Addai is the perfect type of RB for their system, they were comparing him to Edge (an Edge "clone" were the words used iirc) and seem pretty happy with his performance. Dungy, early in the season, was pretty quick to blame the OL for the running games struggles.It all comes down to health though... some guys in college have health issues, then hit the NFL and have none. Others are perfectly healthy in college, and then have injury after injury in the NFL.Then there's Addai who just can't stay healthy at any level.
 
Not looking like he'll play this week, and my opponent has Rhodes... sweet! Looks like Addai will end up screwing me again.

 
Why is everyone so quick to blame the RB when the running game's gone down? The colts should be drafting to bolster their oline, not another rb who'll get tackled behind the same oline this year. Behind every great rb is a great oline.
:thumbup: A voice of reason. Heck, Rhodes who they keep promoting as great has 3.6 YPC on the season :lmao:The issue with Addai is that when he was drafted, the mob mentality on this board all thought he sucked, and that guys like Maroney were better. So they look for opportunities to down Addai instead of admitting they were wrong...
His and Maroney's rookie season I was in an inaugural dynasty draft with a bunch of FBG's. Maroney went at the end of the first round. I drafted Addai in the 3rd and was laughed at....So the haters that got burned on Maroney are now coming out of the woodwork...
 
Why is everyone so quick to blame the RB when the running game's gone down?

The colts should be drafting to bolster their oline, not another rb who'll get tackled behind the same oline this year.

Behind every great rb is a great oline.
:hey: A voice of reason. Heck, Rhodes who they keep promoting as great has 3.6 YPC on the season :lmao: The issue with Addai is that when he was drafted, the mob mentality on this board all thought he sucked, and that guys like Maroney were better. So they look for opportunities to down Addai instead of admitting they were wrong...
:lmao: Or maybe people really just think that he isnt very good.
THANK YOU!These guys that swing from Addai must be LSU Homers or they are watching something much different than what I see. The guy just isn't that talented. Everyone saying O-Line this or Peyton doesn't look good this year....NEWSFLASH....now he has to perform under adversity and NOT having the greatest passing offense taking the heat off of him....I think the results speak for themselves.
So Priest Holmes wasn't very good? He sucked in Baltimore. Faulk was decent in Indy, but great in St. Louis. And good thing those guys learned how to block for themselves when running otherwise they would never have done anything...
 
Everyone can have an opinion. But don't start throwing out facts that simply aren't factual.
:bowtie: http://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index...t&p=9655556

Rhodes has run in different situations than Addai....................

Rhodes has been used mostly in the passing game and on third downs, where he gets yards off delayed draw plays in passing situations to inflate his YPC. That's the reality of the situation.
:no: Rhodes in 2008:

# of carries = 118 carries

# of carries on 1st down = 64 (54%)

# of carries on 2nd down = 42 (36 %)

# of carries on 3rd down = 12 (10%)

# of carries on 3rd down and 3+ yds to go = 3 (2.5%)

To contrast that for Addai in 2008:

# of carries = 154 carries

# of carries on 1st down = 85 (55%)

# of carries on 2nd down = 46 (30%)

# of carries on 3rd down = 21 (14%)

Amazingly enough, you're just flat out wrong. Also amazingly enough, your "boy" Addai has actually had more 3rd down carries than Rhodes.
 
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Per Yahoo Sports

RB Dominic Rhodes' 17-yard touchdown run in the first quarter of the Cincinnati game was the longest by a Colts' running back since Edgerrin James' 30-yard scamper against Tennessee on Sept. 19, 2004.
 
Not looking like he'll play this week, and my opponent has Rhodes... sweet! Looks like Addai will end up screwing me again.
Where are you hearing this?
Probably just an assumption based on the fact Dungy has already said it is "doubtful" he will play, Addai has not practiced on Wed and Thurs, and Indy doesn't need him to play to beat the Lions.
 
Everyone can have an opinion. But don't start throwing out facts that simply aren't factual.
:goodposting: http://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index...t&p=9655556

Rhodes has run in different situations than Addai....................

Rhodes has been used mostly in the passing game and on third downs, where he gets yards off delayed draw plays in passing situations to inflate his YPC. That's the reality of the situation.
:thumbup: Rhodes in 2008:

# of carries = 118 carries

# of carries on 1st down = 64 (54%)

# of carries on 2nd down = 42 (36 %)

# of carries on 3rd down = 12 (10%)

# of carries on 3rd down and 3+ yds to go = 3 (2.5%)

To contrast that for Addai in 2008:

# of carries = 154 carries

# of carries on 1st down = 85 (55%)

# of carries on 2nd down = 46 (30%)

# of carries on 3rd down = 21 (14%)

Amazingly enough, you're just flat out wrong. Also amazingly enough, your "boy" Addai has actually had more 3rd down carries than Rhodes.
How many of those first and second down carries came when Addai was out?
 
First, I doubt they spend a first round pick on an RB. And I said the same thing before this draft, when a lot of people were saying the Colts would drat an RB in the first round. It's just not likely to happen. Nor is it necessary.How would you feel if they kept Addai as their #1 RB?
Rumor has it that the Colts wanted Chris Johnson so bad they could taste it.
Funny how you mention this now, but there was not a peep in regards to this before the draft. In fact, the Colts basically said they weren't looking RB until later in the draft. I highly doubt CJ was on their screen at all.However, I would have loved to see him in a Colts uniform! Imagine his speed in that offense? Wow!But I digress. The Colts seem to feel that Addai is the perfect type of RB for their system, they were comparing him to Edge (an Edge "clone" were the words used iirc) and seem pretty happy with his performance. Dungy, early in the season, was pretty quick to blame the OL for the running games struggles.It all comes down to health though... some guys in college have health issues, then hit the NFL and have none. Others are perfectly healthy in college, and then have injury after injury in the NFL.Then there's Addai who just can't stay healthy at any level.
Addai is also not very talented. He was just an average guy in a great situation.
 
Addai is also not very talented. He was just an average guy in a great situation.
Why was he a first round pick?Why has he had 2 200+ total yard games?Why did he average 4.8 YPC his rookie season, and the first 7 games of his second year? Funny how he was putting up AMAZING numbers for being an average talent. That's a better YPC than Edgerrin had his first two seasons. Better than Faulk at any time in his career in Indy.In fact, Addai's rookie season was better than all but two of Faulks in Indy, and his second season (a bad season per many here) was better than all but three, rushing.Faulk was a better receiver, but Addai's not shoddy in that department.The people who knock Addai's talent don't know what they're talking about.His health is a totally different issue.
 
In Faulk's rookie year, the Colts had Jim Harbaugh and Don Majkowski at QB. The leading WRs were guys named Floyd Turner and Sean Dawkins.

That's a far cry from Manning, Harrison, Wayne, Clark etc.

switz, it's one thing to defend Addai to the death as you do. But comparing him in any way to Marshall Faulk - a sure-first first ballot Hall of Famer - weakens your arguments considerably.

 
packersfan said:
In Faulk's rookie year, the Colts had Jim Harbaugh and Don Majkowski at QB. The leading WRs were guys named Floyd Turner and Sean Dawkins.That's a far cry from Manning, Harrison, Wayne, Clark etc. switz, it's one thing to defend Addai to the death as you do. But comparing him in any way to Marshall Faulk - a sure-first first ballot Hall of Famer - weakens your arguments considerably.
LOL - so are you arguing that a bad situation can negatively impact even a future Hall of Famer? I thought great talents could be amazing no matter what. Isn't that the argument here? Addai is average because when his situation was bad he's struggled? But it's ok for Faulk to struggle in a bad situation without anyone knocking his talent?:goodposting:Find an argument you can stick to... you can't argue one thing against one player, but then use it as an excuse for the other.
 
packersfan said:
In Faulk's rookie year, the Colts had Jim Harbaugh and Don Majkowski at QB. The leading WRs were guys named Floyd Turner and Sean Dawkins.That's a far cry from Manning, Harrison, Wayne, Clark etc. switz, it's one thing to defend Addai to the death as you do. But comparing him in any way to Marshall Faulk - a sure-first first ballot Hall of Famer - weakens your arguments considerably.
LOL - so are you arguing that a bad situation can negatively impact even a future Hall of Famer? I thought great talents could be amazing no matter what. Isn't that the argument here? Addai is average because when his situation was bad he's struggled? But it's ok for Faulk to struggle in a bad situation without anyone knocking his talent?:confused:Find an argument you can stick to... you can't argue one thing against one player, but then use it as an excuse for the other.
You need to stop laughing so hard and pay closer attention to what I've written. Faulk's rookie season STRONGLY supports my point that great talent can overcome a bad situation. He didn't struggle in his rookie season. He had a great rookie year (you may want to check and see who the Offensive Rookie of the Year was that year - I'll give you a hint, it wasn't Joseph Addai). As I pointed out, Faulk played with absolute garbage around him in his rookie season. And yet, he put more than 1,800 total yards and scored 12 touchdowns. That's pretty damn impressive. Faulk is an excellent example of the argument I've been making all along. Next time, stop laughing because the only one looking foolish here is you my friend. ;)
 
switz said:
Everyone can have an opinion. But don't start throwing out facts that simply aren't factual.
:shrug: http://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index...t&p=9655556

Rhodes has run in different situations than Addai....................

Rhodes has been used mostly in the passing game and on third downs, where he gets yards off delayed draw plays in passing situations to inflate his YPC. That's the reality of the situation.
:no: Rhodes in 2008:

# of carries = 118 carries

# of carries on 1st down = 64 (54%)

# of carries on 2nd down = 42 (36 %)

# of carries on 3rd down = 12 (10%)

# of carries on 3rd down and 3+ yds to go = 3 (2.5%)

To contrast that for Addai in 2008:

# of carries = 154 carries

# of carries on 1st down = 85 (55%)

# of carries on 2nd down = 46 (30%)

# of carries on 3rd down = 21 (14%)

Amazingly enough, you're just flat out wrong. Also amazingly enough, your "boy" Addai has actually had more 3rd down carries than Rhodes.
How many of those first and second down carries came when Addai was out?
What's the difference if those carries came when Addai was out? You claimed that Rhodes has been used "mostly in the passing game and on third downs where he gets yards off delayed draw plays in passing situations to inflate his YPC". Only 10% of his total carries in 2008 have come on 3rd downs, with or without Addai. How are those 10% of his total carries going to inflate anything? That's not to mention that he's only gained 39 yds on those 12 carries, so that sub 3.25 ypc average on 3rd down isn't inflating anything. Addai, at the same time, has actually had a higher % and a higher # of 3rd down carries, so shouldn't those "inflate" his already terrible ypc as is? The FACT of the matter is, Rhodes has NOT been used primarily on 3rd downs (a whopping total of TWELVE carries in all of 2008 on 3rd down) either with or without Addai. So, as someone once said, let's not "start throwing out facts that simply aren't factual"

 
packersfan said:
In Faulk's rookie year, the Colts had Jim Harbaugh and Don Majkowski at QB. The leading WRs were guys named Floyd Turner and Sean Dawkins.

That's a far cry from Manning, Harrison, Wayne, Clark etc.

switz, it's one thing to defend Addai to the death as you do. But comparing him in any way to Marshall Faulk - a sure-first first ballot Hall of Famer - weakens your arguments considerably.
LOL - so are you arguing that a bad situation can negatively impact even a future Hall of Famer? I thought great talents could be amazing no matter what. Isn't that the argument here? Addai is average because when his situation was bad he's struggled? But it's ok for Faulk to struggle in a bad situation without anyone knocking his talent? :(

Find an argument you can stick to... you can't argue one thing against one player, but then use it as an excuse for the other.
You need to stop laughing so hard and pay closer attention to what I've written. Faulk's rookie season STRONGLY supports my point that great talent can overcome a bad situation. He didn't struggle in his rookie season. He had a great rookie year (you may want to check and see who the Offensive Rookie of the Year was that year - I'll give you a hint, it wasn't Joseph Addai). As I pointed out, Faulk played with absolute garbage around him in his rookie season. And yet, he put more than 1,800 total yards and scored 12 touchdowns. That's pretty damn impressive. Faulk is an excellent example of the argument I've been making all along. Next time, stop laughing because the only one looking foolish here is you my friend. :lmao:
His second season doesn't count? Barely broke 1,000 yards rushing, 3.7 YPC?Harbaugh went to the ProBowl, so did the LT Will Wolford. Both were also with him his rookie season, when you said he had junk around him. You really don't know what you're talking about at all.

What about '97, when Faulk also had Marvin Harrison as part of his supporting cast, plus Meadows and Glenn on the line?

 
Harbaugh went to the ProBowl, so did the LT Will Wolford. Both were also with him his rookie season, when you said he had junk around him. You really don't know what you're talking about at all.
Actually, that quote applies to you, switz. Harbaugh did not go to the Pro Bowl in Faulk's rookie season. He went in Faulk's second year. Harbaugh didn't even start all of the games in Faulk's rookie year. Majkowski started several. Together, they combined to throw for nearly as many INTs as TDs. The Colts' passing game ranked 28th in passing yards that season. They had terrible talent at the skill positions.And yet, despite all of that, Faulk was the Offensive Rookie of the Year and also made the Pro Bowl. That's a pretty damn impressive accomplishment given the lack of talent around him. It certainly was significantly worse than Addai has had at any time in his career with the Colts. You're the one who brought up a comparison between Addai and a future Hall of Famer. It was a foolish comparison. As I said before, if you want to defend Addai to the death that's up to you. But comparing him in any way to Marshall Faulk is absurd given how Faulk was clearly the superior talent. And what about Faulk's second season? He again had strong total yardage numbers and the Colts' running game was one of the best in the league, ranking 11th in rushing yardage. Faulk made the Pro Bowl again that year so somebody must have thought he was doing something right.The longer you continue to make these kinds of comparisons switz the worse you look. You're the one who doesn't know what you're talking about. You're getting killed in this thread. At least I can admit I was wrong about Addai and take my lumps for it. I thought he was talented RB but he looks to me like the product of a system and not someone who is a superior talent. I was wrong and I can admit I was wrong about him.
 
does anyone know if addai practice today?
No he did not.From RotoWorld:Colts coach Tony Dungy admitted Friday that Joseph Addai (shoulder) is unlikely to play in Week 15 against Detroit. Addai is listed as questionable on the injury report, but missed practice for a third straight day."My sense is we’ll probably hold him out if there’s any question at all," Dungy said, adding that Chad Simpson (ankle) might be available. That would give the Colts further incentive to hold Addai out. "That’s another reason if we have any questions with Joe, we may be able to hold him down," said Dungy.Source: colts.com
 
switz said:
benm3218 said:
Addai is also not very talented. He was just an average guy in a great situation.
Why was he a first round pick?Why has he had 2 200+ total yard games?Why did he average 4.8 YPC his rookie season, and the first 7 games of his second year? Funny how he was putting up AMAZING numbers for being an average talent. That's a better YPC than Edgerrin had his first two seasons. Better than Faulk at any time in his career in Indy.In fact, Addai's rookie season was better than all but two of Faulks in Indy, and his second season (a bad season per many here) was better than all but three, rushing.Faulk was a better receiver, but Addai's not shoddy in that department.The people who knock Addai's talent don't know what they're talking about.His health is a totally different issue.
Hook, Line, and Sinker. Thanks. It made my Friday afternoon better knowing you wasted some energy on me. hahahaha :excited: And by the way, Addai isn't that good. That is a fact, but I only said that stuff to rile you up. I am so glad it worked. haha
 
What's the difference if those carries came when Addai was out? You claimed that Rhodes has been used "mostly in the passing game and on third downs where he gets yards off delayed draw plays in passing situations to inflate his YPC". Only 10% of his total carries in 2008 have come on 3rd downs, with or without Addai.
The implication was that when they were both available, Rhodes was used primarily on passing downs AND third downs... I figured that was obvious.Rhodes 118 carries -12 carries have come in 11+ yard to go situations (10%)58 carries on 1st and 8+ (typical running down) (49%)18 carries on 2nd and 8+ (typical passing down) (13%)2 carries on 3rd and long (3%)29 carries with <4 on the line (25%)32 carries in clear passing situations (27%)Addai 154 total carries -8 carries have come in 11+ yard to go situations (5%)78 carries on 1st and 8-10 (typical running down) (51%)17 carries on 2nd and 8-10 (typical passing down) (11%)0 carries on 3rd and long (0%)25 carries in clear passing situations (16%)35 carries with <4 on the line (22%)Rhodes clearly has had a higher percentage of his carries come in obvious pass situations, and Addai hasn't had a single carry on third and long. And quite frankly, just watch the games. When both RBs are playing, Rhodes is used more in passing situations and on third down. The stat's back that up.Oh and guess where the outlier is in Rhodes YPC? 1st and 11+ (7.5) and 2nd and 8-10 (7.3) which are passing situations.Oh, and in the three games that Addai was out, Rhodes carried the ball35 of his total 64 1st down carries.21 of his 42 total 2nd down carries.5 of his 9 third down carries.1 of his 3 fourth down carries.That shows that when Addai plays, he's had 85 1st down carries compared to 29 for Rhodes47 second down carries to 21 for Rhodes21 third down carries to 4 for Rhodes1 4th down carry to 2 for RhodesIt's been a pretty interesting review of the stats. It shows how little they use Rhodes when Addai is playing. It also shows Rhodes does indeed see percentage-wise a higher number of carries in passing situations compared to Addai.It's probably all moot - as I don't think an actual review of facts is going to change anyone's mind here. :goodposting:
 
And by the way, Addai isn't that good. That is a fact, but I only said that stuff to rile you up. I am so glad it worked. haha
And that's where you're wrong. If Addai "isn't that good" he wouldn't have been able to do what he's done when healthy.Can't wait til I can snag him in the third or fourth round of drafts next season :goodposting:

 
Rhodes 118 carries -

12 carries have come in 11+ yard to go situations (10%)

58 carries on 1st and 8+ (typical running down) (49%)

18 carries on 2nd and 8+ (typical passing down) (13%)

2 carries on 3rd and long (3%)

29 carries with <4 on the line (25%)

32 carries in clear passing situations (27%)

It's been a pretty interesting review of the stats.

:lmao:
It certainly has been a pretty interesting review of the stats. So much so that your #'s are incorrect (not surprising). Not sure where or how you pulled some of these #'s but they just aren't correct. Go and pull up Rhodes at FBG and look at his splits.He has had 118 carries so far.

He's had 64 carries on 1st down.

He's had 11 carries on 2nd and 4-7 yds to go

He's had 13 carries on 2nd and 0-3 yds to go

He's had 9 carries on 3rd/4th and 0-2 yds to go

Now, call me foolish, but NONE of the above that I listed are clear passing downs. The CLOSEST you can argue is the 2nd and 4-7 yds to go, but that is not a CLEAR passing down and most would say it would usually be a running down.

64 + 11 + 13 + 9 = 97 carries.

97/118 = 82%

That means, AT MOST, he's been in on 18% clear passing downs (not a 50% increase to 27% as you claim). That's ignoring his 18 carries on 2nd and 8+ yds to go (which is not a clear passing down either as you claim. A lot of teams will still run on 2nd and 8 or 2nd and 9).

So, somehow, you have him at 32 carries or 27% of his plays on CLEAR PASSING DOWNS. In other words, I don't even know where to begin to look at your analysis because it's just flat out wrong. Pull up some real stats and portray them accurately and maybe we can discuss this. I'm not gonna even bother doublechecking Addai's as I already found a mistake on his as well and it's just not worth it.

 
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http://colts.com/sub.cfm?page=article7&amp...c1-b9c30827c8cf

Addai, the Colts’ starting running back who has missed practice this week with a shoulder injury, may not play Sunday against Detroit, Dungy said on Friday morning. But Dungy said reserve Chad Simpson may be able to play.

“My sense is we’ll probably hold him out if there’s any question at all,” Dungy said of Addai as the Colts (9-4) prepared to play the Detroit Lions (0-13) at Lucas Oil Stadium in downtown Indianapolis Sunday at 1 p.m.

“He wants to play. Right

now, it’s questionable. We’ll see how it is.”
 
The implication was that when they were both available, Rhodes was used primarily on passing downs AND third downs... I figured that was obvious.
Ok, let's look at this. We'll do a full breakdown. This is Rhode's play by play per FBG. I removed the games where Addai didn't play or played minimally (weeks 6, 7, and 8). It is listed below. I tried to bold some of the lines to easily identify them, but not able to do it with the code tags (or at least I don't know how). So, he's involved in 87 plays below. Of those 87 plays, 12 of them are obviously passing downs (disclaimer that I did NOT include two 2nd and 9 plays as I don't think those are obvious passing downs). In addition to those 12 plays (half of which were 2nd down and half of which were 3rd down), he was involved in 4 more 3rd down plays. 3 of those 4 play were a 3rd and 1 and there was an additional 3rd and 2. Not sure how those would be considered plays that inflate his #'s as you stated earlier, but nevertheless, we'll include them since this is Switzworld we're talking about.

Thus, out of 87 plays where Rhodes was on the field in games where both were available, Rhodes saw a whopping 16 of those 87 plays that were either obviously passing downs AND/OR third downs. 16/87 = 18%.

Now, if 18% = "when they were both available, Rhodes was used primarily on passing downs AND third downs", then we're going to have to disagree on the definition of "primarily".

Feel free to go through the play-by-play listed below and add whatever other plays you'd like that TO YOU are obvious passing downs and you will still not get remotely close to "primarily" used in passing/3rd down situations. So, you were saying about facts and what not?

Code:
Week 1 vs. CHIQtr	Time	Score	Down/Dist	Yardline	Description2	13:03	3 - 7	1st-and-10	own 36	rushed for 4 yards2	10:21	3 - 7	3rd-and-10	opp 22	caught pass for 6 yards3	2:05	13 - 15	1st-and-10	own 16	target of incomplete pass4	13:46	13 - 15	4th-and-1	opp 50	rushed for -2 yards4	8:50	13 - 29	1st-and-10	own 14	caught pass for 10 yards (first down)4	8:24	13 - 29	1st-and-10	own 24	target of incomplete pass4	4:52	13 - 29	3rd-and-15	opp 41	caught pass for 8 yards4	1:34	13 - 29	2nd-and-10	own 17	caught pass for 6 yardsWeek 2 vs. MINQtr	Time	Score	Down/Dist	Yardline	Description1	9:00	0 - 3	3rd-and-11	own 31	caught pass for 3 yards2	11:53	0 - 6	2nd-and-10	opp 42	caught pass for 5 yards2	0:39	0 - 6	2nd-and-10	own 34	target of incomplete pass3	4:08	0 - 15	1st-and-10	own 20	rushed for 4 yards4	11:11	7 - 15	2nd-and-7	own 33	rushed for 1 yardsWeek 3 vs. JAXQtr	Time	Score	Down/Dist	Yardline	Description2	2:15	7 - 3	1st-and-15	opp 25	rushed for 20 yards (first down)3	1:16	14 - 17	1st-and-10	own 20	rushed for 4 yards3	0:00	14 - 17	3rd-and-5	own 25	target of incomplete passWeek 5 vs. HOUQtr	Time	Score	Down/Dist	Yardline	Description2	11:56	10 - 7	1st-and-10	own 22	rushed for 0 yards3	11:56	10 - 17	1st-and-10	own 37	target of incomplete pass4	5:26	10 - 27	1st-and-10	opp 11	caught pass for -4 yards4	4:51	10 - 27	2nd-and-14	opp 15	target of incomplete passWeek 9 vs. NEQtr	Time	Score	Down/Dist	Yardline	Description1	5:42	0 - 0	1st-and-10	opp 35	caught pass for 7 yards1	5:14	0 - 0	2nd-and-3	opp 28	rushed for 5 yards (first down)1	4:32	0 - 0	1st-and-10	opp 23	rushed for 3 yards4	3:53	18 - 15	1st-and-10	own 25	rushed for 4 yards4	2:27	18 - 15	1st-and-10	own 43	rushed for 3 yardsWeek 10 vs. PITQtr	Time	Score	Down/Dist	Yardline	Description2	13:15	7 - 14	1st-and-10	own 22	rushed for 4 yards2	2:07	7 - 17	1st-and-10	opp 39	caught pass for 7 yards2	0:22	7 - 17	2nd-and-9	opp 9	rushed for 7 yards3	9:37	14 - 17	1st-and-10	opp 25	rushed for 3 yards3	2:26	17 - 17	1st-and-10	own 43	rushed for -1 yards4	4:43	17 - 20	1st-and-10	opp 32	rushed for 9 yards4	4:15	17 - 20	2nd-and-1	opp 23	rushed for 0 yards4	3:42	17 - 20	3rd-and-1	opp 23	rushed for 6 yards (first down)4	3:09	17 - 20	1st-and-10	opp 17	caught pass for 17 yards TOUCHDOWNWeek 11 vs. HOUQtr	Time	Score	Down/Dist	Yardline	Description1	0:01	3 - 6	1st-and-10	opp 50	target of incomplete pass2	14:13	6 - 6	1st-and-10	opp 40	rushed for 3 yards2	13:37	6 - 6	2nd-and-7	opp 37	caught pass for 3 yards2	1:04	6 - 13	3rd-and-15	own 31	caught pass for 18 yards (first down)3	8:55	16 - 20	1st-and-10	own 48	rushed for 8 yards3	8:26	16 - 20	2nd-and-2	opp 44	rushed for 5 yards (first down)3	4:01	23 - 20	2nd-and-3	own 34	rushed for 2 yards3	2:56	23 - 20	1st-and-10	own 38	caught pass for 5 yards3	2:27	23 - 20	2nd-and-5	own 43	rushed for 12 yards (first down)3	1:26	23 - 20	2nd-and-1	opp 36	rushed for 7 yards (first down)3	0:46	23 - 20	2nd-and-10	opp 29	rushed for 7 yards4	4:07	30 - 27	1st-and-10	opp 26	rushed for 1 yards4	2:15	30 - 27	1st-and-10	opp 16	rushed for 4 yards4	2:07	30 - 27	2nd-and-6	opp 12	rushed for -1 yardsWeek 12 vs. SDQtr	Time	Score	Down/Dist	Yardline	Description1	3:07	0 - 0	1st-and-10	opp 10	target of incomplete pass2	11:35	3 - 3	1st-and-10	own 33	caught pass for 2 yards2	3:26	3 - 10	1st-and-10	opp 39	caught pass for 5 yards2	2:54	3 - 10	2nd-and-5	opp 34	rushed for 0 yards2	2:11	3 - 10	3rd-and-5	opp 34	caught pass for 13 yards (first down)2	1:59	3 - 10	1st-and-15	opp 26	rushed for 13 yards2	1:28	3 - 10	2nd-and-2	opp 13	rushed for 0 yards3	7:44	10 - 10	1st-and-10	opp 17	rushed for 1 yards3	6:38	10 - 10	3rd-and-1	opp 8	rushed for 7 yards (first down)3	5:57	10 - 10	1st-and-1	opp 1	rushed for -1 yards3	5:24	10 - 10	2nd-and-2	opp 2	caught pass for 0 yards3	4:39	10 - 10	3rd-and-2	opp 2	rushed for 1 yards3	3:53	10 - 10	4th-and-1	opp 1	caught pass for 1 yards TOUCHDOWNWeek 13 vs. CLEQtr	Time	Score	Down/Dist	Yardline	Description1	3:49	0 - 3	1st-and-10	opp 11	caught pass for 2 yards1	3:03	0 - 3	2nd-and-8	opp 9	rushed for 2 yards3	9:54	3 - 6	1st-and-10	own 25	rushed for 8 yards3	9:12	3 - 6	2nd-and-2	own 33	rushed for 1 yards3	8:39	3 - 6	3rd-and-1	own 34	rushed for 2 yards (first down)3	8:00	3 - 6	1st-and-10	own 36	caught pass for 4 yards3	7:38	3 - 6	2nd-and-6	own 40	rushed for 0 yards3	1:03	3 - 6	1st-and-10	own 4	rushed for 5 yards4	14:22	3 - 6	1st-and-10	own 18	rushed for 3 yards4	13:36	3 - 6	2nd-and-7	own 21	rushed for 4 yards4	5:02	3 - 6	1st-and-5	own 25	rushed for 1 yards4	3:39	3 - 6	1st-and-10	own 30	rushed for 5 yards4	2:54	3 - 6	2nd-and-5	own 35	rushed for 4 yardsWeek 14 vs. CINQtr	Time	Score	Down/Dist	Yardline	Description1	2:00	0 - 0	1st-and-10	opp 35	rushed for 3 yards1	0:43	0 - 0	1st-and-10	opp 17	rushed for 17 yards TOUCHDOWN2	5:23	7 - 3	2nd-and-1	own 30	rushed for 3 yards (first down)2	4:51	7 - 3	1st-and-10	own 33	rushed for 1 yards2	4:12	7 - 3	2nd-and-9	own 34	caught pass for 6 yards3	11:57	14 - 3	1st-and-10	opp 39	rushed for -2 yards3	11:22	14 - 3	2nd-and-12	opp 41	caught pass for 3 yards3	9:49	14 - 3	4th-and-1	opp 30	rushed for 8 yards (first down)3	9:08	14 - 3	1st-and-10	opp 22	caught pass for 3 yards3	8:26	14 - 3	2nd-and-7	opp 19	rushed for -1 yards3	3:50	21 - 3	1st-and-10	own 31	rushed for -2 yards4	11:29	28 - 3	1st-and-10	own 3	rushed for 2 yards4	9:22	28 - 3	2nd-and-4	own 23	rushed for 2 yards
 
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That means, AT MOST, he's been in on 18% clear passing downs (not a 50% increase to 27% as you claim). That's ignoring his 18 carries on 2nd and 8+ yds to go (which is not a clear passing down either as you claim. A lot of teams will still run on 2nd and 8 or 2nd and 9).So, somehow, you have him at 32 carries or 27% of his plays on CLEAR PASSING DOWNS. In other words, I don't even know where to begin to look at your analysis because it's just flat out wrong. Pull up some real stats and portray them accurately and maybe we can discuss this. I'm not gonna even bother doublechecking Addai's as I already found a mistake on his as well and it's just not worth it.
I used ESPN.com's splits which are reported by Elias. I'm not sure how FBG compile their stats, and I'm not a paying subscriber, so I'm not even sure I have access to their stats.Everything I posted is absolutely correct per ESPN's stats.The Colts pass very frequently on second down, and if you watch the games, you'd know that.
 
The implication was that when they were both available, Rhodes was used primarily on passing downs AND third downs... I figured that was obvious.
Ok, let's look at this. We'll do a full breakdown. This is Rhode's play by play per FBG. I removed the games where Addai didn't play or played minimally (weeks 6, 7, and 8). It is listed below. I tried to bold some of the lines to easily identify them, but not able to do it with the code tags (or at least I don't know how).
Unfortunately the code tag removes all other markup :hophead:
So, he's involved in 87 plays below. Of those 87 plays, 12 of them are obviously passing downs (disclaimer that I did NOT include two 2nd and 9 plays as I don't think those are obvious passing downs).
Then you don't know the Colts at all...Of 2nd down plays, the Colts had 166 pass attempts and 94 rush attempts. Of those rush attempts, only 57 came when there were 6+ yards to go, only 18 came when there were 8+ yards to go.

So the Colts run 36% of the time on second down. They run only 22% of the time when the yardage to go is 6 or more. They run ONLY SIX % OF THE TIME when the yardage is 8 or more to go.

Yes, 2nd and 8+ is clearly a passing down for the Colts. It is arguable that 2nd and 6+ is pretty much a passing down for the Colts.

These are all plays I would call clearly passing downs:

Week 1 vs. CHI (of 8 plays)3rd-and-10 opp 22 caught pass for 6 yards3rd-and-15 opp 41 caught pass for 8 yards2nd-and-10 own 17 caught pass for 6 yardsWeek 2 vs. MIN (of 5 plays)3rd-and-11 own 31 caught pass for 3 yards2nd-and-10 opp 42 caught pass for 5 yards2nd-and-10 own 34 target of incomplete pass2nd-and-7 own 33 rushed for 1 yardsWeek 3 vs. JAX (of 3 plays)1st-and-15 opp 25 rushed for 20 yards (first down)3rd-and-5 own 25 target of incomplete passWeek 5 vs. HOU (of 4 plays)2nd-and-14 opp 15 target of incomplete passWeek 9 vs. NE (of 5 plays)Week 10 vs. PIT (of 9 pays)2nd-and-9 opp 9 rushed for 7 yardsWeek 11 vs. HOU2nd-and-7 opp 37 caught pass for 3 yards3rd-and-15 own 31 caught pass for 18 yards (first down)2nd-and-10 opp 29 rushed for 7 yardsWeek 12 vs. SD (of 13 plays)3rd-and-5 opp 34 caught pass for 13 yards (first down)1st-and-15 opp 26 rushed for 13 yardsWeek 13 vs. CLE (of 13 plays)Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description2nd-and-8 opp 9 rushed for 2 yards2nd-and-6 own 40 rushed for 0 yards2nd-and-7 own 21 rushed for 4 yardsWeek 14 vs. CIN (of 13 plays - Addai also left this game early in the third, no?)2nd-and-9 own 34 caught pass for 6 yards2nd-and-12 opp 41 caught pass for 3 yards2nd-and-7 opp 19 rushed for -1 yardsYou said 87 plays? 22 of those in clear passing situations = 25%. Now I was speaking specifically of rushing attempts, and you included all plays, pass receptions and rush attempts, which is fine.Now obviously, Rhodes isn't used primarily on passing downs, in the proper sense of the word. I was incorrect in stating that. My argument was that he benefits by being used more frequently in those situations than Addai, relative to each players overall use, which is true.

Either way, even if each player ran a relatively equal number of times in each situation, Rhodes is averaging .1 more YPC than Addai, nothing to indicate he's "clearly superior." Additionally, Rhodes was hardly used early in the season, when Manning was recovering and the OL was in shambles. Then Addai got hurt, and it's not a good basis to compare players when one of the two is injured.

:hophead:

We all just see what we want to see I guess.

 
And by the way, Addai isn't that good. That is a fact, but I only said that stuff to rile you up. I am so glad it worked. haha
And that's where you're wrong. If Addai "isn't that good" he wouldn't have been able to do what he's done when healthy.Can't wait til I can snag him in the third or fourth round of drafts next season :D
You would be REACHING in the 3rd. He's average and injury prone.
 
And by the way, Addai isn't that good. That is a fact, but I only said that stuff to rile you up. I am so glad it worked. haha
And that's where you're wrong. If Addai "isn't that good" he wouldn't have been able to do what he's done when healthy.Can't wait til I can snag him in the third or fourth round of drafts next season :)
Your argument has changed a few times:First, you felt like he was going to be a 350 carry and 50 catch workhorse. You compared his future performance to Edge's past performance. Many reminded you that he had never carried a full load at any level. But you felt he could do it.

Next, you stated that he is a top 5 NFL talent. Yet his performance is comparable to the "epitomy of average" Dominic Rhodes.

I don't mean to rub in defeat, but it gets difficult to read your changing arguments time and time again. Do you still think Foster is more talented than DeAngelo? Is MJD just a part time back that won't amount to much? Is Marshawn Lynch a better pro than Adrian Peterson? Is Addai the #1 dynasty RB? Is Marion Barber overrated? How did these other arguments work out for you?

You are right about Felix Jones, though. :censored:

 
Let it go
:thumbup: Honestly, you can defend Addai's talent all day long, but the fact is that the guy has not been putting up numbers this year, and he's not going to for the rest of the year. He was one of the absolute worst fantasy RBs considering his ADP this year. For God's sake you're spending time comparing Addai to Dominic Rhodes. Those guys shouldn't even be in the same sentence! This is supposed to be a premier 1st round back here!

 

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