Kelly Johnson (1 Viewer)

[Riptide]

Is there anything I should know about Kelly Johnson 2B AT that I should know about before dealing for him?

 

[Eephus]

Is there anything I should know about Kelly Johnson 2B AT that I should know about before dealing for him?

Escobar will replace Renteria at SS so Johnson should have 2B all to himself this year. I like him, especially in OBP leagues. In standard 5x5, he's not going to help in AVG but should be good for 80 R and 15 HR

 

[Bobcat10]

I've seen some project him with as much as 25 hrs. Seems a little high, but either way, this is one of those guys I like in the 10-15 range of 2Bs, one reason not to draft one early. He's young and has some nice upside.

 

[Giant Wooden Badger]

Underrated.

 

[Eephus]

I've seen some project him with as much as 25 hrs. Seems a little high, but either way, this is one of those guys I like in the 10-15 range of 2Bs, one reason not to draft one early. He's young and has some nice upside.

It's possible he can get to 25 HRs if he has a career-type year. He's probably more likely to get there than guys like Hill or Ellis but I'd be more comfortable drafting him based on his floor than his ceiling.

 

[MAC_32]

Only should be considering him if you're in 12+ team leagues or ones in which you utilize a MI position. If so he could be a great value, I value him similarly to Polanco and Freddy Sanchez, who your team selects depends on your team needs at that time in the draft.

 

[Riptide]

10 team NL only league and I have a chance to deal a reserve draft choice for him and he would then be a keeper at $5 in a standard 5x5 $260 auction league.

 

[bialczabub]

Baseball prospectus projects 17 homers, 11 SBs, 69 RBIs, 89 runs, with .279/.375/.466

 

[Bobcat10]

10 team NL only league and I have a chance to deal a reserve draft choice for him and he would then be a keeper at $5 in a standard 5x5 $260 auction league.

Sounds good, without exactly knowing what a reserve draft choice is.

 

[Steelers4Life]

Baseball prospectus projects 17 homers, 11 SBs, 69 RBIs, 89 runs, with .279/.375/.466

Seems a bit low on the runs for a guy playing every day at the top of a powerful lineup with an OBP that high.I think he's got a bit more power and possibly more speed than that, but it's a reasonable, conservative projection.He had only 521 official ABs last year, and he hit 16 HRs and scored 91 runs. I don't think he'll suffer playing every day, and while he showed less power, he was pretty good against lefties last year too.

 

[Eephus]

Baseball prospectus projects 17 homers, 11 SBs, 69 RBIs, 89 runs, with .279/.375/.466

Seems a bit low on the runs for a guy playing every day at the top of a powerful lineup with an OBP that high.I think he's got a bit more power and possibly more speed than that, but it's a reasonable, conservative projection.He had only 521 official ABs last year, and he hit 16 HRs and scored 91 runs. I don't think he'll suffer playing every day, and while he showed less power, he was pretty good against lefties last year too.

How many PAs does BP project him to? Bill James has him at 620 plate appearances with pretty similar numbers as BP. There's not much historical data to base the projection on. He was in the minors in 2005 and hurt in 2006.

 

[Steelers4Life]

Baseball prospectus projects 17 homers, 11 SBs, 69 RBIs, 89 runs, with .279/.375/.466

Seems a bit low on the runs for a guy playing every day at the top of a powerful lineup with an OBP that high.I think he's got a bit more power and possibly more speed than that, but it's a reasonable, conservative projection.He had only 521 official ABs last year, and he hit 16 HRs and scored 91 runs. I don't think he'll suffer playing every day, and while he showed less power, he was pretty good against lefties last year too.

How many PAs does BP project him to? Bill James has him at 620 plate appearances with pretty similar numbers as BP. There's not much historical data to base the projection on. He was in the minors in 2005 and hurt in 2006.

Don't know.But he hit 9 HRs in 290 ABs as a 23 year old in 2005, or 1 HR ever 32.2 ABs.He then missed his 24 year old season.And in his 25 year old season, he maintained that average with 16 HRs in 521 ABs, or 1 HR every 32.5 ABs.If he gets 600 ABs, which seems very likely, all he has to do is maintain that pace to hit 18 or 19 HRs. As a 26 year old, he should be getting stronger and more comfortable at the plate. He also won't be trying to learn 2B like he was last year.I'll be somewhat suprised if he doesn't hit 20+ HRs this year and I think his OBP should lead to more runs than 89 in that lineup.Just my opinion.

 

[Kovax]

Baseball prospectus projects 17 homers, 11 SBs, 69 RBIs, 89 runs, with .279/.375/.466

Seems a bit low on the runs for a guy playing every day at the top of a powerful lineup with an OBP that high.I think he's got a bit more power and possibly more speed than that, but it's a reasonable, conservative projection.He had only 521 official ABs last year, and he hit 16 HRs and scored 91 runs. I don't think he'll suffer playing every day, and while he showed less power, he was pretty good against lefties last year too.

How many PAs does BP project him to? Bill James has him at 620 plate appearances with pretty similar numbers as BP. There's not much historical data to base the projection on. He was in the minors in 2005 and hurt in 2006.

Don't know.But he hit 9 HRs in 290 ABs as a 23 year old in 2005, or 1 HR ever 32.2 ABs.He then missed his 24 year old season.And in his 25 year old season, he maintained that average with 16 HRs in 521 ABs, or 1 HR every 32.5 ABs.If he gets 600 ABs, which seems very likely, all he has to do is maintain that pace to hit 18 or 19 HRs. As a 26 year old, he should be getting stronger and more comfortable at the plate. He also won't be trying to learn 2B like he was last year.I'll be somewhat suprised if he doesn't hit 20+ HRs this year and I think his OBP should lead to more runs than 89 in that lineup.Just my opinion.

Good call. BP projections seemed a little low on many, many different players. In his player writeup, it is said he could be the next Kent. Sounds good to me. I'm keeping him at the cost of a 10th rd'r this year.

 

[bialczabub]

If you guys were me, would you keep him or Tulowitzki?

 

[Eephus]

If you guys were me, would you keep him or Tulowitzki?

Probably Tulo unless it's an OBP league

 

[bialczabub]

If you guys were me, would you keep him or Tulowitzki?

Probably Tulo unless it's an OBP league

it's an OBP league.

 

[Eephus]

If you guys were me, would you keep him or Tulowitzki?

Probably Tulo unless it's an OBP league

it's an OBP league.

I'd probably still go Tulowitzki but it's a much tougher call. Johnson will probably have a 10 to 15 point advantage in OBP, offset somewhat by a few more HRs and RBI from Tulowitzki. Johnson has a little higher ceiling on SBs but projecting him beyond 15 is optimistic.I think the determining factor for Tulowitzki is that he's very unlikely to play himself out of a job. Johnson isn't as established and if he slumps, the Braves may want to see what Brent Lillibridge can do on an everyday basis.

 

[bialczabub]

If you guys were me, would you keep him or Tulowitzki?

Probably Tulo unless it's an OBP league

it's an OBP league.

I'd probably still go Tulowitzki but it's a much tougher call. Johnson will probably have a 10 to 15 point advantage in OBP, offset somewhat by a few more HRs and RBI from Tulowitzki. Johnson has a little higher ceiling on SBs but projecting him beyond 15 is optimistic.I think the determining factor for Tulowitzki is that he's very unlikely to play himself out of a job. Johnson isn't as established and if he slumps, the Braves may want to see what Brent Lillibridge can do on an everyday basis.

Went with Johnson.I kinda just like the depth at SS a little bit better than 2B.