'Idiot Boxer said:
MT - I disagree that the owners want radical changes.
I don't think the owners want radical changes. I just think that the changes they want are more substantial than the changes the players want (because the players seem to be fine without any changes at all).
I happen to be pro owner because I truly believe economic realities are such that the players should concede part of that back, because I think owners and players aren't partners, and because I think the players have chosen the more dangerous route in trying to gain leverage.
I think the players should cede part of it back; but how much? I think the owners are looking at potentially declining profits for a few reasons. (1) Cities aren't subsidizing them as much. (2) Owners are overspending on stadiums, maybe because they got used to the subsidies. (3) The NFL Network is a drain on the coffers.I think the players should chip in for #1.On numbers 2 and 3, I think the players should chip in for smart spending on stadiums, but not for stupid spending on stadiums; and I think the players should chip in for smart spending on the NFLN, but not for stupid spending on the NFLN. And while I'm not in a very good position to judge, if I were forced to give an opinion, it'd be that a lot of the spending on #2 and #3 appears to be stupider than the owners are willing to admit. That's where I think the sticking point is.When economic realities change so that it's tougher to run a profitable football league, it's legitimate to cut labor costs, and for the owners to therefore "take a little extra off the top." But when the owners make stupid business decisions, they can't automatically bail themselves out by "taking a little extra off the top." I think there's some of both going on in the owners' proposals; hence the players' request to open the books. (And no, I don't believe that the players, if given access to the books, would evaluate them reasonably or objectively. They're every bit as biased as the owners.)I think the two sides can work things out with the help of their lawyers and a mediator. But I think it will take some time, and a great deal of effort by the mediator, before the owners realize that they're not entitled to juicy profits even when they make lousy business decisions, and before the players realize that they're not entitled to raises every year when non-labor costs increase faster than gross revenues. I think there's a sense of entitlement on both sides that will have to be dropped.The reason I blame the players a bit less is that the current situation is largely a result of the two sides' apparent disagreement on what the outcome in court will be; and I think the owners have miscalculated that a bit worse in that regard than the players have. (Although it's still up in the air, of course.) The likely outcome in court is the baseline that will drive settlement negotiations. And when settlement is difficult because the two sides strongly disagree on the likely outcome, I assign more blame to the side whose anticipation of the likely outcome is in greater error. It remains to be seen which side that is, but again, if I were forced to give an opinion right now, I think it's the owners. (I could easily be wrong about that, though.)