'cvnpoka said:
I think you're overestimating how many MORE fans are available in the big market cities. The NFL is EXTREMELY popular now. I don't think turning the Cowboys and Redskins into annual SUper Bowl contenders is really going to add that many fans in those markets. The challenges the NFL faces in gaining overseas popularity have little to do with parity or established powerhouse teams to root for. They have more to do with the amazingly complex game which is very difficult to pick up and understand. We get it because our fathers watched it and explained it. There are also well established sports leagues of other natures in those other countries. The world league failed not because it couldn't gain fans, but because it couldn't gain fans quickly enough to satisfy the NFL. It would take a couple of decades of world league football to have any hope to compete with the well-established soccer leagues there.And no...I wouldn't lose ALL interest in the game. But instead of watching EVERY Eagles game, I would probably only watch when they had a chance...which wouldn't be often in the same division as NY, Dallas, and Washington. I grew up an avid Phillies fan...loved baseball. Once I got old enough to understand the economics of baseball, and looked a little bit closer, that interest waned. Now...I might watch 4 or 5 games a year and catch a handful of minor league games locally. Not because I don't love the game, but because I don't believe in the economics, even if my childhood favorite is currently looking pretty darn good. I honestly believe that if baseball (a sport with more natural parity) had the economic parity football does, it would be MORE successful than it is. I know I'd pay more attention to it. I doubt the Yankees would lose many fans if they only won once a decade instead of every third year.The parity burden of proof is not on me, or those who swear they need parity (or at least the illusion of it) to love the game. It's on you and the others who believe it's NOT important to prove it's not important. If there's tens or hundreds of thousands of fans who swear they will give up the game if it loses parity, it's on you to prove the NFL will GAIN tens or hundreds of thousands of fans elsewhere by creating perrenially elite teams. I don't know how you can do so.
i cant prove anything. i can only point to analogous examples, most comparable being euro soccer and mlb and nba and ncaa sports. if you dismiss those examples, then i dont think i am elegant and persuasive enough to convince you otherwise. personally, i am fan of small town teams, and for selfish reasons i would prefer parity structures remained. but i realize that scenario is at odds with fair (ie free market) player compensation and maximizing leaguewide interest and profits. i am amused by ppl who argue both sides.
I understand your point, I really do. A big part of the problem is that those other sports aren't truly analogous to football. Baseball, by it's very nature, lends itself to parity. Bad teams can and do beat good teams often. The best teams, even when obviously stacked and healthy, still only win about 65-70% of the time....not because they aren't superior, but because of the nature of the game itself (GREAT hitters only reach base safely 30% of the time, and BAD hitters 25%, with those numbers, statistics shows that the lesser teams will win often). Soccer is a game where a blowout is a 2-0 score. At the top levels, even a stacked team against a bottomfeeder might only have 5 excellant chances at a goal...mi#### two, get a couple great saves by a goalie, and they're limited to one goal. Similar to baseball, statistically the bottom feeder team will still get one or two good chances to score. Two great shots...just two, and they win.Football has a structure to it which does NOT lend itself to upsets. UNlike soccer, there is no constant ebb and flow, unlike baseball the statistic of a couple straight hits (positive plays) does not equal points...it normally takes many of them. Just look at college football. Top teams don't beat bottom teams...they MASSACRE them. 55-3 type scores, unlike baseballs 5-2 or soccers 3-1 (where fans of the losing team can still hold the illusion of hope late in the game.) Yeah...the stadiums sell out, but the games aren't shown on TV. When they are, they don't rate well.Parity is not strictly necessary for baseball to remain at least somewhat interesting in a single game. Nor is it strictly necessary in soccer, although upsets are tougher. Football is a game where parity is absolutely crucial to maintaining success. To be fair, there are things done in the name of parity that may not have the suggested impact (the draft being one of them), and it is true that getting rid of the RFA system altogether would probably not upset the balance of parity so badly that it resulted in college football results. It's not a hard line in the dirt...there is room for negotiation.