puckalicious said:
sho nuff said:
puckalicious said:
Good luck guessing who leads in rushing this week, or gets a rushing TD. It's just as likely to be Rodgers. GB will use both backs like they usually do when they have more than 1 capable RB. Sure the Lions "average" over 100yds rushing allowed but there has not been any single RB with over 100yds vs them. Averages and yds/carry stats are highly misleading.
I may be stuck with starting Lacy myself but this is not the slam dunk matchup everyone seems to think it is.
So you go from claims about the Lions D and Packers Oline (that are statistically incorrect)...to this?
Averages and yards per carry stats are quite strong. Stating which GB back ran for 100 yards against them last year is pretty misleading...given they had not had a back rush for 100 yards in a game for quite a long time til week 2...then did it again with another back in week 3.
And you keep saying how the past doesn't matter... yet you keep referencing things in the past.

And ease up on the tool factor while you're at it, we're all just giving opinions here so lets do it in a civil manner.
My point is that "statistics" don't necessarily tell the story about a team's talent level. Sometimes cherry picking useless stats like rush yds allowed paints a completely different picture. Based on this you would think SF's run defense is horrible since they allowed 151 yds last week. Or by using yds/carry vs the Lions - they have 85 carries for 443 yds on the season for 5.2yds/carry. Just 2 of these carries accounted for 30% of the yards against them for 131yds. So yes, it is possible to break off a long run against them but otherwise it's more like 3.75yds/carry discounting those 2 long runs.
Does Lacy have the talent level of ADP or Forte? He's more of a bruising RB not a speedy guy like those two. How likely do you think he can rip off a 50+ yard run?
Like others have said, this game is more likely to be a shootout with little rushing going on. Odds are Lacy gets around 50yds on the day and with luck there's a TD as well.
I'll probably start him but not expecting more than about 5 points. My options at RB2 are pretty slim, not that anyone here cares.
Im stating that worrying about what the Packers did with Alex Green running behind a line with Marshall Newhouse is not indicative of what they will do with Bakhtiari and Lacy and Franklin. But that historical stats will show that they are a better run blocking unit...and historical stats will show that Detroit's run defense is not faring better this year than last (thus far this season).
My posts have been quite civil...so, you can ease up throwing around "tool factor".
What stats did I cherry pick?
Any stat you want to use will show that...
A. Despite your claims, the Packers are a better run blocking line this year that last year.
B. Despite your claims, the Lions run D is so far faring worse this year than last year.
C. Despite your cherry picking the 100 yard rusher stat, GB actually did have some success running the ball against the Lions last year.
D. GB is running better with their RBs and line this year than they did last year.
I completely disagree with your odds about Lacy's total.
If he gets the carries (15+and I believe he will)...70 and a TD seems to be the floor here. Breaking 100 would depend on 2 things. Breaking at least a 20 yarder...and McCarthy sticking with him and the run in general (something he has done this year)