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Last chance to get Pierre Thomas "cheap" (1 Viewer)

gianmarco

Footballguy
(Rotoworld) Pierre Thomas indicated that he's working on a long-term deal with the Saints this offseason, as expected.Analysis: "I'm hoping it's sooner than later because I want to feel like I'm here," said Thomas. "The fans gave me a shot, the Saints gave me a shot. This is where I want to be." While Sean Payton realizes Thomas is his most complete back, he's also been hesitant to use him as a true bell cow. A long-term deal would give his Dynasty value some much-needed stability.
I've been a believer in his talent from the outset but, despite great production, there's been the hesitance to rely on him from the coaching staff. With Bell out of the way for this year and yet another year that PT has proven himself, this could finally be the year he "breaks out". As he's still only 25 years old, he makes a nice buy in dynasty, IMO.
 
I like PT... it just seems that coaching staff refuses to use him. He looks like he can be an all-pro if given the chance.

What is surprising is that no teams have made him a contract offer since hes a second round tender.

A team like Seattle / Cinny / Pats / have later 2nd rounders and could use a guy like PT. I doubt that the Saints would let him go and they would likely match the offer unless it was crazy money.

I guess part of the problem is that the teams that have true RB needs all have early picks, Det / SD / Cle / TB... that all have picks in the 1st 10 spots of the 2nd.

 
I like PT... it just seems that coaching staff refuses to use him. He looks like he can be an all-pro if given the chance.

What is surprising is that no teams have made him a contract offer since hes a second round tender.

A team like Seattle / Cinny / Pats / have later 2nd rounders and could use a guy like PT. I doubt that the Saints would let him go and they would likely match the offer unless it was crazy money.

I guess part of the problem is that the teams that have true RB needs all have early picks, Det / SD / Cle / TB... that all have picks in the 1st 10 spots of the 2nd.
Having early picks is all the more reason to trade for a RB and use those picks on something else. Using a high pick on a RB is always risky business considering the very nature of the position with injuries.
 
Teams probably think Pierre is a product of the offense and that the Saints could put any competent RB in there and get good results because of the threat of their homerun passing game. They're also probably given pause by the fact that Payton seems unwilling to just make him "the man".

I don't really care, nobody is getting him "cheap" from me.

 
Not sure if this is the right place to ask this but I will ask anyway

Who do you think has a better 2010 season P. Thomas, C. Benson, or Ryan Grant?

 
It costs teams a 2nd round pick AND a big contract.

I think New Orleans is letting the rest of the league set the market for PT (and rightfully so). I think they plan to match any reasonable offer [Knowing the other team must give up a 2nd round pick as well they aren't going to go Roy Williams on a player]

 
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I think PT is a great player, the only problem is his available touches. I could see the Saints drafting a RB this year or adding a veteran. The Saints are so pass heavy and there will never be a true #1 as long is Bush is there. PT is a good PPR option, but I dont really ever see him breaking the top ten in RB's.

 
The Saints are so pass heavy...
They were actually 15th in pass attempts last year.
And 7th in rushing attempts. I don't think people realize how good the Saints running game was. The problem with PT's overall #'s was the fact that Mike Bell got 170+ carries. With him gone, PT proving himself yet again (esp. in the playoffs) and their lack of interest in some of the vet RB's available, I think this is truly the year that we see PT getting 220-240 carries. If he continues with his production that he's had so far his career (career 5.1 ypc, 16 rushing TDs on 328 carries, 87 career receptions in 3 years with another 6 TDs), then he could easily vault into the top 10 of RBs.
 
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The Saints are so pass heavy...
They were actually 15th in pass attempts last year.
And 7th in rushing attempts. I don't think people realize how good the Saints running game was. The problem with PT's overall #'s was the fact that Mike Bell got 170+ carries. With him gone, PT proving himself yet again (esp. in the playoffs) and their lack of interest in some of the vet RB's available, I think this is truly the year that we see PT getting 220-240 carries. If he continues with his production that he's had so far his career (career 5.1 ypc, 16 rushing TDs on 328 carries, 87 career receptions in 3 years with another 6 TDs), then he could easily vault into the top 10 of RBs.
Pierre also was hurt and missed time because of it.
 
The Saints brought in Jamal Lewis for a visit. This is the type of thing that makes me feel like the "Mike Bell role" is still going to be there in 2010. I dont think Bell was all that talented, and the saints could easily upgrade that position.

I like PT, but I'm not going to pay a top 12-15 price for him when I'm sure that is what he owners would be looking for.

 
In a non-ppr 12 team league I traded PT and the 1.08 pick for the 1.03 pick.

 
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It costs teams a 2nd round pick AND a big contract.
It doesn't have to be a big contract... just one that PT would agree to.
It pretty much does, or else the Saints would just match it anyways although I believe they would be thrilled to get a mid to early 2nd round pick for PT and let him go.Guys, he isn't an elite talent. He was struggling to beat out Mike Bell earlier in the year. He is easily replaced. I'd love to see Gerhart in there to pair up with Bush.
 
Thomas is such a mystery to me. I guess I will play devil's advocate with this post as to why he is valued lower than many other RB's....

It is extremely tough to gauge Thomas' value because we don't know what type of touches the team wants to give him going forward. I mean sure M. Bell is gone, but what is going to stop the Saints from bringng in another RB of similarity to M. Bell and keep Thomas' role the same as last year? The Saints recipe was extremely successful so I doubt they are going to stray to far from it. In fact the Saints have been interested in J. Lewis this off season and although I feel Thomas is a far superior RB to Lewis (as I thought he was with M. Bell too) this stage it shows that the Saints are not ready to lean on PT like many are hoping. Even if Lewis does not come to town it shows that the Saints are at least exploring the option of brining in another guy to have a "bell" type role.

Thomas touches last year were sporadic at best. In 7 of the 13 games he was given 11 or fewer carries. He was only given 15 plus rusing attempts twice all season. Thomas does sport a very nice YPC overall, but in 7 of his 13 games played he sported a YPC that was less that 4 in those games. Although I think Thomas could handle a larger role those numbers have RBBC (with a guy like Bell and next year someone else) written all over them and then you add a scat back like Bush who will get plenty of receptions and you are left guessing as to what Thomas' number of touches will be from week to week.

I mean M. Bell had 15 plus rushing attempts in 6 of the 13 games he played last year, something the Saints only allowed Thomas to do twice. I really don't know where Thomas value is at this stage. But if I had to make an assumption my guess is he will have a slight up tick to his overall numbers, but unless there is injury to the Saints back field it would be tough to see Thomas jumping into a RB 1 fantasy role that many seem to be hoping will happen. Although Thomas is an intruiging fantasy prospect due to the high octane offense he plays for his fantasy potential is still very much a mystery mostly due to guessing how he will be used going forward. If he is given the touches, he could be extremely valuable, but how much is that worth and how high are people willing to draft him.

 
It costs teams a 2nd round pick AND a big contract.
It doesn't have to be a big contract... just one that PT would agree to.
It pretty much does, or else the Saints would just match it anyways although I believe they would be thrilled to get a mid to early 2nd round pick for PT and let him go.Guys, he isn't an elite talent. He was struggling to beat out Mike Bell earlier in the year. He is easily replaced. I'd love to see Gerhart in there to pair up with Bush.
:thumbup: On all accounts. It's a very smart move by the Saints. It is inticiing enough for other teams to take a look, but in the end that other team has to commit a big money deal to acquire his services. The Saints either have the option at getting him back at a good price long term or letting someone else overpay in their view and getting 2nd round pick.2nd round is solid value for an UDFA they got. He's been solid, but hasn't blown the roof off the NFL. I'd take Spiller, Matthews and Dwyer over Pierre personally. if you're looking for a game changer, Best might even be the preferred option. They did the same thing with Lance Moore last year I believe. No one bit, but it puts them in a position of power
 
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According to the New Orleans Times-Picayune, Lynell Hamilton could be a good fit as the Saints short-yardage back next season.

Hamilton, at 6'0/235, is a big guy and he's just 24 years old so there is still plenty left in the tank. He dealt with ankle injuries last year and only averaged 3.6 YPC, but has shown some ability near the end zone.

Sounds like Hamilton could take some thunder away from P.T.

 
I think they might already have their Mike Bell for this year in Hamilton. He doesn't run with quite the violence of Bell, but he's a big, young, cheap back, certainly serviceable enough to be part of a committee.

I want PT to get a ton of carries, but the approach the Saints took last year got them a great regular season record and the Super Bowl. Tough to argue with those results.

 
I just dont trust Paytons view of Thomas long term, and i havent come accross any owners that will let him go "cheap" anyway

 
Pierre Thomas believers, do you think he is capable of handling more than 150 carries in a season? If so, what is his ceiling for carries? 200? 225?

 
Pierre Thomas believers, do you think he is capable of handling more than 150 carries in a season? If so, what is his ceiling for carries? 200? 225?
Yes. Ceiling in terms of what he'll get or what he's capable of? I think he's capable of any amount of load they'd like to give him. I don't think he tops 240. I also can't see him getting less than 200 this year.
 
Pierre Thomas believers, do you think he is capable of handling more than 150 carries in a season? If so, what is his ceiling for carries? 200? 225?
Yes. Ceiling in terms of what he'll get or what he's capable of? I think he's capable of any amount of load they'd like to give him. I don't think he tops 240. I also can't see him getting less than 200 this year.
I share your optimism, but he has yet to exceed 150 in three seasons ...
 
I like PT... it just seems that coaching staff refuses to use him. He looks like he can be an all-pro if given the chance.

What is surprising is that no teams have made him a contract offer since hes a second round tender.

A team like Seattle / Cinny / Pats / have later 2nd rounders and could use a guy like PT. I doubt that the Saints would let him go and they would likely match the offer unless it was crazy money.

I guess part of the problem is that the teams that have true RB needs all have early picks, Det / SD / Cle / TB... that all have picks in the 1st 10 spots of the 2nd.
Having early picks is all the more reason to trade for a RB and use those picks on something else. Using a high pick on a RB is always risky business considering the very nature of the position with injuries.
if they gave up their 2nd round pick by signing him to an offer sheet, then they would lose that pick...I am pretty sure that is what he original poster meant
 
Pierre Thomas believers, do you think he is capable of handling more than 150 carries in a season? If so, what is his ceiling for carries? 200? 225?
Yes. Ceiling in terms of what he'll get or what he's capable of? I think he's capable of any amount of load they'd like to give him. I don't think he tops 240. I also can't see him getting less than 200 this year.
I share your optimism, but he has yet to exceed 150 in three seasons ...
I'd take the under on that. He's a talented runner, in small doses. He won't be a workhorse in any shape or form. I don't see things changing much from last season with the mix of Thomas, Bush, and Hamilton (instead of Bell).
 
I don't know -- he certainly has the talent, but he's had more than 20 carries in a game just twice in his career (and not once last year). If the Saints truly let Bell walk in order to give Pierre a bigger workload, that would really be something to look at, but I'm not sure that's the case. I just think that the Saints didn't feel the offer from the Eagles' offer was worth matching, and, as much as they appreciate Bell's contributions, I don't think they feel that he'll be too hard to replace. Judging from the fact that they brought in Jamal Lewis and were planning to bring in LT, it seems that they do indeed want to replace him. Bottom line is that they've had so much success using Pierre in a rotation that I can't imagine them going away from it, as frustrating as that may be for fantasy owners.

Edited for grammar.

 
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I don't get it. The Saints don't trust him for more than 150 or so carries. Nor do they value him as essential or they would not put just a 2nd round tender on him. The entire NFL isn't really all that interested in him at a 2nd round pick (and his contract would not be that high if he were worth it. RB's just don't get huge money. MJD is on a 5 year @31 million. PT ain't nowhere near MJD talent)...But yet he seems to have this cult like group of believers in him. It's nuts. He's a solid player in a FANTASTIC offense. I just don't see all the hub-bub.

 
I don't get it. The Saints don't trust him for more than 150 or so carries. Nor do they value him as essential or they would not put just a 2nd round tender on him. The entire NFL isn't really all that interested in him at a 2nd round pick (and his contract would not be that high if he were worth it. RB's just don't get huge money. MJD is on a 5 year @31 million. PT ain't nowhere near MJD talent)...But yet he seems to have this cult like group of believers in him. It's nuts. He's a solid player in a FANTASTIC offense. I just don't see all the hub-bub.
The thing is, he looks impressive on those 150 carriers. That's the thing that makes guys salivate. And even on that amount of carries, the guy finished top 20 last year. So worst case as a Thomas owner, you're getting RB2 production. Best case, he gets more carries than history dictates, due to injuries or coaching philosophy/game situations, and he turns in a top 10-15 finish.
 
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The law of diminishing returns... see Barlow, Kevan or Barber, Marion for further evidence...

 
The law of diminishing returns... see Barlow, Kevan or Barber, Marion for further evidence...
And there is an exception to every rule....see Rudy Johnson, Ryan Grant, Willie Parker for further evidence...
Not sure Willie Parker is a good example of an exception. He had 3 years worth mentioning; he burned quite a few people. And Rudi only had 3 1k seasons as well -- he was done by 28.
 
So his own coaches don't value him much, other teams won't give up a 2nd round pick for him, yet he has a cult of people who thinks he's a top notch talent.

I'll take the new Orleans and every other teams evaluators take on his talent. He's mediocre people, if he was much more he would have gotten an offer from another team.

 
The law of diminishing returns... see Barlow, Kevan or Barber, Marion for further evidence...
And there is an exception to every rule....see Rudy Johnson, Ryan Grant, Willie Parker for further evidence...
Not sure Willie Parker is a good example of an exception. He had 3 years worth mentioning; he burned quite a few people. And Rudi only had 3 1k seasons as well -- he was done by 28.
3 years of production is good for a running back. I got Willie Parker off waviers and stashed him so I can't complain about his production. People invested a lot more for McGahee and Larry Johnson type backs and barely got 3 years. I doubt anyone in my dynasty league would give me PT for a 2nd round pick because the chances of getting a productive RB there is too remote.
 
I love this guys. He's been the best playmaker in the backfield since Payton took over the offense. I don't care how many carries this board argues over. He shouldn't be viewed higher than a RB2, and if you can get him as your RB3 you're in great shape.

Acquired him this past year in a 12 team PPR/IDP dynasty for the 2.11 and 2.12 rookie picks. I'm happy with the price. I'm even happier that I originally offered the same deal to the Willie Parker owner. He said he was worth more. I thought different.

 
Report: Pierre Thomas and the Saints are far apart

Posted by Michael David Smith on May 28, 2010 1:28 PM ET

The New Orleans Saints want to get restricted free agent running back Pierre Thomas locked up before training camp. And Thomas, who hasn't signed his one-year tender offer, wants to do a long-term deal. But that doesn't mean the sides are close enough to be confident a deal will get done.

Len Pasquarelli of ESPN.com reports that Thomas wants money in the Steven Jackson range, and that might be higher than the Saints are willing to go.

Jackson has a five-year, $48.5 million contract with the Rams, but Jackson was the unquestioned focal point of the Rams' offense and had already had three 1,000-yard seasons when he signed that deal. Thomas is a good player, but he's not even a regular starter, and his career high is 793 rushing yards.

It's hard to see how Thomas could expect to get the kind of money Jackson got -- especially considering how much money the Saints already have tied up in their other running back, Reggie Bush.

And so, if Thomas is really holding out for as much money as Jackson, he's probably going to be holding out for quite a while.

 
I can't blame Pierre; I'd like to get Steven Jackson money, too. Of course, the odds of the Saints signing me for $10 mil a year are almost as good as the odds of the Saints signing Thomas for $10 mil a year.

 
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Yeah, totally average back right there. No vision, cutting ability, burst, turning things north/south in a hurry or tackle breaking ability evident. Can't see why anybody would want to see him get more carries after watching that. Unless maybe they checked the production from the 6 game stint he was the "bellcow" back in '08. Then they might want to reconsider.16 for 88, 1 TD-4 for 56

15 for 87, 2 TD-3 for 34

11 for 34, 0 TD-1 for 20, 1 TD

16 for 102, 1 TD-1 for 7, 1 TD

22 for 87, 1 TD-7 for 59, 1 TD

13 for 77, 1TD-3 for 26

 
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Report: Pierre Thomas and the Saints are far apart

Posted by Michael David Smith on May 28, 2010 1:28 PM ET

The New Orleans Saints want to get restricted free agent running back Pierre Thomas locked up before training camp. And Thomas, who hasn't signed his one-year tender offer, wants to do a long-term deal. But that doesn't mean the sides are close enough to be confident a deal will get done.

Len Pasquarelli of ESPN.com reports that Thomas wants money in the Steven Jackson range[/] and that might be higher than the Saints are willing to go.

Jackson has a five-year, $48.5 million contract with the Rams, but Jackson was the unquestioned focal point of the Rams' offense and had already had three 1,000-yard seasons when he signed that deal. Thomas is a good player, but he's not even a regular starter, and his career high is 793 rushing yards.

It's hard to see how Thomas could expect to get the kind of money Jackson got -- especially considering how much money the Saints already have tied up in their other running back, Reggie Bush.

And so, if Thomas is really holding out for as much money as Jackson, he's probably going to be holding out for quite a while.
:angry: at him thinking he's gonna get anything close to what sj got.Earth to pt, no NFL team even tried to get you for the 2nd round tender placed on you.

 
Report: Pierre Thomas and the Saints are far apart

Posted by Michael David Smith on May 28, 2010 1:28 PM ET

The New Orleans Saints want to get restricted free agent running back Pierre Thomas locked up before training camp. And Thomas, who hasn't signed his one-year tender offer, wants to do a long-term deal. But that doesn't mean the sides are close enough to be confident a deal will get done.

Len Pasquarelli of ESPN.com reports that Thomas wants money in the Steven Jackson range[/] and that might be higher than the Saints are willing to go.

Jackson has a five-year, $48.5 million contract with the Rams, but Jackson was the unquestioned focal point of the Rams' offense and had already had three 1,000-yard seasons when he signed that deal. Thomas is a good player, but he's not even a regular starter, and his career high is 793 rushing yards.

It's hard to see how Thomas could expect to get the kind of money Jackson got -- especially considering how much money the Saints already have tied up in their other running back, Reggie Bush.

And so, if Thomas is really holding out for as much money as Jackson, he's probably going to be holding out for quite a while.
:lmao: at him thinking he's gonna get anything close to what sj got.Earth to pt, no NFL team even tried to get you for the 2nd round tender placed on you.
Yeah, that is Reggie Bush type money. He can't be worth that much. :shrug:
 

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