Carolina running backs under Coach Fox:
2002 464 PA to 452 RA
2003 461 PA to 521 RA
2004 536 PA to 422 RA *both lead Rbs injured
2005 450 PA to 487 RA
2002:
+----------------------+----+-----------------------+----------------------+
| Name | G | RSH YARD AVG TD | REC YARD AVG TD |
+----------------------+----+-----------------------+----------------------+
| Dee Brown | 13 | 101 364 3.6 4 | 17 86 5.1 1 |
| Nick Goings | 14 | 50 188 3.8 0 | 18 91 5.1 0 |
| Brad Hoover | 16 | 31 129 4.2 0 | 17 187 11.0 2 |
| Joe Montgomery | 3 | 7 20 2.9 0 | 0 0 0.0 0 |
| Rod Smart | 15 | 1 2 2.0 0 | 0 0 0.0 0 |
| Lamar Smith | 11 | 210 733 3.5 7 | 20 167 8.3 0 |
+----------------------+----+-----------------------+----------------------+
2003:
+----------------------+----+-----------------------+----------------------+
| Name | G | RSH YARD AVG TD | REC YARD AVG TD |
+----------------------+----+-----------------------+----------------------+
| Stephen Davis | 14 | 318 1444 4.5 8 | 14 159 11.4 0 |
| DeShaun Foster | 14 | 113 429 3.8 0 | 26 207 8.0 2 |
| Nick Goings | 15 | 10 69 6.9 0 | 12 97 8.1 1 |
| Brad Hoover | 16 | 6 21 3.5 0 | 12 72 6.0 1 |
| Rod Smart | 16 | 20 49 2.5 0 | 3 11 3.7 0 |
+----------------------+----+-----------------------+----------------------+
2004:
+----------------------+----+-----------------------+----------------------+
| Name | G | RSH YARD AVG TD | REC YARD AVG TD |
+----------------------+----+-----------------------+----------------------+
| Brandon Bennett | 8 | 6 17 2.8 1 | 0 0 0.0 0 |
| Stephen Davis | 2 | 24 92 3.8 0 | 2 32 16.0 0 |
| DeShaun Foster | 4 | 59 255 4.3 2 | 9 76 8.4 0 |
| Nick Goings | 16 | 217 821 3.8 6 | 45 394 8.8 1 |
| Joey Harris | 4 | 15 53 3.5 0 | 0 0 0.0 0 |
| Brad Hoover | 14 | 68 246 3.6 0 | 21 161 7.7 2 |
| Jamal Robertson | 5 | 0 0 0.0 0 | 0 0 0.0 0 |
| Rod Smart | 3 | 3 4 1.3 0 | 1 5 5.0 0 |
+----------------------+----+-----------------------+----------------------+
2005:
+----------------------+----+-----------------------+----------------------+
| Name | G | RSH YARD AVG TD | REC YARD AVG TD |
+----------------------+----+-----------------------+----------------------+
| Casey Cramer | 1 | 0 0 0.0 0 | 0 0 0.0 0 |
| Stephen Davis | 13 | 180 549 3.0 12 | 5 45 9.0 0 |
| DeShaun Foster | 15 | 205 879 4.3 2 | 34 372 10.9 1 |
| Nick Goings | 16 | 37 133 3.6 0 | 14 151 10.8 0 |
| Brad Hoover | 15 | 10 22 2.2 0 | 14 87 6.2 0 |
| Jamal Robertson | 6 | 14 41 2.9 1 | 0 0 0.0 0 |
| Rod Smart | 12 | 3 6 2.0 0 | 0 0 0.0 0 |
+----------------------+----+-----------------------+----------------------+
Due to injuries and oft times average at best talent available at the Rb position the Carolina Panthers have used a RBBC approach for the most part during Fox's 4 years running the team. The notable exception being in 2003 when they were able to use Stephen Davis as a feature Rb (318 carries) and Deshawn Foster as the COP (113 carries). It seems to me that this is idealy what the Panthers team wants to do if they can. They did get to the Super Bowl that year using a run 1st offense that ran the ball 521 times compared to 461 pass attempts. However this was Delhommes 1st year with the team and they have since opened up the passing attack significantly. In 2004 however thier Rbs were injured and so the increase in passing may have been more a product of neccessity than optimal intended design. It certainly wasn't a formula for success as thier record was only 7-9.
In 2005 the Panthers returned to the playoffs and ran the ball 487 times compared to 450 passing attempts. The used more of a RBBC approach with Davis (180 carries) and Foster (205 carries). However I think that if Davis were not as old he would have gotten the majority of the carries again and it seems pretty clear that they want to limit Fosters touches because he is so prone to injury. Davis also scored 12 TDs compared to Fosters 2. So the Panthers do not seem to think of Foster as a goal line Rb.
The Panthers did draft Eric Shelton last year who seems similar to Davis at least on paper. But he was injured and never got any playing time. Most of what I have heard in regards to him is that he is not even a lock to make the team. Much less ready or capable of having as significant role in the offense that Davis did.
Now this year the Panthers have drafted Deangelo Williams. A small but powerful and illusive Rb who reminds me of Tiki Barber. Fox is familiar with Barber having come from the Giants before getting his HC job in Carolina. Fox has used a similar formula as the Giants once used with Ron Dayne and Tiki Barber before Barber eventualy took over the feature Rb role having proven to be much more effective than Dayne.
Contract situation as far as Foster goes points to them not having a huge commitment to him beyond this year if Williams is more effective. Which I believe he will be. I think the resigning of Foster was more of a move for insurance not knowing if they would be able to draft a Rb at pick 27 or not. When Williams was still available to them at thier pick they were very quick to draft him.
So as I stated in another thread I see Williams being worked in slowly at 1st while they work on his pass blocking and his role may be dependent on if/how quickly he can learn thier protection schemes. One of he only weaknesses according to scouts is not being a accomplished blocker in pass protection. He is however a effective reciever and would be used on 3rd down in this capacity.
in 2006 I see somthing similar to last year in terms of distribution of carries between Foster and Williams assuming both are healthy through the season. With Williams getting more carries later on in the season as he develops as a blocker. I do think he will prove to be more productive than Foster and Foster could be kept as a COP Rb in 2007 without a great impact on thier Salary Cap. I think Foster would be released after the 2007 season if they keep him that long. And for 2007 I think the distribution in carries would be more similar to what we saw in 2003. Williams getting the majority of them.
Maroney on the other hand was drafted higher than any Rb in the BB Era. A coaching staff and front office that deservidly command respect. Up until now the Patriots have been content to use free agency and the trade for Corey Dillon for thier rushing attack while winning 3 Super Bowls.
They have been a pass 1st offense except as noted during Bradys 1st year at Qb and the Patriots 1st year with Corey Dillon. Both years resulted in Super Bowl victory. So I see this offense as one that strives for balance on offense and with good defense will run the ball more than pass due to running down the clock with a lead. But if the running game is not effective they trust Brady to keep the chains moving (except during his 1st year playing).
2000 565 PA to 424 RA
2001 482 PA to 473 RA *Bradys 1st year @ Qb
2002 605 PA to 395 RA
2003 538 PA to 473 RA
2004 485 PA to 524 RA *1st year with Dillon
2005 565 PA to 439 RA
2000:
+----------------------+----+-----------------------+----------------------+
| Name | G | RSH YARD AVG TD | REC YARD AVG TD |
+----------------------+----+-----------------------+----------------------+
| Tony Carter | 15 | 37 90 2.4 2 | 9 73 8.1 0 |
| Kevin Faulk | 16 | 164 570 3.5 4 | 51 465 9.1 1 |
| Chris Floyd | 2 | 2 -1 -0.5 0 | 1 21 21.0 0 |
| Raymont Harris | 1 | 3 14 4.7 0 | 2 1 0.5 0 |
| Patrick Pass | 5 | 18 58 3.2 0 | 4 17 4.2 0 |
| J.R. Redmond | 11 | 125 406 3.2 1 | 20 126 6.3 2 |
| Harold Shaw | 4 | 9 12 1.3 0 | 2 11 5.5 0 |
+----------------------+----+-----------------------+----------------------+
2001:
+----------------------+----+-----------------------+----------------------+
| Name | G | RSH YARD AVG TD | REC YARD AVG TD |
+----------------------+----+-----------------------+----------------------+
| Marc Edwards | 16 | 51 141 2.8 1 | 25 166 6.6 2 |
| Kevin Faulk | 15 | 41 169 4.1 1 | 30 189 6.3 2 |
| Patrick Pass | 16 | 1 7 7.0 0 | 6 66 11.0 1 |
| J.R. Redmond | 13 | 35 119 3.4 0 | 13 132 10.2 0 |
| Antowain Smith | 16 | 287 1157 4.0 12 | 19 192 10.1 1 |
+----------------------+----+-----------------------+----------------------+
2002:
+----------------------+----+-----------------------+----------------------+
| Name | G | RSH YARD AVG TD | REC YARD AVG TD |
+----------------------+----+-----------------------+----------------------+
| Marc Edwards | 16 | 31 96 3.1 0 | 23 196 8.5 0 |
| Kevin Faulk | 15 | 52 271 5.2 2 | 37 379 10.2 3 |
| Patrick Pass | 15 | 4 27 6.8 0 | 0 0 0.0 0 |
| J.R. Redmond | 8 | 4 2 0.5 0 | 2 5 2.5 0 |
| Antowain Smith | 16 | 252 982 3.9 6 | 31 243 7.8 2 |
+----------------------+----+-----------------------+----------------------+
2003:
+----------------------+----+-----------------------+----------------------+
| Name | G | RSH YARD AVG TD | REC YARD AVG TD |
+----------------------+----+-----------------------+----------------------+
| Larry Centers | 9 | 21 82 3.9 0 | 19 106 5.6 1 |
| Mike Cloud | 5 | 27 118 4.4 5 | 1 8 8.0 0 |
| Kevin Faulk | 15 | 178 638 3.6 0 | 48 440 9.2 0 |
| Fred McCrary | 6 | 3 3 1.0 0 | 2 12 6.0 0 |
| Patrick Pass | 13 | 6 27 4.5 0 | 4 21 5.2 0 |
| Antowain Smith | 13 | 182 642 3.5 3 | 14 92 6.6 0 |
+----------------------+----+-----------------------+----------------------+
2004:
+----------------------+----+-----------------------+----------------------+
| Name | G | RSH YARD AVG TD | REC YARD AVG TD |
+----------------------+----+-----------------------+----------------------+
| Rabih Abdullah | 9 | 13 13 1.0 1 | 1 9 9.0 0 |
| Cedric Cobbs | 3 | 22 50 2.3 0 | 0 0 0.0 0 |
| Corey Dillon | 15 | 345 1635 4.7 12 | 15 103 6.9 1 |
| Kevin Faulk | 11 | 54 255 4.7 2 | 26 248 9.5 1 |
| Patrick Pass | 14 | 39 141 3.6 0 | 28 215 7.7 0 |
+----------------------+----+-----------------------+----------------------+
2005:
+----------------------+----+-----------------------+----------------------+
| Name | G | RSH YARD AVG TD | REC YARD AVG TD |
+----------------------+----+-----------------------+----------------------+
| Mike Cloud | 6 | 23 59 2.6 0 | 0 0 0.0 0 |
| Corey Dillon | 12 | 209 733 3.5 12 | 22 181 8.2 1 |
| Heath Evans | 6 | 51 192 3.8 0 | 10 88 8.8 0 |
| Kevin Faulk | 8 | 51 145 2.8 0 | 29 260 9.0 0 |
| Patrick Pass | 12 | 54 245 4.5 3 | 22 227 10.3 0 |
| Amos Zereoue | 3 | 7 14 2.0 0 | 1 5 5.0 0 |
+----------------------+----+-----------------------+----------------------+
Can Maroney be as effective as Dillon? I don't see why not. Even if he is not quite as talented Antwain Smith still put up some good numbers in this offense before. And I think Maroney is definitly better than Smith was.I think BB has shown a commitment to a feature Rb with COP Kevin Faulk on 3rd down. Faulk is getting older now so he may not be part of thier formula for long. Even so I expect another COP Rb to be used on 3rd downs unless Maroney shows himself to be outstanding in that area. Dillon and Antwain Smith were not. But didn't need to be to do well in this offense either.
The Patriots have not had 2 feature Rbs before like they have in Dillon and Maroney now. I wonder if we may see a change in philosophy that causes them to share carries. But the way it looks to me right now is that Dillon will get the majority of the carries as long as he is effective. If he is then Maroney may have to wait until 2007. However Dillon did appear to have clearly lost a step to me last year and at 32 years old he may not ever get it back.
Conclushions:
NE has shown slightly more commitment to a feature Rb than Carolina has. But the injuries to Rbs in Carolina has to be considered as a mitigating factor. NE has given the ball to one Rb over 250 times in 3 out of the 6 years under BB. 2 of those being with a rather pedestrian Antwain Smith. Carolina has only done this in one out of 4 years with Fox.
However when injuries/ineffectiveness have been a factor in NE they have resorted to a similar split in distribution as Carolina has.
I am not seeing Maroney being in a better situation to get more than 250 carries in 2006 than Williams is.
Carolina has split carries more than NE has.
Carolina is more of a run 1st team than NE is.
NE has run more total plays on average than Carolina has been able to. I think this is because they have been more effective converting 3rd downs. Both teams have above average defense.
Overall I am not seeing Maroneys situation as being that much better than Williams
unless you believe that Foster or Shelton are talents that will be able to keep Williams from getting more than 250 carries moving forward. Keeping in mind that Williams is a more accomplish recieving option for thier offense as well.
I am still somewhat on the fence in choosing between these 2 players if I must. However I am not seeing Maroneys situation as being so much clearly better than Williams after digging in to the history deeper.
Pure talent I think Williams has more of it than Maroney does.