Nathan R. Jessep
Footballguy
What really burns my cat is that asSerial killer theory.I don't think I know the serial killer theory - but that seems less likely to me.
as that guy sounds, it could be true!!What really burns my cat is that asSerial killer theory.I don't think I know the serial killer theory - but that seems less likely to me.
as that guy sounds, it could be true!!There could be something there but not as elaborate as some people are making it.SacramentoBob said:A conspiracy involving the police, the victim's brother and the victim's ex-boyfriend seems really unlikely.
What have you seen makes you think some other Avery/Tadych is 5 times more probably than Steve to have done this?mr roboto said:Here's my current probabilities...
Steven Avery - 10%
Some other Avery/Tadych - 50%
Serial Killer theory - 25%
Ex Boyfriend - 10%
Some combo of cops - 5%
that makes sense. i think there is 0% chance the brother or BF murdered her, but they were likely involved in the police misconduct via an illegal search by Coburn and lying about it.There could be something there but not as elaborate as some people are making it.SacramentoBob said:A conspiracy involving the police, the victim's brother and the victim's ex-boyfriend seems really unlikely.
Quite possible that Colburn was illegally searching the Avery compound, found the Rav 4, and told the search party the next day where to look.
The seemingly high probability that the cremains were moved from another site is a huge factor.What have you seen makes you think some other Avery/Tadych is 5 times more probably than Steve to have done this?mr roboto said:Here's my current probabilities...
Steven Avery - 10%
Some other Avery/Tadych - 50%
Serial Killer theory - 25%
Ex Boyfriend - 10%
Some combo of cops - 5%
I am starting to wonder if some of you guys are actually looking at the evidence.
Steve and Brendan could have gone over and gotten the barrel, and used it to burn Theresa's body behind the garage. They burned a little at a time, and used the barrel to contain the parts and whatever accelerant they used to get the heat up. As each round was complete, they dumped the remains right there in the burn pit.The seemingly high probability that the cremains were moved from another site is a huge factor.What have you seen makes you think some other Avery/Tadych is 5 times more probably than Steve to have done this?mr roboto said:Here's my current probabilities...
Steven Avery - 10%
Some other Avery/Tadych - 50%
Serial Killer theory - 25%
Ex Boyfriend - 10%
Some combo of cops - 5%
I am starting to wonder if some of you guys are actually looking at the evidence.
Avery wouldn't have moved the remains into his own backyard.
There was also the quarry burn site, although the fragments found there unfortunately didn't contain an DNA.Steve and Brendan could have gone over and gotten the barrel, and used it to burn Theresa's body behind the garage. They burned a little at a time, and used the barrel to contain the parts and whatever accelerant they used to get the heat up. As each round was complete, they dumped the remains right there in the burn pit.The seemingly high probability that the cremains were moved from another site is a huge factor.What have you seen makes you think some other Avery/Tadych is 5 times more probably than Steve to have done this?mr roboto said:Here's my current probabilities...
Steven Avery - 10%
Some other Avery/Tadych - 50%
Serial Killer theory - 25%
Ex Boyfriend - 10%
Some combo of cops - 5%
I am starting to wonder if some of you guys are actually looking at the evidence.
Avery wouldn't have moved the remains into his own backyard.![]()
I'm not saying this is "probably" what happened, just that it's possible. There is possible explanation for most of questions we have.
The cops didn't kill her. So if someone else did, then there would have to have been both the murderers and cops working to frame Avery. I find that way harder to believe than anything else.
Here's mineSA 1%mr roboto said:Here's my current probabilities...
Steven Avery - 10%
Some other Avery/Tadych - 50%
Serial Killer theory - 25%
Ex Boyfriend - 10%
Some combo of cops - 5%
Is the bolded the other stop TH was supposed to make that day?Man it would be very improbable for them to have killed her then planted so much evidence at Averys. What's the theory there that Zipperer framed SA or the cops helped?Here's mineSA 1%mr roboto said:Here's my current probabilities...
Steven Avery - 10%
Some other Avery/Tadych - 50%
Serial Killer theory - 25%
Ex Boyfriend - 10%
Some combo of cops - 5%
Cops 1%
Ex 10%
Serial killer 18%
Some other SA/Tadych 30%
Zippered dad and son 40%
99% sure the brother and ex helped the cops to frame SA.
Here's minemr roboto said:Here's my current probabilities...
Steven Avery - 10%
Some other Avery/Tadych - 50%
Serial Killer theory - 25%
Ex Boyfriend - 10%
Some combo of cops - 5%
SA 1%
Cops 1%
Ex 10%
Serial killer 18%
Some other SA/Tadych 30%
Zippered dad and son 40%
99% sure the brother and ex helped the cops to frame SA.
@ 40% and 99%Huh. So in this scenario cops are very much involved even in burning body, moving the car etc.Zippered is a weed grower, wife made the appointment, said TH was there sometime after three supposedly. Husband finds TH snooping around his property and shoots her not knowing his wife made an appointment with her. He then loads her up, in her car which explains only her blood in the back of her vehicle. The son and the father then find a place to dump her car. When ?'d By the police he became very beligerant with them. Colburn then finds TH vehicle but calls it in using his cell phone. This is speculating but he then found the body in the back of the vehicle. The rest has been explained in this thread.
They did have access to a smelter and crematorium.Huh. So in this scenario cops are very much involved even in burning body, moving the car etc.Zippered is a weed grower, wife made the appointment, said TH was there sometime after three supposedly. Husband finds TH snooping around his property and shoots her not knowing his wife made an appointment with her. He then loads her up, in her car which explains only her blood in the back of her vehicle. The son and the father then find a place to dump her car. When ?'d By the police he became very beligerant with them. Colburn then finds TH vehicle but calls it in using his cell phone. This is speculating but he then found the body in the back of the vehicle. The rest has been explained in this thread.
I'm starting to wonder if shuke understands this. Or maybe he does, but he rejects the evidence that suggests the body probably wasn't burned on his property.The seemingly high probability that the cremains were moved from another site is a huge factor.What have you seen makes you think some other Avery/Tadych is 5 times more probably than Steve to have done this?mr roboto said:Here's my current probabilities...
Steven Avery - 10%
Some other Avery/Tadych - 50%
Serial Killer theory - 25%
Ex Boyfriend - 10%
Some combo of cops - 5%
I am starting to wonder if some of you guys are actually looking at the evidence.
Avery wouldn't have moved the remains into his own backyard.
The math checks out there bruh. He's talking about two different things.Here's minemr roboto said:Here's my current probabilities...
Steven Avery - 10%
Some other Avery/Tadych - 50%
Serial Killer theory - 25%
Ex Boyfriend - 10%
Some combo of cops - 5%
SA 1%
Cops 1%
Ex 10%
Serial killer 18%
Some other SA/Tadych 30%
Zippered dad and son 40%
99% sure the brother and ex helped the cops to frame SA.@ 40% and 99%
The people calling out posters for thinking Avery is guilty better be jumping all over this.
I understand the theory. But the only "evidence" are unidentified human remains.I'm starting to wonder if shuke understands this. Or maybe he does, but he rejects the evidence that suggests the body probably wasn't burned on his property.The seemingly high probability that the cremains were moved from another site is a huge factor.What have you seen makes you think some other Avery/Tadych is 5 times more probably than Steve to have done this?mr roboto said:Here's my current probabilities...
Steven Avery - 10%
Some other Avery/Tadych - 50%
Serial Killer theory - 25%
Ex Boyfriend - 10%
Some combo of cops - 5%
I am starting to wonder if some of you guys are actually looking at the evidence.
Avery wouldn't have moved the remains into his own backyard.
I am not talking about the math side of it. I am talking about the fact that somebody is 99% certain that the brother, ex, and cops were in cahoots. I am talking about somebody saying it is most likely that somebody that is barely a blip on the screen did it.The math checks out there bruh. He's talking about two different things.Here's minemr roboto said:Here's my current probabilities...
Steven Avery - 10%
Some other Avery/Tadych - 50%
Serial Killer theory - 25%
Ex Boyfriend - 10%
Some combo of cops - 5%
SA 1%
Cops 1%
Ex 10%
Serial killer 18%
Some other SA/Tadych 30%
Zippered dad and son 40%
99% sure the brother and ex helped the cops to frame SA.@ 40% and 99%
The people calling out posters for thinking Avery is guilty better be jumping all over this.
Not sure if you're serious, if you watched the documentary you would seen that the brother and ex. displayed sketchy behavior, that to me says they were helping the cops. If it is the math part take the 10% away and add it to Zipperer.I am not talking about the math side of it. I am talking about the fact that somebody is 99% certain that the brother, ex, and cops were in cahoots. I am talking about somebody saying it is most likely that somebody that is barely a blip on the screen did it.The math checks out there bruh. He's talking about two different things.Here's mineSA 1%mr roboto said:Here's my current probabilities...
Steven Avery - 10%
Some other Avery/Tadych - 50%
Serial Killer theory - 25%
Ex Boyfriend - 10%
Some combo of cops - 5%
Cops 1%
Ex 10%
Serial killer 18%
Some other SA/Tadych 30%
Zippered dad and son 40%
99% sure the brother and ex helped the cops to frame SA.@ 40% and 99%The people calling out posters for thinking Avery is guilty better be jumping all over this.
WowFrom testimony, IIRC, lab tech did not change gloves between examining Avery's seized property and Halbach's car. Cross contamination was not really challenged by the prosecution.Zipperer and serial killer theories are interesting.
Has anyone in here offered an explanation for avery's contact (non-blood) dna on the hood latch and car key?
The remains in the barrel are identified.I understand the theory. But the only "evidence" are unidentified human remains.I'm starting to wonder if shuke understands this. Or maybe he does, but he rejects the evidence that suggests the body probably wasn't burned on his property.The seemingly high probability that the cremains were moved from another site is a huge factor.What have you seen makes you think some other Avery/Tadych is 5 times more probably than Steve to have done this?mr roboto said:Here's my current probabilities...
Steven Avery - 10%
Some other Avery/Tadych - 50%
Serial Killer theory - 25%
Ex Boyfriend - 10%
Some combo of cops - 5%
I am starting to wonder if some of you guys are actually looking at the evidence.
Avery wouldn't have moved the remains into his own backyard.
I should say the same thing to you. You saw a documentary where two guys displayed "sketchy behavior" and you then support a 99% certainty conclusion that they worked with the cops and framed Avery.Not sure if you're serious, if you watched the documentary you would seen that the brother and ex. displayed sketchy behavior, that to me says they were helping the cops. If it is the math part take the 10% away and add it to Zipperer.I am not talking about the math side of it. I am talking about the fact that somebody is 99% certain that the brother, ex, and cops were in cahoots. I am talking about somebody saying it is most likely that somebody that is barely a blip on the screen did it.The math checks out there bruh. He's talking about two different things.Here's mineSA 1%mr roboto said:Here's my current probabilities...
Steven Avery - 10%
Some other Avery/Tadych - 50%
Serial Killer theory - 25%
Ex Boyfriend - 10%
Some combo of cops - 5%
Cops 1%
Ex 10%
Serial killer 18%
Some other SA/Tadych 30%
Zippered dad and son 40%
99% sure the brother and ex helped the cops to frame SA.@ 40% and 99%The people calling out posters for thinking Avery is guilty better be jumping all over this.
That doesn't mean they were moved. See my theory posted earlier.The remains in the barrel are identified.I understand the theory. But the only "evidence" are unidentified human remains.I'm starting to wonder if shuke understands this. Or maybe he does, but he rejects the evidence that suggests the body probably wasn't burned on his property.The seemingly high probability that the cremains were moved from another site is a huge factor.What have you seen makes you think some other Avery/Tadych is 5 times more probably than Steve to have done this?mr roboto said:Here's my current probabilities...
Steven Avery - 10%
Some other Avery/Tadych - 50%
Serial Killer theory - 25%
Ex Boyfriend - 10%
Some combo of cops - 5%
I am starting to wonder if some of you guys are actually looking at the evidence.
Avery wouldn't have moved the remains into his own backyard.
Why does this surprise you?WowFrom testimony, IIRC, lab tech did not change gloves between examining Avery's seized property and Halbach's car. Cross contamination was not really challenged by the prosecution.Zipperer and serial killer theories are interesting.
Has anyone in here offered an explanation for avery's contact (non-blood) dna on the hood latch and car key?
How do you know he didn't move them from his backyard to the other two sites to try and get rid of everything?The seemingly high probability that the cremains were moved from another site is a huge factor.What have you seen makes you think some other Avery/Tadych is 5 times more probably than Steve to have done this?mr roboto said:Here's my current probabilities...
Steven Avery - 10%
Some other Avery/Tadych - 50%
Serial Killer theory - 25%
Ex Boyfriend - 10%
Some combo of cops - 5%
I am starting to wonder if some of you guys are actually looking at the evidence.
Avery wouldn't have moved the remains into his own backyard.
It surprises me that the tech didn't change gloves.Why does this surprise you?WowFrom testimony, IIRC, lab tech did not change gloves between examining Avery's seized property and Halbach's car. Cross contamination was not really challenged by the prosecution.Zipperer and serial killer theories are interesting.
Has anyone in here offered an explanation for avery's contact (non-blood) dna on the hood latch and car key?
Many examples you can point out that show Avery may be guilty but this is not one of them. If he was trying to move the remains he wouldn't have left the majority at the bonfire location. Doesn't make any sense. It is more likely the bodybwas burned at the quarry and then transported via the barrell to the bonfire.How do you know he didn't move them from his backyard to the other two sites to try and get rid of everything?The seemingly high probability that the cremains were moved from another site is a huge factor.What have you seen makes you think some other Avery/Tadych is 5 times more probably than Steve to have done this?mr roboto said:Here's my current probabilities...
Steven Avery - 10%
Some other Avery/Tadych - 50%
Serial Killer theory - 25%
Ex Boyfriend - 10%
Some combo of cops - 5%
I am starting to wonder if some of you guys are actually looking at the evidence.
Avery wouldn't have moved the remains into his own backyard.
a) why would he move some of them and not all of them, from the most obvious location (right next to his home)?How do you know he didn't move them from his backyard to the other two sites to try and get rid of everything?The seemingly high probability that the cremains were moved from another site is a huge factor.What have you seen makes you think some other Avery/Tadych is 5 times more probably than Steve to have done this?mr roboto said:Here's my current probabilities...
Steven Avery - 10%
Some other Avery/Tadych - 50%
Serial Killer theory - 25%
Ex Boyfriend - 10%
Some combo of cops - 5%
I am starting to wonder if some of you guys are actually looking at the evidence.
Avery wouldn't have moved the remains into his own backyard.
Yes, people often jump to conclusions with unwarranted confidence. Both the jury verdict and the 99% figure above seem to be examples of that, IMO.I should say the same thing to you. You saw a documentary where two guys displayed "sketchy behavior" and you then support a 99% certainty conclusion that they worked with the cops and framed Avery. Doesn't this pretty much confirm why the jury voted him guilty? I mean 99% certain is beyond reasonable doubt. If people get to that degree of certainty based on a random video, no wonder the jury voted him guilty with everything that was thrown at them.Not sure if you're serious, if you watched the documentary you would seen that the brother and ex. displayed sketchy behavior, that to me says they were helping the cops. If it is the math part take the 10% away and add it to Zipperer.I am not talking about the math side of it. I am talking about the fact that somebody is 99% certain that the brother, ex, and cops were in cahoots. I am talking about somebody saying it is most likely that somebody that is barely a blip on the screen did it.The math checks out there bruh. He's talking about two different things.Here's mineSA 1%mr roboto said:Here's my current probabilities...
Steven Avery - 10%
Some other Avery/Tadych - 50%
Serial Killer theory - 25%
Ex Boyfriend - 10%
Some combo of cops - 5%
Cops 1%
Ex 10%
Serial killer 18%
Some other SA/Tadych 30%
Zippered dad and son 40%
99% sure the brother and ex helped the cops to frame SA.@ 40% and 99%The people calling out posters for thinking Avery is guilty better be jumping all over this.
I can't find your theory from earlier. But it's already been established that there weren't separate burning sites unless her body was split from head to toe prior to burning separately. Both the prosecution and defense agreed that remains were moved. The only disagreement was about from where to where.That doesn't mean they were moved. See my theory posted earlier.The remains in the barrel are identified.I understand the theory. But the only "evidence" are unidentified human remains.I'm starting to wonder if shuke understands this. Or maybe he does, but he rejects the evidence that suggests the body probably wasn't burned on his property.The seemingly high probability that the cremains were moved from another site is a huge factor.What have you seen makes you think some other Avery/Tadych is 5 times more probably than Steve to have done this?mr roboto said:Here's my current probabilities...
Steven Avery - 10%
Some other Avery/Tadych - 50%
Serial Killer theory - 25%
Ex Boyfriend - 10%
Some combo of cops - 5%
I am starting to wonder if some of you guys are actually looking at the evidence.
Avery wouldn't have moved the remains into his own backyard.
Ryan Hillegas seems like a little more tan a blip on the screen.I am not talking about the math side of it. I am talking about the fact that somebody is 99% certain that the brother, ex, and cops were in cahoots. I am talking about somebody saying it is most likely that somebody that is barely a blip on the screen did it.The math checks out there bruh. He's talking about two different things.Here's minemr roboto said:Here's my current probabilities...
Steven Avery - 10%
Some other Avery/Tadych - 50%
Serial Killer theory - 25%
Ex Boyfriend - 10%
Some combo of cops - 5%
SA 1%
Cops 1%
Ex 10%
Serial killer 18%
Some other SA/Tadych 30%
Zippered dad and son 40%
99% sure the brother and ex helped the cops to frame SA.@ 40% and 99%
The people calling out posters for thinking Avery is guilty better be jumping all over this.
Maybe, maybe not. There's growing suspicion that those weren't her everyday keys. They key is DEFINITELY the spare that won't open the glove compartment. But I think there is testimony that she had a regular set of keys that she normally carried, but was also known to lose her keys.If the "killer", whomever it is, wiped the key clean, contamination also explains why Avery's DNA was found on it, but not Halbach's herself. She wore it on a lanyard around her neck, you'd assume some of her DNA would have been on it.It surprises me that the tech didn't change gloves.Why does this surprise you?WowFrom testimony, IIRC, lab tech did not change gloves between examining Avery's seized property and Halbach's car. Cross contamination was not really challenged by the prosecution.Zipperer and serial killer theories are interesting.
Has anyone in here offered an explanation for avery's contact (non-blood) dna on the hood latch and car key?
So why is that out of the realm of possibility?I can't find your theory from earlier. But it's already been established that there weren't separate burning sites unless her body was split from head to toe prior to burning separately.
I must have missed this. I thought the prosecution only confirmed that the bones were moved from Avery's pit to the sifting/sorting station by investigators. Their case was built around the premise that the body was burned in that pit.Both the prosecution and defense agreed that remains were moved.
The above interview with Strang by the Irish guy was great... here's another good one, in print though:Strang?Like I said previously always felt Averys' lawyers more frustrated with the process then whether an innocent man in jail. Just the vibe I get.
Sounds to me like he probably leans pretty far in the "not guilty" direction:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B8ekSO2WBvE&feature=youtu.be
Correct. The prosecution's argument is that the body was burned in that pit, and remains were found elsewhere because they were moved from the pit. The defense's argument is that the body was burned elsewhere and moved to the pit and that's why remains were found elsewhere. When presented the theory of her being burned in two different places, it was said that all parts of her body were found in both the barrel and the pit. So yes, if she was split from head to toe prior to burning, then it would produce what the evidence shows, but the question "Why would someone do that" isn't easy to answer. It is however easy to explain why someone would move remains. To hide evidence or to frame someone are both easy answers. If the reason was to hide evidence, it was executed piss poorly given how much was found in the burn pit. It's more likely it was moved to frame steve.So why is that out of the realm of possibility?I can't find your theory from earlier. But it's already been established that there weren't separate burning sites unless her body was split from head to toe prior to burning separately.
I must have missed this. I thought the prosecution only confirmed that the bones were moved from Avery's pit to the sifting/sorting station by investigators. Their case was built around the premise that the body was burned in that pit.Both the prosecution and defense agreed that remains were moved.
He thinks Zipperer is most likely to have committed the crime. He is a blip.Ryan Hillegas seems like a little more tan a blip on the screen.I am not talking about the math side of it. I am talking about the fact that somebody is 99% certain that the brother, ex, and cops were in cahoots. I am talking about somebody saying it is most likely that somebody that is barely a blip on the screen did it.The math checks out there bruh. He's talking about two different things.Here's mine
SA 1%
Cops 1%
Ex 10%
Serial killer 18%
Some other SA/Tadych 30%
Zippered dad and son 40%
99% sure the brother and ex helped the cops to frame SA.@ 40% and 99%The people calling out posters for thinking Avery is guilty better be jumping all over this.
Has anyone posted anything that confirms the quarry site bones were human?There was also the quarry burn site, although the fragments found there unfortunately didn't contain an DNA.Steve and Brendan could have gone over and gotten the barrel, and used it to burn Theresa's body behind the garage. They burned a little at a time, and used the barrel to contain the parts and whatever accelerant they used to get the heat up. As each round was complete, they dumped the remains right there in the burn pit.The seemingly high probability that the cremains were moved from another site is a huge factor.What have you seen makes you think some other Avery/Tadych is 5 times more probably than Steve to have done this?mr roboto said:Here's my current probabilities...
Steven Avery - 10%
Some other Avery/Tadych - 50%
Serial Killer theory - 25%
Ex Boyfriend - 10%
Some combo of cops - 5%
I am starting to wonder if some of you guys are actually looking at the evidence.
Avery wouldn't have moved the remains into his own backyard.![]()
I'm not saying this is "probably" what happened, just that it's possible. There is possible explanation for most of questions we have.
The cops didn't kill her. So if someone else did, then there would have to have been both the murderers and cops working to frame Avery. I find that way harder to believe than anything else.
But it's still reasonable to a consider it a high probability that the human female pelvic bone is from TH.
So if that is a third location where cremains exist, it's a huge indicator that the bones were moved to Avery's back yard.
I consider it unlikely the cops were involved in her murder, but after seeing the way that department has been run for decades, and the high likelihood that they planted evidence and committed perjury, I wouldn't rule out that they could have been involved somehow in her death.
What seems most likely to me, is that once the cops became involved (after TH was murdered by someone else), they then planted additional evidence to implicate Avery, plus they completely abdicated their responsibility to investigate any other possible suspects.
So it's not necessary that the cops were working with the murderer, they were just adding their agenda (to frame Avery) on top of what fell into their lap.
It's easy to like Strang and appreciate his eloquence. He describes things thoughtfully and logically. I'll admit he's a huge reason I felt strongly about the doc and the case and surprisingly still am invested in even weeks after it was hot. Most internet explosions last a few days but this one is holding me close to a month now.The above interview with Strang by the Irish guy was great... here's another good one, in print though:Strang?Like I said previously always felt Averys' lawyers more frustrated with the process then whether an innocent man in jail. Just the vibe I get.
Sounds to me like he probably leans pretty far in the "not guilty" direction:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B8ekSO2WBvE&feature=youtu.be
http://christandpopculture.com/sleeping-at-night-making-a-murderer-attorney-dean-strang-on-his-most-popular-case-and-what-it-was-like-to-lose-it/?utm_content=buffer89c97&utm_medium=social&utm_source=facebook.com&utm_campaign=buffer
A highlight:
CaPC: In one of your final interviews for the documentary, you say you almost wish Avery were guilty. Would you elaborate on that statement?
Strang: I don’t wish it for his sake, obviously. I don’t wish it for the Halbachs’ sake or Steven Avery’s sake. In a sense, that statement was and is a self-protective wish.
Steven Avery came to me with the only money he ever was going to have, and together the two of us [strang and Jerry Buting] took his case. He put his faith in us; he put his trust in us. He put all his chips on us. Then I lost his case. And the consequences of my losing his case were, for him, the most serious consequences Wisconsin law allows—he received a slow death sentence. He received life in prison without parole. As things stand, he’s simply stuck in a cage, waiting for the biological moment of death.
Yet, I have to go sleep at night. I have to go on with my life. I have to continue to do my work. I owe my wife, my family, my friends, the obligation of being present to them—loving them and giving them what they deserve. So there’s a self-protective quality to saying: “I don’t know that I can carry this around if I believe that there’s an innocent man sitting in a cage because I was the second best lawyer in the room.” It’s a very narrow self-protective hope that I was expressing. It was honest—probably a little too self-revealing.
Oh him... he's not really a blip either. Possibly the last person to see Halbach alive. Got belligerent with cops a couple times. Got his grow-op to protect. Definitely a POIHe thinks Zipperer is most likely to have committed the crime. He is a blip.Ryan Hillegas seems like a little more tan a blip on the screen.I am not talking about the math side of it. I am talking about the fact that somebody is 99% certain that the brother, ex, and cops were in cahoots. I am talking about somebody saying it is most likely that somebody that is barely a blip on the screen did it.The math checks out there bruh. He's talking about two different things.Here's mine
SA 1%
Cops 1%
Ex 10%
Serial killer 18%
Some other SA/Tadych 30%
Zippered dad and son 40%
99% sure the brother and ex helped the cops to frame SA.@ 40% and 99%The people calling out posters for thinking Avery is guilty better be jumping all over this.
I was curious about that question too, I haven't found anything definitive.Has anyone posted anything that confirms the quarry site bones were human?There was also the quarry burn site, although the fragments found there unfortunately didn't contain an DNA.Steve and Brendan could have gone over and gotten the barrel, and used it to burn Theresa's body behind the garage. They burned a little at a time, and used the barrel to contain the parts and whatever accelerant they used to get the heat up. As each round was complete, they dumped the remains right there in the burn pit.The seemingly high probability that the cremains were moved from another site is a huge factor.What have you seen makes you think some other Avery/Tadych is 5 times more probably than Steve to have done this?mr roboto said:Here's my current probabilities...
Steven Avery - 10%
Some other Avery/Tadych - 50%
Serial Killer theory - 25%
Ex Boyfriend - 10%
Some combo of cops - 5%
I am starting to wonder if some of you guys are actually looking at the evidence.
Avery wouldn't have moved the remains into his own backyard.![]()
I'm not saying this is "probably" what happened, just that it's possible. There is possible explanation for most of questions we have.
The cops didn't kill her. So if someone else did, then there would have to have been both the murderers and cops working to frame Avery. I find that way harder to believe than anything else.
But it's still reasonable to a consider it a high probability that the human female pelvic bone is from TH.
So if that is a third location where cremains exist, it's a huge indicator that the bones were moved to Avery's back yard.
I consider it unlikely the cops were involved in her murder, but after seeing the way that department has been run for decades, and the high likelihood that they planted evidence and committed perjury, I wouldn't rule out that they could have been involved somehow in her death.
What seems most likely to me, is that once the cops became involved (after TH was murdered by someone else), they then planted additional evidence to implicate Avery, plus they completely abdicated their responsibility to investigate any other possible suspects.
So it's not necessary that the cops were working with the murderer, they were just adding their agenda (to frame Avery) on top of what fell into their lap.
Late to the game and still pawing through the thread, but I second the Odenkirk reference times 1000.Steven's lawyers remind me of Bob Odenkirk and Alan alda.
I've seen that it was inconclusive.parrot said:Has anyone posted anything that confirms the quarry site bones were human?There was also the quarry burn site, although the fragments found there unfortunately didn't contain an DNA.Steve and Brendan could have gone over and gotten the barrel, and used it to burn Theresa's body behind the garage. They burned a little at a time, and used the barrel to contain the parts and whatever accelerant they used to get the heat up. As each round was complete, they dumped the remains right there in the burn pit.The seemingly high probability that the cremains were moved from another site is a huge factor.What have you seen makes you think some other Avery/Tadych is 5 times more probably than Steve to have done this?mr roboto said:Here's my current probabilities...
Steven Avery - 10%
Some other Avery/Tadych - 50%
Serial Killer theory - 25%
Ex Boyfriend - 10%
Some combo of cops - 5%
I am starting to wonder if some of you guys are actually looking at the evidence.
Avery wouldn't have moved the remains into his own backyard.![]()
I'm not saying this is "probably" what happened, just that it's possible. There is possible explanation for most of questions we have.
The cops didn't kill her. So if someone else did, then there would have to have been both the murderers and cops working to frame Avery. I find that way harder to believe than anything else.
But it's still reasonable to a consider it a high probability that the human female pelvic bone is from TH.
So if that is a third location where cremains exist, it's a huge indicator that the bones were moved to Avery's back yard.
I consider it unlikely the cops were involved in her murder, but after seeing the way that department has been run for decades, and the high likelihood that they planted evidence and committed perjury, I wouldn't rule out that they could have been involved somehow in her death.
What seems most likely to me, is that once the cops became involved (after TH was murdered by someone else), they then planted additional evidence to implicate Avery, plus they completely abdicated their responsibility to investigate any other possible suspects.
So it's not necessary that the cops were working with the murderer, they were just adding their agenda (to frame Avery) on top of what fell into their lap.
Don't let "pretty sure" get in the way of "beyond a reasonable doubt"I've seen that it was inconclusive.parrot said:Has anyone posted anything that confirms the quarry site bones were human?There was also the quarry burn site, although the fragments found there unfortunately didn't contain an DNA.Steve and Brendan could have gone over and gotten the barrel, and used it to burn Theresa's body behind the garage. They burned a little at a time, and used the barrel to contain the parts and whatever accelerant they used to get the heat up. As each round was complete, they dumped the remains right there in the burn pit.The seemingly high probability that the cremains were moved from another site is a huge factor.What have you seen makes you think some other Avery/Tadych is 5 times more probably than Steve to have done this?mr roboto said:Here's my current probabilities...
Steven Avery - 10%
Some other Avery/Tadych - 50%
Serial Killer theory - 25%
Ex Boyfriend - 10%
Some combo of cops - 5%
I am starting to wonder if some of you guys are actually looking at the evidence.
Avery wouldn't have moved the remains into his own backyard.![]()
I'm not saying this is "probably" what happened, just that it's possible. There is possible explanation for most of questions we have.
The cops didn't kill her. So if someone else did, then there would have to have been both the murderers and cops working to frame Avery. I find that way harder to believe than anything else.
But it's still reasonable to a consider it a high probability that the human female pelvic bone is from TH.
So if that is a third location where cremains exist, it's a huge indicator that the bones were moved to Avery's back yard.
I consider it unlikely the cops were involved in her murder, but after seeing the way that department has been run for decades, and the high likelihood that they planted evidence and committed perjury, I wouldn't rule out that they could have been involved somehow in her death.
What seems most likely to me, is that once the cops became involved (after TH was murdered by someone else), they then planted additional evidence to implicate Avery, plus they completely abdicated their responsibility to investigate any other possible suspects.
So it's not necessary that the cops were working with the murderer, they were just adding their agenda (to frame Avery) on top of what fell into their lap.
But don't let that get in the way of a good story!
Through episode 5 or 6, I was with the rest of the crazies, ready for the entire Mantiwoc police force and DA to be publicly hung. But the more I watched and the more I've read about this, the more I am pretty sure Avery doing this is the only logical conclusion.