Malcom Floyd, WR, San Diego Chargers (1 Viewer)

[Jason Wood]

2010 Player Spotlight Series

One of Footballguys best assets is our message board community. The Shark Pool is, in our view, the best place on the internet to discuss, debate and analyze all things fantasy football. In what's become an annual tradition, the Player Spotlight series is a key part of the preseason efforts. As many of you know, we consider the Player Spotlight threads the permanent record for analyzing the fantasy prospects of the player in question. This year, we plan to publish more than 140 offensive spotlights covering the vast majority of expected skill position starters.

Each week we will post a list of players to be discussed. Those threads will remain open for the entire preseason, and should be a central point to discussion expectations for the player in question. Importantly, analysis done in the first week of posting will be part of the permanent record in two ways. 1) At the end of the week, we will tally the projections into a consensus. 2) We will select a number of pull quotes from forum contributors who make a compelling statement or observation. Both the projections and pull quotes will be part of a published article on the main website.

Thread Topic: Malcom Floyd, WR, San Diego Chargers

Player Page Link: Malcom Floyd Player Page

Each article will include:

[*]Detailed viewpoint from a Footballguys staff member

[*]Highlighted member commentary from the message board threads

[*]FBG Projections

[*]Consensus Member Projections

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[Balco]

Great value pick. Has been in the system for a while, has an elite qb throwing to him, and now will be the # 1 WR until Vincent Jackson comes back.

 

[DansRams]

I don't see Floyd ever being a solid fantasy starter, even with V Jax out. Someone in SD will step up, but it won't be Floyd.

 

[footballman_696969]

I don't see Floyd ever being a solid fantasy starter, even with V Jax out. Someone in SD will step up, but it won't be Floyd.

Any reason why?I've always been impressed with what Floyd has done on the field.

 

[DansRams]

I don't see Floyd ever being a solid fantasy starter, even with V Jax out. Someone in SD will step up, but it won't be Floyd.

Any reason why?I've always been impressed with what Floyd has done on the field.

Yes...he is almost 29 and has done nothing....think about why people like Mathews in the upcoming season...great team, assured spot in the lineup, great QB etc....Floyd had all of those things last year and ends up with 45 catches. Don't get me wrong...I think he is a decent player for an NFL team to have, but I just don't think he will ever be a good fantasy player.

 

[footballman_696969]

I don't see Floyd ever being a solid fantasy starter, even with V Jax out. Someone in SD will step up, but it won't be Floyd.

Any reason why?I've always been impressed with what Floyd has done on the field.

Yes...he is almost 29 and has done nothing....think about why people like Mathews in the upcoming season...great team, assured spot in the lineup, great QB etc....

Floyd had all of those things last year and ends up with 45 catches. Don't get me wrong...I think he is a decent player for an NFL team to have, but I just don't think he will ever be a good fantasy player.

So are you just going by the stats he has put up or are you going by what you've actually seen him do on the field?The reason why I ask is because I like what I've seen from Floyd. He's got good size & speed and great leaping ability. He has that 'my ball' mentality and does a good job of using his body to shield the ball away from defenders. The only thing that worries me is how he will hold up without VJax on the other side stretching the field. Will he still look as good when he is facing better corners?

 

[ChuckLiddell]

If I had to pick someone to be 2010's Miles Austin, it would be Floyd.

Thats not to say that anyone will actually come out of nowhere like Austin did last year, but if I had to choose one player to rise from fantasy obscurity to every week starter, here is where I would look.

 

[finito]

Yes...he is almost 29 and has done nothing....think about why people like Mathews in the upcoming season...great team, assured spot in the lineup, great QB etc....



Floyd had all of those things last year and ends up with 45 catches.

Floyd only started 9 games last season. If he starts 16 this year he should easily improve those numbers.

 

[Fly]

VJax had 107 targets in the 15 games he played last year. For 16 games that equates to 114 targets. Those targets have to go somewhere as San Diego is going to throw the ball. When you take into account that Floyd had 14 targets in the only game that VJax didn't play I would have to assume that he'll get the most of those 110-ish targets. We can all sit here and speculate that Floyd won't perform, hasn't shown it, etc. but the only evidence we have to a non-VJax SD offense is the one where Floyd is the unquestioned #1 WR.

In 2009 VJax caught 68 passes from 107 targets (63.6%) and Floyd caught 45 passes from 76 targets (59.2%). Rivers was a 65% passer last year so for these two receivers to be a bit under his completion percentage is fine by me. They're stretch-the-field, big play, vertical receivers. I'd be extremely surprised if they caught 70% of their targets.

That being said, I don't see a reason why Floyd can't be the recipient of 100 targets. This isn't to say that Naanee won't produce either. If he takes a WR2 role he could see 70-75 targets like Floyd last year. But if I were to project Floyd's numbers I would say:

62 catches, 1050 yards, 6 TDs.

 

[DansRams]

I don't see Floyd ever being a solid fantasy starter, even with V Jax out. Someone in SD will step up, but it won't be Floyd.

Any reason why?I've always been impressed with what Floyd has done on the field.

Yes...he is almost 29 and has done nothing....think about why people like Mathews in the upcoming season...great team, assured spot in the lineup, great QB etc....

Floyd had all of those things last year and ends up with 45 catches. Don't get me wrong...I think he is a decent player for an NFL team to have, but I just don't think he will ever be a good fantasy player.

So are you just going by the stats he has put up or are you going by what you've actually seen him do on the field?The reason why I ask is because I like what I've seen from Floyd. He's got good size & speed and great leaping ability. He has that 'my ball' mentality and does a good job of using his body to shield the ball away from defenders. The only thing that worries me is how he will hold up without VJax on the other side stretching the field. Will he still look as good when he is facing better corners?

What I have seen is a long striding big receiver that does well getting deep as well as winning jump balls, but also lacks the quickness to be much of a threat getting open on mid distance tree patterns. As a number two, against the lesser corner you can still be effective as role player on a team with a VJax and a Gates as the #1/#2 receivers, but as a one, you have to face the #1 corner who can and will shut down a limited tree.

 

[Blackjacks]

VJax had 107 targets in the 15 games he played last year. For 16 games that equates to 114 targets. Those targets have to go somewhere as San Diego is going to throw the ball. When you take into account that Floyd had 14 targets in the only game that VJax didn't play I would have to assume that he'll get the most of those 110-ish targets. We can all sit here and speculate that Floyd won't perform, hasn't shown it, etc. but the only evidence we have to a non-VJax SD offense is the one where Floyd is the unquestioned #1 WR. In 2009 VJax caught 68 passes from 107 targets (63.6%) and Floyd caught 45 passes from 76 targets (59.2%). Rivers was a 65% passer last year so for these two receivers to be a bit under his completion percentage is fine by me. They're stretch-the-field, big play, vertical receivers. I'd be extremely surprised if they caught 70% of their targets. That being said, I don't see a reason why Floyd can't be the recipient of 100 targets. This isn't to say that Naanee won't produce either. If he takes a WR2 role he could see 70-75 targets like Floyd last year. But if I were to project Floyd's numbers I would say:62 catches, 1050 yards, 6 TDs.

Where does former 1st round pick draft pick Craig Davis figure in here?

 

[Ysatnaf_Gnik]

VJax had 107 targets in the 15 games he played last year. For 16 games that equates to 114 targets. Those targets have to go somewhere as San Diego is going to throw the ball. When you take into account that Floyd had 14 targets in the only game that VJax didn't play I would have to assume that he'll get the most of those 110-ish targets. We can all sit here and speculate that Floyd won't perform, hasn't shown it, etc. but the only evidence we have to a non-VJax SD offense is the one where Floyd is the unquestioned #1 WR. In 2009 VJax caught 68 passes from 107 targets (63.6%) and Floyd caught 45 passes from 76 targets (59.2%). Rivers was a 65% passer last year so for these two receivers to be a bit under his completion percentage is fine by me. They're stretch-the-field, big play, vertical receivers. I'd be extremely surprised if they caught 70% of their targets. That being said, I don't see a reason why Floyd can't be the recipient of 100 targets. This isn't to say that Naanee won't produce either. If he takes a WR2 role he could see 70-75 targets like Floyd last year. But if I were to project Floyd's numbers I would say:62 catches, 1050 yards, 6 TDs.

Where does former 1st round pick draft pick Craig Davis figure in here?

Personally think he is more talented than Naanee (Disclaimer: LSU Homer here), but he can't stay healthy for a long period of time...so it looks like Davis will be fighting another Tiger, Josh Reed, for the Slot position...

 

[identikit]

Yes...he is almost 29 and has done nothing....think about why people like Mathews in the upcoming season...great team, assured spot in the lineup, great QB etc....



Floyd had all of those things last year and ends up with 45 catches.

Floyd only started 9 games last season. If he starts 16 this year he should easily improve those numbers.

He has a wide-open opportunity this year.

 

[Tau837]

A few things to start off with:

1. FWIW, ProFootballFocus ranked Floyd as the 7th best WR last season and the 11th best WR in 2008. And Football Outsiders shows him with the 7th best DVOA among WRs last season.

2. In 2008, Floyd emerged with a role in week 6. From that point until he was hurt in week 15, he was the 26th highest scoring WR (FBG scoring) in the league.

3. Floyd didn't become a starter until the Chargers' 7th game last year. In the first 6 games, he had 16 targets - less than 3 per game. From the 7th game on, not including week 17, he averaged 5 targets per game. In week 17, Jackson and Naanee did not play, and Floyd had 14 targets (and 9 catches for 140 yards). So 5 targets per game would seem to be a floor, but I'd expect that number to be higher for all games Jackson misses... though I certainly wouldn't expect 14 targets per game by any means... probably something more like 7 targets per game without Jackson. Essentially, I assume he will get Jackson's role and targets while Jackson is out and someone else will backfill in the #2 role... then when Jackson gets back, Floyd will move back to #2.

4. IMO Floyd has a skill set that is very similar to Jackson, and I don't think there will be much of a falloff from Jackson's performance last year. Everyone thinks of Jackson as a great deep threat (which he is), so consider this. Last season, Jackson caught 5 passes that were thrown 31 or more yards in the air, for a total of 230 yards. Last season, Floyd also caught 5 passes that were thrown 31 or more yards in the air, for a total of 248 yards. Maybe that small of a sample size doesn't mean much, but I suspect many posters don't know Floyd was such a strong deep threat last year.

For purposes of projections, I will assume that Jackson sits out the first 10 games, then reports in order to get the accrued year of service. At that point, I assume he will serve a 3 game suspension. So that means I'll project Floyd with 7 targets per game for 13 games and 5 targets per game for the last 3. For purposes of projections, I'm not going to assume that the Chargers have the division and playoff seeding secured early enough to rest Floyd and/or other starters in week 17, so I'll count that as a regular game. So that's 106 targets for Floyd. If Jackson gets traded, it wouldn't change things much, unless the trade brought San Diego a WR1 in return, but I don't see such a scenario as likely. So the only thing that would really change my projection is if Jackson sits out much fewer than 10 weeks and then returns to the Chargers.

All that said, I think it's reasonable to project Floyd to catch 60% of 106 targets, so that's 64 catches. The past two seasons, he has averaged 17.2 ypr, but I'm a bit apprehensive about projecting such a high average. His career average is 16.5 ypr, so I'll go with that. That is 1056 yards. In his career, he has 9 TDs in 97 career receptions... so I think it's reasonable to project 6 TDs.

Projections: 106 targets, 64 receptions, 1056 receiving yards, 6 receiving TDs

 

[Tau837]

VJax had 107 targets in the 15 games he played last year. For 16 games that equates to 114 targets. Those targets have to go somewhere as San Diego is going to throw the ball. When you take into account that Floyd had 14 targets in the only game that VJax didn't play I would have to assume that he'll get the most of those 110-ish targets. We can all sit here and speculate that Floyd won't perform, hasn't shown it, etc. but the only evidence we have to a non-VJax SD offense is the one where Floyd is the unquestioned #1 WR.

In 2009 VJax caught 68 passes from 107 targets (63.6%) and Floyd caught 45 passes from 76 targets (59.2%). Rivers was a 65% passer last year so for these two receivers to be a bit under his completion percentage is fine by me. They're stretch-the-field, big play, vertical receivers. I'd be extremely surprised if they caught 70% of their targets.

That being said, I don't see a reason why Floyd can't be the recipient of 100 targets. This isn't to say that Naanee won't produce either. If he takes a WR2 role he could see 70-75 targets like Floyd last year. But if I were to project Floyd's numbers I would say:

62 catches, 1050 yards, 6 TDs.

 

[Fly]

VJax had 107 targets in the 15 games he played last year. For 16 games that equates to 114 targets. Those targets have to go somewhere as San Diego is going to throw the ball. When you take into account that Floyd had 14 targets in the only game that VJax didn't play I would have to assume that he'll get the most of those 110-ish targets. We can all sit here and speculate that Floyd won't perform, hasn't shown it, etc. but the only evidence we have to a non-VJax SD offense is the one where Floyd is the unquestioned #1 WR. In 2009 VJax caught 68 passes from 107 targets (63.6%) and Floyd caught 45 passes from 76 targets (59.2%). Rivers was a 65% passer last year so for these two receivers to be a bit under his completion percentage is fine by me. They're stretch-the-field, big play, vertical receivers. I'd be extremely surprised if they caught 70% of their targets. That being said, I don't see a reason why Floyd can't be the recipient of 100 targets. This isn't to say that Naanee won't produce either. If he takes a WR2 role he could see 70-75 targets like Floyd last year. But if I were to project Floyd's numbers I would say:62 catches, 1050 yards, 6 TDs.

Where does former 1st round pick draft pick Craig Davis figure in here?

Hard to know what he does. We still have to figure where Gates fits into the picture. Last year he had 114 targets and I don't think it's unreasonable for him to receive 125 this year if VJax is out. So if Floyd has 100, Naanee has 75, and Gates has 125 we're already at 300. That leaves 175-200 to distribute between Davis, Reed, Mathews, Sproles, Tolbert, and others. If last year is similar to this year for Sproles (and I think he'll have the same role) then that's another 60 targets. Mathews is no Tomlinson but he'll get the ball enough. If he gets only 3 targets per game that puts him at 45-50. That leaves 90-ish targets for the rest of the team. I don't think it's unreasonable for the winner of the Davis/Reed battle to have 45-50 targets too. If he's in the slot then I would assume they'd be high percentage passes at about 10 yards a whack. So that leaves us with something like a 35/350/2 line.

 

[rzrback77]

If Vincent Jackson sits out till week ten or gets traded, the potential for Malcolm Floyd is huge in 2010. However, there are a couple of things that stand out in a review of his past performances.

He was undrafted in 04 and will enter this regular season at the age of 29. He has a career receptioon rate of 58.4%, but 63.7% in the two most recent seasons. The only game a year ago when Jackson did not play, Floyd had his only double digit target game with 14 and made 9 catches for 140 yards. If that is a harbinger of things to come when Jackson is missing, look out.

The only negative I can find is only one TD a year ago on 76 targets and 45 receptions. His current ADP is WR 46 and 131 overall, but look for that to zoom upward if Jackson is missing. Looks like a bargain even if he moves up quite a bit.

Malcolm Floyd 16 gms 100 targets 65 catches 975 yards 15.0 ypa and 6 TDs

 

[Tau837]

If Vincent Jackson sits out till week ten or gets traded, the potential for Malcolm Floyd is huge in 2010. However, there are a couple of things that stand out in a review of his past performances.He was undrafted in 04 and will enter this regular season at the age of 29. He has a career receptioon rate of 58.4%, but 63.7% in the two most recent seasons. The only game a year ago when Jackson did not play, Floyd had his only double digit target game with 14 and made 9 catches for 140 yards. If that is a harbinger of things to come when Jackson is missing, look out.The only negative I can find is only one TD a year ago on 76 targets and 45 receptions. His current ADP is WR 46 and 131 overall, but look for that to zoom upward if Jackson is missing. Looks like a bargain even if he moves up quite a bit.Malcolm Floyd 16 gms 100 targets 65 catches 975 yards 15.0 ypa and 6 TDs

With regard to his TDs, it's worth noting that he has 9 TD receptions in 97 career receptions.

 

[Dragon1952]

Did I read somewhere that Jackson's 3 game suspension would be the 1st 3 games of the season regardless of whether he holds out? Meaning if he held out 10 games he would be immediately reinstated.

Here it is.

"If the season begins and Jackson has not reported to the team, then he would be suspended for three games that he wouldn't have played in anyway. "

LINK

 

[identikit]

Did I read somewhere that Jackson's 3 game suspension would be the 1st 3 games of the season regardless of whether he holds out? Meaning if he held out 10 games he would be immediately reinstated.

Here it is.

"If the season begins and Jackson has not reported to the team, then he would be suspended for three games that he wouldn't have played in anyway. "

LINK

I don't think that's true, unless he signs a contract. I don't believe he can be suspended for games that he's not under contract to play.

 

[Routilla]

Anyone watching the game? Is Floyd playing and if so, has he had any passes thrown his way? TIA.

 

[purestrength]

Since I'm at work and can't watch TV right now, I'm also curious about how Floyd is doing tonight.

 

[JohnnyU]

Since I'm at work and can't watch TV right now, I'm also curious about how Floyd is doing tonight.

He's not in the box score.Naanee had a 28 yd td reception

 

[Routilla]

So nobody saw the game? I know Floyd didn't show up in the box score. The questions I have are; Did he even play? Did he have any targets?, any drops etc. I was glad to see Mathews contribute well tonight.

 

[Maurile Tremblay]

Floyd played just the first two series. He came out when Rivers and Gates came out. On those two series, the WRs as a group had four targets — three for Naanee and one for Davis.

 

[ffguru56]

It seems like projections are kind of low to me on this guy (assuming Jackson is done for the year). No one feels he can replace Jackson and put up 1100-1200 yards and 10 td's? He may not have the talent that Jackson has but he's in the right system. Before he was the third option behind Gates and Jackson. Now he takes Jackson's role and looks from Rivers. It seems like the production is inevitable.

 

[identikit]

(Rotoworld) Malcom Floyd has reportedly been Philip Rivers' "favorite target in practice" during Chargers camp.

Analysis: Craig Davis and Legedu Naanee have been in and out of the lineup, while Floyd has barely missed a practice. With no end to Vincent Jackson's holdout in sight, Floyd should settle in as an every-week WR3 this year.

 

[ffguru56]

(Rotoworld) Malcom Floyd has reportedly been Philip Rivers' "favorite target in practice" during Chargers camp.

Analysis: Craig Davis and Legedu Naanee have been in and out of the lineup, while Floyd has barely missed a practice. With no end to Vincent Jackson's holdout in sight, Floyd should settle in as an every-week WR3 this year.

This analysis is exactly what I'm skeptical of. They claim he's the favorite target which aids my belief that he'll take over Jackson's production and put up very similar numbers, however, a WR3? Was Jackson an every week WR3?????

 

[identikit]

(Rotoworld) Malcom Floyd has reportedly been Philip Rivers' "favorite target in practice" during Chargers camp.

Analysis: Craig Davis and Legedu Naanee have been in and out of the lineup, while Floyd has barely missed a practice. With no end to Vincent Jackson's holdout in sight, Floyd should settle in as an every-week WR3 this year.

This analysis is exactly what I'm skeptical of. They claim he's the favorite target which aids my belief that he'll take over Jackson's production and put up very similar numbers, however, a WR3? Was Jackson an every week WR3?????

I defnitely see Vjax as much more talented than Floyd.

That being said, Floyd has a prime opportunity in a high-powered offense. So I think WR3 numbers are reasonable for him.

 

[Tau837]

(Rotoworld) Malcom Floyd has reportedly been Philip Rivers' "favorite target in practice" during Chargers camp.

Analysis: Craig Davis and Legedu Naanee have been in and out of the lineup, while Floyd has barely missed a practice. With no end to Vincent Jackson's holdout in sight, Floyd should settle in as an every-week WR3 this year.

This analysis is exactly what I'm skeptical of. They claim he's the favorite target which aids my belief that he'll take over Jackson's production and put up very similar numbers, however, a WR3? Was Jackson an every week WR3?????

I defnitely see Vjax as much more talented than Floyd.

That being said, Floyd has a prime opportunity in a high-powered offense. So I think WR3 numbers are reasonable for him.

Last season, Chambers played his last game as a Charger in week 8. Floyd was WR42 from week 9 through week 17 (9 games), and that was with Jackson playing all of those games except week 17. However, that ranking might be a bit misleading, in that there were some teams that had their byes in weeks 9 and 10. Still, if Floyd replaces Jackson, he will presumably get more targets, and thus his performance will be better than last year. Why are people convinced he is capped at WR3?To put it another way, Jackson was WR10 last season (FBG scoring) while playing 15 games. Why would we assume that Floyd, his replacement, would finish as WR25 or worse? (I assume use of the term WR3 is based on a 12 team league, meaning WR3 would slot him somewhere in the WR25 to WR36 range.) In his only game without Jackson last year, Floyd had 9 catches for 140 yards.

 

[Maurile Tremblay]

Floyd is definitely underrated right now.

 

[Carter_Can_Fly]

Floyd is definitely underrated right now.

I am on the fence with this guy as to where to put him other than a sleeper candidate, but don't see how he can be called underrated....I think the assumption is he will step in and be productive as the WR 1 that V-Jax had done so well at last year. Floyd is going to be 29 (in september) and has never caught more than 45 balls in a season (that coming last year). V-Jax who is more talented than Floyd has career bests of 68 balls last year and 57 the year before.It would not even be a surprise to me to see a guy like Naanee put up similar stats to Floyd or perhaps even pass him on the depth chart and start getting more targets than Floyd. Furthermore you always have to be weary that V-Jax returns to play out the last half of the sesaon. If anything I think people tend to be over valuing Floyd a moderate talent just a little bit.

 

[fridayfrenzy]

Floyd is definitely underrated right now.

I am on the fence with this guy as to where to put him other than a sleeper candidate, but don't see how he can be called underrated....I think the assumption is he will step in and be productive as the WR 1 that V-Jax had done so well at last year. Floyd is going to be 29 (in september) and has never caught more than 45 balls in a season (that coming last year). V-Jax who is more talented than Floyd has career bests of 68 balls last year and 57 the year before.It would not even be a surprise to me to see a guy like Naanee put up similar stats to Floyd or perhaps even pass him on the depth chart and start getting more targets than Floyd. Furthermore you always have to be weary that V-Jax returns to play out the last half of the sesaon. If anything I think people tend to be over valuing Floyd a moderate talent just a little bit.

By the time V-Jax comes back, the Chargers will saying "Vincent who?" because Floyd will be ripping it up.

 

[skillz]

I thought he looked really good against Dallas. However, even though he has a soft schedule, I am just wondering how he will do when he has to go up against #1 CB's like Bailey, and Asomugha. Tough to pass on this guy as a WR3 though when he is the #1 option with a great QB and soft schedule. If I could land either him or Knox as a WR3 I would be thrilled. Looks like his ADP is creeping up though as the preseason progresses and V-Jax looks like he won't be coming back anytime soon.

 

[Maurile Tremblay]

Floyd took over for Chambers and started the last ten games in 2009. (He technically started only the last nine, but he got the majority of reps over Chambers in the preceding game as well.)

In the last ten games:

Vincent Jackson: 62 targets, 39 receptions, 606 yards, 5 TDs.

Malcom Floyd: 60 targets, 36 receptions, 589 yards, 0 TDs.

Other than the TDs, they were pretty similar.

 

[Tau837]

I thought he looked really good against Dallas. However, even though he has a soft schedule, I am just wondering how he will do when he has to go up against #1 CB's like Bailey, and Asomugha. Tough to pass on this guy as a WR3 though when he is the #1 option with a great QB and soft schedule. If I could land either him or Knox as a WR3 I would be thrilled. Looks like his ADP is creeping up though as the preseason progresses and V-Jax looks like he won't be coming back anytime soon.

Bailey often covers Gates. If Asomugha is going to move around the field this year, he could do the same.

 

[Jewell]

Floyd took over for Chambers and started the last ten games in 2009. (He technically started only the last nine, but he got the majority of reps over Chambers in the preceding game as well.)

In the last ten games:

Vincent Jackson: 62 targets, 39 receptions, 606 yards, 5 TDs.

Malcom Floyd: 60 targets, 36 receptions, 589 yards, 0 TDs.

Other than the TDs, they were pretty similar.

Yes, but do you think Floyd will step into that touchdown role?I was listening to Michael Smith of ESPN . He'd been at Chargers camp and he seemed convinced that Naanee was the Red Zone threat due to his size.

 

[identikit]

Floyd took over for Chambers and started the last ten games in 2009. (He technically started only the last nine, but he got the majority of reps over Chambers in the preceding game as well.)

In the last ten games:

Vincent Jackson: 62 targets, 39 receptions, 606 yards, 5 TDs.

Malcom Floyd: 60 targets, 36 receptions, 589 yards, 0 TDs.

Other than the TDs, they were pretty similar.

Yes, but do you think Floyd will step into that touchdown role?I was listening to Michael Smith of ESPN . He'd been at Chargers camp and he seemed convinced that Naanee was the Red Zone threat due to his size.

Interesting...Floyd: 6' 5 225 lbs

Naanee: 6' 2 220 lbs

 

[Maurile Tremblay]

Yes, but do you think Floyd will step into that touchdown role?

I was listening to Michael Smith of ESPN . He'd been at Chargers camp and he seemed convinced that Naanee was the Red Zone threat due to his size.

Gates, Floyd, and Naanee are all great red zone targets. Floyd is 6'5" with excellent leaping ability. He scored only one TD last year, but in his career he has 9 TDs on 97 receptions. That's a 9.3% TD rate; the NFL average for WRs is 8.1%.Gates will probably lead the team in TD receptions. I'd expect Floyd and Naanee to be next, in that order, but they're pretty close together and the order could be reversed. (I'm projecting Gates for 8.2 TDs, Floyd for 5.4 TDs, and Naanee for 3.8 TDs.)

 

[bicycle_seat_sniffer]

Floyd took over for Chambers and started the last ten games in 2009. (He technically started only the last nine, but he got the majority of reps over Chambers in the preceding game as well.)

In the last ten games:

Vincent Jackson: 62 targets, 39 receptions, 606 yards, 5 TDs.

Malcom Floyd: 60 targets, 36 receptions, 589 yards, 0 TDs.

Other than the TDs, they were pretty similar.

Yes, but do you think Floyd will step into that touchdown role?I was listening to Michael Smith of ESPN . He'd been at Chargers camp and he seemed convinced that Naanee was the Red Zone threat due to his size.

Michael Smith?All the Chargers targets are big

Floyd is bigger than Naanee

 

[Tau837]

Floyd took over for Chambers and started the last ten games in 2009. (He technically started only the last nine, but he got the majority of reps over Chambers in the preceding game as well.)

In the last ten games:

Vincent Jackson: 62 targets, 39 receptions, 606 yards, 5 TDs.

Malcom Floyd: 60 targets, 36 receptions, 589 yards, 0 TDs.

Other than the TDs, they were pretty similar.

Yes, but do you think Floyd will step into that touchdown role?I was listening to Michael Smith of ESPN . He'd been at Chargers camp and he seemed convinced that Naanee was the Red Zone threat due to his size.

Naanee has 2 TDs on 40 career receptions... 1 per 20 catches. Floyd has 9 TDs on 97 career receptions... roughly 1 per 11 catches.Red zone targets for the Chargers last year:

Gates 13

Jackson 13

Floyd 10

Sproles 8

Naanee 4

Tolbert 4

Chambers 4

Hester 2

Davis 2

Tomlinson 1

Bennett 1

Wilson 1

Manu 1

Looks like the team has already trusted Floyd more than Naanee.

Furthermore, Floyd is 6'5", Gates is 6'4", and Naanee is 6'2". Size isn't a reason to favor Naanee IMO.

And, finally, Floyd is a much more effective deep threat. Naanee has caught 1 pass in his career thrown 21 or more yards... Floyd caught 7 passes thrown that far last season, for 293 yards.

IMO all of this adds up to Floyd being a bigger TD threat this year than Naanee.