Marques Colston - Buy Low or Avoid? (1 Viewer)

[grouse]

The Saints come marching back to the playing field after their bye, and given how poorly they have played in all phases of the game, one can't help but try and find the diamonds in the rough. After taking a closer look at the Saints schedule, it sure looks like Colston is set up nicely for a productive second-half of the season. Not only will the Saints face numerous weak pass defenses, but they also play 3 out of 4 games at home during the fantasy playoffs (13-16). The Saints defense can not stop anybody, and they simply do not have the personnel to change that equation this season. Mix in the loss of McAllister and the re-tooling of Bush into a more run-focused role, and all of this has me thinking Colston's value is on the verge of a major spike.

How do you read Colston's tea leaves?

 

[((Morpheus))]

Definitely buy low.

 

[OU#1]

Definitely buy low.

Awesome analysis...

 

[redman]

He's legitimately good, and is the best WR on the team. They've lost their most reliable rushing threat in McCallister. Their defense is non-existant. They have nothing to lose.

I like his prospects going forward, especially in PPR.

 

[TommyGilmore]

Michael Clayton Mark II

 

[PranksterJD]

I'd buy low, but not expect all that much. Their line isn't great, and losing McAllister actually hurts Colston in my mind. Marques didn't have time to run a long route before they lost Deuce, and without him keeping defenses honest I think Colston finds even more coverage. I love Reggie Bush, but I am in no way convinced that he'll be able to run effectively between the tackles. I'll say this... week 5 should be very telling, and if you want to risk a buy then you need to do it beforehand. If they play poorly, then they're lost for the entire season. If they play well, the price goes up higher than you should pay.

I personally rolled the dice on the Saints passing game and ended up landing Brees and a 2008 2nd for Hasselbeck (my backup, and afterwards I got the feeling I could have gotten more), so my Colston talks died out, but I do think this group can be gotten uber-cheap right now, and will probably outperform what you pay, especially if you play up their troubles to current owners.

I think Colston can get you WR2 numbers.... maybe. :( , but don't pay a ransom and don't look for him to be the savior of your season.

Then again, maybe I've been a Saints fan too long.

 

[Pipes]

Despite Brees stinking up the joint Colston is on pace for 96 Rec, 987 yards, & 5 TD's. Not quite the numbers people were expecting when they drafted him but decent numbers none-the-less. They should improve if the offense can get their act together.

 

[PranksterJD]

Michael Clayton Mark II

Eh, he may not be a super-stud, but this is a low blow. Colston's already got half of Clayton's 2nd year numbers, and that team can't get any worse.

 

[twitch]

Colston is looking like a big, slow 7th round pick out of Hofstra caught up in a sophomore slump playing on a bad team right now. I think Id target someone else to buy low and look at Colston next year.

 

[redman]

Colston is looking like a big, slow 7th round pick out of Hofstra caught up in a sophomore slump playing on a bad team right now. I think Id target someone else to buy low and look at Colston next year.

Yep, Colston is definitely the problem in that offense.

 

[((Morpheus))]

Definitely buy low.

Awesome analysis...

I feel like the ######## quotient is off the charts these days.

 

[redman]

Definitely buy low.

Awesome analysis...

I feel like the ######## quotient is off the charts these days.

Awesome observation...

 

[((Morpheus))]

Definitely buy low.

Awesome analysis...

I feel like the ######## quotient is off the charts these days.

Awesome observation...

very nice

 

[grouse]

Colston is looking like a big, slow 7th round pick out of Hofstra caught up in a sophomore slump playing on a bad team right now. I think Id target someone else to buy low and look at Colston next year.

I've never really viewed Colston as a speedy receiver, so the 'slow' comment seems a little redundant. What I'm really looking for from people is to either validate the claim that Colston's value is on the rise, or debunk it by providing some valid reasons for a continued decline. Suppose Colston flatlines or declines from here out, where do the footballs go? Coach Payton has confirmed Bush will see less receptions now that he's their primary ball-carrier, and unless you can tell me their defense is on the verge of playing far better football than they have been, I just don't see any reason why Colston's targets and overall production doesn't see an increase. Granted, his per-catch average may continue to be below his 2006 levels, but if you're in a PPR league and he hauls in 90+ balls, do you really care?

 

[talbott]

Colston is looking like a big, slow 7th round pick out of Hofstra caught up in a sophomore slump playing on a bad team right now. I think Id target someone else to buy low and look at Colston next year.

A big slow 7th rounder on pace, in a slow start, for 1000 yards and 6 touchdowns? Obviously, those weren't the numbers you were looking for in the 3rd or 4th rounds of drafts, but he still looks fairly good out there. He's caught virtually everything thrown his way, and would be getting more opportunities if the Saints O-line wasn't getting blown up on every passing attempt. I can't think of anyone on the Saints offense that I would blame *less* for their 0-3 start than Colston.

 

[rascal]

Definitely buy low.

Awesome analysis...

I feel like the ######## quotient is off the charts these days.

typically happens when your team gets beat by an unranked opponent.

 

[Statorama]

He's legitimately good, and is the best WR on the team. They've lost their most reliable rushing threat in McCallister. Their defense is non-existant. They have nothing to lose.

I like his prospects going forward, especially in PPR.

Well said.

 

[Statorama]

Colston is looking like a big, slow 7th round pick out of Hofstra caught up in a sophomore slump playing on a bad team right now. I think Id target someone else to buy low and look at Colston next year.

I've never really viewed Colston as a speedy receiver, so the 'slow' comment seems a little redundant. What I'm really looking for from people is to either validate the claim that Colston's value is on the rise, or debunk it by providing some valid reasons for a continued decline. Suppose Colston flatlines or declines from here out, where do the footballs go? Coach Payton has confirmed Bush will see less receptions now that he's their primary ball-carrier, and unless you can tell me their defense is on the verge of playing far better football than they have been, I just don't see any reason why Colston's targets and overall production doesn't see an increase. Granted, his per-catch average may continue to be below his 2006 levels, but if you're in a PPR league and he hauls in 90+ balls, do you really care?

A lot of the routes designed for Colston are short/intermediate routes, the same area that teams are protecting against curls from Reggey Butch. With no legitimate deep threat stepping up on the Saints roster, teams can focus on shutting down the short passing game. (sarcasm alarm...sarcasm ahead...) Too bad the Saints didn't draft a legitimate deep threat with 4.3 speed to take some attention from the free safety...oh wait, they did. Where the hell is Meachem anyway?

 

[glumpy]

What I'm really looking for from people is to either validate the claim that Colston's value is on the rise, or debunk it by providing some valid reasons for a continued decline.

I don't think that can be done from here. It's pretty well been pointed out that the problem has not been Colston; it looks like the o-line. He's got a workable schedule. the loss of Deuce could definitely hurt; the way they target Bush could help or hurt. For myself, as a Colston owner, I looked at trades the past two weeks involving him in a package but didn't see anything to make me excited, so the best right now I think is to hold on and see what they could resolve in the bye week. Hoping for the best.

 

[Young 8]

Colston is looking like a big, slow 7th round pick out of Hofstra caught up in a sophomore slump playing on a bad team right now. I think Id target someone else to buy low and look at Colston next year.

Brees has 677 pass yds, 1 td and 7 int

185 yds and 1td for Colston looks like a miracle here

i'm sure Colston is the problem......ROTFL

 

[circelli17]

Colston has decent value, but the McAllister injury really but a damper on his upside since defensive secondaries no longer have to worry as much about where Bush lines up (as he's likely to be in the backfield often). That means Colston should see tighter coverage from here on out

 

[Young 8]

What I'm really looking for from people is to either validate the claim that Colston's value is on the rise, or debunk it by providing some valid reasons for a continued decline.

do you think Brees will continue with this pace ??

 

[Young 8]

Colston has decent value, but the McAllister injury really but a damper on his upside since defensive secondaries no longer have to worry as much about where Bush lines up (as he's likely to be in the backfield often). That means Colston should see tighter coverage from here on out

Colston saw tight coverage in all the first 3 gamesMcAllister and Bush didn't scare anybody so far because the OL sucks badly

 

[Neil Beaufort Zod]

I'd definitely buy low in a PPR. After what's considered three incredibly disappointing games for the Saints, Colston is on pace for 96 catches. What happens if/when they really get to air it out?