I agree that I think San Diego would bite for a low 1st or an early to mid 2nd. With Tomlinson's being the iron man he is, I think San Diego would be crazy not to get value for him now. He had 80 carries in 2006, including 34 of those in 2 routs (27-0 and 40-7) and a meaningless week 17. He may be the best backup RB in the NFL, but he is easily replaceable and not that important to them.Also, here is a blurb on compensatory draft picks:In the end, I think the Jets get him for one of their seconds. I think the Chargers put a 1st round tender on him to see if anyone bites. When the dust settles, the Jets offer the Chargers one of their 2nd round picks and the deal gets done.Just seems to me that, if your organization needs a RB and your organization rates M. Turner equal to or greater then say a M. Lynch, why wouldn't you be willing to trade a first to aquire Turner. For example, say the Jets decide they need a RB. I doubt Lynch makes it to them at pick #25. At that point, if the Jets as an organization feel Turner is better then say a M. Bush (#3 ranked RB in the draft) and maybe even equal to or greater then a Lynch, why wouldn't they pay the Chargers the 1st round compensation to sign him? Turner is going to require some cash as would any first round RB. The cash value would be very similar. If the Jets say Turner is as good as Lynch, it would cost the Jets pick #25 plus some more picks to move up in the top 15 to take Lynch. Smart move would be to just give up the first (to the Chargers) as compensation for signing Turner as a restricted free agent. I guess it just makes sense as an organization to sign Turner, if (a) your biggest need is a RB and (b) as an organization you rank Turner equal to or greater then Lynch. I would even think it would cost the Jets pick #25 and a 3rd to move into the top ten. So even if the Chargers tender Turner with a 1st and 3rd compensation, it still might make some sense.This is the way I see it......But I think that a team(Jets,Giants) could get Turner for their 1st round pick and would not have to give their 3rd rounder. From the comments that AJ has made it seems that he wants to get some value for Turner.
If you look at this, Turner is going to be near rock bottom for playing time and postseason honors. His salary, not sure of that because I don't know if it is current, new contract or a combination of both.People keep assuming that Turner equals a 3rd, but I don't think that is the case. It is based on the total net loss for a team and teams could receive multiple ones in different rounds. I think based on the formula, there is no way Turner = 3rd round pick by himself. San Diego is not losing a Super Bowl MVP or Pro-Bowler or a starter.One other note, a compensatory pick is at the end of a round so a 3rd round compensatory is basically the 1st pick in the 4th round. It is not equivalent to the average 3rd round pick.Compensatory free agents are determined by a formula based on salary, playing time and postseason honors. The formula was developed by the NFL Management Council.