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Mike Wallace #34 ranked wr this week vs Ten? (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter ppierce
- Start date
coachbobbyfinstock
Footballguy
I noticed that as well. Antonio Brown is top 3 though, weird..
LittlePhatty
Footballguy
Ignore all rankings every week and go with your gut.
I've said it before, but it's worth repeating.
Weekly projections are so conservative that they are practically meaningless.
WR#10 is projected for 5 / 73 / 0.5
WR#34 is projected for 4 / 54 / 0.4
Add one more 19 yard catch and another 0.1 chance of a TD to Mike Wallace and suddenly he is top 10.
This does not reflect how the real world works. Variance is always much greater than that.
But the writers know that if they did projections that would reflect real-world results, such as the WR#1 going off for 13/152/2, and the WR#30 just getting 2/29/0, then they'd have a ton more people #####ing and complaining about those rankings as opposed to the 2 or 3 people they have now every week complaining about where their favorite WR falls on the list.
I've said it before, but it's worth repeating.
Weekly projections are so conservative that they are practically meaningless.
WR#10 is projected for 5 / 73 / 0.5
WR#34 is projected for 4 / 54 / 0.4
Add one more 19 yard catch and another 0.1 chance of a TD to Mike Wallace and suddenly he is top 10.
This does not reflect how the real world works. Variance is always much greater than that.
But the writers know that if they did projections that would reflect real-world results, such as the WR#1 going off for 13/152/2, and the WR#30 just getting 2/29/0, then they'd have a ton more people #####ing and complaining about those rankings as opposed to the 2 or 3 people they have now every week complaining about where their favorite WR falls on the list.
Dr. Octopus
Footballguy
I see in your sig, you have Wallace on your team. Just start him, if you like his chances this week. The rankings have no impact on what he will do.
solorca
Footballguy
This is why I can't stand weekly projections. If you're going to do them, go out on a limb and actually make a realistic projection for what you think that player will do. Otherwise, just do rankings.Season projections are fine because they are more realistic, but the weekly ones (at least on here) seem pointless.
Concept Coop
Footballguy
I like them. I especially like the TD odds. Full TD rankings drive me crazy. That said, the Wallace ranking doesn't really make sense - he is more likely to score a TD than Brown, in every game they both play, in my opinion. He scores more than Brown by a very good margin.
SproutDaddy
Footballguy
What's weird about that?Wallace is ahead of Brown on the Top 250
If Wallace is ahead of Brown on Top 250, how could Brown be ranked 30 spots ahead of Wallace this week. I understand weekly rankings take into account current state of affairs and direct matchups and whatnot, but this seems strange,What's weird about that?Wallace is ahead of Brown on the Top 250
apalmer
Footballguy
Could be based on coverage for one thing.If Wallace is ahead of Brown on Top 250, how could Brown be ranked 30 spots ahead of Wallace this week. I understand weekly rankings take into account current state of affairs and direct matchups and whatnot, but this seems strange,What's weird about that?Wallace is ahead of Brown on the Top 250
