TheMathNinja
Footballguy
There have been a number of solutions proposed for the fact that RB's are way overvalued in the standard fantasy format of 1 QB, 2 RB, 1 RB/WR (or FLEX), 2 WR, 1 TE.
Some leagues add a 3rd WR, some leagues go PPR, etc. But I actually like my fantasy football to resemble real football, and truth is that in the NFL, most teams feature at least two backs, but quite a few (Minnesota and Washington being two of the more obvious examples) do not.
All the talk of this year's fantasy draft (see http://espn.go.com/video/clip?id=9285867) is how thin the RB position is and how deep the QB and WR position is this year. Am I the only one who thinks this is not so much about this year as it is about how the NFL is evolving? It's gotten to the point where we could be seeing RB's selected with the first 18 picks in fantasy drafts this year. Here's what has me scratching my head...why is it that when the NFL is valuing Running Backs less and less, that Fantasy Football ends up valuing them more and more? The mathematical surface answer is obvious: feature running backs are becoming more scarce, as is the running game in general, and therefore the few RB's left on teams that still utilize this system are fantasy must-haves in a very thin field. But does this seem a bit arbitrary to anyone else?
To me, it seems like the obvious breakdown here is that fantasy systems force my hand at starting 2 RB's when there simply aren't enough "feature backs" to go around...making me scramble to fill my second RB slot with the closest thing to a feature back...ultimately making the position way over-valued. What I want to suggest is another option (in addition to PPR and a 3rd starting WR) that can help restore balance, but also has the added benefit of giving you flexibility in what kind of offensive scheme you want your fantasy team to run. This involves a starting offensive format that basically replaces the traditional 2nd RB with a RB/WR option:
1 QB
1 RB
1 RB/WR
2 WR
1 TE
1 FLEX (RB/WR/TE)
What I like about this system:
It lets you customize starting positions in a way that actually mimics real NFL teams. Want to run a Minnesota-like system that features 1 RB, 4 WR, and 1 TE? You can do that. How about a San Diego system that features 3 RB's, 2 WR's and a TE? You can do that too. What about New England's 2 RB, 2 WR, 2 TE system? Go for it. The fact that current fantasy systems don't allow me to have just a single feature back, and instead force my hand into two RB's not only robs my team of the flexibility of looking like any kind of real NFL team I choose, but it also pressures me into grabbing that second RB in the second round, when in reality, that second RB isn't that great of a player (which of you would seriously draft Stevan Ridley above Aaron Rodgers or Brandon Marshall as a GM in a real NFL re-draft scenario?)
Admittedly, without scoring tweaks like PPR or leagues of 14+, this system doesn't change much, since (according to last year's non-PPR season final fantasy stats) 10 of the 12 teams in a standard 12-team league will choose to fill the RB/WR slot with an RB anyway, making it look a lot like the old system. But with PPR involved, it becomes much more interesting, and even without PPR...the added flexibility for those two teams still makes for a fun alternative option for some teams.
Is the above starting line-up a little bit more to get your head around? Yes. Does it more accurately resemble the schema options real NFL teams face in what kind of offensive system they're going to run? Yes. Does it restore much-needed value to QB's, WR's, and TE's (especially in bigger leagues) without having to alter your scoring rules? Yes. And for those reasons, I really like it.
Some leagues add a 3rd WR, some leagues go PPR, etc. But I actually like my fantasy football to resemble real football, and truth is that in the NFL, most teams feature at least two backs, but quite a few (Minnesota and Washington being two of the more obvious examples) do not.
All the talk of this year's fantasy draft (see http://espn.go.com/video/clip?id=9285867) is how thin the RB position is and how deep the QB and WR position is this year. Am I the only one who thinks this is not so much about this year as it is about how the NFL is evolving? It's gotten to the point where we could be seeing RB's selected with the first 18 picks in fantasy drafts this year. Here's what has me scratching my head...why is it that when the NFL is valuing Running Backs less and less, that Fantasy Football ends up valuing them more and more? The mathematical surface answer is obvious: feature running backs are becoming more scarce, as is the running game in general, and therefore the few RB's left on teams that still utilize this system are fantasy must-haves in a very thin field. But does this seem a bit arbitrary to anyone else?
To me, it seems like the obvious breakdown here is that fantasy systems force my hand at starting 2 RB's when there simply aren't enough "feature backs" to go around...making me scramble to fill my second RB slot with the closest thing to a feature back...ultimately making the position way over-valued. What I want to suggest is another option (in addition to PPR and a 3rd starting WR) that can help restore balance, but also has the added benefit of giving you flexibility in what kind of offensive scheme you want your fantasy team to run. This involves a starting offensive format that basically replaces the traditional 2nd RB with a RB/WR option:
1 QB
1 RB
1 RB/WR
2 WR
1 TE
1 FLEX (RB/WR/TE)
What I like about this system:
It lets you customize starting positions in a way that actually mimics real NFL teams. Want to run a Minnesota-like system that features 1 RB, 4 WR, and 1 TE? You can do that. How about a San Diego system that features 3 RB's, 2 WR's and a TE? You can do that too. What about New England's 2 RB, 2 WR, 2 TE system? Go for it. The fact that current fantasy systems don't allow me to have just a single feature back, and instead force my hand into two RB's not only robs my team of the flexibility of looking like any kind of real NFL team I choose, but it also pressures me into grabbing that second RB in the second round, when in reality, that second RB isn't that great of a player (which of you would seriously draft Stevan Ridley above Aaron Rodgers or Brandon Marshall as a GM in a real NFL re-draft scenario?)
Admittedly, without scoring tweaks like PPR or leagues of 14+, this system doesn't change much, since (according to last year's non-PPR season final fantasy stats) 10 of the 12 teams in a standard 12-team league will choose to fill the RB/WR slot with an RB anyway, making it look a lot like the old system. But with PPR involved, it becomes much more interesting, and even without PPR...the added flexibility for those two teams still makes for a fun alternative option for some teams.
Is the above starting line-up a little bit more to get your head around? Yes. Does it more accurately resemble the schema options real NFL teams face in what kind of offensive system they're going to run? Yes. Does it restore much-needed value to QB's, WR's, and TE's (especially in bigger leagues) without having to alter your scoring rules? Yes. And for those reasons, I really like it.