My FINAL Projections are now Posted (9-8-10) (1 Viewer)

[Unlucky]

still cant figure out why so many people are down on mendenhallrunning team + no competition +young talented RB1500 yds 10 tds are my base for the guy

1. Not totally a running team. I'd say about average.2. His competition is the short-yardage role. It's quite possible that Mendenhall does NOT get these carries.3. Young, yes. Talented - I'm not sold that he's really an elite NFL RB. He's good, but not great. He may prove me wrong, and being a Steelers fan, I hope so, but there just seems to be a little something missing. My 3 criteria are Talent, System, and Opportunity, and Mendenhall is a just a notch below on all of these, IMO.

 

[Unlucky]

Chicago - I probably have to adjust the numbers. But I'm skeptical of this Martz magic. First, I'm not 100% sure that Cutler will be a great fit for this offense. I know the arm strength is there, the accuracy can be there, but is the quick decision making?

For those that are not aware, here' is Martz's track record in his first year with a new team (titles varied):1992 Rams -187 passing yards, +10 passing TD1997 Skins +128 passing yards, +10 passing TD1999 Rams +1199 passing yards, + 30 passing TD2006 Lions +1187 passing yards, +6 passing TD2008 49ers +1039 passing yards, +6 TDObviously the Bears totals were higher to start with than these other teams, so the impact of adding Martz will be less. But I still think he will up the Bears passing totlas not have them drop.

The Bears were at 3677 yds and 27 TDs last year, so as you say, they are starting a lot higher. I'm looking at my numbers and it seems that I have most of the WRs with relatively low YPC. I think this is where I can bump up the numbers to make more sense. This will add yards to Cutler without impacting attempts and comp%.

 

[Lehigh98]

 

[Unlucky]

2) Absolutely agree with you on Hightower being undervalued....but that said, your numbers (more rushing TD than Wells with a lot fewer yards) would suggest he will be the goal line back......and nothing Whisenhunt has done/said would suggest that. I think both AZ running backs will have value (and your projections of Leinart being good enough to hold the job all year and be effective are in agreement with that).

The RBBC in ARZ is really hard to predict. At this point, all that matters to me is that Wells is getting drafted way too high, and Hightower way too low.

The problem with Hightower is he will never be a guy i will want to be plugging in my starting lineup, especially in non-ppr leagues. I would rather spend my 9th/10th round pick on a backup(or starting) QB, or my #3/4 WR. Those players have a much better chance of seeing my starting lineup than Hightower. Wells has been going in the 3rd/4th round, but at least he has the potential to be a top 15 back. I dont see anyway a team can win a champiobship if they have to start Hightower in more than a game or two.

What about starting Hightower vs. SEA and STL? That's 3 starts right there. (SF game week 17) OAK week 3, SDG week 4, TAM week 8, KAN week 11, DEN week 14, and maybe CAR week 15. If ARZ really runs a ton like I think the will, Hightower is startable in 7 to 9 games at least, even if Wells gets more of the carries.

 

[Air Stich]

2) Absolutely agree with you on Hightower being undervalued....but that said, your numbers (more rushing TD than Wells with a lot fewer yards) would suggest he will be the goal line back......and nothing Whisenhunt has done/said would suggest that. I think both AZ running backs will have value (and your projections of Leinart being good enough to hold the job all year and be effective are in agreement with that).

The RBBC in ARZ is really hard to predict. At this point, all that matters to me is that Wells is getting drafted way too high, and Hightower way too low.

The problem with Hightower is he will never be a guy i will want to be plugging in my starting lineup, especially in non-ppr leagues. I would rather spend my 9th/10th round pick on a backup(or starting) QB, or my #3/4 WR. Those players have a much better chance of seeing my starting lineup than Hightower. Wells has been going in the 3rd/4th round, but at least he has the potential to be a top 15 back. I dont see anyway a team can win a champiobship if they have to start Hightower in more than a game or two.

What about starting Hightower vs. SEA and STL? That's 3 starts right there. (SF game week 17) OAK week 3, SDG week 4, TAM week 8, KAN week 11, DEN week 14, and maybe CAR week 15. If ARZ really runs a ton like I think the will, Hightower is startable in 7 to 9 games at least, even if Wells gets more of the carries.

You're starting to convince me that Wells might be worth a 3rd or 4th round pick when compared to some of the other guys available. With a butter soft schedule, he could be a beast if he can outperform Hightower enough to earn the lions share of the carries. Arizona will give carries to both players, but I think Wells is going to do more with his touches. I've owned Hightower in each of the last 2 years and came away very unimpressed with his talent. Even his goal line prowess was underwhelming compared to 2008. Checking the stats, Hightower averaged 9 carries per game last year . . . that sounds about right to me. My biggest question is, will Beanie be good enough to lift the entire Arizona rusing offense enough to be effecitve despite Hightowers 9 carries per game. He needs 20 total touches per game minimum to justify his current ADP.

 

[Captain Hook]

2) Absolutely agree with you on Hightower being undervalued....but that said, your numbers (more rushing TD than Wells with a lot fewer yards) would suggest he will be the goal line back......and nothing Whisenhunt has done/said would suggest that. I think both AZ running backs will have value (and your projections of Leinart being good enough to hold the job all year and be effective are in agreement with that).

The RBBC in ARZ is really hard to predict. At this point, all that matters to me is that Wells is getting drafted way too high, and Hightower way too low.

The problem with Hightower is he will never be a guy i will want to be plugging in my starting lineup, especially in non-ppr leagues. I would rather spend my 9th/10th round pick on a backup(or starting) QB, or my #3/4 WR. Those players have a much better chance of seeing my starting lineup than Hightower.

Wells has been going in the 3rd/4th round, but at least he has the potential to be a top 15 back. I dont see anyway a team can win a champiobship if they have to start Hightower in more than a game or two.

What about starting Hightower vs. SEA and STL? That's 3 starts right there. (SF game week 17) OAK week 3, SDG week 4, TAM week 8, KAN week 11, DEN week 14, and maybe CAR week 15. If ARZ really runs a ton like I think the will, Hightower is startable in 7 to 9 games at least, even if Wells gets more of the carries.

You're starting to convince me that Wells might be worth a 3rd or 4th round pick when compared to some of the other guys available. With a butter soft schedule, he could be a beast if he can outperform Hightower enough to earn the lions share of the carries. Arizona will give carries to both players, but I think Wells is going to do more with his touches. I've owned Hightower in each of the last 2 years and came away very unimpressed with his talent. Even his goal line prowess was underwhelming compared to 2008. Checking the stats, Hightower averaged 9 carries per game last year . . . that sounds about right to me. My biggest question is, will Beanie be good enough to lift the entire Arizona rusing offense enough to be effecitve despite Hightowers 9 carries per game. He needs 20 total touches per game minimum to justify his current ADP.

Wells being good enough is not the issue - he is BUT will Leinart be good enough to allow the Cardinals to run that much........AND will Wells improve his pass blocking and blitz pickups enough to keep Hightower on the sidelines on at least some third down plays.

 

[Go deep]

2) Absolutely agree with you on Hightower being undervalued....but that said, your numbers (more rushing TD than Wells with a lot fewer yards) would suggest he will be the goal line back......and nothing Whisenhunt has done/said would suggest that. I think both AZ running backs will have value (and your projections of Leinart being good enough to hold the job all year and be effective are in agreement with that).

The RBBC in ARZ is really hard to predict. At this point, all that matters to me is that Wells is getting drafted way too high, and Hightower way too low.

The problem with Hightower is he will never be a guy i will want to be plugging in my starting lineup, especially in non-ppr leagues. I would rather spend my 9th/10th round pick on a backup(or starting) QB, or my #3/4 WR. Those players have a much better chance of seeing my starting lineup than Hightower. Wells has been going in the 3rd/4th round, but at least he has the potential to be a top 15 back. I dont see anyway a team can win a champiobship if they have to start Hightower in more than a game or two.

What about starting Hightower vs. SEA and STL? That's 3 starts right there. (SF game week 17) OAK week 3, SDG week 4, TAM week 8, KAN week 11, DEN week 14, and maybe CAR week 15. If ARZ really runs a ton like I think the will, Hightower is startable in 7 to 9 games at least, even if Wells gets more of the carries.

Im not saying Hightower is not startable, i just think you wont find to many championship teams that used Hightower as their starting RB. He is a pretty decent pass catcher, and has had some success near the goalline, but Hightower is terrible at running the ball. Wells is clearly the superior runner, and with Leinart at the helm, i cant see the Cardinals using an inferior runner(being that they already have an inferior passer).As far as those juicy matchups against the Seahawks and Rams, this isnt last years Cardinals. I dont think the Cardinals will be protecting many leads against anyone this year. For me, it all boils down to talent, and Wells is just a much better runner than Hightower. I cant find a good reason why the Cardinals would use Hightower for anything more than to give Wells a breather, and maybe some 3rd down work.Good job on the rankings though!!

 

[nysportsfan]

I find it laughable how everyone has jumped on this Ryan Matthews bandwagon and I bet 90% of people have never seen him

Oh, the irony.

 

[Hooper31]

As far as those juicy matchups against the Seahawks and Rams, ...

If anything, Seattle will stop the run this season. The problem for the Seahawks will be generating a pass rush. They will be running a base 4-3 starting 3 DTs up front (330lb DT Red Bryant is now the starting LDE). No pass rush means Seattle will get torched through the air, not run over on the ground.

 

[redBourne]

2) Absolutely agree with you on Hightower being undervalued....but that said, your numbers (more rushing TD than Wells with a lot fewer yards) would suggest he will be the goal line back......and nothing Whisenhunt has done/said would suggest that. I think both AZ running backs will have value (and your projections of Leinart being good enough to hold the job all year and be effective are in agreement with that).

The RBBC in ARZ is really hard to predict. At this point, all that matters to me is that Wells is getting drafted way too high, and Hightower way too low.

The problem with Hightower is he will never be a guy i will want to be plugging in my starting lineup, especially in non-ppr leagues. I would rather spend my 9th/10th round pick on a backup(or starting) QB, or my #3/4 WR. Those players have a much better chance of seeing my starting lineup than Hightower. Wells has been going in the 3rd/4th round, but at least he has the potential to be a top 15 back. I dont see anyway a team can win a champiobship if they have to start Hightower in more than a game or two.

What about starting Hightower vs. SEA and STL? That's 3 starts right there. (SF game week 17) OAK week 3, SDG week 4, TAM week 8, KAN week 11, DEN week 14, and maybe CAR week 15. If ARZ really runs a ton like I think the will, Hightower is startable in 7 to 9 games at least, even if Wells gets more of the carries.

Im not saying Hightower is not startable, i just think you wont find to many championship teams that used Hightower as their starting RB. He is a pretty decent pass catcher, and has had some success near the goalline, but Hightower is terrible at running the ball. Wells is clearly the superior runner, and with Leinart at the helm, i cant see the Cardinals using an inferior runner(being that they already have an inferior passer).As far as those juicy matchups against the Seahawks and Rams, this isnt last years Cardinals. I dont think the Cardinals will be protecting many leads against anyone this year. For me, it all boils down to talent, and Wells is just a much better runner than Hightower. I cant find a good reason why the Cardinals would use Hightower for anything more than to give Wells a breather, and maybe some 3rd down work.Good job on the rankings though!!

I think the cardinals will run more often then last year percentage wise, but their QB won't be able to do as much when given the opportunity. Which means more 3 and outs, more drives ending in punts, and less opportunities to rush for each back.

 

[moleculo]

love the projections - obviously takes a lot of time.

How often do you update, and will you be updating through out the pre-season?

 

[Unlucky]

Updated today. A lot of changes now that we've seen a couple weeks of pre-season.

Some of the guys I've been moving:

ARZ: Leinart and Fitz downgraded, although for now, I do list Leinart as the starter. Not that I'll be drafting any ARZ QBs this year.

BUF: Spiller shooting up my board. He's the #1 guy, he's got great moves, and if Fred Jackson can put up some good rushing numbers, Spiller can do better. Don't underestimate Chan Gailey taking over for **** Jauron. Jauron is a D guy only, and Gailey does wonders on offense.

CHI: Upgraded Forte a little bit. Upgraded Knox a bit from the last set of rankings. This moves Cutler up some. I'm still a little leary of this team, however.

CIN: Owens moving up - he's still got enough left to be productive.

DEN: Gaffney and Royal are the clear top 2 WRs, but I'm still not fond of this offense on the whole. Still think Moreno is overrated.

DET: Best has moved up, and I've bumped Megatron's numbers a little bit. Stafford definitely looks for him near the goal line.

HOU: Arian Foster is the #1 RB here, and I don't think Slaton poses much risk. I'm not as high on Jacoby Jones as some people, and I don't think Walter is done.

IND: Increased Gonzalez at the expense of Collie. They are similar to me and will split up the scraps. I moved Addai up as he's been looking good. We'll see about this recent concussion.

JAC: I still seem to have Sims-Walker ahead of most people. He basically played 14 games last year. I know he faded down the stretch, but I'm not projecting that big of a season.

KC: Bumped Thomas Jones, only because the coaches seem stupid enough to feed him the ball instead of Charles. Chambers is also underrated, IMO, while Bowe is getting too much love. Cassel isn't a good QB.

MIA: Bumped Ronnie Brown as he seems 100% for now. All WRs benefit a little from Camarillo's departure as there is no #4 WR there now.

MIN: I posted 2 weeks ago that I wouldn't touch Sidney Rice. Now we all know why. Berrian is the biggest benefactor.

NE: I guess I'm picking Fred Taylor to be the #1 RB for now. Really still a crapshoot. Bumped Welker as he's surprised me by playing already in the pre-season. Also bumped both rookie TEs. Both will be factors this year.

NO: I am really loving Reggie Bush this year. Still great value in drafts, although he's creeping into round 5 in a lot of drafts. He's probably worth a round 3 pick. Bumped Shockey as well - if he's healthy, he's still good and he'll get a lot of looks.

NYG: Closed the gap between Bradshaw and Jacobs. This split might be tough to figure out or just too even to make either worth a lot FF wise.

OAK: My new favorite underrated WR: Louis Murphy. This is the guy to get in your draft. He's the #1 WR, has a real QB finally, and he's good. To put up 34/521/4 as a rookie with crap QBs - that's good. Last year's WR class might be the deepest we've ever seen, so don't read too much into the fact he was a 4th round pick. In PPR, I have Murphy at #23, but he's being drafted WAY later than that. I also bumped Michael Bush as he's the #1 RB.

PHI: I've tempered my Maclin expectations a little bit. DeSean is still the #1 guy there, and Celek will get his looks, too. I'm still down on McCoy.

PIT: Only real change is putting Isaac Redman in as the short yardage/goal line back. I just feel like he'll get that job. This hurts Mendenhall, obviously.

SD: Now projecting just 6 games for Vincent Jackson. Floyd and Naanee get the boost from his absence. Still love Ryan Mathews.

SEA: Now giving the starting job to Leon Washington. He's Forsett-like, only better. Branch seems to still be a starter at WR, so I bumped his numbers some. I do worry about this offense on the whole, still.

SF: I've come around on Crabtree. Moved him up a bit. He's so talented, and should be awesome this year.

STL: This team is going to be really bad. Losing Avery won't help.

TB: Just ignore this team. It will make your FF season better.

TEN: Lowered my numbers on Chris Johnson, but I still think he could set all sorts of records this year. Clear #1 FF player, IMO and I've been willing to pay a lot to get him in a couple of auctions.

WAS: No real changes, but I have been higher on McNabb, Portis, and Moss than most all along.

 

[texasheat]

Matthews is Undervalued? wow

 

[Unlucky]

Matthews is Undervalued? wow

Yep. As long as I keep seeing people take Turner, SJax, even Mendenhall, and sometimes Grant ahead of him, I'll continue to say he's undervalued.

 

[OnThInIcE911]

I would take all of those guys in a heartbeat over Mathews.

I'm not saying they are all a lock to outproduce him but Mathews average production and maximum production is lower than all of those players you mentioned.

I do like that you predict for 16 games played. Predicting injuries is completely useless.

 

[Ace08]

Thanks for posting this unlucky....obvious you put alot of time into it.

I agree with alot of it...but there are some absolutely perplexing ones as well.

-You have at least 5 or 6 TE's rated ahead of Finley. I'd almost be willing to bet money against that happening

-Why the extreme love for Austin? I think he's obviously top 10 but alot closer to 10 than 1. He's on an offense with ALOT of weapons, a brand new highly drafted toy (Bryant), and an O-Line with ALOT of question marks.

-Why Leon Washington so high? I too think he'll be the starter there but you've got him rated over guys like Best, Foster, and Bradshaw.

Not saying any of these are impossible because anyone who's played FF long enough knows crazy stuff happens...but would like to hear your thought process as it relates to these.

 

[Unlucky]

Thanks for posting this unlucky....obvious you put alot of time into it.I agree with alot of it...but there are some absolutely perplexing ones as well.-You have at least 5 or 6 TE's rated ahead of Finley. I'd almost be willing to bet money against that happening-Why the extreme love for Austin? I think he's obviously top 10 but alot closer to 10 than 1. He's on an offense with ALOT of weapons, a brand new highly drafted toy (Bryant), and an O-Line with ALOT of question marks.-Why Leon Washington so high? I too think he'll be the starter there but you've got him rated over guys like Best, Foster, and Bradshaw.Not saying any of these are impossible because anyone who's played FF long enough knows crazy stuff happens...but would like to hear your thought process as it relates to these.

You wonder why I have Finley low, then question Austin because there are too many weapons? As if there aren't other weapons in Green Bay? I guess I have the Packers spreading the ball around a bit more. In Dallas, I don't see the other weapons as real TD threats. Witten doesn't get a lot. Bryant and Roy Williams should get 5 or 6 each. I see Austin as the clear TD threat there, both long and short. I didn't even realize I had Washington that high until you mentioned it. I just plugged in Seattle numbers and that's where he comes out. He's a pretty explosive RB and I'm now leaning towards him getting the majority of the touches at RB in SEA. He catches the ball well and can score from anywhere on the field. 1450 total yards and 9 TDs isn't outrageous, but certain possible if he's the #1 guy there all season.

 

[John555]

Great job. Probably won't be 20 1000 yard Rushers though. And I think Best is a top 10 back this year with a few more TD's and more recieving yards.

 

[Phil McRevis]

Phil really likes these projections. Thanks for the hard work.

 

[Devo]

Updated today. A lot of changes now that we've seen a couple weeks of pre-season. Some of the guys I've been moving:ARZ: Leinart and Fitz downgraded, although for now, I do list Leinart as the starter. Not that I'll be drafting any ARZ QBs this year.BUF: Spiller shooting up my board. He's the #1 guy, he's got great moves, and if Fred Jackson can put up some good rushing numbers, Spiller can do better. Don't underestimate Chan Gailey taking over for **** Jauron. Jauron is a D guy only, and Gailey does wonders on offense. CHI: Upgraded Forte a little bit. Upgraded Knox a bit from the last set of rankings. This moves Cutler up some. I'm still a little leary of this team, however. CIN: Owens moving up - he's still got enough left to be productive.DEN: Gaffney and Royal are the clear top 2 WRs, but I'm still not fond of this offense on the whole. Still think Moreno is overrated.DET: Best has moved up, and I've bumped Megatron's numbers a little bit. Stafford definitely looks for him near the goal line. HOU: Arian Foster is the #1 RB here, and I don't think Slaton poses much risk. I'm not as high on Jacoby Jones as some people, and I don't think Walter is done. IND: Increased Gonzalez at the expense of Collie. They are similar to me and will split up the scraps. I moved Addai up as he's been looking good. We'll see about this recent concussion. JAC: I still seem to have Sims-Walker ahead of most people. He basically played 14 games last year. I know he faded down the stretch, but I'm not projecting that big of a season. KC: Bumped Thomas Jones, only because the coaches seem stupid enough to feed him the ball instead of Charles. Chambers is also underrated, IMO, while Bowe is getting too much love. Cassel isn't a good QB.MIA: Bumped Ronnie Brown as he seems 100% for now. All WRs benefit a little from Camarillo's departure as there is no #4 WR there now. MIN: I posted 2 weeks ago that I wouldn't touch Sidney Rice. Now we all know why. Berrian is the biggest benefactor. NE: I guess I'm picking Fred Taylor to be the #1 RB for now. Really still a crapshoot. Bumped Welker as he's surprised me by playing already in the pre-season. Also bumped both rookie TEs. Both will be factors this year.NO: I am really loving Reggie Bush this year. Still great value in drafts, although he's creeping into round 5 in a lot of drafts. He's probably worth a round 3 pick. Bumped Shockey as well - if he's healthy, he's still good and he'll get a lot of looks.NYG: Closed the gap between Bradshaw and Jacobs. This split might be tough to figure out or just too even to make either worth a lot FF wise. OAK: My new favorite underrated WR: Louis Murphy. This is the guy to get in your draft. He's the #1 WR, has a real QB finally, and he's good. To put up 34/521/4 as a rookie with crap QBs - that's good. Last year's WR class might be the deepest we've ever seen, so don't read too much into the fact he was a 4th round pick. In PPR, I have Murphy at #23, but he's being drafted WAY later than that. I also bumped Michael Bush as he's the #1 RB. PHI: I've tempered my Maclin expectations a little bit. DeSean is still the #1 guy there, and Celek will get his looks, too. I'm still down on McCoy. PIT: Only real change is putting Isaac Redman in as the short yardage/goal line back. I just feel like he'll get that job. This hurts Mendenhall, obviously. SD: Now projecting just 6 games for Vincent Jackson. Floyd and Naanee get the boost from his absence. Still love Ryan Mathews. SEA: Now giving the starting job to Leon Washington. He's Forsett-like, only better. Branch seems to still be a starter at WR, so I bumped his numbers some. I do worry about this offense on the whole, still. SF: I've come around on Crabtree. Moved him up a bit. He's so talented, and should be awesome this year. STL: This team is going to be really bad. Losing Avery won't help.TB: Just ignore this team. It will make your FF season better. TEN: Lowered my numbers on Chris Johnson, but I still think he could set all sorts of records this year. Clear #1 FF player, IMO and I've been willing to pay a lot to get him in a couple of auctions. WAS: No real changes, but I have been higher on McNabb, Portis, and Moss than most all along.

Unlucky - I have been lurking on this board for a while and have always respected your posts. Appreciate your well-thought out rankings. However, do you have a general top 100/200 at your site? I have the 10-11 spot in a 10 man draft this weekend. Not thrilled with the backs at that position and was thinking of grabbing WR WR or WR QB at the turn and crossing my fingers for RBs in the 3rd and 4th round (Best, P. Thomas, A. Foster, Addai). Just wondering if I should really be thinking about someone like Matthews over one of the top 3 QBs or WRs. Thanks.

 

[AB in DC]

Meant to mention this before, but you have Brady at only 7.2 YPA, which is extremely low compared to prior years. In his last five full seasons, he has only been below 7.8 once, and that was in 2006 when his top receivers were Reche Caldwell and Jabar Gaffney.

 

[andrew11]

15 TD's for Mathews??

Never.

 

[humpback]

Any reason why you're projecting so many more RBs to have good seasons? You have 13 RB's projected to score over 200 points and 33 scoring over 150- last season there were 8 and 22.

 

[moderated]

Any reason why you're projecting so many more RBs to have good seasons? You have 13 RB's projected to score over 200 points and 33 scoring over 150- last season there were 8 and 22.

He projects for 16 games, which is how it should be done. If a guy only plays 12 games, but his PPG was in line with unlucky's projections i think that projection is on the money even though the year end stats won't be as high due to the injury.Projecting for injuries is a foolish exercise and projections should be judged on PPG when assessing accuracy of them at the end of the season.

 

[Unlucky]

Final projections posted.

Guys I'm banking on this year to outperform what most expect:

Kevin Kolb & McNabb (a little bit)

CJ Spiller (BIG!)

Reggie Bush

Miles Austin (#1 WR - Don't let me down!)

Louis Murphy (most underrated WR)

Now that the season is here, I feel like most projections have come into line with each other a bit. We've all seen the pre-season, we all know how the position battles have sorted out.

 

[Dazed and Confused]

Too low for Stafford, LT, Finley and Fitzgerald and WAY too low for TB Williams.

 

[tommyGunZ]

As usual, great stuff Unlucky.

Hope the Ryan Mathews love comes to fruition!

 

[Unlucky]

Too low for Stafford, LT, Finley and Fitzgerald and WAY too low for TB Williams.

Agreed that Stafford, Finley, and Williams have much higher ceilings. LT? Toast. Fitzgerald - I'm skeptical - Warner was WAY better than Derek Anderson, and that will make a difference.

 

[Don't Noonan]

Where do I see the scoring differences for PPR and Bonus on your site? I can't seem to find where to go. Thanks!

 

[H.K.]

Unlucky, you rule and this thread rules.

Interesting call on Vjax playing six games for SD, had to be a tough one.

Always love checking this out each year.

Thanks!

 

[Don't Noonan]

Where do I see the scoring differences for PPR and Bonus on your site? I can't seem to find where to go. Thanks!

Nevermind, I found it.

 

[Winky the tunnel ferret]

I think Anderson sucking more than Warner doesn't mean Fitz can't get comparable numbers.

 

[Unlucky]

I think Anderson sucking more than Warner doesn't mean Fitz can't get comparable numbers.

How does going from a QB with lifetime completion % of 65.5% (you read that right, lifetime career 65.5%) to 52.9% (again, that is actually Derek Anderson's career completion %) not hurt Fitzgerald?The Boldin departure is irrelevant. Maybe he freed up Fitz and kept some drives alive, thus more TD chances for Fitz? Maybe stole enough looks? It's a wash. When the QB can't get you the ball, your numbers are going to go down. When the offense on the whole sucks a lot more, you have fewer opportunities to produce. Fitzgerald isn't an elite fantasy WR this year, and it's obvious. Maybe still top 10, but a solid notch or two below the top guys.

 

[Raiderfan32904]

Unlucky....and btw, my commish at Phenoms...

I love your Murphy value pick. I'm with you in both my Phenoms leagues as LM is value of the year.

Great job! Great site!

Highly recommended.