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My Stock Value Strategy Starts Now (2 Viewers)
- Thread starter David Dodds
- Start date
David Dodds
Administrator
FEED is on the move. Now at 3.26. Not sure what I am going to do here. I wanted 3.40, but I like the prospect of selling and getting more EXM and oil too
David Dodds
Administrator
FEED now at 3.42. I have to sell don't I?
David Dodds
Administrator
I sold 5,000 shares at 3.43. I just want to lock in some of this this terrific gain. I still own 6,000 shares at an average price of 3.19.
David Dodds
Administrator
added 1,000 more EXM at 6.30
Jene Bramel
Footballguy
Did the same thing, David.
Took the profit from FEED at 3.40 and moved it to EXM at 6.30. Trying to decide whether to pull the FAZ profit off the table now, too. I don't think this is a one day thing, but the BDI and huge pull back on EXM smell like an over-reaction.
Took the profit from FEED at 3.40 and moved it to EXM at 6.30. Trying to decide whether to pull the FAZ profit off the table now, too. I don't think this is a one day thing, but the BDI and huge pull back on EXM smell like an over-reaction.
SecondCity34
Footballguy
In DXO @ 2.58
None_More_Black
Footballguy
200 Uso at 27.09. About the only thing I would want to gamble on here. Front month contracts expire on Wed.
David Dodds
Administrator
I am inches from selling the remaing 6,000 shares here too because I love oil and EXM at these levels. That's usually my criteria (Do I have a better place to put the money?). But something tells me that FEED is going to go up a lot in the next month (just a hunch)
Jene Bramel
Footballguy
Agreed on FEED. Just feel that EXM has a little more short term upside and think I can get back to FEED around 3.20-3.40 any time this week. Hard to know if this is a natural pullback for EXM from the runup while the BDI dropped or if this is one of many over-reactions we've seen over the past two weeks. I'm betting we see 6.75+ with EXM before 3.6-3.7 with FEED.We'll see.
ETA: Then again, FEED could go up .15/share at any second...like the 45 seconds it took to type the reply. 
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analog_hiss
Footballguy
analog_hiss said:
Oh well, that's what I get for playing it too safe.FEED looks like it will hit 3.50 by close, easy.
David Dodds
Administrator
I might have seller's remorse in a few minutes, but sold the remaining 6,000 shares of FEED at 3.49 (I entered that number figuring I would be ecstatic if it hit it since that's 30 cents a share)
Profit today on FEED:
5,000 shares at 3.43 (.24/share) = $1200
6,000 shares at 3.49 (.30/share) = $1800
less $30 commissions for a gain of $2970.
Profit today on FEED:
5,000 shares at 3.43 (.24/share) = $1200
6,000 shares at 3.49 (.30/share) = $1800
less $30 commissions for a gain of $2970.
David Dodds
Administrator
Revising this after the ridiculous FEED rally:
Year to Date Profit = $48,765
Today's Realized Gains/Losses: +2970 FEED
Holding these positions (unrealized gains/losses):
20,000 DXO @ 2.68 (Will sell at 2.90) - Currently at 2.61
2,000 UCO @ 7.51 (Will sell at 8.00) - Currently at 7.26
2,000 EXM @ 6.41 (Will sell at 7.15) - Currently at 6.36
Year to Date Profit = $48,765
Today's Realized Gains/Losses: +2970 FEED
Holding these positions (unrealized gains/losses):
20,000 DXO @ 2.68 (Will sell at 2.90) - Currently at 2.61
2,000 UCO @ 7.51 (Will sell at 8.00) - Currently at 7.26
2,000 EXM @ 6.41 (Will sell at 7.15) - Currently at 6.36
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David Dodds
Administrator
Huge opportunity today for people to have added shares cheaply. I am very pleased with my FEED profit, but I am somewhat saddened that I took such a huge position early on DXO/UCO. Had I not done that, even more money would have went to FEED and EXM which were huge bargains. FEED hit 2.98 today and it closed at 3.65. That's just insane on a day when virtually all normal stocks (non-shorts) were off. I am upside down on oil, but think $50 July oil is laughable. I can't imagine losing money on this although I may have to wait a bit since I did not time the bottom. EXM also was pushed way too low and I am liking my position here.
Tomorrow will be interesting if the whole market is down again.
Tomorrow will be interesting if the whole market is down again.
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bigfishboy
Footballguy
Waited for the end of day acceleration and picked up my second group of shares at 6.565. My average is now 7.34. If it hits $5 this week I will buy my last group. If it hits $8, I will look to sell.Goog luck to all FAS/FAZ owners!
David Dodds
Administrator
Longview of Oil
Nice Chart Here
I am not a huge technical guy, but I like the slow pull back in the current retreat (vice the steeper drops earlier) that this chart shows me. Economy is clearly not out of the woods yet, but I think we see $60 July oil very soon. If a conflict arises, it could hit $70+ by July. Oil might still go a little lower in the very short-term, but these levels seem like low risk investments with a lot more possible upside than downside.
Nice Chart Here
I am not a huge technical guy, but I like the slow pull back in the current retreat (vice the steeper drops earlier) that this chart shows me. Economy is clearly not out of the woods yet, but I think we see $60 July oil very soon. If a conflict arises, it could hit $70+ by July. Oil might still go a little lower in the very short-term, but these levels seem like low risk investments with a lot more possible upside than downside.
Jene Bramel
Footballguy
Couldn't get the "Press Your Luck" theme out of my head after 3:30 and sold FAZ at 3:55. Might be well above 12 tomorrow morning, but I decided not to be a
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David Dodds
Administrator
EXM After Hours: 6.72 +0.22 (3.37%) - Apr 20, 4:18PM EDT
Let's hope it holds.
Let's hope it holds.
Let's hope. Wasn't a fan of seeing it slide, slide, slide all day. Almost bought another 500 shares in the $6.30's but decided I didn't want to get overweight.Of course, I've got a paper gain of $1,950 on FEED today, I should not be complaining.
LHUCKS
Footballguy
FAZ up 30% on the day. I scored HUGE today....I'm gonna holdout for more...at least until 15.0. The more analysts learn about the Banks, the more they're not going to like. It's gonna get ugly and I plan to profit from it...gotta love being able to short the market!!
Anybody else holding for more huge gains or are you getting out now?
Congrats. Still holding 200 or 300 shares and bought some FAS after the drop as insurance. Hope you're right about $15.FAZ up 30% on the day. I scored HUGE today....I'm gonna holdout for more...at least until 15.0. The more analysts learn about the Banks, the more they're not going to like. It's gonna get ugly and I plan to profit from it...gotta love being able to short the market!!
LHUCKS
Footballguy
Well if the govt. is honest/transparent about the stress tests then we will exceed 20 easily IMHO...but if they play hide and seek or even sugarcoat it we may not see the explosive gains I was hoping for, although todays 30% wasn't bad.Congrats. Still holding 200 or 300 shares and bought some FAS after the drop as insurance. Hope you're right about $15.FAZ up 30% on the day. I scored HUGE today....I'm gonna holdout for more...at least until 15.0. The more analysts learn about the Banks, the more they're not going to like. It's gonna get ugly and I plan to profit from it...gotta love being able to short the market!!Anybody else holding for more huge gains or are you getting out now?
bigfishboy
Footballguy
Good job guys, I just don't have the stomach for playing the short side. I just need the safety of knowing that if if FAS goes down hard now that somewhere down the road it will get my money back. I'll just average down and hope for a spike.Well if the govt. is honest/transparent about the stress tests then we will exceed 20 easily IMHO...but if they play hide and seek or even sugarcoat it we may not see the explosive gains I was hoping for, although todays 30% wasn't bad.Congrats. Still holding 200 or 300 shares and bought some FAS after the drop as insurance. Hope you're right about $15.FAZ up 30% on the day. I scored HUGE today....I'm gonna holdout for more...at least until 15.0. The more analysts learn about the Banks, the more they're not going to like. It's gonna get ugly and I plan to profit from it...gotta love being able to short the market!!Anybody else holding for more huge gains or are you getting out now?
My sell order is at $13.16 and I'm in at $12.19. Am I being greedy here?I have to disagree with some of you on FAZ. I think we'll see some profit taking today and I don't think we're totally out of the woods yet on this "financial crisis". A lot of companies are reporting next week, including several smaller banks and GS on Tuesday. I agree that we will probably never see FAZ at $20 again, but it wouldn't surprise me if we hit $15 again....for a few hours.
Jene Bramel
Footballguy
Oops.Couldn't get the "Press Your Luck" theme out of my head after 3:30 and sold FAZ at 3:55. Might be well above 12 tomorrow morning, but I decided not to be a
David Dodds
Administrator
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DD - I feel odd offering advice to someone who's crushed the market this year but here goes. You often provide detailed analysis when you first take a position and then later get away from this analysis. For instance with dry shipping you made the case why it was undervalued. Later you seconded guessed yourself because things were slow to come and got out just prior to the gains coming you predicted came to fruition. With oil you made a great case about why DXO was a strong play even though oil was overpriced. You talked about shorting after the roll overs occurred last week. My suggestion would be to re-read your initial posts about why you took a position and give them a little more weight before you change a strategy. Your initial calls always seem to be spot on.
KGB
Footballguy
its already up there in premarketMy sell order is at $13.16 and I'm in at $12.19. Am I being greedy here?I have to disagree with some of you on FAZ. I think we'll see some profit taking today and I don't think we're totally out of the woods yet on this "financial crisis". A lot of companies are reporting next week, including several smaller banks and GS on Tuesday. I agree that we will probably never see FAZ at $20 again, but it wouldn't surprise me if we hit $15 again....for a few hours.
Yeah, I see that.....thinking of changing my sell order to $13.30 and then not looking at it again.its already up there in premarketMy sell order is at $13.16 and I'm in at $12.19. Am I being greedy here?I have to disagree with some of you on FAZ. I think we'll see some profit taking today and I don't think we're totally out of the woods yet on this "financial crisis". A lot of companies are reporting next week, including several smaller banks and GS on Tuesday. I agree that we will probably never see FAZ at $20 again, but it wouldn't surprise me if we hit $15 again....for a few hours.
David Dodds
Administrator
Good thing about oil is that will rebound. But you are right that we may have to hold this longer than I had hoped. I am upset that I another 10,000 shares yesterday after my initial buy. I am going to add even more to this and my EXM position today.
David Dodds
Administrator
BDI up again:
Baltic Supramax 1,308 (+2.27%)
Baltic Handysize 661 (+1.54%)
Baltic Dry 1,797 (+3.45%)
Baltic Capesize 2,393 (+4.73%)
Baltic Panamax 1,666 (+3.35%)
Baltic Supramax 1,308 (+2.27%)
Baltic Handysize 661 (+1.54%)
Baltic Dry 1,797 (+3.45%)
Baltic Capesize 2,393 (+4.73%)
Baltic Panamax 1,666 (+3.35%)
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David Dodds
Administrator
added 2,000 shares of EXM at 6.24 (seemed like I got screwed at the time as I ordered via market order and the price was 6.17, but I see this is moving fast this morning)
I'll say, already at $6.66
The Ref
Footballguy
Just came here to post this.... Kicking myself for not jumping in at 3.50.I just saw FEED trip the $4.00 mark.
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David Dodds
Administrator
added another 10,000 DXO at 2.47.....Not sure how I feel about doing this. I know it will rebound, but I may need to hold for a bit of time. Average of 30,000 shares is now @ 2.61
analog_hiss
Footballguy
Kicking myself for setting a loss order of 3.05.Just came here to post this.... Kicking myself for not jumping in at 3.50.I just saw FEED trip the $4.00 mark.
The Ref
Footballguy
Bought in a small posistion of 500 at 3.89. I think this will be a long term China Play and wont mind if I buy more if this slides back to 3.20. I have been puting off jumping in and couldn't handle it if this thing moves to $12 by the end of the year.Kicking myself for setting a loss order of 3.05.Just came here to post this.... Kicking myself for not jumping in at 3.50.I just saw FEED trip the $4.00 mark.
David Dodds
Administrator
Bought 2,000 SBLK at $2.84
David Dodds
Administrator
sold 4,000 shares of EXM at 6.95 (lowered my target after getting 2,000 more shares cheap today). - Profit = 4,000 x .62/share = $2,456
Have a sell for SBLK at 3.00
Have a sell for SBLK at 3.00
David Dodds
Administrator
oil is fighting so hard to come back. DXO up to 2.57 which is still off what my average cost is (2.61), but looks a lot better than the 2.42 in pre-market activity. I will diversify and sell 10,000 shares at 2.61 if it gets there
Just updating. These options expired in the money so I did hit that 14% return.
David Dodds
Administrator
Oil is on the move. DXO now at 2.61 (my average cost).
David Dodds
Administrator
David Dodds
Administrator
sold 2,000 SBLK @3.00 for a profit of 320 - 12 = $308
SecondCity34
Footballguy
In on FAZ @ 10.30
David Dodds
Administrator
It's funny you posted this because I just put in a 5,000 share buy at 1.35 if it executes
FavreCo
Footballguy
Are ya scared yet?I bet eoMMan is.
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