Wish i could say the spurs had a shot tonight, or that it was even going to be a close game.
But i've seen this scenario play out so many times over the years in a variety of sports.
Home teams don't lose game 7's very often. Road teams that should've won game 6 and lose in somewhat heartbreaking fashion almost NEVER win game 7.
More often the road team comes out extremely flat having used up all their energy and emotion trying to win game 6.
Heat by 10, but it will be one of those games where the score doesn't indicate how much of a lock it was because the spurs never threatened in the second half..
I don't understand why people are acting like this happens all the time. Not just Dentist, but the media are also acting like we have some sort of historical reference here.
This is only the 5th Game 7 since they switched the format of the Finals to go 2-3-2:
In 2010 the Lakers won game 6 by 22 at home.
In 2005 the road team (Pistons) won Game 6 before losing in San Antonio in Game 7.
In 1994 the road team (Knicks) did lose a heartbreaking Game 6 to the Rockets, but they didn't get come out flat at all. It was a two point game at the half and a three point game in the third quarter.
In 1988 we had another road team (Pistons) losing in heartbreaking fashion, but they also didn't come out flat in Game 7. Led after the first quarter, one point deficit at halftime, got blown out in the third but fought back to lose by only 3.
That's it- the whole history of seven game series in this format.* Only two teams in a situation remotely comparable to the Spurs', and both fought like hell in Game 7.
Sure the home team wins most of the time. That's because the home team: (1) is usually the better team, since they have home court by virtue of having the better record; and (2) is at home, which is an advantage in mid-December weekday games just like it's an advantage in Game 7 of the Finals. The team with the better record, playing at home, is gonna win most of the time regardless of the stakes.
*Only five Game 7s in almost 30 years- so much the the Stern conspiracy theorists.