Scoresman
Footballguy
Look at how kenpom and sagarin do their rankings to start.What other criteria do you want to include?
Look at how kenpom and sagarin do their rankings to start.What other criteria do you want to include?
Why have you mentioned RPI twice? I'm not quoting it nor am I using it as a justification? I'm using common sense. St Mary's beat two teams that are in the tournament. One is Bakersfield. The other is Gonzaga, who is only in the tournament because they beat St Mary's and had to be selected.RPI is known to be a terrible measurement. The various factors that go into these ratings systems are always going to be better than "LULZ, who did they beat" as your only measurement.
I'm not saying to ignore quality wins. It's an important part of the equation obviously. I'm just saying its not the only indicator of success.Why have you mentioned RPI twice? I'm not quoting it nor am I using it as a justification? I'm using common sense. St Mary's beat two teams that are in the tournament. One is Bakersfield. The other is Gonzaga, who is only in the tournament because they beat St Mary's and had to be selected.
You can LULZ or whatever other nonsense you want but St Mary's resume is horrible compared to anyone else on the bubble. Yeah, let's ignore the criteria of who did they beat. That's not important because they racked up wins against terrible teams. Great measurement, guy. When are you giving us your formula bracket or whatever that turd you create is?
You mean the SEC football handbook?St. Mary's was probably the biggest screwjob by the numbers, but I'm glad they're not in because they game the system in their own way by scheduling a cupcake non-conference schedule and then hanging their NCAA hopes on beating Gonzaga. They beat them 2/3 times this year and still didnt get in.![]()
Those 4 wins were against Top 25 teams, so calling them top 100 is BS, Furthermore, Michigan had 15 games against top 50 teams, St. Bon had five. Michigan had 10 games which were far tougher than St. Bon';s. Any RPI which had St. Bon ahead of Michigan, was severely flawedThey still only won 4 top 100 games. 25% of them. There may not have been any "bad" losses but they racked up a lot of losses.
The best road win was Nebraska. Before Friday the best neutral win was Texas when they sucked. This team is mediocre and belongs in the NIT. Not the worst addition to the field somehow though.You realize every loss Michigan had was to a tournament team outside of SMU (a top 20 team with a perfect record before the ban) and OSU on the road. Really not a single bad loss. St. Bon had three losses outside the Top 100, Michigan had Zero.
Not ignorant at all. Gonzaga shouldve absolutely got an at large if they were in that situation. I'm sure the usual suspects would've #####ed though.If St. Mary's won the WCC and Gonzaga got an "at large" nobody would say 'boo'. Imh(and ignorant)o.
Basically Michigan gets in over them because they are in the Big Ten. Despite three times as many opportunities against Top 50 wins, they still only won the same number of games.Those 4 wins were against Top 25 teams, so calling them top 100 is BS, Furthermore, Michigan had 15 games against top 50 teams, St. Bon had five. Michigan had 10 games which were far tougher than St. Bon';s. Any RPI which had St. Bon ahead of Michigan, was severely flawed
Johnny JonesI am not saying they are good. It is a waste of time to be in the NCAA, because like every play in team they will get bounced. But they certainly deserved to be in the tourney as a 10th or 11th seed. If St. Bon is the best case against Michigan to not be in the tourney, there really is no case.The best road win was Nebraska. Before Friday the best neutral win was Texas when they sucked. This team is mediocre and belongs in the NIT. Not the worst addition to the field somehow though.
And smaller schools have a lot more opportunities to lose to bad teams.Sure seems to me that the committee put a lot of stock in record vs. sub-150 (or 200) teams, based on what Castiglione said about excluding Monmouth.
Because one of the only things Tulsa had over St. Bonaventure was a 12-0 record vs. sub-150 teams, whereas Bonnie lost to Duquesne and La Salle.
So they don't care who you beat, just don't lose to anyone bad.
I'm reading and trying to comprehend your St Mary's nonsense. You keep rattling off eye chart stat formulas. Why was St Mary's screwed? What did they do to deserve being left out and who got in that shouldn't have gotten in over them? Don't give me BPI numbers, sagarin numbers, RPI or whatever other cherry picked ranking you come up with. Give me something meaningful.I'm not saying to ignore quality wins. It's an important part of the equation obviously. I'm just saying its not the only indicator of success.
Read and comprehend posts before replying. Dont be so angry.
I watched more Michigan than Bonnie this year, but from what I saw in the 4 games I watched it isn't close. The eye test matches their resume. Michigan isn't good. Bonnie might be.I am not saying they are good. It is a waste of time to be in the NCAA, because like every play in team they will get bounced. But they certainly deserved to be in the tourney as a 10th or 11th seed. If St. Bon is the best case against Michigan to not be in the tourney, there really is no case.
It is tougher to get up for big games when every other game is a big game against a top 50 team. St. Bon played mostly cupcakes and lost to three of them. Even Michigan's wins against the lower Big 10 teams like Northwestern, Nebraska, and Penn State were more impressive than teams St. Bon played mostly.Basically Michigan gets in over them because they are in the Big Ten. Despite three times as many opportunities against Top 50 wins, they still only won the same number of games.
sorry, but I will use those measures since they're proven to be the best indicators of tournament success. If you don't believe that I really don't care. Do some googling or something.I'm reading and trying to comprehend your St Mary's nonsense. You keep rattling off eye chart stat formulas. Why was St Mary's screwed? What did they do to deserve being left out and who got in that shouldn't have gotten in over them? Don't give me BPI numbers, sagarin numbers, RPI or whatever other cherry picked ranking you come up with. Give me something meaningful.
If not for those three losses to sub 100 teams, they would have been in. Even if they cut that down to 1 or even 2 losses to lowly teams, St. Bon might have been in. But three bad losses rightfully sank them. You have to be near perfect when you have an overall weak schedule.I watched more Michigan than Bonnie this year, but from what I saw in the 4 games I watched it isn't close. The eye test matches their resume. Michigan isn't good. Bonnie might be.
Michigan got in because they were in the Big Ten. Schools from those 6 power conferences will always have the SOS argument no matter how good, bad, or mediocre they are. There's nothing anyone can do about it either. Would Michigan play St Bonaventure in a home and home? Doubtful. What about Monmouth? No chance.It is tougher to get up for big games when every other game is a big game against a top 50 team. St. Bon played mostly cupcakes and lost to three of them. Even Michigan's wins against the lower Big 10 teams like Northwestern, Nebraska, and Penn State were more impressive than teams St. Bon played mostly.
Best indicators of tournament success? So you're ignoring the entire regular season and believe teams should be picked by a formula that predicts tournament success? Holy crapsorry, but I will use those measures since they're proven to be the best indicators of tournament success. If you don't believe that I really don't care. Do some googling or something.
Gary ParrishVerified accountThe reason the power conference packs teams in the tourney is because they almost always perform. Year in and year out conferences like the Big10 out perform their seating. It is not easy to have a winning record in those power conferences and it shows come tourney time because those are the teams best prepared.Michigan got in because they were in the Big Ten. Schools from those 6 power conferences will always have the SOS argument no matter how good, bad, or mediocre they are. There's nothing anyone can do about it either. Would Michigan play St Bonaventure in a home and home? Doubtful. What about Monmouth? No chance.
I'm not picking on Michigan. We can substitute Vandy, Syracuse, or even Pittsburgh and it's the same.
Those rankings are based on the entire regular season. What else would they be based on?Best indicators of tournament success? So you're ignoring the entire regular season and believe teams should be picked by a formula that predicts tournament success? Holy crap![]()
St Mary's resume is horrible man. Try to use your brain and look at it for 2 minutes.
The top teams in the power conferences always perform. The mediocre double digit loss power conferences don't always perform though. Michigan and Vandy shouldn't get in because Michigan St and Kentucky perform in the tournament.The reason the power conference packs teams in the tourney is because they almost always perform. Year in and year out conferences like the Big10 out perform their seating. It is not easy to have a winning record in those power conferences and it shows come tourney time because those are the teams best prepared.
Let's make this easy. What has St Mary's done on the court to prove they belong in the tournament? What teams were selected that St Mary's should they have been selected over?Those rankings are based on the entire regular season. What else would they be based on?
I know I said I don't care, and I really don't, but start here.Let's make this easy. What has St Mary's done on the court to prove they belong in the tournament? What teams were selected that St Mary's should they have been selected over?
Shoot, I may have to go all the way back to last year to disprove that. Michigan State last year was a 12 game loser with a 7th seed. Oh yeah, they just made it to the final four and lost to the national champions Duke.The top teams in the power conferences always perform. The mediocre double digit loss power conferences don't always perform though. Michigan and Vandy shouldn't get in because Michigan St and Kentucky perform in the tournament.
And it's not that hard to have a winning record with the huge conferences. Michigan got seven wins against really bad teams (NW, Minn, PSU, Rutgers, and Illinois). They went 3-8 against everyone else in the conference. The smaller conferences playing full round robin twice is where it's difficult to win more than you lose (See Big 12).
Great you found one. How many double digit losers lost in the first round though? My comment stands: Good power conf. teams perform because they are good. Mediocre ones don't (some do but so do teams like Mason, VCU, Butler, Gonzaga, or Davidson) perform.Shoot, I may have to go all the way back to last year to disprove that. Michigan State last year was a 12 game loser with a 7th seed. Oh yeah, they just made it to the final four and lost to the national champions Duke.
I know I said I don't care, and I really don't, but start here.
http://kenpom.com/blog/index.php/weblog/entry/ratings_glossary
I did not watch a lot of at Mary's games but I know St Mary's was one of the better scoring teams in the nation for a while which I'm sure plays into their ranking.
Again, I'm actually glad they're not in for other reasons, and I agree they basically played nobody so if the committee ignored the rankings in their case, fine by me.
Wow you really are bad at comprehending posts. Holy cow. I'm done.![]()
Christ you haven't watched them play. You have no idea who they have even played. You don't care that they've beaten nobody. But you're convinced they got screwed because of a computer formula. Good times. Enjoy the tournament man.
Oklahoma/CSU Bakersfield? What, is Rose of Sharon going to let Raftery drink out of her titty at halftime? #highbrow
The Big 10 conference and other power conferences almost always outpeform their seeding at every level. The computer rankings have helped stop some of the injustices in the past, but this was not one of them. St. Bon really needed to do a bit more and not lose to three cupcakes. They would have made it because their few wins against the big boys did demonstrate some potential. They just needed to dominate those weaker teams and they didn.t,Great you found one. How many double digit losers lost in the first round though? My comment stands: Good power conf. teams perform because they are good. Mediocre ones don't (some do but so do teams like Mason, VCU, Butler, Gonzaga, or Davidson) perform.
Call me crazy, but I think if a team has a good record vs. good teams that says a lot more than a couple bad losses.The Big 10 conference and other power conferences almost always outpeform their seeding at every level. The computer rankings have helped stop some of the injustices in the past, but this was not one of them. St. Bon really needed to do a bit more and not lose to three cupcakes. They would have made it because their few wins against the big boys did demonstrate some potential. They just needed to dominate those weaker teams and they didn.t,
So Michigan got in because St Bonaventure has worse losses? The goal posts move here as much as the committee does. The bottom line is the mediocre power conference teams always have the advantage because of the built in SOS of their conference. I'm sure CBS has a say because they want Michigan on TV too. It really has nothing to do with the schtick about playing tough OOC games and beating people away from home and all that other nonsense the committee uses in certain years. The mid majors and low majors have almost no shot.The Big 10 conference and other power conferences almost always outpeform their seeding at every level. The computer rankings have helped stop some of the injustices in the past, but this was not one of them. St. Bon really needed to do a bit more and not lose to three cupcakes. They would have made it because their few wins against the big boys did demonstrate some potential. They just needed to dominate those weaker teams and they didn.t,
How can every power conference almost always outperform their seeding level? When one team over performs, by default another under performs. Most of the time, both of those will involve power conference teams so it's a zero sum game. Then you add in the 4-13/5-12 upsets and the power conferences as a whole probably under perform.The Big 10 conference and other power conferences almost always outpeform their seeding at every level.
You have to weight the full season. Michigan's lone lost to a non touney team was at OSU. Michigan was 16-0 against sub 100 teams. Michigan did not have one game which showed they did not belong in the tourney. Losing to teams solidly in the touney and one road lose to a bubble team. St. Bon had three really bad loses. And Michigan had more good wins.Call me crazy, but I think if a team has a good record vs. good teams that says a lot more than a couple bad losses.
This team did a great job beating teams not good enough for the tourney and consistently losing to teams in it. That's NIT. It's NCAA because of more opportunities for good wins and less opportunities for bad losses. It's stupid, but - $.You have to weight the full season. Michigan's lone lost to a non touney team was at OSU. Michigan was 16-0 against sub 100 teams. Michigan did not have one game which showed they did not belong in the tourney. Losing to teams solidly in the touney and one road lose to a bubble team. St. Bon had three really bad loses. And Michigan had more good wins.
Michigan was 4-11 against tourney teams and 18-1 against non-tourney teams. Being one of the lowest teams to make the tourney seems about right. And those 11 loses were all seeds 7 or better.This team did a great job beating teams not good enough for the tourney and consistently losing to teams in it. That's NIT. It's NCAA because of more opportunities for good wins and less opportunities for bad losses. It's stupid, but - $.
Losing to a lot of tournament teams does not mean you are a tournament team.Michigan was 4-11 against tourney teams and 18-1 against non-tourney teams. Being one of the lowest teams to make the tourney seems about right. And those 11 loses were all seeds 7 or better.
Vanderbilt is very talented, but are usually a difficult watch. I'm surprised kenpom has them so high because there is nothing consistent nor efficient about this team. They have the talent to matchup with anyone though.I've watched slightly more than zero games this year (most of them this weekend) and I'm leaning heavily on the Kenpom's of the world.
A couple of things that are standing out to me:
-Wichita State, Vanderbilt & Arizona are all horribly under-seeded and yet only one of them will make it out of the first round
-The East is top heavy with the best 1-5 seeds.
-The South is very deep with what graded out to 10 of the top 25 teams in the field
-The West is the weakest in just about every way I've looked at it. Will be tough to pick games in this one.
Arkansas did a few years ago when they had when Stan Heath was busy ruining the program.Never heard of that
Fully asleep. REM sleep.Dont sleep on the Roadrunners.
You mean like OU getting to play in Oklahoma City?Prince Myshkin said:Love the head of the committee (I think they said Oklahoma AD) and his circular arguments over who is in and who is out. Talked about how important strength of schedule, but dismissed Monmouth
On Kentucky/Texas AM, he said UK had some losses against teams "that aren't even in the tournament", apparently ignoring the fact that TAMU has about 5 such losses as well.