in closed and confidential negots, you don't know who did what, as the mediator keeps that all sealed under raps. This isn't like a public arbitration. Ie. you will never know whatthe mediator recommended unless it is adoppted.The mediation may not be binding, but I think the public would quickly turn on whatever side walks away from it or refuses to go along with the mediator's recommendations. There may be a few sticking points that may take some time to iron out, but I see this as a really positive step towards getting the season started on time.
I think there is just too much money out there, plus this guy seems like the perfect mediator. Former union rep helps gain trust of players, and has the experience and the cajones to tell the owners/players when they are blowing smoke.
really? It's been three days. and we've heard SQUAT! I 'll bet the 'stays here' threats of the mediator helped this, as referenced in the usatoday piece.<!--quoteo(post=12935810:date=Feb 20 2011, 08:53 PM:name=Maurile Tremblay)--><div class='quotetop'>QUOTE (Maurile Tremblay @ Feb 20 2011, 08:53 PM) <a href="index.php?act=findpost&pid=12935810"><{POST_SNAPBACK}></a></div><div class='quotemain'><!--quotec--><!--quoteo(post=12935712:date=Feb 20 2011, 05:13 PM:name=KCC)--><div class='quotetop'>QUOTE (KCC @ Feb 20 2011, 05:13 PM) <a href="index.php?act=findpost&pid=12935712"><{POST_SNAPBACK}></a></div><div class='quotemain'><!--quotec-->The mediation may not be binding, but I think the public would quickly turn on whatever side walks away from it or refuses to go along with the mediator's recommendations.<!--QuoteEnd--></div><!--QuoteEEnd-->If the parties walk away, it will likely be a mutual decision once it appears that progress cannot be made. And if the mediator makes a recommendation to one side or the other (or to both), I don't think it will be public.A mediator is not like an arbitrator. He's not really there to offer his own opinion on the matter, although occasionally doing so might be helpful. He's there to get the sides to talk to each other (usually indirectly, through the mediator), and to encourage settlement by making each side aware of its own weaknesses. But he won't do so publicly. The whole affair will be confidential.<!--QuoteEnd--></div><!--QuoteEEnd-->I slightly disagree with the idea that the negotiations will be confidential. The mediator won't speak publicly, but once the owners/players get briefed on the negotiations there will be more leaks than the titanic.
We havent heard anything yet because only the people in the room know what is being said. Once the NFL reports to the owners (who will have to vote to approve a deal) and, more importantly, the NFLPA reports to the players (who also have to vote) there will be hundreds of people that have not promised to keep quiet that know the details. That being said, I am happy to see that, so far, everyone is staying tight lipped.'Hipple said:really? It's been three days. and we've heard SQUAT! I 'll bet the 'stays here' threats of the mediator helped this, as referenced in the usatoday piece.<!--quoteo(post=12935810:date=Feb 20 2011, 08:53 PM:name=Maurile Tremblay)--><div class='quotetop'>QUOTE (Maurile Tremblay @ Feb 20 2011, 08:53 PM) <a href="index.php?act=findpost&pid=12935810"><{POST_SNAPBACK}></a></div><div class='quotemain'><!--quotec--><!--quoteo(post=12935712:date=Feb 20 2011, 05:13 PM:name=KCC)--><div class='quotetop'>QUOTE (KCC @ Feb 20 2011, 05:13 PM) <a href="index.php?act=findpost&pid=12935712"><{POST_SNAPBACK}></a></div><div class='quotemain'><!--quotec-->The mediation may not be binding, but I think the public would quickly turn on whatever side walks away from it or refuses to go along with the mediator's recommendations.<!--QuoteEnd--></div><!--QuoteEEnd-->If the parties walk away, it will likely be a mutual decision once it appears that progress cannot be made. And if the mediator makes a recommendation to one side or the other (or to both), I don't think it will be public.A mediator is not like an arbitrator. He's not really there to offer his own opinion on the matter, although occasionally doing so might be helpful. He's there to get the sides to talk to each other (usually indirectly, through the mediator), and to encourage settlement by making each side aware of its own weaknesses. But he won't do so publicly. The whole affair will be confidential.<!--QuoteEnd--></div><!--QuoteEEnd-->I slightly disagree with the idea that the negotiations will be confidential. The mediator won't speak publicly, but once the owners/players get briefed on the negotiations there will be more leaks than the titanic.
As long as both sides continue negotiations, and they evidently will, I think we have to feel more positive about the deal getting done before the NFL draft. Stay tuned...The NFL and the players' union have made "some progress" over seven consecutive days of face-to-face meetings, "but very strong differences remain," and negotiations will resume next week, the federal mediator overseeing the talks said Thursday.
George Cohen, director of the Federal Mediation and Conciliation Service, released a statement shortly before noon Thursday, his first public comments since he began working with the league and the NFL Players Association last week.
I don't foresee any extension. From what I understand the owners get huge relief in some way from the actual expiration of the cba...Myis that if there is an extension from the March 3rd CBA expiration, then there are sunnier skies. If not, it will be ugly.
The notion that they could resolve everything is 7 days is obviously false. I'm not sure why they even put a limited time in the first place, unless it helped get one side to the table?Looks like the NFL and the NFLPA have agreed to continue labor talks next week: LINK
As long as both sides continue negotiations, and they evidently will, I think we have to feel more positive about the deal getting done before the NFL draft. Stay tuned...The NFL and the players' union have made "some progress" over seven consecutive days of face-to-face meetings, "but very strong differences remain," and negotiations will resume next week, the federal mediator overseeing the talks said Thursday.
George Cohen, director of the Federal Mediation and Conciliation Service, released a statement shortly before noon Thursday, his first public comments since he began working with the league and the NFL Players Association last week.
What kind of relief? Economic relief? I don't think so.I don't foresee any extension. From what I understand the owners get huge relief in some way from the actual expiration of the cba...Myis that if there is an extension from the March 3rd CBA expiration, then there are sunnier skies. If not, it will be ugly.
The owners will argue that Judge Doty should not be involved anymore since he was engaged as a result of the anti-trust action. If this CBA expires, it will allegedly end the chain of CBA extensions coming from that anti-trust action. The owners feel Doty sides with the players too much. The NFLPA disagrees - on all countsI don't foresee any extension. From what I understand the owners get huge relief in some way from the actual expiration of the cba...Myis that if there is an extension from the March 3rd CBA expiration, then there are sunnier skies. If not, it will be ugly.
Ah. I had forgotten about that issue. Yes, I can see the NFL wanting the CBA to expire first before signing a new one.The owners will argue that Judge Doty should not be involved anymore since he was engaged as a result of the anti-trust action. If this CBA expires, it will allegedly end the chain of CBA extensions coming from that anti-trust action. The owners feel Doty sides with the players too much. The NFLPA disagrees - on all countsI don't foresee any extension. From what I understand the owners get huge relief in some way from the actual expiration of the cba...Myis that if there is an extension from the March 3rd CBA expiration, then there are sunnier skies. If not, it will be ugly.
Here's why the owners would prefer to go the lockout route -- in a lockout, there's the possibility that the league cannot be sued under antitrust law while the lockout is ongoing. If the owners institute their last, best offer, then yes it will take a few years before any trial gets resolved. However, the players get triple damages. So even for the guy who only plays two seasons and is then bounced for the league, he gets the difference between the money he would have gotten without the collusive actions of the owners (A) and the money he did receive for playing (B) times 3. (A - B) * 3. For the owners, multiply that by every player in the league, and that's a lot of money they end up losing, after fighting a multi-year litigation costing millions in and of itself. Now, I think even though the NFL has lost every single time they've been challenged in court under antitrust law, that it's not a sure thing that they lose this one. It's still probable, but not a certainty. But that's a whole lot of money to risk. My bet is that they institute the lockout while continuing negotiations, and continue the lockout at least to the halfway point of the season to see if the players cave before then and sign a new owner-friendly CBA.It appears to me that we're heading for the owners taking the "last, best offer" route. It seems like the 2 weeks of continuous negotiations will just be used as evidence that they have negotiated to the point of impasse. Taking that route for the owners seems like a better option than imposing a lockout. They get to make all the rules. The only options for the players then becomes striking or decertifying and filing an antitrust suit. They don't gain anything by striking and a suit doesn't get resolved for 2-3 years, which would be after many of these players are out of the league.I don't see the owners giving in on the revenue split issue. Once that is decided, there really isn't any reason for the players to oppose the 18 game schedule or the rookie wage scale. Both of those would just increase the revenue and help replace any revenue they gave up.Have I thought this through correctly?
So, if it goes to decertification and an antitrust suit, which issue do you believe would be at the center of the suit? It doesn't seem like it would be FA again, like it was in '89.Here's why the owners would prefer to go the lockout route -- in a lockout, there's the possibility that the league cannot be sued under antitrust law while the lockout is ongoing. If the owners institute their last, best offer, then yes it will take a few years before any trial gets resolved. However, the players get triple damages. So even for the guy who only plays two seasons and is then bounced for the league, he gets the difference between the money he would have gotten without the collusive actions of the owners (A) and the money he did receive for playing (B) times 3. (A - B) * 3. For the owners, multiply that by every player in the league, and that's a lot of money they end up losing, after fighting a multi-year litigation costing millions in and of itself. Now, I think even though the NFL has lost every single time they've been challenged in court under antitrust law, that it's not a sure thing that they lose this one. It's still probable, but not a certainty. But that's a whole lot of money to risk. My bet is that they institute the lockout while continuing negotiations, and continue the lockout at least to the halfway point of the season to see if the players cave before then and sign a new owner-friendly CBA.It appears to me that we're heading for the owners taking the "last, best offer" route. It seems like the 2 weeks of continuous negotiations will just be used as evidence that they have negotiated to the point of impasse. Taking that route for the owners seems like a better option than imposing a lockout. They get to make all the rules. The only options for the players then becomes striking or decertifying and filing an antitrust suit. They don't gain anything by striking and a suit doesn't get resolved for 2-3 years, which would be after many of these players are out of the league.I don't see the owners giving in on the revenue split issue. Once that is decided, there really isn't any reason for the players to oppose the 18 game schedule or the rookie wage scale. Both of those would just increase the revenue and help replace any revenue they gave up.Have I thought this through correctly?
Suits brought by players claiming antitrust violations can focus on a number of issues, all depending on exactly what actions the teams take. And the actions would have to date from after the expiration of the CBA. So any attempt to enforce the franchise tag on players after March 4th, for example. Anything that appears like teams are refusing to negotiate with a player due to some exclusionary agreement where one team claims rights to that player. The salary cap would be challenged, if the owners brought it back. Even attempts to limit roster sizes could be challenged. If it took over a year before a new CBA is agreed to, then certainly the rookie draft would be challenged. If I was the agent for Andrew Luck next year, I'd open up negotiations with all 32 teams and the second somebody said that Luck belonged to the team that drafted him I'd file suit.So, if it goes to decertification and an antitrust suit, which issue do you believe would be at the center of the suit? It doesn't seem like it would be FA again, like it was in '89.
Reading this it really seems to me (again) that there's a zero percent chance the owners would allow any sort of truly free market to develop. What would Luck be worth in a case like that? Alex-Rod/Rangers money?But can the players hold it together that long? I'd guess that once the 2011 season was canceled the players would have already incurred most or all of the cost of the lost year [???] and it would get easier to stick it out for the next three or four months. At that point the owners would either crack or do something that would make an anti-trust suit an open and shut case.If it took over a year before a new CBA is agreed to, then certainly the rookie draft would be challenged. If I was the agent for Andrew Luck next year, I'd open up negotiations with all 32 teams and the second somebody said that Luck belonged to the team that drafted him I'd file suit.
This is some very prescient analysis.Sadly, this is playing out pretty much like I expected.First comes 7 days of mediation. Why seven? Because that buys time until the NFL Combine starts.The Combine will dominate attention until it ends - March 1st.The next day is another "meeting" where "irreconcilable differences" (or words to that effect) will be used to describe the results of the talks. Then comes the 24-hour countdown to the end of the CBA.That's your NFL schedule, folks.
Yeah, I see all of that. I was just wondering which issue you thought would be the one that is used. You seem to have a pretty good understanding of the whole thing.Somebody has to file the suit. If I were a rookie, I'm not sure I'd want to be the guy that files over the draft, for fear of any future repercussions. Maybe if the rookie were high profile enough like Luck it wouldn't matter but it seems like it might be tough to prove any loss of income since rookie QBs are paid like the highest paid QBs. As long as free agency remained unrestricted (and owners didn't award compensatory picks), it doesn't seem like there would be an issue there. The owners could easily operate without a cap (or floor) and roster limits. The biggest issue seems like the draft but I wonder whether there would be a rookie willing to step up and challenge it.'Orange Crush said:Suits brought by players claiming antitrust violations can focus on a number of issues, all depending on exactly what actions the teams take. And the actions would have to date from after the expiration of the CBA. So any attempt to enforce the franchise tag on players after March 4th, for example. Anything that appears like teams are refusing to negotiate with a player due to some exclusionary agreement where one team claims rights to that player. The salary cap would be challenged, if the owners brought it back. Even attempts to limit roster sizes could be challenged. If it took over a year before a new CBA is agreed to, then certainly the rookie draft would be challenged. If I was the agent for Andrew Luck next year, I'd open up negotiations with all 32 teams and the second somebody said that Luck belonged to the team that drafted him I'd file suit.So, if it goes to decertification and an antitrust suit, which issue do you believe would be at the center of the suit? It doesn't seem like it would be FA again, like it was in '89.
I agree with Jeff. The mediaton is just a huge CYA for the owners in the potential anti-trust suit filed by the union and a CYA for the union in the suit filed by the owners earlier this year stating the players had no intention of negotiating. Its the "we gave it a shot but they are unfair" story. IMHO, neither side is negotiating or wants to at this point. This will be a game of chicken and I am not convinced we will have football in 2011. At least not 16 games. I think the players and the owners care to play in 2011. I think D Smith cares about D Smith and could care less about the game . That is why nothing is getting done as was the case when Upshaw held the reins. The owners and player greed hasn't suddenly changed. Whats the difference. Just my opinion.Sadly, this is playing out pretty much like I expected.First comes 7 days of mediation. Why seven? Because that buys time until the NFL Combine starts.The Combine will dominate attention until it ends - March 1st.The next day is another "meeting" where "irreconcilable differences" (or words to that effect) will be used to describe the results of the talks. Then comes the 24-hour countdown to the end of the CBA.That's your NFL schedule, folks.
Exactly! The second that the union opted out of the last two years of the CBA I knew there would be trouble and Smith just couldn't be trusted.I think D Smith cares about D Smith and could care less about the game . That is why nothing is getting done as was the case when Upshaw held the reins.
It was the owners who opted out of the CBA, not the players. The players entire argument in these negotiations has been that they just want things to stay as they are.Exactly! The second that the union opted out of the last two years of the CBA I knew there would be trouble and Smith just couldn't be trusted.I think D Smith cares about D Smith and could care less about the game . That is why nothing is getting done as was the case when Upshaw held the reins.
I know...It was the owners who opted out of the CBA, not the players. The players entire argument in these negotiations has been that they just want things to stay as they are.Exactly! The second that the union opted out of the last two years of the CBA I knew there would be trouble and Smith just couldn't be trusted.I think D Smith cares about D Smith and could care less about the game . That is why nothing is getting done as was the case when Upshaw held the reins.
Don't misunderstand me, I don't think a deal happens before the CBA expires. I HOPE that a deal is done before the NFL Draft (which is the real deadline for a full season in 2011, IMO). If both sides agree to extend the current CBA to April 3 (or some such), then I'll be more optimistic about a full 2011 season. If not, then chances go WAY down, IMO.The notion that they could resolve everything is 7 days is obviously false. I'm not sure why they even put a limited time in the first place, unless it helped get one side to the table?Looks like the NFL and the NFLPA have agreed to continue labor talks next week: LINK
As long as both sides continue negotiations, and they evidently will, I think we have to feel more positive about the deal getting done before the NFL draft. Stay tuned...The NFL and the players' union have made "some progress" over seven consecutive days of face-to-face meetings, "but very strong differences remain," and negotiations will resume next week, the federal mediator overseeing the talks said Thursday.
George Cohen, director of the Federal Mediation and Conciliation Service, released a statement shortly before noon Thursday, his first public comments since he began working with the league and the NFL Players Association last week.
The quick answer is that all of them will be issues. There won't be but one lawsuit filed by only one player. There will be dozens of lawsuits. Many will be combined regarding the same or similar issues at hand. Last time the two big name players who were the figurehead of different combined lawsuits were Reggie White and Keith Jackson. Both were multi-Pro Bowlers who knew there would be a market for their services even after the suit. And if teams declined to pursue a player because of their filing a lawsuit, that's blackballing which is one of the easier antitrust lawsuits to win in sports (assuming the blackballing actually happened and that the player didn't get offers because he just isn't any good). So my guess would be that the very first suit brought would be by either Vincent Jackson or Logan Mankins challenging the franchise tag. There would follow lawsuits on every single one of those issues I raised (and probably some I haven't yet thought of), but not the rookie draft. The 2011 draft is actually part of the last CBA and cannot be challenged. A rookie pay scale on the other hand, if implemented this year, most certainly challengable. And if April 2012 rolls around and still no new CBA, then the first rookie who goes lower than he thinks he should have gone and/or is offered a contract below what he thinks he could have gotten in a free system, will file suit. Damn. I've got to find me some clients.Yeah, I see all of that. I was just wondering which issue you thought would be the one that is used. You seem to have a pretty good understanding of the whole thing.Somebody has to file the suit. If I were a rookie, I'm not sure I'd want to be the guy that files over the draft, for fear of any future repercussions. Maybe if the rookie were high profile enough like Luck it wouldn't matter but it seems like it might be tough to prove any loss of income since rookie QBs are paid like the highest paid QBs. As long as free agency remained unrestricted (and owners didn't award compensatory picks), it doesn't seem like there would be an issue there. The owners could easily operate without a cap (or floor) and roster limits. The biggest issue seems like the draft but I wonder whether there would be a rookie willing to step up and challenge it.'Orange Crush said:Suits brought by players claiming antitrust violations can focus on a number of issues, all depending on exactly what actions the teams take. And the actions would have to date from after the expiration of the CBA. So any attempt to enforce the franchise tag on players after March 4th, for example. Anything that appears like teams are refusing to negotiate with a player due to some exclusionary agreement where one team claims rights to that player. The salary cap would be challenged, if the owners brought it back. Even attempts to limit roster sizes could be challenged. If it took over a year before a new CBA is agreed to, then certainly the rookie draft would be challenged. If I was the agent for Andrew Luck next year, I'd open up negotiations with all 32 teams and the second somebody said that Luck belonged to the team that drafted him I'd file suit.So, if it goes to decertification and an antitrust suit, which issue do you believe would be at the center of the suit? It doesn't seem like it would be FA again, like it was in '89.