A few interesting pieces of information in the Forbes article, but not enough for me to feel informed enough to take sides.
The author's emphasis seemed to be on the growth of the NFL revenues, but to me, that is irrelevant to assessing the fairness of the current CBA. With salary caps tied to revenues, both sides benefit and cancel each other out for purposes of determining a fair package.
The author does provide an average figure for operating profits (about 30million IIRC), but doesn't include (or even attempt to estimate) the costs of depreciation, interst, ammortization, etc. So that info isn't very useful either.
I was interested to learn that the owners will have to payback the TV revenues except the $1billion in DirectTV fees for 2011. It only works out to about $30 mil per team. The legal and publicity risk involved with a lock out would have to outweigh that one-time payout for most owners. I think that's a positive for the chances of reaching a deal, because this lockout likely isn't motivated by the desire to get a huge 2011 payday.
I also found this interesting:
"The union agreed that in the Final League Year, clubs would be relieved of their obligation to fund numerous benefit programs. Examples include second career savings (401K), player annuity, severance pay and performance-based pay. The total league-wide contributions to such plans in 2009, the last capped year, were in excess of $325 million or more than $10 million per club.”
The author uses it as an argument that the owners hood-winked the players out of 10,000,000 each, but the other side of the coin is that this expense must be factored into the budget moving forward. If the Packers only made 9 million in profts without the 10million cost of retirement benefits, then this additional expense pushes them into a loss for 2011 if nothing else changes.
Another useful piece of information from the article was the escalation in the team values. Just as not all stocks pay yearly cash dividends, not all business success is measured in realized profit. If the owners chose to report assets on the Fair Value basis, they'd have considerably more unrealized gains to show for it. And selling a portion of the team isn't the only way to convert these gains into cash.
In the end, I find it hard to understand how many in this thread can have such hardened opinions while being privy to very little information. I wonder if the figures have any baring at all, or if most people are inclined to support either the bourgeoise or the proletariat uniformally in all instances, without regard to circumstances.
I'm resigned to the fact that I'll never have enough information to pick a side to cheer for in this contest. Which is just as well, I can't fathom the amount of money at stake anyway. From a fan's POV, I'm more interested in whether they can find a fair deal for both sides while perserving competitive balance for the small markets. It's not an easy task, but I'm confident that the pie is large enough and the people involved are smart enough to find equitable distributions...hopefully by WK1 2011