Pai Mei
Footballguy
Well the trick is that these polls usually are biased in favor of the democrat. Then you have classic "october swoon" where the republican often catches back up in the polls, which is really the pollsters getting the data correct so they don't look as bad as they might. For example, pollsters in late summer of 1984 had Walter Mondale defeating Reagan. Then they corrected to the right as usual and you actually had a landslide. As a rule of thumb I assume the average poll has about 5% of bias to the left in it. So if you quote a poll that says its 3, I'm looking at it as being more like 8, and here is a poll that has it at 8, so I like that poll that is at 8.Here's a hint: none of them are accurate because the election is 8 freaking months away. This news cycle will be ancient history before we even get to the conventions, and by then there will be a whole new set of stories that will be driving these numbers up or down. What's happening in the economy and what's happening in Iraq will be far more significant than anything we are talking about right now, particularly since the candidates will have actual policy differences to discuss rather than who's minister has said more crazy ####.These are very likely more accuratehttp://rasmussenreports.com/public_content...atch_up_historyLots of polls out there all over the place. This one has a much larger sample size with McCain only up by 3%.Gallup Tracking 03/16 - 03/20 4377 RV 44 47 4 McCain +3.0Actually there is no indication that Obama's numbers have stopped falling. John McCain's LARGEST lead over Obama in the general election was TODAY, March 21st, 2008, 49%-41%, at 8%. I'd say the public is still processing all the info and realizing what a fool Obama is. For all anyone knows, Obama's freefall may not stop until McCain holds a 16% lead over him.I don't know how in the world he can close a gap of 7 points over 7+ months. Clearly unpossible given his track record.And the damage done by Barack Obama's speech continues to come into focus.
http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content...n_election_2008
The Impact of Pastor Wright and THE SPEECH on Election 2008
Thursday, March 20, 2008
Two days after Barack Obama gave the most important speech of his life, it remains unclear what impact the controversy over Pastor Jeremiah Wright will have on the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination. However, early data suggests that it has already had a negative impact on Obama’s chances of winning the general election against John McCain.
In the week before the media frenzy over Wright, Obama and McCain were essentially tied in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll. Less than a week later, and two days after Obama’s speech, McCain had opened a seven-point lead over Obama. Significantly, by Thursday’s polling, McCain had pulled slightly ahead of Obama among unaffiliated voters.
He continues to fall in the polls after the speech. Obviously it hurt him. The key damage is that Obama continues to hemorrhage independent voters to McCain.![]()
Again? That presupposes they ever knew each other in the first place.

welcome back gb
Anything happen while I was gone?
welcome back gb
Anything happen while I was gone?
Hindu down? 