QuizGuy66
Footballguy
False.I thought that the rules in the primary changed so that delegates were awarded all or nothing? So if he wins a state with 25% of the vote because there's so many people in the race he still gets all of the delegates and therefore could get the nomination that way. No?I still think Trump is far more likely to cause harm as a third party candidate ("pledge" or not) than to be the Republican nominee. Let's concede that the guy literally can't do anything to dissuade the roughly 25% of Republican or Republican leaning voters who support him to switch votes. So he has a relatively high floor. He still has a very limited ceiling.
Trump can't win the nomination with 25% of the vote. He has to pick up voters at the same rate as others as candidates drop out. That seems unlikely to me once the "establishment candidate" is picked (be it Rubio or Cruz or even a resurgent Jeb!). His negative numbers with Republican leaning voters are kind of middle of the pack. His negative numbers among all voters are massive (it would be a godsend to Hilary to face an opponent where she clearly wins the "likability" race).
Everything (with the exception of South Carolina) is proportional prior to March 15.
-QG