Concept Coop
Footballguy
Fair enough. He was a top 5 redraft back this year, after finishing RB4 last season, and I expect him to be in the first round mix next year as well.Even in PPR Shady has only finished as a top 10 RB once in the last three years, so counting on two consecutive top 5 finishes is very far from a guarantee.
He's also in that precipitous spot where even as someone who's value is generally underrated, he could see a catastrophic drop in value at any minute. Even if he's healthy and producing next offseason people will be looking at a 30 next to his name (compared to a 26 for DJ). And he's at that age where any mis-step means his value disappears entirely. If he has a fairly big injury, unlike DJ, you will basically be able to get nothing back for him.
I agree with you on the fragility of his value. While it can't be ignored, I'm not too worried about his trade value, though, where I do own him. I'm planning on riding him out - and have always found contending owners willing to part with future picks for a sizable, short-term piece.