What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

****OFFICIAL DYNASTY TRADES**** (49 Viewers)

You have a lot of very strong reactions to a lot of trades I think are close or at worst solid offers.

Someone else had labeled that trade a pick'em and I agree.
Sorry if you don't agree with my values. But I think varying values is what makes FF work. I consider Seattle a RBBC by definition, and Mike Williams is just starting to break out (and is an elite talent drafted accordingly) So yeah, I'd never trade him for any Seattle RB. Just my 2 cents. 

 
I'm just gonna sing about this one for a sec...

FFPC

Gave: Drake, 2.12

Got: 2020 1st.  

His team was 11th in total points this year and scored 13 VPs all year.  Trades like this are why. He initated by offering a 2, 4, and 6 and  I countered with the above.

 
Sorry if you don't agree with my values. But I think varying values is what makes FF work. I consider Seattle a RBBC by definition, and Mike Williams is just starting to break out (and is an elite talent drafted accordingly) So yeah, I'd never trade him for any Seattle RB. Just my 2 cents. 
No problem to me,  just pointing out you got a lot of strong takes to trades I don't think are so off.

Mike Williams and Penny are very similar to me because both have flashed big time ability but thing holding both back is usage.  Both have ability to be considered fantasy #1's (not overall) at their positions if they can get more consistent usage. They both were drafted high relative to their positions.  You might not like SEA RB's but Lynch was pretty good and Chargers throw to RB's and TE's so much people might be surprised how weak their total WR production has been over the years.

Can see why someone likes one over the other, just surprised it would illicit such a strong take.

 
I'm just gonna sing about this one for a sec...

FFPC

Gave: Drake, 2.12

Got: 2020 1st.  

His team was 11th in total points this year and scored 13 VPs all year.  Trades like this are why. He initated by offering a 2, 4, and 6 and  I countered with the above.
Good deal for you.

 
You're underrating him.

ETA - some more context

I own him in some leagues have been getting offers for him. They are TE premium leagues but can kind of work out value in PPR.

Was offered Ebron and Cohen for him a few days ago. These are two players I tend to be way higher on then most. Credible offer I gave about a minute of consideration before saying no and Ebron in theory cancels out the TE premium factor.

Was offered Lindsdey, Funchess and 2.10 last week.  Gave this zero consideration and I while I think Funcess is worthless I think Lindsay is going to continue to rise.

A few days ago I offered Engram for him straight up. Got quick rejected and I asked if I can add something to the offer let me know,  they said anything less than a first was not going to do. I might end up doing it.

Before the season started(a few days before Guice got hurt) I offered Guice and a first I picked up which looked like a surefire top 4 pick (ended up 1.1) for Amari and Henry. Key here is the team I offered the trade to only rosters SEC players, has Engram/Reed and at the time what looked like a good prospect in Hurst and RB was their weak spot and I'm sitting on a ton of SEC RBs. If you need RB and only roster SEC players I'm hard to not deal with in this league.  Reply I got back was they'd be down to trade Amari, but HH was not available.

Just giving an idea of how some out there see his value. I've been using that Mike Clay top 240 I posted earlier just as a trade value chart(I personally care zero about people's rankings). I think he had HH hovering in 60'ish range, that seems worth the picks to me in PPR.

Also I think his major issue is getting more consistent target usage but keep in mind he's still had to deal with Gates during his first two years and we've not seen him get to remove that obstacle yet to see how he fares. But this time last year I realized he was sitting on exact same amount of targets ,115, as Engram. They were both the same age and people were loving on Engram  and I felt he was regarded a little higher then Henry but Henry's production on his 115 targets blew Engram's away. This got me to do a look at where players like Gronk, Kelce and Graham were are in their careers after 115 targets and Henry was every bit as productive as those 3, right on par.  And not for noting but Kelce and Graham were as old in their first seasons as Henry is right now, he'll play almost the entire season next year at the age of 24. Which again just means that when he was 21-22, he was as productive on a per target basis as 24-25 year old Kelce and Graham.

I'm only in two PPR leagues so sometimes hard for me to judge value of TE's in that format vs TE premium leagues but what I know is I'd give up that capital for Henry in both of those leagues.
After the first 3, it really is a free for all with TEs. If you like Henry cause of his per target numbers, you must love OJ Howard. 

 
After the first 3, it really is a free for all with TEs. If you like Henry cause of his per target numbers, you must love OJ Howard. 
If Arians was not riding into town yes I'd love OJ Howard's breakout potential this year but as is merely really like him  and no I don't think it's a free for all after TE3.

 
I love Thomas but three down stud backs are league winners. Gimme Zeke.
Could not have phrased it any better myself.

Team that gave EE won last year, they are loaded at RB and TE so a lot of weeks they’d sit a stud. Meanwhile their #2 WR was AROB and not much behind him. Even with that team makeup I’d not have given up Zeke in this deal. 

 
I'm just gonna sing about this one for a sec...

FFPC

Gave: Drake, 2.12

Got: 2020 1st.  

His team was 11th in total points this year and scored 13 VPs all year.  Trades like this are why. He initated by offering a 2, 4, and 6 and  I countered with the above.
The guy trading for Drake must have slept through the 2018 season. 

 
Another FFPC deal that I'm not involved in.  Starting to feel left out now.

Team A got:  Fournette, Josh Allen, Coutee

Team B got:  Davante Adams, Josh Gordon, 2.07 and 2020 6th

I thougth the picks were on the wrong side here but I guess Fournette still has his fans.  

 
Another FFPC deal that I'm not involved in.  Starting to feel left out now.

Team A got:  Fournette, Josh Allen, Coutee

Team B got:  Davante Adams, Josh Gordon, 2.07 and 2020 6th

I thougth the picks were on the wrong side here but I guess Fournette still has his fans.  
Adams

 
12 team $325 cap IDP league.  30 man rosters.  QRWWTF plus IDP.  Performance scoring.

The Trade Hounds gave up Davis, Corey TEN WR ($5)
Never Give Up gave up Agholor, Nelson PHI WR ($6) and 2019 1.03 ($5) and 2019 2.09 ($4)

Not involved.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Another FFPC deal that I'm not involved in.  Starting to feel left out now.

Team A got:  Fournette, Josh Allen, Coutee

Team B got:  Davante Adams, Josh Gordon, 2.07 and 2020 6th

I thougth the picks were on the wrong side here but I guess Fournette still has his fans.  
Adams, not even close.

 
Another FFPC deal that I'm not involved in.  Starting to feel left out now.

Team A got:  Fournette, Josh Allen, Coutee

Team B got:  Davante Adams, Josh Gordon, 2.07 and 2020 6th

I thougth the picks were on the wrong side here but I guess Fournette still has his fans.  
An argument could be made that Adams is the #1 dynasty WR.  Depending upon team makeup I'd have offered that for Adams alone.

 
Zyphros said:
Another FFPC deal that I'm not involved in.  Starting to feel left out now.

Team A got:  Fournette, Josh Allen, Coutee

Team B got:  Davante Adams, Josh Gordon, 2.07 and 2020 6th

I thougth the picks were on the wrong side here but I guess Fournette still has his fans.  
Adams, not even close.

 
Zyphros said:
Another FFPC deal that I'm not involved in.  Starting to feel left out now.

Team A got:  Fournette, Josh Allen, Coutee

Team B got:  Davante Adams, Josh Gordon, 2.07 and 2020 6th

I thougth the picks were on the wrong side here but I guess Fournette still has his fans.  
Adams but if a few if's work out I think the other side can win the trade. Those if's mainly being Fournette and Coutee's ability to stay healthy, those are big if's, but I'd take that trio if healthy over Adams and the rest of the package depending on roster space.

 
Team A gave
Jones, Ronald TBB RB
Miller, Anthony CHI WR
Year 2019 Round 1 Draft Pick from Underdogs
Year 2019 Round 2 Draft Pick from High Plains Grifter
Year 2019 Round 3 Draft Pick from High Plains Grifter

Team B gave
Michel, Sony NEP RB
Baldwin, Doug SEA WR

I'm the one who gave up Michel. His knee issues and New England's use of RB's bothers me. I love Miller and think he has a real chance to be great in Chicago. Not at all high on Jones but maybe under BA, he'll come to life. The 1st is a late 1st, while the 2nd and 3rd are the 2.1 and 3.1. it is an IDP league, and I still have Ajayi, Conner, Crowell, and Doug Martin along with Jones at RB. I am really deep at WR and will try to deal a WR for a #2 RB.

 
Team A gave
Jones, Ronald TBB RB
Miller, Anthony CHI WR
Year 2019 Round 1 Draft Pick from Underdogs
Year 2019 Round 2 Draft Pick from High Plains Grifter
Year 2019 Round 3 Draft Pick from High Plains Grifter

Team B gave
Michel, Sony NEP RB
Baldwin, Doug SEA WR
Can't blame you for your concerns about Michel, but it sure seems like they are entering a more run-dominated phase of Brady's career.  Having what is possibly the most valuable asset in that backfield could be a coup.  Having said that, Miller and those picks is not a bad return.  This draft is shallow at the top but deep.  There may be very good players to be had late first and early 2nd.  Jones is, as you said, just a flyer.

 
It’s pretty close if you like Miller, but I think his stock price is waning. He had a bad/terrible 2nd half of the season and I think some of his owners are bailing. 

I don’t like Michel much, but I think his price is on the rise and will peak after a good/great Super Bowl in a few days. 

All in all, I just think it’s a bad trade timing-wise for you. 

 
Team A gave
Jones, Ronald TBB RB
Miller, Anthony CHI WR
Year 2019 Round 1 Draft Pick from Underdogs
Year 2019 Round 2 Draft Pick from High Plains Grifter
Year 2019 Round 3 Draft Pick from High Plains Grifter

Team B gave
Michel, Sony NEP RB
Baldwin, Doug SEA WR

I'm the one who gave up Michel. His knee issues and New England's use of RB's bothers me. I love Miller and think he has a real chance to be great in Chicago. Not at all high on Jones but maybe under BA, he'll come to life. The 1st is a late 1st, while the 2nd and 3rd are the 2.1 and 3.1. it is an IDP league, and I still have Ajayi, Conner, Crowell, and Doug Martin along with Jones at RB. I am really deep at WR and will try to deal a WR for a #2 RB.
I posted two recent trades were I sold Michel and gave long reply as to why.  I think we'd both agree  it's an ideal time to move him, possible his value is never higher. 

All in all I felt you got back proper comp but if  I was you I'd have gone after attractive looking 2020 firsts, especially with your team need at RB,  instead of late 2019's but I also don't play IDP leagues so possibly not factoring in that angle correctly.

 
J3RS3YD3V1L said:
12 team $325 cap IDP league.  30 man rosters.  QRWWTF plus IDP.  Performance scoring.

The Trade Hounds gave up Davis, Corey TEN WR ($5)
Never Give Up gave up Agholor, Nelson PHI WR ($6) and 2019 1.03 ($5) and 2019 2.09 ($4)

Not involved.
1.03 would be tempting. 

 
12 team half point PPR. 

Anthony Miller for 2.02
Miller 

He's the kind of guy you probably drafted around the 2.02 or later last year.  Why would anyone trade him for a 2.02 one year later?  These are the kind of owners who are always trading young players for draft picks and never give said player a chance to develop.  Miller has plenty of upside.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Miller 

He's the kind of guy you probably drafted around the 2.02 or later last year.  Why would anyone trade him for a 2.02 one year later?  These are the kind of owners who are always trading young players for draft picks and never give said player a chance to develop.  Miller has plenty of upside.
It's fine to do this if you after a full season you were not enthused about what you bought. See Royce Freeman trade above. I'm usually critical when people do this with TE's, who don't often do much in year one and then they move them for less.

In this case none of that applies to me.  I really liked what I saw from Miller and just think shoulder held him back and if he recovers well from his surgery I think you see a new man in year 2 so give me Miller on this one.

 
Miller 

He's the kind of guy you probably drafted around the 2.02 or later last year.  Why would anyone trade him for a 2.02 one year later?  These are the kind of owners who are always trading young players for draft picks and never give said player a chance to develop.  Miller has plenty of upside.
I don't see upside when I look at Miller so he's a guy if I owned, I'd want to trade as well.  That said, I think going for a non-premium pick or player isn't the way to go, and he'd be a guy I'd want to package for something better.  

 
I don't see upside when I look at Miller so he's a guy if I owned, I'd want to trade as well.  That said, I think going for a non-premium pick or player isn't the way to go, and he'd be a guy I'd want to package for something better.  
I thought he looked good in his first year before he got hurt.  What's your problem with Miller?  

 
Last edited by a moderator:
I thought he looked good in his first year before he got hurt.  What's your problem with Miller?  
He looked decent, not great.  Can definitely understand someone preferring 2.02 if they like whatever prospect they get there more than Miller. 

It isn't like Miller looks like a sure bet to be a FF starter.

 
He looked decent, not great.  Can definitely understand someone preferring 2.02 if they like whatever prospect they get there more than Miller. 

It isn't like Miller looks like a sure bet to be a FF starter.
I can see liking someone better than Miller at 2.02 but I'd wait until I saw who that was before trading. 

 
I can see liking someone better than Miller at 2.02 but I'd wait until I saw who that was before trading. 
Me too.  I just don't think it's odd at all if someone prefers 2.02 over Miller.  Very fair valuation on Miller based on his decent rookie year.  I usually base a WR's success on yardage and not TD's rookie season.  He only averaged 28 yards a game.  He's still a total crapshoot.

 
We've had a lot of Miller and Michel talk. Michel no doubt has higher trade value so I'd take him just because of that but if I was not looking at this from a trade value angle and just which one would I want to bet on it would easily be Miller and I tend to value RB's over WR's all things being equal.

 
Me too.  I just don't think it's odd at all if someone prefers 2.02 over Miller.  Very fair valuation on Miller based on his decent rookie year.  I usually base a WR's success on yardage and not TD's rookie season.  He only averaged 28 yards a game.  He's still a total crapshoot.
I'm not saying Miller is worth more than the 2.02 to everyone, my point was that he was probably drafted around that spot, so why trade him for the same in which you gave?  That means you're another year behind in player development for your dynasty team and will draft someone else at 2.02 that probably won't do any better than Miller and will probably do worse.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
I'm not saying Miller is worth more than the 2.02 to everyone, my point was that he was probably drafted around that spot, so why trade him for the same in which you gave?  That means you're another year behind in player development for your dynasty team and will draft someone else at 2.02 that probably won't do any better than Miller and will probably do worse.
I understand your point and I've been sticking up a bit for Miller in this thread and not to be a contrarian but because while his current situation and health is not ideal, I like the talent I saw when healthy.

But I don't agree with your reasoning for someone to not trade him if they spent 2.2 on him last year. Pre-draft analysis is one thing, actually seeing a guy play in the league trumps that for me and I'm sure others. So to me it's only natural to change your outlook on a player you were projecting what they'd look like in the league after you've actually got to see that player in the league.

I just think people should look past more then just raw production when changing their outlook on players and try to not get to caught up in the here and now. Like with TE's which I mentioned earlier.  I'd venture to guess that about 80% of TE's drafted in top two rounds of dynasty rookie drafts lose value heading into year two because they had disappointing production from a position that does not yield much rookie production.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
I understand your point and I've been sticking up a bit for Miller in this thread and not to be a contrarian but because while his current situation and health is not ideal, I like the talent I saw when healthy.
What's wrong with his current situation?  Trubisky is a good young QB and I don't see Allen Robinson as a future vulture.  Robinson doesn't scare anyone.   I think Miller will be their #1 WR soon.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
What's wrong with his current situation?  Trubisky is a good young QB and I don't see Allen Robinson as a future vulture.  Robinson doesn't scare anyone.   I think Miller will be their #1 WR soon.
Trubisky is still more athlete then QB to me but for sure Robinson is the bigger issue.  You might not be scared by Robinson and I'm no big fan myself but I think he's the #1WR on the team that was 23rd in the NFL on pass attempts to WR's.  It's a small WR pie to be eating seconds.

I think Bears and Chiefs had a similar approach to FA last offseason. Aggressively pursue a big weapon to help their young QB but align that contract as one that comes off the books or has an easy out when it's time to extend that young QB. So saying that my money is not on Robinson being a long term Bear, but for 1-2 more years.

 
Good conversation on Miller.  My main issue with him is that he's really old for a rookie.  He will be almost 25 when next season starts. 

The shoulder injury is making him look like a decent buy low right now.  It seemed to fly under the radar a bit. 

 
 10 team ppr full IDP

James Washington

for

Ronald Jones + Josh Gordon + Justin Jackson

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

JJSS

for

D.J. Moore + 1.02 + 1.03

 
What's wrong with his current situation?  Trubisky is a good young QB and I don't see Allen Robinson as a future vulture.  Robinson doesn't scare anyone.   I think Miller will be their #1 WR soon.
Yeah but that doesn't say anything about your point of moving a guy for what you paid for him.

I would agree I wouldn't move a guy for what I paid if the consensus was that his value had increased, but Miller's really hasn't.  It has at best held constant as a lot of the momentum he had in dynasty trade circles from last offseason has worn off.

I think a lot of people that were caught up in that momentum have cooled on him so getting out for what you paid is a pretty reasonable path in that scenario.

Personally I could see Miller following a kind of Sterling Shepard value path as an up and down #2 option on a medium-low volume passing offense where he keeps putting up decent numbers but just consistently bleeds more and more trade value as time goes on.

 
Yeah but that doesn't say anything about your point of moving a guy for what you paid for him.

I would agree I wouldn't move a guy for what I paid if the consensus was that his value had increased, but Miller's really hasn't.  It has at best held constant as a lot of the momentum he had in dynasty trade circles from last offseason has worn off.

I think a lot of people that were caught up in that momentum have cooled on him so getting out for what you paid is a pretty reasonable path in that scenario.

Personally I could see Miller following a kind of Sterling Shepard value path as an up and down #2 option on a medium-low volume passing offense where he keeps putting up decent numbers but just consistently bleeds more and more trade value as time goes on.
His momentum slowed obviously after he got hurt, but for a first year player he did fine.  He is a lot more dynamic of a player than Shepard.  I expect him to progress even further in 2019.  Getting 7 TDs for being hurt at least a 1/3 of the year was impressive. 

 

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Top