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****OFFICIAL DYNASTY TRADES**** (34 Viewers)

I like non-Njoku side here.
I really don't like that the Njoku side waited the 2 years of normal TE development time and is trading him now for a 2nd and a 33 year old. 

While I love the upside at the end of the 1st and early 2nd in this draft, I think more than likely the 13th pick has less upside than Njoku, and best player available may very well be another TE to wait on. 

The Browns offense is also just starting to break out. Things are coming together... 

 
About to accept this offer unless I need to be shark slapped and talked out of it 

PPR

give: AB, Jared Cook

get: 1.6, A. Miller, 2020 1st, Everette 

Thoughts? 

 
About to accept this offer unless I need to be shark slapped and talked out of it 

PPR

give: AB, Jared Cook

get: 1.6, A. Miller, 2020 1st, Everette 

Thoughts? 
My thought would be this post would be more appropriate in the assistant coach forum, or even in the dynasty value discussion thread. It's close enough that I need more team info to say one way or another, and you can't get into that in the completed trade thread. 

 
1.4

Worse case scenario, just take Fant or Hockenson.
I would take Engram unless I had major TE depth.  He's the bird in hand with tons of upside, and draft picks are risky.  He's functionally a WR that you can play at TE.  We don't know landing spot or draft capital for the best talents yet..

Engram has been getting a log of usage when Beckham has been out, so I expect him to get decent volume this year.

Fant or Hockenson IMO, are not close in value to Engram before they show they can learn the NFL game and produce. I think they are a dice roll - it is rookie fever season.  Even if they are studs going forward, it is highly unlikely that they are ready to contribute year 1 or even year 2.  Hockenson could even be a major stud, but an even bigger stud as a blocker, limiting his fantasy upside.

 
I really don't like that the Njoku side waited the 2 years of normal TE development time and is trading him now for a 2nd and a 33 year old. 

While I love the upside at the end of the 1st and early 2nd in this draft, I think more than likely the 13th pick has less upside than Njoku, and best player available may very well be another TE to wait on. 

The Browns offense is also just starting to break out. Things are coming together... 
IMO a high majority of TE's break out in year two.

Sure the Browns offense is breaking out but it's breaking out because they added Odell. Odell and Landry are both going to eat before Njoku, just not seeing the workload  and he's not exactly been a marvel of consistency or a big red zone presence. I believe in the short term Njoku is one of the more overrated players in fantasy right now.

Next season matters and Edelman is best guy in this trade by far next season. I'll enjoy a year of that while I wait for pick 13 to develop.

 
12 team PPR Superflex. 

Courtland Sutton and 2 2021 2nds (early?) 

For 

2020 First (probably not early?) 

Not involved.  These 2020 firsts are getting pricey, apparently. 

 
12 team PPR

Gave 1.09

Got: 2021 1st and 2nd rounder

Team getting 1.09 has Kittle, Guice and Mayfield  and not much else. Now has 1.09 and 4.01 and no first round pick in 2020 or 2021

 
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jtd13 said:
It's less about Mahomes for me, and more about what else you can get at the position. 1 of 2 things is going to happen with Mahomes: either NFL defense will figure out how to slow down the crazy prolific offense of the 2018 Chiefs, or they won't and half the league will copy the Chiefs and carry several more QBs to crazy numbers. Either way, I'll take the under on Mahomes ever being that big of a positional advantage over a season again in his career. 
He had a 6.6 ppg advantage over Goff at QB7 in 2018.  3.9 advantage over Ryan at QB2. If he only managed half of that in the future, he would be worth a ton. Maybe even more than his supposedly sell high moment right now. If he maintains a healthy positional advantage, and factoring in regression from a crazy 2018, it is possible his dynasty value still has room to grow. If he stacks a couple more elite years.

Just noting here that he had a 7.9 ppg advantage over Trubisky at QB11 (raise your hand if you knew Trubisky finished that high in PPG). You're getting at least as big an advantage in your weekly box score from owning the consensus top QB as you would from owning Cooks as your WR3 or flex. IMO. It may actually be close but which one is easier to replace and or improve upon? I'd rather own the top QB by a mile. 

Also, I acknowledge that a big part of the 2018 success was due to Tyreek Hill. But Mahomes is special y'all. Even if Hill goes away Mahomes is going to make plays. For many, many years. 

I don't think you can copy what he does.

 
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Andy Dufresne said:
I don't know why people think all QBs are the same.

In Zealots, where all TDs are 6, Mahomes scored almost 6 points per game more than 2nd place Matt Ryan. 😕
Ryan is actually a good name to bring up. 2 years ago he put up the most efficient QB season in nfl history and now 2 years later even after a 5000/35 season his trade value is pretty bleh. 

Mahomes could keep throwing for 50+ tds every year but by far the most likely scenario for him is that he strings together a few seasons in the mid/high 4000 yards range with low/mid 30's in tds while mixing in a few low QB1 seasons here and there and his trade value never again approaches half of what it is right now. 

 
I don't think you can copy what he does.
Maybe not, but I think you can get close enough for almost free that I'm not paying a borderline top 12 option at a premium position for Mahomes. 

Ryan was QB2, but I know I can go trade for him in every 1QB team I'm in for less than a 1st. If you combined the 2 bad QBs in Tampa Bay, the ones so bad that they kept getting benched for each other every few weeks, you get the #2 QB at ~2.5 ppg behind Mahomes. That tells me the pass attempts matter more than the skillset, and I think more teams will have more pass attempts if the chiefs continue to have success with their style. 

 
Maybe not, but I think you can get close enough for almost free that I'm not paying a borderline top 12 option at a premium position for Mahomes. 

Ryan was QB2, but I know I can go trade for him in every 1QB team I'm in for less than a 1st. If you combined the 2 bad QBs in Tampa Bay, the ones so bad that they kept getting benched for each other every few weeks, you get the #2 QB at ~2.5 ppg behind Mahomes. That tells me the pass attempts matter more than the skillset, and I think more teams will have more pass attempts if the chiefs continue to have success with their style. 
So mahomes is so successful with his style that they will run the ball more because they’re up? 

Also I don’t think it’s fair to compare to TB when the early numbers were inflated greatly. Fitzpatrick played out of his mind early. So did mahomes, but those two were well ahead of the pack. Fitz regressed to the mean, mahomes did it all year. 

It’s also not a given that everyone will sell Matt Ryan for a 2nd. In fact I don’t think that gets accepted in most places. 

 
12 team ppr QB/2RB/3WR/TE/FL

Team A gave up Henry, Hunter LAC TE; Year 2019 Draft Pick 5.02

Team B gave up Year 2019 Draft Pick 1.07; Year 2019 Draft Pick 3.07

 
So mahomes is so successful with his style that they will run the ball more because they’re up? 
Huh? I don't know how you read that from anything I posted.

Even if you take out the first 3 weeks, the Tampa QBs were top 4 for the year for almost free. 

 
12 team PPR

Give: 2.04, Jack Doyle

Get: K Coutee

I might not have needed to throw in Doyle (this was a counter to 2.04 and next year's 2), but I wanted to be rid of him. One of those guys you don't just outright drop, but kind of clogging a roster spot too.

 
Maybe not, but I think you can get close enough for almost free that I'm not paying a borderline top 12 option at a premium position for Mahomes. 

Ryan was QB2, but I know I can go trade for him in every 1QB team I'm in for less than a 1st. If you combined the 2 bad QBs in Tampa Bay, the ones so bad that they kept getting benched for each other every few weeks, you get the #2 QB at ~2.5 ppg behind Mahomes. That tells me the pass attempts matter more than the skillset, and I think more teams will have more pass attempts if the chiefs continue to have success with their style. 
I doubt in ANY of the four leagues I'm in that you could get Ryan for a 2nd.

 
And that was still like 100 points off Mahomes.  What kind of players were 100 points behind Cooks?
Do people intentionally ignore the point of a post and respond to one line as if it's saying something else on this board? Seems to happen over and over again.

If you think Mahomes will continue to have that positional advantage, trade for him. I don't think he will.

 
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Huh? I don't know how you read that from anything I posted.

Even if you take out the first 3 weeks, the Tampa QBs were top 4 for the year for almost free. 
Oh I see what you meant now- that other teams will try to copy the chiefs style therefore increasing the value of other qbs. I read it as KCs attempts will regress because of their success. 

Theres value in having a luck/mahomes/Rodgers, an off year here and there but threat for the top spot every year. Cooks seems much more replaceable, at least to me. Robert woods, Tyler Lockett, Tyler Boyd, Landry, all guys who scored within about 25 pts of cooks. Perhaps he’s coming into his prime and improves more but I don’t see room in the offense for a big increase in numbers. They didn’t rely on him any more when kupp went down either (maybe the first 2-3 games.)

I’d rather take the top producer at a position, personally. Perhaps TB qbs scored close, there were plenty of qbs that didn’t, and weren’t reliable studs week in and week out. On a per game basis, mahomes (26.1)scored 5 ppg better than fitz (20.7) and 8 points better than winston (17.8). Granted, there’s 19 games that avg is taken from because both qbs played in the same game a few times, but the point is that if you played Tb starter you didn’t score anywhere close to mahomes. Sure, add up the 2 qbs stats and it looks pretty good- but you couldn’t get that production starting one or the other. 

 
Cam and Barkley for Luck Adams and Chubb

20 team dynasty
Davonte Adams I’m assuming...it seems right, but-

Luck has had a couple down years because of injury, and a couple great years. Same with cam. Is cam<luck, really? Both have solid (top 5?) finishes and down years, luck seems to be trending up while cam down right now. Adams and Chubb, is that worth Barkley, and a similar qb trending up? 

Luck adams and Chubb in a 20 team league. Very close though. 
This is a point I hadn’t considered- I’ll take the depth here as well, but seems pretty fair.

 
I'm not sure I have the experience to comment on a 20 team league, but I think I'd take the Adams-Chubb side since depth should be that much more important. I agree with @Snorkelson that the QBs are pretty close to a wash. 

 
What do you think his going rate is?  Late-1st at best, maybe.
The issue I have seen with trading QBs in a 12 team league is that they are more valuable to the team that has them than the team trading for them.  Almost every team has a solid one already. Ultimately, what they are worth is what someone will pay. I wouldn't give a late first for any Qb besides Mahomes and that is only if Hill is exonerated.  If I was a contending team that was really bad at Qb then that may make a difference. 

 
Cam and Barkley for Luck Adams and Chubb

20 team dynasty
The value is on the Luck Adam Chubb side.  This is what you have to pay to get Barkley though, sometimes even more.  The owner in one of my leagues won't even listen (wisely) to offers that are a 30 to 40 percent overpay. 

 
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Couple of recents; 12 team ppr

Robby Anderson for 1.12

Edelman for Alshon/Trey Burton

Ebron/Hyde/Yeldon for Lindsay/Gus Edwards/Hurst 

1.09 for James Washington 

 
Maholmes and Aaron Jones 

for 

Gurley and Aaron Rodgers. 

Dynasty PPR. 
Agreed, interesting deal. I would take Mahomes/Jones side. Mahomes is a decade younger and looks like a plug and play starter for 10+ years. Anyone’s guess on Gurley....but there is legitimate concern about his future and if he ever returns to his elite form. I actually really like Jones and think he could be one of the bigger surprises this season. 

 
10 team non ppr, pretty big on here....(start 1 rb, 2 wr, 2 flex along with other stuff)

Juju and Kerryon Johnson

for

D Adams and R Penny

 
10 team non ppr, pretty big on here....(start 1 rb, 2 wr, 2 flex along with other stuff)

Juju and Kerryon Johnson

for

D Adams and R Penny
Juju/Johnson pretty easily for me. 

Edit: Well... On second thought it's pretty even. I don't think KJ will get the touches that many seem to be expecting. But I'd still lean that side, just not as far as at first blush.

 
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Juju/Johnson pretty easily for me. 

Edit: Well... On second thought it's pretty even. I don't think KJ will get the touches that many seem to be expecting. But I'd still lean that side, just not as far as at first blush.
Would you agree the best player in the deal is Adams?

 
10 team non ppr, pretty big on here....(start 1 rb, 2 wr, 2 flex along with other stuff)

Juju and Kerryon Johnson

for

D Adams and R Penny
slightly off-topic but did you ever consider increasing the amount of starters in your league? All of my 12 team leagues start 6 players at RB/WR/TE so only 5 in a 10 man league just seems awfully low and not as challenging.

 
slightly off-topic but did you ever consider increasing the amount of starters in your league? All of my 12 team leagues start 6 players at RB/WR/TE so only 5 in a 10 man league just seems awfully low and not as challenging.
we also start a dedicated TE, and it's IDP.  1 qb, 1 rb, 2 wr, 1 te, 2 rb/wr/te flex, 1 k, 2 dl, 2 lb, 2 db. 

 

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